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Keywords = plant disease forecasting

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24 pages, 3067 KiB  
Review
Integrated Management Strategies for Blackleg Disease of Canola Amidst Climate Change Challenges
by Khizar Razzaq, Luis E. Del Río Mendoza, Bita Babakhani, Abdolbaset Azizi, Hasnain Razzaq and Mahfuz Rahman
J. Fungi 2025, 11(7), 514; https://doi.org/10.3390/jof11070514 - 9 Jul 2025
Viewed by 727
Abstract
Blackleg caused by a hemi-biotrophic fungus Plenodomus lingam (syn. Leptosphaeria maculans) poses a significant threat to global canola production. Changing climatic conditions further exacerbate the intensity and prevalence of blackleg epidemics. Shifts in temperature, humidity, and precipitation patterns can enhance pathogen virulence [...] Read more.
Blackleg caused by a hemi-biotrophic fungus Plenodomus lingam (syn. Leptosphaeria maculans) poses a significant threat to global canola production. Changing climatic conditions further exacerbate the intensity and prevalence of blackleg epidemics. Shifts in temperature, humidity, and precipitation patterns can enhance pathogen virulence and disease spread. This review synthesizes the knowledge on integrated disease management (IDM) approaches for blackleg, including crop rotation, resistant cultivars, and chemical and biological controls, with an emphasis on advanced strategies such as disease forecasting models, remote sensing, and climate-adapted breeding. Notably, bibliometric analysis reveals an increasing research focus on the intersection of blackleg, climate change, and sustainable disease management. However, critical research gaps remain, which include the lack of region-specific forecasting models, the limited availability of effective biological control agents, and underexplored socio-economic factors limiting farmer adoption of IDM. Additionally, the review identifies an urgent need for policy support and investment in breeding programs using emerging tools like AI-driven decision support systems, CRISPR/Cas9, and gene stacking to optimize fungicide use and resistance deployment. Overall, this review highlights the importance of coordinated, multidisciplinary efforts, integrating plant pathology, breeding, climate modeling, and socio-economic analysis to develop climate-resilient, locally adapted, and economically viable IDM strategies for sustainable canola production. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Integrated Management of Plant Fungal Diseases)
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25 pages, 2444 KiB  
Review
Climate on the Edge: Impacts and Adaptation in Ethiopia’s Agriculture
by Hirut Getachew Feleke, Tesfaye Abebe Amdie, Frank Rasche, Sintayehu Yigrem Mersha and Christian Brandt
Sustainability 2025, 17(11), 5119; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17115119 - 3 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2402
Abstract
Climate change poses a significant threat to Ethiopian agriculture, impacting both cereal and livestock production through rising temperatures, erratic rainfall, prolonged droughts, and increased pest and disease outbreaks. These challenges intensify food insecurity, particularly for smallholder farmers and pastoralists who rely on climate-sensitive [...] Read more.
Climate change poses a significant threat to Ethiopian agriculture, impacting both cereal and livestock production through rising temperatures, erratic rainfall, prolonged droughts, and increased pest and disease outbreaks. These challenges intensify food insecurity, particularly for smallholder farmers and pastoralists who rely on climate-sensitive agricultural systems. This systematic review aims to synthesize the impacts of climate change on Ethiopian agriculture, with a specific focus on cereal production and livestock feed quality, while exploring effective adaptation strategies that can support resilience in the sector. The review synthesizes 50 peer-reviewed publications (2020–2024) from the Climate Change Effects on Food Security project, which supports young African academics and Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) in addressing Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Using PRISMA guidelines, the review assesses climate change impacts on major cereal crops and livestock feed in Ethiopia and explores adaptation strategies. Over the past 30 years, Ethiopia has experienced rising temperatures (0.3–0.66 °C), with future projections indicating increases of 0.6–0.8 °C per decade resulting in more frequent and severe droughts, floods, and landslides. These shifts have led to declining yields of wheat, maize, and barley, shrinking arable land, and deteriorating feed quality and water availability, severely affecting livestock health and productivity. The study identifies key on-the-ground adaptation strategies, including adjusted planting dates, crop diversification, drought-tolerant varieties, soil and water conservation, agroforestry, supplemental irrigation, and integrated fertilizer use. Livestock adaptations include improved breeding practices, fodder enhancement using legumes and local browse species, and seasonal climate forecasting. These results have significant practical implications: they offer a robust evidence base for policymakers, extension agents, and development practitioners to design and implement targeted, context-specific adaptation strategies. Moreover, the findings support the integration of climate resilience into national agricultural policies and food security planning. The Climate Change Effects on Food Security project’s role in generating scientific knowledge and fostering interdisciplinary collaboration is vital for building institutional and human capacity to confront climate challenges. Ultimately, this review contributes actionable insights for promoting sustainable, climate-resilient agriculture across Ethiopia. Full article
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19 pages, 3604 KiB  
Article
An AI-Enabled Framework for Cacopsylla chinensis Monitoring and Population Dynamics Prediction
by Ruijun Jing, Deyan Peng, Jingtong Xu, Zhengjie Zhao, Xinyi Yang, Yihai Yu, Liu Yang, Ruiyan Ma and Zhiguo Zhao
Agriculture 2025, 15(11), 1210; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15111210 - 1 Jun 2025
Viewed by 500
Abstract
The issue of pesticide and chemical residue in food has drawn increasing public attention, making effective control of plant pests and diseases a critical research focus in agriculture. Monitoring of pest populations is a key factor constraining the precision of pest management strategies. [...] Read more.
