Search Results (642)

Mountainous open-pit mines are highly susceptible to landslides, yet quantitative risk assessment remains a challenge. This study aims to develop and validate a quantitative landslide risk assessment model by integrating multi-source data to enhance hazard identification in these complex environments. Taking the Dexing Copper Mine as a case study, we used Small Baseline Subset InSAR (SBAS-InSAR) to derive surface deformation rates. This deformation data was integrated with geological and topographical factors within a Geographic Information System (GIS), using an information value model combined with weighting from the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Entropy Weight Method (EWM) to generate a comprehensive landslide risk map. The results show that 3860 potential landslide points were identified, with deformation rates ranging from −338.74 to 80.61 mm/a. High and very high-risk zones were primarily concentrated around the Fujiawu and Zhujiawu dump sites, and the model’s performance was validated with a high degree of accuracy, achieving an Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 0.871. This study demonstrates that the integration of multi-source data provides a robust and effective approach for quantitative landslide risk assessment in mountainous mining areas. The proposed framework can serve as a valuable tool for targeted disaster prevention and management. Full article

Accurate early warning of rainfall-induced landslides poses a critical challenge in geological disaster risk management. Conventional deterministic rainfall threshold models often overlook the heterogeneity of regional geological conditions, while landslide susceptibility assessment is plagued by uncertainties in selecting non-landslide samples. To address these issues, this paper took Zhushan County in Hubei Province as the study area, and the semi-supervised random forest (SRF) model was adopted to conduct landslide susceptibility assessment. The critical rainfall (Effective Rainfall-Duration, EE-D) threshold curves were constructed based on the antecedent effective rainfall (EE) and rainfall duration (D). Furthermore, EE-D threshold curves with different geological condition characteristics were established and analyzed according to the thickness, slope, and area of the landslides, respectively. By coupling the landslide susceptibility results with a classified multi-level rainfall threshold model, a spatiotemporally refined regional framework for tiered landslide early warning was developed. The results show that the SRF model solves the problem of non-landslide sample selection error in traditional supervised learning. The Area Under Curve (AUC) value reaches 0.91, which is better than the analytic hierarchy process, logistic regression, etc. Moreover, the models of landslide susceptibility and EE-D threshold can effectively achieve the hierarchical early warning of rainfall-induced landslide hazards. Full article

Resilience through urban planning has gained prominence since the adoption of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015–2030), particularly in regions exposed to multiple natural hazards. This study examines how six Western Mediterranean countries—Spain, France, Italy, Tunisia, Algeria, and Morocco—address disaster risk prevention through urban and spatial planning. Although these countries share a similar geodynamic and climatic context, their approaches to integrating hazard prevention into planning frameworks vary significantly due to institutional, technical, and legal factors. Special attention is given to the case of Morocco, where delays in hazard integration are evident, particularly in the Maghreb region. Limited access to historical data, weak inter-agency coordination, and insufficient scientific capacity hinder effective planning. In response, Morocco has developed the Urbanization Suitability Map (USM) program, a non-binding planning tool inspired by the French Natural Risk Prevention Plan (PPRN). The USM tool overlays hazard information to guide land use decisions and mitigate risks such as floods, landslides, and seismic activity. Using a qualitative comparative analysis of regulatory texts, national planning strategies, and mapping instruments, this study identifies contrasting levels of disaster risk reduction integration across the six countries. The Moroccan USM initiative stands out as a pragmatic response to governance gaps and offers a transferable model for other countries with similar constraints. The findings underscore the need for clearer legislation, improved data systems, and multi-level coordination to enhance urban resilience. Recommendations are provided to strengthen hazard-informed planning practices and support more adaptive and sustainable land management in risk-prone areas. Full article

“Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” Winston Churchill. In recent times, globally, approximately three pandemics and thousands of natural disasters and political upheavals have been recorded. In most cases, tens to hundreds of thousands of people have died as a result, whether from droughts, famines, floods, earthquakes, tsunamis, wildfires, landslides, cyclones, typhoons, hurricanes, extreme heat, emerging or resurgent diseases or longer-term issues such as sustainability, climate change and/or global warming. Whilst many accommodations may have been made to cope with these, we propose that pharmacy education and professional practice benefit from learning from the past, from collaboration globally to manage the hectic and uncertain times that result from these disruptions and from curation and evaluation of these initiatives for ongoing and/or future use. Full article

