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Keywords = maritime traffic flow

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21 pages, 7199 KB  
Article
A High-Resolution Dynamic Marine Traffic Flow Visualization Model Using AIS Data
by Do Hyun Oh, Fan Zhu and Namkyun Im
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(10), 1971; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13101971 - 15 Oct 2025
Viewed by 212
Abstract
The introduction of Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) and the accelerating digitalization of ports require precise and dynamic analysis of traffic conditions. However, conventional marine traffic analyses have been limited to low-resolution grids and static density visualizations without fully integrating vessel direction and [...] Read more.
The introduction of Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) and the accelerating digitalization of ports require precise and dynamic analysis of traffic conditions. However, conventional marine traffic analyses have been limited to low-resolution grids and static density visualizations without fully integrating vessel direction and speed. To address this limitation, this study proposes a traffic flow visualization model that incorporates dynamic maritime traffic structure. The model integrates density, dominant direction, and average speed into a single symbol, thereby complementing the limitations of static analyses. In addition, high-resolution grids of approximately 90 m were applied to enable detailed analysis. AIS data collected between 2022–2023 from the coastal waters of Mokpo, South Korea, were preprocessed, aggregated into grid cells, and analyzed to estimate representative directions (at 10° intervals) as well as average speeds. These results were visualized through color, thickness, length, and direction of arrows. The analysis showed high-density, low-speed traffic patterns and starboard-passage behavior in port approaches and narrow channels, while irregular directions with low density were observed in non-standard routes. The proposed model provides a visual representation of dynamic traffic structures that cannot be revealed by density maps alone, thus offering practical applicability for MASS route planning, VTS operation support, and risk assessment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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28 pages, 17573 KB  
Article
Multidimensional Maritime Route Modeling Method for Complex Port Waters Considering Ship Handling Behavior Diversity
by Junmei Ou, Shuangxin Wang, Jingyi Liu, Hongrui Li, Wenyu Zhao and Chenglong Jiang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(10), 1963; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13101963 - 14 Oct 2025
Viewed by 153
Abstract
The sea area adjacent to ports features a dense network of intricate access routes. Existing route modeling methods exhibit limitations in accurately capturing these complex routes and effectively representing the diverse handling behavior patterns of ships within them. To address this issue, this [...] Read more.
The sea area adjacent to ports features a dense network of intricate access routes. Existing route modeling methods exhibit limitations in accurately capturing these complex routes and effectively representing the diverse handling behavior patterns of ships within them. To address this issue, this paper proposes a maritime route modeling method incorporating ship handling behavior (MARSHB) to accurately identify port channels with diverse traffic flows and enabling a multi-dimensional model of heterogeneous vessel behaviors along these channels. Numerical experiments using extensive automatic identification system (AIS) data from the Bohai Sea show that the proposed method reduces the computational time by 49.75% for route extraction compared to the traditional method. For route modeling, MARSHB covers 88.31% of 95% high-density traffic areas, with safety boundaries exhibiting a higher accuracy of conformity with historical trajectory data. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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20 pages, 3476 KB  
Article
A Quantitative Evaluation Method for Navigation Safety in Coastal Waters Based on Unstructured Grids
by Panpan Zhang, Jinqiang Bi, Xin Teng and Kexin Bao
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(10), 1848; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13101848 - 24 Sep 2025
Viewed by 311
Abstract
In this paper, we propose a quantitative evaluation method for navigation safety in coastal waters based on unstructured grids. Initially, a comprehensive analysis was conducted on various factors affecting navigation safety, including natural conditions, traffic conditions, and marine hydro-meteorological conditions, to construct a [...] Read more.