The issue of pesticide and chemical residue in food has drawn increasing public attention, making effective control of plant pests and diseases a critical research focus in agriculture. Monitoring of pest populations is a key factor constraining the precision of pest management strategies. Low-cost and high-efficiency monitoring devices are highly desirable. To address these challenges, we focus on Cacopsylla chinensis and design a portable, AI-based detection device, along with an integrated online monitoring and forecasting system. First, to enhance the model’s capability for detecting small targets, we developed a backbone network based on the RepVit block and its variants. Additionally, we introduced a Dynamic Position Encoder module to improve feature position encoding. To further enhance detection performance, we adopt a Context Guide Fusion Module, which enables context-driven information guidance and adaptive feature adjustment. Second, a framework facilitates the development of an online monitoring system centered on Cacopsylla chinensis detection. The system incorporates a hybrid neural network model to establish the relationship between multiple environmental parameters and the Cacopsylla chinensis population, enabling trend prediction. We conduct feasibility validation experiments by comparing detection results with a manual survey. The experimental results show that the detection model achieves an accuracy of 87.4% for both test samples and edge devices. Furthermore, the population dynamics model yields a mean absolute error of 1.94% for the test dataset. These performance indicators fully meet the requirements of practical agricultural applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence and Digital Agriculture)
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16 pages, 2616 KiB  
Article
Low-Complexity Microclimate Classification in Smart Greenhouses: A Fuzzy-Neural Approach
by Cristian Bua, Francesco Fiorini, Michele Pagano, Davide Adami and Stefano Giordano
Future Internet 2025, 17(5), 214; https://doi.org/10.3390/fi17050214 - 13 May 2025
Viewed by 597
Abstract
Maintaining optimal microclimatic conditions within greenhouses represents a significant challenge in modern agricultural contexts, where prediction systems play a crucial role in regulating temperature and humidity, thereby enabling timely interventions to prevent plant diseases or adverse growth conditions. In this work, we propose [...] Read more.
Maintaining optimal microclimatic conditions within greenhouses represents a significant challenge in modern agricultural contexts, where prediction systems play a crucial role in regulating temperature and humidity, thereby enabling timely interventions to prevent plant diseases or adverse growth conditions. In this work, we propose a novel approach which integrates a cascaded Feed-Forward Neural Network (FFNN) with the Granular Computing paradigm to achieve accurate microclimate forecasting and reduced computational complexity. The experimental results demonstrate that the accuracy of our approach is the same as that of the FFNN-based approach but the complexity is reduced, making this solution particularly well suited for deployment on edge devices with limited computational capabilities. Our innovative approach has been validated using a real-world dataset collected from four greenhouses and integrated into a distributed network architecture. This setup supports the execution of predictive models both on sensors deployed within the greenhouse and at the network edge, where more computationally intensive models can be utilized to enhance decision-making accuracy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Joint Design and Integration in Smart IoT Systems)
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33 pages, 2644 KiB  
Review
Bioaerosols in Agriculture: A Comprehensive Approach for Sustainable Crop Health and Environmental Balance
by Njomza Gashi, Zsombor Szőke, Péter Fauszt, Péter Dávid, Maja Mikolás, Ferenc Gál, László Stündl, Judit Remenyik and Melinda Paholcsek
Agronomy 2025, 15(5), 1003; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15051003 - 22 Apr 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 997
Abstract
Bioaerosols have risen as pivotal constituents of airborne particles. Closely intertwined with the agricultural domain, these particles exert a significant influence on crops through the dissemination of various microorganisms that modulate crop growth dynamics, adaptive responses to environmental stimuli, and the nutritional profile [...] Read more.