This study investigates landslide occurrence in Taiwan, a region highly susceptible to landslides due to steep mountains and frequent typhoons (TYPs). The primary objective is to understand how both geomorphological factors and TYP characteristics contribute to landslide occurrence, which is essential for improving hazard prediction and risk management. The research analyzed landslide events that occurred during the TYP seasons of 2019 and 2023. The methodology involved using satellite-derived landslide inventories from SPOT imagery for events larger than 0.1 hectares, tropical cyclone track and intensity data from IBTrACS v4 (classified by Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Scale), and detailed topographic variables (elevation, slope, aspect, Stream Power Index) extracted from a 30 m Shuttle Radar Topography Mission Digital Elevation Model (SRTM-DEM). Land use and land cover classifications were based on Landsat imagery. To establish a timeline, landslides were matched with TYPs within a ±3-day window, and proximity was analyzed using buffer zones ranging from 50 to 500 km around storm centers. Key findings revealed that landslide susceptibility results from a complex interplay of meteorological, topographic, and land cover factors. The critical controls identified include elevations above 2000 m, slope angles between 30 and 45 degrees, southeast- and south-facing aspects, and low Stream Power Index values typical of headwater and upper slope locations. Landslides were most frequent during Category 3 TYPs and were concentrated 300 to 350 km from storm centers, where optimal rainfall conditions for slope failures exist. Interestingly, despite the stronger storms in 2023, the number of landslides was higher in 2019. This emphasizes the importance of interannual variability and terrain preparedness. These findings support sustainable disaster risk reduction and climate-resilient development, aligning with Sustainable Development Goals 11 (Sustainable Cities and Communities) and 13 (Climate Action). Furthermore, they provide a foundation for improving hazard assessment and risk mitigation in Taiwan and similar mountainous, TYP-prone regions. Full article

Here we present a high-resolution landslide susceptibility model for Guiyang County, China, developed to support sustainable disaster risk management. Our approach couples optimized positive and negative training samples with an ensemble of machine-learning algorithms to maximize predictive fidelity. We compiled a georeferenced inventory of 146 landslides by integrating historical records with systematic field validation. Sample optimization was central to our methodology: landslide presence points were refined via buffer-based dilution, and four classifiers—SVM, LDA, RF, and ET—were trained with identical covariate sets to ensure comparability. Three strategies for selecting pseudo-absences—buffering, low-slope filtering, and coupling with the IOE—were benchmarked. The Slope-IOE-O model, which synergizes low-gradient screening with entropy-weighted sampling, yielded the highest predictive capacity (AUC = 0.965). SHAP-based interpretability revealed that slope, monthly maximum rainfall, surface roughness, and elevation collectively dominate susceptibility, with pronounced non-linearities and interactions. Slope contribution peaks at 20–30°, monthly maximum rainfall exhibits a critical threshold near 225 mm, and the synergy between high roughness and road density amplifies landslide risk. Spatially, susceptibility follows a pronounced north–south gradient, with high-hazard corridors aligned along northern and southern mountain belts and the urban core of southern Guiyang County. By integrating rigorously curated training data with robust machine-learning workflows, this study provides a transferable framework for proactive landslide risk assessment, offering scientific support for sustainable land-use planning and resilient development in mountainous regions. Full article

Subalpine meadow soil is widespread in the steep valleys of the eastern Tibetan Plateau. Owing to its unique structure and climatic conditions, rainfall can trigger extensive ecohydrological disaster, characterized by soil disintegration and shallow landsliding. This phenomenon leads to significant soil erosion and degradation of meadow ecosystems, highlighting the ecological vulnerability of the region. Field investigations have identified porewater pressure from infiltrated rainwater and gravitational pressure on saturated meadow soil as the primary drivers of the landsliding. Building on this understanding, efforts were made to assess the risk of subalpine meadow soil erosion induced by extreme rainfall near Xinduqiao County using the TRIGRS model and the coupled TRIGRS-TOPMODEL (TOP-TRIGRS). Validation of the simulated results against observed erosion events revealed that TOP-TRIGRS tends to predict unstable areas more accurately, particularly in the lower to mid-sections of slopes with gentler gradients, in line with theoretical models of shallow landslide. Specifically, while TRIGRS identified 50.31% of actual shallow landslides, TOP-TRIGRS reached 80.35%. Moreover, the AUC values for TRIGRS and TOP-TRIGRS were 0.787 and 0.896, respectively, indicating the superior predictive performance of TOP-TRIGRS. Accurate prediction of shallow landslides in subalpine meadow soil is vital for informing ecological management regulations and advancing soil and water conservation efforts in the eastern Tibetan Plateau. Full article