In this paper, we propose a quantitative evaluation method for navigation safety in coastal waters based on unstructured grids. Initially, a comprehensive analysis was conducted on various factors affecting navigation safety, including natural conditions, traffic conditions, and marine hydro-meteorological conditions, to construct a multi-source fused spatiotemporal dataset. Subsequently, channel boundary extraction was performed using Constrained Delaunay Triangle–Alpha-Shapes, and the precise extraction of ship navigation areas was performed based on Constrained Delaunay Triangle–Voronoi diagrams. Additionally, temporal feature grids were constructed based on the spatiotemporal characteristics of marine hydro-meteorological data. Finally, unstructured grids for evaluating navigation safety were established through spatial overlay analysis. Based on this foundation, a quantitative analysis and evaluation model for comprehensive navigation safety assessment was developed using the fuzzy evaluation method. By calculating the fuzzy relation matrix and weight vectors, quantitative assessments were conducted for each grid cell, yielding safety risk levels from both spatial and temporal dimensions. An analysis was performed using maritime data within the geographic boundaries of lon.119.17–120.41° E and lat.34.40–35.47° N. The results indicated that the unstructured grid division and channel boundary extraction in the demonstrated sea area were closely related to parameters such as the ship traffic flow patterns and the spatiotemporal characteristics of the marine environmental factors. A quantitative evaluation and analysis of the 186 unstructured grid cells revealed that the high risk levels primarily corresponded to restricted navigation areas, the higher-risk grid cells were mainly anchorages, and the low to lower risk levels were primarily associated with channels and navigable areas for ships. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advancements in Maritime Safety and Risk Assessment)
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17 pages, 6527 KB  
Article
Assessing the Credibility of AIS-Calculated Risks in Busy Waterways: A Case Study of Hong Kong Waters
by Yao Jiang, Wenyu Xu and Dong Yang
Mathematics 2025, 13(18), 2961; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13182961 - 12 Sep 2025
Viewed by 424
Abstract
The increasing complexity of maritime traffic, driven by the expansion of international trade and growing shipping demand, has resulted in frequent ship collisions with significant consequences. This paper evaluates the credibility of the risk, calculated using the automatic identification system (AIS), in busy [...] Read more.
The increasing complexity of maritime traffic, driven by the expansion of international trade and growing shipping demand, has resulted in frequent ship collisions with significant consequences. This paper evaluates the credibility of the risk, calculated using the automatic identification system (AIS), in busy waterways and integrates AIS data with video surveillance data to comprehensively analyze the risk of ship collision. Specifically, this study utilizes the IALA Waterways Risk Assessment Program (IWRAP) tool to simulate maritime traffic flow and assess collision risk probabilities across various study areas and time periods. In addition, we analyze data from 2019 to 2022 to explore the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on maritime traffic and find that the number of ship arrivals during the epidemic has decreased, resulting in a decrease in accident risk. We identify four traffic conflict areas in the real-world study area and point out that there are multi-directional ship interactions in these areas, but compliance with traffic rules can effectively reduce the risk of accidents. Additionally, simulations suggest that even a 13.5% increase in ocean-going vessel (OGV) traffic would raise collision risk by only 0.0247 incidents/year. To more accurately analyze the risk of waterways, we investigate the capture of dynamic information for ships in waterways by using the learning-driven detection model for real-time ship detection. These findings highlight the effectiveness of combining AIS and visual data for waterway risk assessment, offering critical insights for improving safety measures and informing policy development. Full article
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30 pages, 20750 KB  
Article
A Proposal for Alternative Navigation Routes Following the Development of Offshore Wind Farms in the Waters of the Republic of Korea
by Sung-Wook Ohn and Ho Namgung
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(5), 980; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13050980 - 19 May 2025
Viewed by 1818
Abstract
In the future, electricity generation through eco-friendly renewable energy will accelerate. Surrounded by sea on three sides, the Republic of Korea is gaining attention for offshore wind power as a future industry, leveraging advantages of its maritime environment. However, maritime navigation remains active [...] Read more.