Bioaerosols have risen as pivotal constituents of airborne particles. Closely intertwined with the agricultural domain, these particles exert a significant influence on crops through the dissemination of various microorganisms that modulate crop growth dynamics, adaptive responses to environmental stimuli, and the nutritional profile of agricultural products. As the main vector, airborne particles are at the forefront in the transmission of plant pathogens. Therefore, this review explains the main factors influencing their composition in agricultural settings and their spreading. Furthermore, it elucidates the complex bioaerosol-based communication networks, including bacteria–bacteria, bacteria–plant, and plant–plant interactions, mediated by specialized volatile organic compounds (VOCs) released by plants and bacterial volatile compounds (BVCs) produced by bacteria. These compounds play a crucial role in synchronizing stress responses and facilitating adaptive processes. They serve as a pathway for influencing and regulating the behavior of both plants and microorganisms. Delving into their origin and dispersion, we assess the key methods for their collection and analysis while also comparing the strengths and weaknesses of various sampling techniques. The discussion also extends to delineating the roles of such particles in the formation of biodiversity. Central to this discourse is an in-depth exploration of their role in the agricultural context, particularly focusing on their potential utility in forecasting pathogen transmission and subsequent plant diseases. This review also highlights the importance of applying bioaerosol-based strategies in the promotion of sustainable agricultural practices, thus contributing to the advancement of ecological balance and food security, which remains a neglected area in scientific research. Full article
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32 pages, 6737 KiB  
Review
AI-Driven Future Farming: Achieving Climate-Smart and Sustainable Agriculture
by Karishma Kumari, Ali Mirzakhani Nafchi, Salman Mirzaee and Ahmed Abdalla
AgriEngineering 2025, 7(3), 89; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering7030089 - 20 Mar 2025
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 5678
Abstract
Agriculture, an essential driver of economic expansion, is faced by the issue of sustaining an increasing global population in the context of climatic uncertainty and limited resources. As a result, “Smart Farming”, which uses cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) to support autonomous decision-making, has [...] Read more.
Agriculture, an essential driver of economic expansion, is faced by the issue of sustaining an increasing global population in the context of climatic uncertainty and limited resources. As a result, “Smart Farming”, which uses cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) to support autonomous decision-making, has become more popular. This article explores how the Internet of Things (IoT), AI, machine learning (ML), remote sensing, and variable-rate technology (VRT) work together to transform agriculture. Using sophisticated algorithms to predict soil conditions, improving agricultural yield projections, diagnosing water stress from sensor data, and identifying plant diseases and weeds through image recognition, crop mapping, and AI-guided crop selection are some of the main applications investigated. Furthermore, the precision with which VRT applies water, pesticides, and fertilizers optimizes resource utilization, enhancing sustainability and efficiency. To effectively meet the world’s food demands, this study forecasts a sustainable agricultural future that combines AI-driven approaches with conventional methods. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sensors Technology and Precision Agriculture)
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23 pages, 14650 KiB  
Article
Monitoring Leaf Rust and Yellow Rust in Wheat with 3D LiDAR Sensing
by Jaime Nolasco Rodríguez-Vázquez, Orly Enrique Apolo-Apolo, Fernando Martínez-Moreno, Luis Sánchez-Fernández and Manuel Pérez-Ruiz
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(6), 1005; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17061005 - 13 Mar 2025
Viewed by 802
Abstract
Leaf rust and yellow rust are globally significant fungal diseases that severely impact wheat production, causing yield losses of up to 60% in highly susceptible cultivars. Early and accurate detection is crucial for integrating precision crop protection strategies to mitigate these losses. This [...] Read more.