The southwestern region of China is highly susceptible to landslides due to steep terrain, fractured geology, and intense rainfall. This study focuses on the Xiluodu Reservoir area in Yunnan Province and applies Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques together with ten key spatial factors—such as slope, lithology, elevation, and distance to rivers—to perform a quantitative landslide risk assessment. In addition to the individual Certainty Factor (CF) and Logistic Regression (LR) models, we developed an integrated CF–LR coupled model to overcome their respective limitations: the CF model’s sensitivity to specific factor attributes but neglect of factor interactions, and the LR model’s robust weight estimation but weak representation of attribute heterogeneity. By combining these strengths, the CF–LR model achieved superior predictive performance (AUC = 0.804), successfully capturing 92.5% of historical landslide events within moderate-to-high risk zones. The results show that lithology, slope angle, and proximity to rivers and roads are dominant controls on susceptibility, with landslides concentrated on soft rock slopes of 30–40° and within 600–900 m of rivers. Compared with previous coupled approaches in similar mountainous reservoir settings, our CF–LR model provides a more balanced and interpretable framework, enhancing both classification accuracy and practical applicability. These findings demonstrate that GIS-based CF–LR integration is a novel and reliable tool for landslide susceptibility mapping, offering important technical support for disaster prevention and risk management in large reservoir regions. Full article

Shallow landslide susceptibility assessment is an essential research activity for land management and risk assessment. In this study, a GIS-based approach was developed to assess rain-induced landslide susceptibility in the Municipality of Genoa, a Mediterranean anthropized area historically characterized by intense rainfall events that frequently trigger shallow landslides with high destructive power. Based on a detailed inventory of historical landslides, a semi-quantitative method was applied to assess the influence of seven causal factors of natural and anthropogenic landslides. The areas were categorized into five classes of rain-induced shallow landslide susceptibility, indicating slopes where newly triggered landslides may occur. The landslide susceptibility map was subsequently integrated with the map of gas and water utilities, whose features were used to assess their vulnerability. Finally, an early-stage risk assessment of the two utility networks was developed to serve as a decision support tool for strategic planning and integrated asset management in the context of climate change. The results show that about 9.8% and 6.8% of the total length of water and gas pipelines are exposed to higher risk classes 4 and 5. Full article

Landslides pose significant threats to sustainable development by causing infrastructure damage and ecosystem degradation, particularly in densely vegetated mountainous regions. To support sustainable land-use planning and disaster-resilient development, this study integrates three advanced vegetation metrics—Vegetation Formation Group (VFG), aboveground biomass (AGB), and forest canopy height (FCH)—into landslide susceptibility modeling. Using Yuanling County, a subtropical vegetated region in China, as a case study, we developed a novel ensemble model, AdaBoost-CB (AdaBoost-CatBoost), and compared its performance with mainstream machine learning models including RF, XGBoost, and LGB. The results show that AdaBoost-CB achieved the highest Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 0.915. Furthermore, it yielded the highest landslide frequency ratio of 6.51 in the very-high-susceptibility zones. The dominant landslide-controlling factors—NDVI, elevation, slope gradient, slope aspect, and rainfall—were consistently identified across six models. These findings provide a scientific basis for sustainable land-use planning and disaster risk reduction strategies, contributing directly to the goals of sustainable development in vulnerable mountainous regions. Full article

Geohazards pose significant dangers to human safety, infrastructures, and the environment, highlighting the need for advanced monitoring techniques for early damage detection and structure management. The distributed optical fiber sensors (DFOS) are strain, temperature, and vibration monitoring tools characterized by minimal intrusiveness, accuracy, ease of deployment, and the ability to perform measurements with high spatial resolution. Although these sensors rely on well-established measurement techniques, available for over 40 years, their diffusion within monitoring and early warning systems is still limited, and there is a certain mistrust towards them. In this regard, based on several case studies, the implementation of DFOS for early warning of various geotechnical hazards, such as landslides, earthquakes and subsidence, is discussed, providing a comparative analysis of the typical advantages and limitations of the different systems. The results show that real-time monitoring systems based on well-established distributed fiber-optic sensing techniques are now mature enough to enable reliable and long-term geotechnical applications, identifying a market segment that is only minimally saturated by using other monitoring techniques. More challenging remains the application of the technique for vibration detection that still requires improved interrogation technologies and standardized practices before it can be used in large-scale, real-time early warning systems. Full article

Landslides are a prevalent geological hazard in China, posing significant threats to life and property. Landslide susceptibility assessment is essential for disaster prevention, and the quality of non-landslide samples critically affects model accuracy. This study takes Yongxin County, Jiangxi Province, as a case, selecting ten susceptibility factors and applying the Random Forest (RF) model with six non-landslide sampling methods for comparison. Results indicate that non-landslide sample selection substantially influences model performance, with the RF model using the IV method achieving the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.9878). SHAP analysis identifies NDVI, slope, lithology, land cover, and elevation as the primary contributing factors. Statistical results show that RF_IV non-landslide sample predictions are lowest, mainly below 0.18, with a median of 0.18, confirming that the IV method effectively excludes landslide-prone areas and accurately represents non-landslide regions. These findings provide practical guidance for landslide risk managers, local authorities, and policymakers, and offer methodological insights for researchers in geological hazard modeling. Full article