In the future, electricity generation through eco-friendly renewable energy will accelerate. Surrounded by sea on three sides, the Republic of Korea is gaining attention for offshore wind power as a future industry, leveraging advantages of its maritime environment. However, maritime navigation remains active in waters, with maritime transportation being crucial, as it accounts for over 95% of the country’s cargo volume. Therefore, ensuring the safety of vessel operations is vital when constructing offshore wind farms. This study proposed alternative routes to ensure the safety of vessels and secure existing routes in the waters of the southwestern sea, where intensive development of OWFs is expected. The routes were determined based on the Permanent International Association of Navigation Congresses (PIANC) Guidelines and Maritime Traffic Safety Act’s implementation guidelines. Clearance between a maritime route and OWF was set to the rule of 6 L + 0.3 NM + 500 m for safety. The route width was calculated while considering vessel maneuverability, environmental factors, seabed conditions, the depth-to-draft ratio, and two-way traffic. The alternative routes were categorized into four types—maritime highways, maritime provincial routes, approach routes for departure/arrival, and recommended routes based on vessel positions, engine status, and route function. By considering traffic flow and applying international and domestic standards, these routes will ensure safe, efficient, and orderly vessel operations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Maritime Traffic Engineering)
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20 pages, 8049 KB  
Article
GC-MT: A Novel Vessel Trajectory Sequence Prediction Method for Marine Regions
by Haixiong Ye, Wei Wang and Xiliang Zhang
Information 2025, 16(4), 311; https://doi.org/10.3390/info16040311 - 14 Apr 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 800
Abstract
In complex marine environments, intelligent vessels require a high level of dynamic perception to process multiple types of information for mitigating collision risks. To ensure the safety of maritime traffic and enhance the efficiency of navigation information, vessel trajectory prediction is crucial for [...] Read more.
In complex marine environments, intelligent vessels require a high level of dynamic perception to process multiple types of information for mitigating collision risks. To ensure the safety of maritime traffic and enhance the efficiency of navigation information, vessel trajectory prediction is crucial for Automatic Identification Systems (AIS). This study introduces a Graph Convolutional Mamba Network (GC-MT) utilizing AIS data for predicting vessel trajectories. To capture motion interaction characteristics, we employed a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) to construct a spatiotemporal graph that reflects the interaction relationships among various vessels within the maritime information flow. Furthermore, high-level spatiotemporal features were extracted using a Mamba Neural Network (MNN) to incorporate time-related dynamics. Validation against real-world historical AIS data demonstrates that the proposed model achieved improvements of approximately 35% and 28% in the Average Displacement Error (ADE) and Final Displacement Error (FDE), respectively, compared to the leading baseline model. The predictive capability of the proposed method demonstrates its effectiveness in improving maritime navigation safety in a shipping environment with multiple information sources. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Deep Learning Approach for Time Series Forecasting)
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14 pages, 5361 KB  
Article
Research on the Impact of Deep Sea Offshore Wind Farms on Maritime Safety
by Wenbo Yu, Jian Liu, Pengcheng Yan and Xiaobin Jiang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(4), 699; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13040699 - 31 Mar 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 946
Abstract
With the rapid development of offshore wind farms, the construction of deep sea wind farms has increasingly significant impacts on the safety of maritime navigation. This paper conducts a cluster analysis of ship trajectories based on AIS data to analyze the characteristics of [...] Read more.