Leaf rust and yellow rust are globally significant fungal diseases that severely impact wheat production, causing yield losses of up to 60% in highly susceptible cultivars. Early and accurate detection is crucial for integrating precision crop protection strategies to mitigate these losses. This study investigates the potential of 3D LiDAR technology for monitoring rust-induced physiological changes in wheat by analyzing variations in plant height, biomass, and light reflectance intensity. Results showed that grain yield decreased by 10–50% depending on cultivar susceptibility, with the durum wheat cultivar ‘Kiko Nick’ and bread wheat ‘Califa’ exhibiting the most severe reductions (~50–60%). While plant height and biomass remained relatively unaffected, LiDAR-derived intensity values strongly correlated with disease severity (R2 = 0.62–0.81, depending on the cultivar and infection stage). These findings demonstrate that LiDAR can serve as a non-destructive, high-throughput tool for early rust detection and biomass estimation, highlighting its potential for integration into precision agriculture workflows to enhance disease monitoring and improve wheat yield forecasting. To promote transparency and reproducibility, the dataset used in this study is openly available on Zenodo, and all processing code is accessible via GitHub, cited at the end of this manuscript. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advancements in Remote Sensing for Sustainable Agriculture)
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30 pages, 13223 KiB  
Article
Precision Agriculture: Temporal and Spatial Modeling of Wheat Canopy Spectral Characteristics
by Donghui Zhang, Liang Hou, Liangjie Lv, Hao Qi, Haifang Sun, Xinshi Zhang, Si Li, Jianan Min, Yanwen Liu, Yuanyuan Tang and Yao Liao
Agriculture 2025, 15(3), 326; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15030326 - 1 Feb 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1620
Abstract
This study investigates the dynamic changes in wheat canopy spectral characteristics across seven critical growth stages (Tillering, Pre-Jointing, Jointing, Post-Jointing, Booting, Flowering, and Ripening) using UAV-based multispectral remote sensing. By analyzing four key spectral bands—green (G), red (R), red-edge (RE), and near-infrared (NIR)—and [...] Read more.
This study investigates the dynamic changes in wheat canopy spectral characteristics across seven critical growth stages (Tillering, Pre-Jointing, Jointing, Post-Jointing, Booting, Flowering, and Ripening) using UAV-based multispectral remote sensing. By analyzing four key spectral bands—green (G), red (R), red-edge (RE), and near-infrared (NIR)—and their combinations, we identify spectral features that reflect changes in canopy activity, health, and structure. Results show that the green band is highly sensitive to chlorophyll activity and low canopy coverage during the Tillering stage, while the NIR band captures structural complexity and canopy density during the Jointing and Booting stages. The combination of G and NIR bands reveals increased canopy density and spectral concentration during the Booting stage, while the RE band effectively detects plant senescence and reduced spectral uniformity during the ripening stage. Time-series analysis of spectral data across growth stages improves the accuracy of growth stage identification, with dynamic spectral changes offering insights into growth inflection points. Spatially, the study demonstrates the potential for identifying field-level anomalies, such as water stress or disease, providing actionable data for targeted interventions. This comprehensive spatio-temporal monitoring framework improves crop management and offers a cost-effective, precise solution for disease prediction, yield forecasting, and resource optimization. The study paves the way for integrating UAV remote sensing into precision agriculture practices, with future research focusing on hyperspectral data integration to enhance monitoring models. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence and Digital Agriculture)
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15 pages, 854 KiB  
Article
Interpretation of COVID-19 Epidemiological Trends in Mexico Through Wastewater Surveillance Using Simple Machine Learning Algorithms for Rapid Decision-Making
by Arnoldo Armenta-Castro, Orlando de la Rosa, Alberto Aguayo-Acosta, Mariel Araceli Oyervides-Muñoz, Antonio Flores-Tlacuahuac, Roberto Parra-Saldívar and Juan Eduardo Sosa-Hernández
Viruses 2025, 17(1), 109; https://doi.org/10.3390/v17010109 - 15 Jan 2025
Viewed by 1381
Abstract
Detection and quantification of disease-related biomarkers in wastewater samples, denominated Wastewater-based Surveillance (WBS), has proven a valuable strategy for studying the prevalence of infectious diseases within populations in a time- and resource-efficient manner, as wastewater samples are representative of all cases within the [...] Read more.
