Search Results (43)

Mountain glaciers are sensitive indicators of climate variability, and their retreat since the end of the Little Ice Age (LIA) has strongly reshaped alpine environments worldwide. In the Greater Caucasus, glacier shrinkage has accelerated over the past century, yet detailed multi-temporal reconstructions remain limited for many glaciers. Here, we reconstruct the post-LIA evolution of Tsaneri–Nageba Glacier, one of largest ice bodies in the Georgian Caucasus, and document the development of its newly formed proglacial lake. Using a combination of geomorphological mapping, historical maps, multi-temporal satellite imagery, Uncrewed Aerial Vehicle (UAV) photogrammetry, and sonar bathymetry, we quantify glacier change from ~1820 to 2025 and provide the first direct measurements of a proglacial lake in the Tsaneri–Nageba system—and indeed in the Georgian Caucasus as a whole. Our results reveal that Tsaneri–Nageba Glacier has shrunk from ~48 km² at its LIA maximum to ~30.6 km² in 2025, a loss of −43.5% (or −0.21% yr⁻¹). The pace of shrinkage intensified after 2000, with the steepest losses recorded between 2014 and 2025. Terminus positions shifted up-valley by nearly 3.9 km (Tsaneri) and 4.3 km (Nageba), accompanied by fragmentation of the former compound valley glacier into smaller ice bodies. Long-term meteorological records confirm strong climatic forcing, with pronounced summer warming since the 1990s and declining winter precipitation. A proglacial lake started to form in mid-summer 2015, which by 03/09/15 had a surface area of ~14,366 m², expanding to ~106,945 m² by 10/07/2025. The lake is in contact with glacier ice and is thus prone to calving. It is dammed by unconsolidated moraines and bounded by steep, active slopes, making it susceptible to generating a glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF). By providing the first quantitative measurements of a proglacial lake in the region, this study establishes a baseline for future monitoring and risk assessment. The findings highlight the urgency of integrating glaciological, geomorphological, and hazard studies to support community safety and water resource planning in the Caucasus. Full article

The Alpine Periglacial Weathering Zone (APWZ) is a critical transitional belt between alpine vegetation and glaciers, and a highly sensitive region to climate change. Its dynamic variations profoundly reflect the surface environment’s response to climatic shifts. Taking Gongga Mountain as the study area, this study utilizes summer Landsat imagery from 1986 to 2024 and constructs a remote sensing method based on NDVI and NDSI indices using the Otsu thresholding algorithm on the Google Earth Engine platform to automatically extract the positions of the upper limit of vegetation and the snowline. Results show that over the past four decades, the APWZ in Gongga Mountain has exhibited a continuous upward shift, with the mean elevation rising from 4101 m to 4575 m. The upper limit of vegetation advanced at an average rate of 17.43 m/a, significantly faster than the snowline shift (3.9 m/a). The APWZ also experienced substantial areal shrinkage, with an average annual reduction of approximately 13.84 km², highlighting the differential responses of various surface cover types to warming. Spatially, the most pronounced changes occurred in high-elevation zones (4200–4700 m), moderate slopes (25–33°), and sun-facing aspects (east, southeast, and south slopes), reflecting a typical climate–topography coupled driving mechanism. In the upper APWZ, glacier retreat has intensified weathering and increased debris accumulation, while the newly formed vegetation zone in the lower APWZ remains structurally fragile and unstable. Under extreme climatic disturbances, this setting is prone to triggering chain-type hazards such as landslides and debris flows. These findings enhance our capacity to monitor alpine ecological boundary changes and identify associated disaster risks, providing scientific support for managing climate-sensitive mountainous regions. Full article

The China–Mongolia arid region adjacent to the Altai Mountain (CMA) has a sensitive ecosystem that relies heavily on both terrestrial water (TWS) and groundwater storage (GWS). However, during the 2003–2016 period, the CMA experienced significant glacier retreat, lake shrinkage, and grassland degradation. To illuminate the TWS and GWS dynamics in the CMA and the dominant driving factors, we employed high-resolution (0.1°) GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) data generated through random forest (RF) combined with residual correction. The downscaled data at a 0.1° resolution illustrate the spatial heterogeneity of TWS and GWS depletion. The highest TWS and GWS decline rates were both on the north slope of the Tianshan River Basin (NTRB) of the Junggar Basin of Northwestern China (JBNWC) (27.96 mm/yr and −32.98 mm/yr, respectively). Human impact played a primary role in TWS decreases in the JBNWC, with a relative contribution rate of 62.22% compared to the climatic contribution (37.78%). A notable shift—from climatic (2002–2010) to anthropogenic factors (2011–2020)—was observed as the primary driver of TWS decline in the Great Lakes Depression region of western Mongolia (GLDWM). To maintain ecological stability and promote sustainable regional development, effective action is urgently required to save essential TWS from further depletion. Full article