With the rapid development of offshore wind farms, the construction of deep sea wind farms has increasingly significant impacts on the safety of maritime navigation. This paper conducts a cluster analysis of ship trajectories based on AIS data to analyze the characteristics of ship traffic flow in the waters near the Shanghai deep sea offshore wind farm. A fuzzy hierarchical analysis method is proposed. Combined with the layout of wind farms and the navigational environment, a risk assessment model for offshore wind farm navigation is established. This model quantifies the factors that affect the safety of ship navigation due to the wind farm and evaluates the navigation risks in the surrounding waters. The results of the research show that the construction of wind farms increases traffic density, interferes with traditional shipping routes, and consequently increases the risk of collisions. The fuzzy hierarchical analysis method has good operability and feasibility in the safety assessment of offshore wind farms, and can provide effective support for future safety assessment of offshore wind farms. The sections are arranged as follows: Firstly, the background and significance of the paper are introduced, as well as the current research status. Secondly, an overview of Shanghai offshore wind farms and their nearby shipping routes is introduced, and then the risk situation of existing wind farms is pointed out. Then the risk assessment method is carried out, and the navigational risk of offshore wind farms is evaluated. Finally, the paper proposes measures to reduce the navigational risk of ships in the vicinity of wind farms. Full article
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23 pages, 1645 KB  
Article
ShipNetSim: An Open-Source Simulator for Real-Time Energy Consumption and Emission Analysis in Large-Scale Maritime Networks
by Ahmed Aredah and Hesham A. Rakha
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(3), 518; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13030518 - 8 Mar 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2170
Abstract
The imperative of decarbonization in maritime shipping is underscored by the sector’s sizeable contribution to worldwide greenhouse gas emissions. ShipNetSim, an open-source multi-ship simulator created in this study, combines state-of-the-art hydrodynamic modeling, dynamic ship-following techniques, real-time environmental data, and cybersecurity threat simulation to [...] Read more.
The imperative of decarbonization in maritime shipping is underscored by the sector’s sizeable contribution to worldwide greenhouse gas emissions. ShipNetSim, an open-source multi-ship simulator created in this study, combines state-of-the-art hydrodynamic modeling, dynamic ship-following techniques, real-time environmental data, and cybersecurity threat simulation to quantify and evaluate marine fuel consumption and CO2 emissions. ShipNetSim uses well-validated approaches, such as the Holtrop resistance and B-Series propeller analysis with a ship-following model inspired by traffic flow theory, augmented with a novel module simulating cyber threats (e.g., GPS spoofing) to evaluate operational efficiency and resilience. In a case study simulation of the journey of an S175 container vessel from Savannah to Algeciras, the simulator estimated the total fuel consumption to be 478 tons of heavy fuel oil and approximately 1495 tons of CO2 emissions for a trip of 7 days and 15 h within 13.1% of reported operational estimates. A twelve-month sensitivity analysis revealed a marginal 1.5% range of fuel consumption variation, demonstrating limiting variability for different environmental conditions. ShipNetSim not only yields realistic predictions of energy consumption and emissions but is also demonstrated to be a credible framework for the evaluation of operational scenarios—including speed adjustment, optimized routing, and alternative fuel strategies—that directly contribute to reducing the marine carbon footprint. This capability supports industry stakeholders and policymakers in achieving compliance with global decarbonization targets, such as those established by the International Maritime Organization (IMO). Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Marine Energy)
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24 pages, 13866 KB  
Article
Development of a Multidimensional Analysis and Integrated Visualization Method for Maritime Traffic Behaviors Using DBSCAN-Based Dynamic Clustering
by Daehan Lee, Daun Jang and Sanglok Yoo
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(2), 529; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15020529 - 8 Jan 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1689
Abstract
Automatic Identification System (AIS) data offer essential insights into maritime traffic patterns; however, effective visualization tools for decision-making remain limited. This study presents an integrated visualization processing method to support ship operators by identifying maritime traffic behavior information, such as traffic density, direction, [...] Read more.