Detection and quantification of disease-related biomarkers in wastewater samples, denominated Wastewater-based Surveillance (WBS), has proven a valuable strategy for studying the prevalence of infectious diseases within populations in a time- and resource-efficient manner, as wastewater samples are representative of all cases within the catchment area, whether they are clinically reported or not. However, analysis and interpretation of WBS datasets for decision-making during public health emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, remains an area of opportunity. In this article, a database obtained from wastewater sampling at wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) and university campuses in Monterrey and Mexico City between 2021 and 2022 was used to train simple clustering- and regression-based risk assessment models to allow for informed prevention and control measures in high-affluence facilities, even if working with low-dimensionality datasets and a limited number of observations. When dividing weekly data points based on whether the seven-day average daily new COVID-19 cases were above a certain threshold, the resulting clustering model could differentiate between weeks with surges in clinical reports and periods between them with an 87.9% accuracy rate. Moreover, the clustering model provided satisfactory forecasts one week (80.4% accuracy) and two weeks (81.8%) into the future. However, the prediction of the weekly average of new daily cases was limited (R2 = 0.80, MAPE = 72.6%), likely because of insufficient dimensionality in the database. Overall, while simple, WBS-supported models can provide relevant insights for decision-makers during epidemiological outbreaks, regression algorithms for prediction using low-dimensionality datasets can still be improved. Full article
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15 pages, 1379 KiB  
Article
Management Strategies for Early Blight in Potatoes: Assessment of the TOMCAST Model, Including the Aerobiological Risk Level and Critical Phenological Period
by Laura Meno, Isaac Abuley, M. Carmen Seijo and Olga Escuredo
Agriculture 2024, 14(8), 1414; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture14081414 - 21 Aug 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1283
Abstract
The use of pesticides is an efficient approach for pest management. However, their increasing application in recent decades has come under the spotlight of world policies. In this context, this study addresses the usefulness of a forecasting model (TOMCAST) combined with aerobiological information [...] Read more.
The use of pesticides is an efficient approach for pest management. However, their increasing application in recent decades has come under the spotlight of world policies. In this context, this study addresses the usefulness of a forecasting model (TOMCAST) combined with aerobiological information and a plant development model (physiological days, PDays) for the control of early blight in potatoes in Northwest Spain. Control plots were compared to treated plots, according to the original TOMCAST model and the daily Alternaria spp. concentration, meteorological factors, and phenological and epidemiological observations were monitored for better adjustment of the TOMCAST model to the weather conditions of the geographical area during three crop seasons. The results of the linear regression analysis showed a strong relationship between the parameters included in TOMCAST (leaf wetness and temperature) and the Alternaria spp. conidia concentration. In addition, an unbalanced pattern of trapped conidia was detected throughout the growing season, with an increase near the flowering stage. The epidemiological parameters (infection period, r-AUDPC, maximum severity value, and total and commercial yields) showed significant differences between the cultivars in the control and the TOMCAST plots in terms of r-AUDPC and the maximum severity value. Given the study’s results, the original TOMCAST model was improved with aerobiological and phenological information. The improved model recommends a first spray on a day when the following three requirements are met: Ten accumulated disease severity values (DSVs) according to the TOMCAST model, two days with an aerobiological level greater than 10 conidia/m3, and a PDays value greater than 200. This will reduce the number of fungicide treatments used to control early blight in potato crops, promoting the principles of sustainable agriculture. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Crop Protection, Diseases, Pests and Weeds)
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30 pages, 4765 KiB  
Review
The Application of Deep Learning in the Whole Potato Production Chain: A Comprehensive Review
by Rui-Feng Wang and Wen-Hao Su
Agriculture 2024, 14(8), 1225; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture14081225 - 25 Jul 2024
Cited by 30 | Viewed by 4823
Abstract
The potato is a key crop in addressing global hunger, and deep learning is at the core of smart agriculture. Applying deep learning (e.g., YOLO series, ResNet, CNN, LSTM, etc.) in potato production can enhance both yield and economic efficiency. Therefore, researching efficient [...] Read more.