Rainfalls are the result of complex cloud microphysical processes. Trying to estimate their intensity and duration is a key task necessary for assessing precipitation magnitude. Across mountains, extreme rainfalls may cause several side effects on the ground, triggering severe geo-hydrological issues (floods and landslides) which impact people, human activities, buildings, and infrastructure. Therefore, having a tool able to reconstruct rainfall processes easily and understandably is advisable for non-expert stakeholders and researchers who deal with rainfall management. In this work, an evolution of the LUME (Linear Upslope Model Experiment), designed to simplify the study of the rainfall process, is presented. The main novelties of the new version, called LUME 2D, regard (1) the 2D domain extension, (2) the inclusion of warm-rain and cold-rain bulk-microphysical schemes (with snow and hail categories), and (3) the simulation of convective precipitations. The model was completely rewritten using Python (version 3.11) and was tested on a heavy rainfall event that occurred in Piedmont in April 2025. Using a 2D spatial and temporal interpolation of the radiosonde data, the model was able to reconstruct a realistic rainfall field of the event, reproducing rather accurately the rainfall intensity pattern. Applying the cold microphysics schemes, the snow and hail amounts were evaluated, while the rainfall intensity amplification due to the moist convection activation was detected within the results. The LUME 2D model has revealed itself to be an easy tool for carrying out further studies on intense rainfall events, improving understanding and highlighting their peculiarity in a straightforward way suitable for non-expert users. Full article

Nepal is highly susceptible to natural hazards, including earthquakes, flooding, and landslides, all of which may occur independently or in combination. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these natural hazards, posing growing risks to Nepal’s infrastructure and development. To the authors’ knowledge, the majority of existing geohazard research in Nepal is typically limited to single hazards or localised areas. To address this gap, MiMapper was developed as a cloud-based, open-access multi-hazard mapping tool covering the full national extent. Built on Google Earth Engine and using only open-source spatial datasets, MiMapper applies an Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) to generate hazard indices for earthquakes, floods, and landslides. These indices are combined into an aggregated hazard layer and presented in an interactive, user-friendly web map that requires no prior GIS expertise. MiMapper uses a standardised hazard categorisation system for all layers, providing pixel-based scores for each layer between 0 (Very Low) and 1 (Very High). The modal and mean hazard categories for aggregated hazard in Nepal were Low (47.66% of pixels) and Medium (45.61% of pixels), respectively, but there was high spatial variability in hazard categories depending on hazard type. The validation of MiMapper’s flooding and landslide layers showed an accuracy of 0.412 and 0.668, sensitivity of 0.637 and 0.898, and precision of 0.116 and 0.627, respectively. These validation results show strong overall performance for landslide prediction, whilst broad-scale exposure patterns are predicted for flooding but may lack the resolution or sensitivity to fully represent real-world flood events. Consequently, MiMapper is a useful tool to support initial hazard screening by professionals in urban planning, infrastructure development, disaster management, and research. It can contribute to a Level 1 Integrated Geohazard Assessment as part of the evaluation for improving the resilience of hydropower schemes to the impacts of climate change. MiMapper also offers potential as a teaching tool for exploring hazard processes in data-limited, high-relief environments such as Nepal. Full article

Landslides are common in mountainous regions and can significantly affect human life and infrastructure. The aim of this study is to analyze the role of hydrothermally altered rocks in generating ground instability and triggering debris flows in the Canoas microbasin, Sierra de Angangueo, within the Monarch Butterfly Biosphere Reserve. We characterized the unaltered (andesite) and altered (andesitic breccia) rocks from the landslide scarp through fieldwork and laboratory analysis. The altered rock exhibited an extremely low simple compressive strength of 0.47 ± 0.05 MPa. In contrast, the unaltered rock exhibited a higher strength of 36.26 ± 18.62 MPa and lower porosity. Petrographic analysis revealed that the unaltered rock primarily consists of an andesitic groundmass with plagioclase and orthopyroxene phenocrysts partially altered to sericite and kaolin. In comparison, the altered rock contains a matrix rich in clay, iron oxides, and completely replaced phenocrysts. The andesitic breccia has a high proportion of clay and silt and displays soil-like mechanical properties, making it vulnerable to saturation collapse during heavy rainfall. This research offers valuable insights into geological risk management in mountainous volcanic regions. The findings demonstrate that the presence of hydrothermally altered andesitic breccia with weak geomechanical properties was the critical factor that triggered the Canoas debris flow, underscoring hydrothermal alteration as a key control of slope instability in volcanic settings. Full article