Automatic Identification System (AIS) data offer essential insights into maritime traffic patterns; however, effective visualization tools for decision-making remain limited. This study presents an integrated visualization processing method to support ship operators by identifying maritime traffic behavior information, such as traffic density, direction, and flow in specific sea navigational areas. We analyzed AIS dynamic data from a specific sea area, calculated ship density distributions across a grid lattice, and obtained visualizations of traffic-dense areas as heat maps. Using the density-based spatial clustering of applications with a noise algorithm, we detected traffic direction at each grid point, which was visualized in the form of directional arrows, and clustered ship trajectories to identify representative traffic flows. The visualizations were integrated and overlaid onto an S-57-based electronic nautical map for Mokpo’s entry and exit routes, revealing primary shipping lanes and critical inflection points within the target area. This integrated visualization method simultaneously displays traffic density, flow, and customary routes. It is adapted for the electronic nautical chart (S-101) under the next-generation hydrographic information standard (S-100), which can be used as a tool to support decision-making for ship operators. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Intelligent Maritime Navigation and Ship Safety)
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23 pages, 6304 KB  
Article
Task-Driven Computing Offloading and Resource Allocation Scheme for Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships Under Cloud–Shore–Ship Collaboration Framework
by Supu Xiu, Ying Zhang, Hualong Chen, Yuanqiao Wen and Changshi Xiao
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(1), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13010016 - 26 Dec 2024
Viewed by 1173
Abstract
Currently, Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) have become one of the most attractive research areas in shipping and academic communities. Based on the ship-to-shore and ship-to-ship communication network, they can exploit diversified and distributed resources such as shore-based facilities and cloud computing centers [...] Read more.
Currently, Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) have become one of the most attractive research areas in shipping and academic communities. Based on the ship-to-shore and ship-to-ship communication network, they can exploit diversified and distributed resources such as shore-based facilities and cloud computing centers to execute a variety of ship applications. Due to the increasing number of MASS and asymmetrical distribution of traffic flows, the transportation management must design an efficient cloud–shore–ship collaboration framework and smart resource allocation strategy to improve the performance of the traffic network and provide high-quality applications to the ships. Therefore, we design a cloud–shore–ship collaboration framework, which integrates ship networking and cloud/edge computing and design the respective task collaboration process. It can effectively support the collaborative interaction of distributed resources in the cloud, onshore, and onboard. Based on the global information of the framework, we propose an intelligent resource allocation method based on Q-learning by combining the relevance, QoS characteristics, and priority of ship tasks. Simulation experiments show that our proposed approach can effectively reduce task latency and system energy consumption while supporting the concurrency of scale tasks. Compared with other analogy methods, the proposed algorithm can reduce the task processing delay by at least 15.7% and the task processing energy consumption by 15.4%. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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24 pages, 13215 KB  
Article
Enhancing Safety of Navigation: Redesigning Precautionary Areas into Roundabouts in Marine Traffic Separation Schemes
by Joe Ronald Kurniawan Bokau, Gokhan Camliyurt, Antoni Arif Priadi, Youngsoo Park and Daewon Kim
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(24), 11588; https://doi.org/10.3390/app142411588 - 11 Dec 2024
Viewed by 1635
Abstract
Roundabouts are widely used in road transport to improve traffic flow and reduce congestion by enabling continuous movement in a circular pattern, minimizing stops, enhancing safety, and reducing delays compared to that of signaled intersections. However, roundabouts are rarely used in marine traffic. [...] Read more.
Roundabouts are widely used in road transport to improve traffic flow and reduce congestion by enabling continuous movement in a circular pattern, minimizing stops, enhancing safety, and reducing delays compared to that of signaled intersections. However, roundabouts are rarely used in marine traffic. This study investigates the feasibility of redesigning existing rectangular precautionary areas within traffic separation schemes (TSSs) into circular roundabouts using marine traffic data incorporating both the number of ships passing and crossing, as well as microscopic movement data to further analyze the follow-up times and gaps based on ship domains. This study further assesses the overall performance of the proposed design, drawing on notable formulas and best practices in road transport. The Lombok Strait TSS, in Indonesia, is used as the study area, which is a particularly sensitive sea area and one of the critical “chokepoints” in the maritime supply chain. The results indicate that replacing rectangular areas with circular roundabouts in a TSS can significantly improve traffic management and navigation safety. This study offers a practical approach for redesigning rectangular precautionary areas into circular roundabouts and provides valuable insights for maritime authorities and policymakers aiming to develop more efficient TSS designs in the future. Full article
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17 pages, 3501 KB  
Article
The Impact of Offshore Wind Farm Construction on Maritime Traffic Complexity: An Empirical Analysis of the Yangtze River Estuary
by Jian Liu, Wenbo Yu, Zhongyi Sui and Chunhui Zhou
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2024, 12(12), 2232; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12122232 - 5 Dec 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2011
Abstract
The rapid growth of offshore wind farms (OWFs) as renewable energy sources has heightened concerns about maritime traffic safety and management in high-density traffic zones. These areas, characterized by complex interactions among diverse ship types and spatial constraints, require advanced situational awareness to [...] Read more.