The potato is a key crop in addressing global hunger, and deep learning is at the core of smart agriculture. Applying deep learning (e.g., YOLO series, ResNet, CNN, LSTM, etc.) in potato production can enhance both yield and economic efficiency. Therefore, researching efficient deep learning models for potato production is of great importance. Common application areas for deep learning in the potato production chain, aimed at improving yield, include pest and disease detection and diagnosis, plant health status monitoring, yield prediction and product quality detection, irrigation strategies, fertilization management, and price forecasting. The main objective of this review is to compile the research progress of deep learning in various processes of potato production and to provide direction for future research. Specifically, this paper categorizes the applications of deep learning in potato production into four types, thereby discussing and introducing the advantages and disadvantages of deep learning in the aforementioned fields, and it discusses future research directions. This paper provides an overview of deep learning and describes its current applications in various stages of the potato production chain. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence and Digital Agriculture)
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18 pages, 3838 KiB  
Article
DPP: A Novel Disease Progression Prediction Method for Ginkgo Leaf Disease Based on Image Sequences
by Shubao Yao, Jianhui Lin and Hao Bai
Information 2024, 15(7), 411; https://doi.org/10.3390/info15070411 - 16 Jul 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1624
Abstract
Ginkgo leaf disease poses a grave threat to Ginkgo biloba. The current management of Ginkgo leaf disease lacks precision guidance and intelligent technologies. To provide precision guidance for disease management and to evaluate the effectiveness of the implemented measures, the present study [...] Read more.
Ginkgo leaf disease poses a grave threat to Ginkgo biloba. The current management of Ginkgo leaf disease lacks precision guidance and intelligent technologies. To provide precision guidance for disease management and to evaluate the effectiveness of the implemented measures, the present study proposes a novel disease progression prediction (DPP) method for Ginkgo leaf blight with a multi-level feature translation architecture and enhanced spatiotemporal attention module (eSTA). The proposed DPP method is capable of capturing key spatiotemporal dependencies of disease symptoms at various feature levels. Experiments demonstrated that the DPP method achieves state-of-the-art prediction performance in disease progression prediction. Compared to the top-performing spatiotemporal predictive learning method (SimVP + TAU), our method significantly reduced the mean absolute error (MAE) by 19.95% and the mean square error (MSE) by 25.35%. Moreover, it achieved a higher structure similarity index measure (SSIM) of 0.970 and superior peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR) of 37.746 dB. The proposed method can accurately forecast the progression of Ginkgo leaf blight to a large extent, which is expected to provide valuable insights for precision and intelligent disease management. Additionally, this study presents a novel perspective for the extensive research on plant disease prediction. Full article
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29 pages, 3711 KiB  
Article
Enhancing Crop Yield Predictions with PEnsemble 4: IoT and ML-Driven for Precision Agriculture
by Nisit Pukrongta, Attaphongse Taparugssanagorn and Kiattisak Sangpradit
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(8), 3313; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14083313 - 15 Apr 2024
Cited by 14 | Viewed by 5731
Abstract
This research introduces the PEnsemble 4 model, a weighted ensemble prediction model that integrates multiple individual machine learning models to achieve accurate maize yield forecasting. The model incorporates unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery and Internet of Things (IoT)-based environmental data, providing a comprehensive [...] Read more.
This research introduces the PEnsemble 4 model, a weighted ensemble prediction model that integrates multiple individual machine learning models to achieve accurate maize yield forecasting. The model incorporates unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery and Internet of Things (IoT)-based environmental data, providing a comprehensive and data-driven approach to yield prediction in maize cultivation. Considering the projected growth in global maize demand and the vulnerability of maize crops to weather conditions, improved prediction capabilities are of paramount importance. The PEnsemble 4 model addresses this need by leveraging comprehensive datasets encompassing soil attributes, nutrient composition, weather conditions, and UAV-captured vegetation imagery. By employing a combination of Huber and M estimates, the model effectively analyzes temporal patterns in vegetation indices, in particular CIre and NDRE, which serve as reliable indicators of canopy density and plant height. Notably, the PEnsemble 4 model demonstrates a remarkable accuracy rate of 91%. It advances the timeline for yield prediction from the conventional reproductive stage (R6) to the blister stage (R2), enabling earlier estimation and enhancing decision-making processes in farming operations. Moreover, the model extends its benefits beyond yield prediction, facilitating the detection of water and crop stress, as well as disease monitoring in broader agricultural contexts. By synergistically integrating IoT and machine learning technologies, the PEnsemble 4 model presents a novel and promising solution for maize yield prediction. Its application holds the potential to revolutionize crop management and protection, contributing to efficient and sustainable farming practices. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue AI,IoT and Remote Sensing in Precision Agriculture)
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16 pages, 5704 KiB  
Article
Evaluating Time-Series Prediction of Temperature, Relative Humidity, and CO2 in the Greenhouse with Transformer-Based and RNN-Based Models
by Ju Yeon Ahn, Yoel Kim, Hyeonji Park, Soo Hyun Park and Hyun Kwon Suh
Agronomy 2024, 14(3), 417; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy14030417 - 21 Feb 2024
Cited by 10 | Viewed by 3833
Abstract
In greenhouses, plant growth is directly influenced by internal environmental conditions, and therefore requires continuous management and proper environmental control. Inadequate environmental conditions make plants vulnerable to pests and diseases, lower yields, and cause impaired growth and development. Previous studies have explored the [...] Read more.
In greenhouses, plant growth is directly influenced by internal environmental conditions, and therefore requires continuous management and proper environmental control. Inadequate environmental conditions make plants vulnerable to pests and diseases, lower yields, and cause impaired growth and development. Previous studies have explored the combination of greenhouse actuator control history with internal and external environmental data to enhance prediction accuracy, using deep learning-based models such as RNNs and LSTMs. In recent years, transformer-based models and RNN-based models have shown good performance in various domains. However, their applications for time-series forecasting in a greenhouse environment remain unexplored. Therefore, the objective of this study was to evaluate the prediction performance of temperature, relative humidity (RH), and CO2 concentration in a greenhouse after 1 and 3 h, using a transformer-based model (Autoformer), variants of two RNN models (LSTM and SegRNN), and a simple linear model (DLinear). The performance of these four models was compared to assess whether the latest state-of-the-art (SOTA) models, Autoformer and SegRNN, are as effective as DLinear and LSTM in predicting greenhouse environments. The analysis was based on four external climate data samples, three internal data samples, and six actuator data samples. Overall, DLinear and SegRNN consistently outperformed Autoformer and LSTM. Both DLinear and SegRNN performed well in general, but were not as strong in predicting CO2 concentration. SegRNN outperformed DLinear in CO2 predictions, while showing similar performance in temperature and RH prediction. The results of this study do not provide a definitive conclusion that transformer-based models, such as Autoformer, are inferior to linear-based models like DLinear or certain RNN-based models like SegRNN in predicting time series for greenhouse environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue The Applications of Deep Learning in Smart Agriculture)
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26 pages, 3223 KiB  
Review
Artificial Intelligence: A Promising Tool for Application in Phytopathology
by Victoria E. González-Rodríguez, Inmaculada Izquierdo-Bueno, Jesús M. Cantoral, María Carbú and Carlos Garrido
Horticulturae 2024, 10(3), 197; https://doi.org/10.3390/horticulturae10030197 - 20 Feb 2024
Cited by 23 | Viewed by 13157
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing approaches in plant disease management and phytopathological research. This review analyzes current applications and future directions of AI in addressing evolving agricultural challenges. Plant diseases annually cause 10–16% yield losses in major crops, prompting urgent innovations. Artificial intelligence [...] Read more.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing approaches in plant disease management and phytopathological research. This review analyzes current applications and future directions of AI in addressing evolving agricultural challenges. Plant diseases annually cause 10–16% yield losses in major crops, prompting urgent innovations. Artificial intelligence (AI) shows an aptitude for automated disease detection and diagnosis utilizing image recognition techniques, with reported accuracies exceeding 95% and surpassing human visual assessment. Forecasting models integrating weather, soil, and crop data enable preemptive interventions by predicting spatial-temporal outbreak risks weeks in advance at 81–95% precision, minimizing pesticide usage. Precision agriculture powered by AI optimizes data-driven, tailored crop protection strategies boosting resilience. Real-time monitoring leveraging AI discerns pre-symptomatic anomalies from plant and environmental data for early alerts. These applications highlight AI’s proficiency in illuminating opaque disease patterns within increasingly complex agricultural data. Machine learning techniques overcome human cognitive constraints by discovering multivariate correlations unnoticed before. AI is poised to transform in-field decision-making around disease prevention and precision management. Overall, AI constitutes a strategic innovation pathway to strengthen ecological plant health management amidst climate change, globalization, and agricultural intensification pressures. With prudent and ethical implementation, AI-enabled tools promise to enable next-generation phytopathology, enhancing crop resilience worldwide. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Smart Technology and Equipment in Horticulture)
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