The rapid growth of offshore wind farms (OWFs) as renewable energy sources has heightened concerns about maritime traffic safety and management in high-density traffic zones. These areas, characterized by complex interactions among diverse ship types and spatial constraints, require advanced situational awareness to prevent collisions and ensure efficient operations. Traditional maritime traffic systems often lack the granularity to assess the multifaceted risks around OWFs. Existing research has explored local traffic patterns and collision risks but lacks comprehensive frameworks for evaluating traffic complexity at both micro and macro levels. This study proposes a new complexity assessment model tailored to OWF areas, integrating micro-level ship interactions and macro-level traffic flow conditions to capture a holistic view of traffic dynamics. Using extensive historical AIS data from the Yangtze River Estuary, the model evaluates the impact of the proposed OWF on existing traffic complexity. The results demonstrate that OWFs increase navigational complexity, particularly in route congestion, course adjustments, and encounter rates between ships. Different ship types and sizes were also found to experience varying levels of impact, with larger ships and tankers facing greater challenges. By providing a quantitative framework for assessing traffic complexity, this research advances the field’s ability to understand and manage the risks associated with OWFs. The findings offer actionable insights for maritime authorities and OWF operators, supporting more effective traffic management strategies that prioritize safety and operational efficiency in high-density maritime areas. Full article
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25 pages, 4557 KB  
Article
Spatio-Temporal Transformer Networks for Inland Ship Trajectory Prediction with Practical Deficient Automatic Identification System Data
by Youan Xiao, Xin Luo, Tengfei Wang and Zijian Zhang
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(22), 10494; https://doi.org/10.3390/app142210494 - 14 Nov 2024
Viewed by 1706
Abstract
Inland waterways, characterized by their complex, narrow paths, see significantly higher traffic volumes compared to maritime routes, increasing the regulatory demands on traffic management. Predictive modeling of ship traffic flows, utilizing real AIS historical data, enhances route and docking planning for ships and [...] Read more.
Inland waterways, characterized by their complex, narrow paths, see significantly higher traffic volumes compared to maritime routes, increasing the regulatory demands on traffic management. Predictive modeling of ship traffic flows, utilizing real AIS historical data, enhances route and docking planning for ships and port managers. This approach boosts transportation efficiency and safety in inland waterway navigation. Nevertheless, AIS data are flawed, marred by noise, disjointed paths, anomalies, and inconsistent timing between points. This study introduces a data processing technique to refine AIS data, encompassing segmentation, outlier elimination, missing point interpolation, and uniform interval resampling, aiming to enhance trajectory analysis reliability. Utilizing this refined data processing approach on ship trajectory data yields independent, complete motion profiles with uniform timing. Leveraging the Transformer model, denoted TRFM, this research integrates processed AIS data from the Yangtze River to create a predictive dataset, validating the efficacy of our prediction methodology. A comparative analysis with advanced models such as LSTM and its variants demonstrates TRFM’s superior accuracy, showcasing lower errors in multiple metrics. TRFM’s alignment with actual trajectories underscores its potential for enhancing navigational planning. This validation not only underscores the method’s precision in forecasting ship movements but also its utility in risk management and decision-making, contributing significantly to the advancement in maritime traffic safety and efficiency. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Efficient and Innovative Goods Transportation and Logistics)
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19 pages, 998 KB  
Article
Challenges and Security Risks in the Red Sea: Impact of Houthi Attacks on Maritime Traffic
by Emilio Rodriguez-Diaz, J. I. Alcaide and R. Garcia-Llave
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2024, 12(11), 1900; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12111900 - 23 Oct 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 13324
Abstract
This study examines the significant impact of Houthi insurgent activities on maritime traffic within the strategic Red Sea and Suez Canal routes, essential conduits for global trade. It explores the correlation between regional instability, exemplified by Houthi actions from 19 November 2023 to [...] Read more.
This study examines the significant impact of Houthi insurgent activities on maritime traffic within the strategic Red Sea and Suez Canal routes, essential conduits for global trade. It explores the correlation between regional instability, exemplified by Houthi actions from 19 November 2023 to 5 February 2024, and changes in maritime traffic patterns and operational efficiency. This study seeks to answer a critical question in transport geography: how does regional instability, exemplified by Houthi insurgent activities, affect the maritime traffic patterns and operational efficiency of the Red Sea and Suez Canal? Using descriptive statistics, qualitative analysis, and geospatial methods, this research highlights recent trends in maritime traffic and incidents, revealing spatial and geopolitical challenges in this crucial trade route. The findings indicate a notable decline in maritime activity in the Gulf of Aden and Suez Canal due to security concerns from Houthi attacks, prompting a significant shift to alternative routes, particularly around the Cape of Good Hope. This shift underscores the broader implications of regional instability on global trade and the importance of maintaining an uninterrupted maritime flow. This study also emphasizes the economic ramifications, such as increased operational costs and freight rates due to longer transit times and enhanced security measures. This research concludes with a call for improved maritime security protocols and international cooperation to protect these strategic maritime pathways. It contributes to the discourse on transport geography by quantifying the direct impacts of regional conflicts on maritime logistics and proposing strategies for future resilience, highlighting the interconnected nature of global trade and security and the need for collective action against evolving geopolitical challenges. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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25 pages, 15710 KB  
Article
TG-PGAT: An AIS Data-Driven Dynamic Spatiotemporal Prediction Model for Ship Traffic Flow in the Port
by Jianwen Ma, Yue Zhou, Yumiao Chang, Zhaoxin Zhu, Guoxin Liu and Zhaojun Chen
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2024, 12(10), 1875; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12101875 - 18 Oct 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 1832
Abstract
Accurate prediction of ship traffic flow is essential for developing intelligent maritime transportation systems. To address the complexity of ship traffic flow data in the port and the challenges of capturing its dynamic spatiotemporal dependencies, a dynamic spatiotemporal model called Temporal convolutional network-bidirectional [...] Read more.
Accurate prediction of ship traffic flow is essential for developing intelligent maritime transportation systems. To address the complexity of ship traffic flow data in the port and the challenges of capturing its dynamic spatiotemporal dependencies, a dynamic spatiotemporal model called Temporal convolutional network-bidirectional Gated recurrent unit-Pearson correlation coefficient-Graph Attention Network (TG-PGAT) is proposed for predicting traffic flow in port waters. This model extracts spatial features of traffic flow by combining the adjacency matrix and spatial dynamic coefficient correlation matrix within the Graph Attention Network (GAT) and captures temporal features through the concatenation of the Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU). The proposed TG-PGAT model demonstrates higher prediction accuracy and stability than other classic traffic flow prediction methods. The experimental results from multiple angles, such as ablation experiments and robustness tests, further validate the critical role and strong noise resistance of different modules in the TG-PGAT model. The experimental results of visualization demonstrate that this model not only exhibits significant predictive advantages in densely trafficked areas of the port but also outperforms other models in surrounding areas with sparse traffic flow data. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Management and Control of Ship Traffic Behaviours)
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