Glaciers, often regarded as “frozen reservoirs”, play a crucial role in replenishing numerous rivers in arid regions, contributing to ecological balance and managing river flow. Recently, the rapid shrinkage of the glaciers in the East Tianshan Mountains has affected the water quantity in the Karez system. However, studies on glacier changes in this region are limited, and recent data are scarce. This study utilizes annual Landsat composite images from 1990 to 2022 obtained via the Google Earth Engine (GEE). It utilizes a ratio threshold approach in conjunction with visual analysis to gather the glacier dataset specific to the Turpan–Hami region. The Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM) is used to model the flowlines and mass balance of around 300 glaciers. The study analyzes the glacier change trends, distribution characteristics, and responses to climate factors in the Turpan–Hami region over the past 30 years. Additionally, future glacier changes through the end of the century are projected using CMIP6 climate data. The findings indicate that the following: (1) From 1990 to 2022, glaciers in the research area underwent considerable retreat. The total glacier area decreased from 204.04 ± 0.887 km² to 133.52 ± 0.742 km², a reduction of 70.52 km², representing a retreat rate of 34.56%. The number of glaciers also decreased from 304 in 1990 to 236 in 2022. The glacier length decreased by an average of 7.54 m·a⁻¹, with the average mass balance at −0.34 m w.e.·a⁻¹, indicating a long-term loss of glacier mass. (2) Future projections to 2100 indicate that under three climate scenarios, the area covered by glaciers could diminish by 89%, or 99%, or even vanish entirely. In the SSP585 scenario, glaciers are projected to nearly disappear by 2057. (3) Rising temperatures and solar radiation are the primary factors driving glacier retreat in the Turpan–Hami area. Especially under high emission scenarios, climate warming will accelerate the glacier retreat process. Full article

The glaciers in southeastern Tibet Plateau (SETP) influenced by oceanic climate are sensitive to global warming, and there remains a notable deficiency in accurate multitemporal change analyses of these glaciers. We conduct glacier inventories in the Yigong Zangbo River Basin (YZRB) in SETP for the years 1988, 2015, and 2023 utilizing Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery, and analyze the glacier spatiotemporal variation incorporating the existing glacier inventory data. Since the 1970s until 2023, the glaciers significantly retreated at a rate of 0.76 ± 0.11%·a⁻¹, with the area decreasing from 2583.09 ± 88.80 km² to 1635.89 ± 71.74 km², and the ice volume reducing from 221.7017 ± 7.9618 km³ to 152.7429 ± 6.1747 km³. The most significant retreat occurred in glaciers smaller than 1 km². Additionally, glaciers on southern aspects retreated slower than the northern counterparts. The glaciers in the western YZRB witnessed a significantly greater shrinkage rate than those in the eastern section, with the most pronounced changes occurring in Aso Longbu River Basin. Furthermore, severe glacier mass deficits were observed from 2000 to 2019, averaging a loss rate of 0.57 ± 0.06 m w.e. a⁻¹. The continuous rise in air temperature has primarily induced a general widespread glacier change in the YZRB. However, diverse topography led to spatial variability in glacier changes with discrepancies as large as several times. The features of individual glaciers, such as glacier size, debris cover, and the development of ice-contact glacial lakes enhanced the local complexity of glacier change and elusive response behaviors to climate warming led by the different topographic conditions. Full article

Understanding changes in runoff due to climate variations in glacier-dominated headwaters is key to managing water resources and dryland watersheds effectively and rationally. The continuous glacier shrinkage caused by climate warming has significantly impacted the water supply and ecological systems in the vast arid regions of Central Asia, attracting extensive public concern. The study results indicate an increase in total runoff at the Urumqi River source region during both the baseline (1997–2016) and mid-century (2040–2059) periods, encompassing rain, glacier meltwater, and snowmelt components. Compared to the baseline period, the temperature increases by the mid-century under the three climate scenarios (SSP1−26, SSP2−45, and SSP5−85) range from 0.98 to 1.48 °C. In this region, during the period from 1997 to 2016, glacier meltwater was the dominant component of runoff, comprising 42.10–43.79% of the total, followed by snowmelt at 29.64–30.40% and rainfall contributions of 26.56–27.49%. Additionally, glacier storage in this typical catchment responds quickly to temperature fluctuations, significantly impacting runoff. The Urumqi River source region’s runoff exhibits heightened sensitivity to these temperature shifts compared to precipitation effects. We hypothesized three glacier coverage scenarios: unchanged at 100% glaciation, reduced by half to 50%, and fully retreated to 0% glaciation. Analysis of these scenarios demonstrated that glaciers are pivotal in runoff formation. Under the SSP1−26, SSP2−45, and SSP5−85 climate scenarios, glaciers contributed additional runoff increases of 51.61%, 57.64%, and 62.07%, respectively. Generally, glaciers play a critical role in supplying water in dry areas. Thus, accurately forecasting future water resource shifts in high-altitude glacier regions is crucial for downstream water resource management and utilization. Full article

In High Mountain Asia, most glaciers and glacial lakes have undergone rapid variations throughout changes in the climate. Unlike land-terminating glaciers, lake-terminating glaciers show rapid shrinkage due to dynamic interactions between proglacial lakes and glacier dynamics. In this study, we conducted a detailed analysis of the changes in the surface elevation, velocity, and especially frontal ablation on Jiongpu Co lake-terminating glacier. The results show that the Jiongpu Co glacier has twice as much negative mass balance compared to other glaciers, and the annual surface velocity has anomalously increased (3.6 m a⁻¹ per decade) while other glaciers show a decreased trend. The frontal ablation fraction in the net mass loss of the Jiongpu Co glacier increased from 26% to 52% with the accelerated expansion of the proglacial lake. All available evidence indicates the presence of positive feedback between the proglacial lake and its host glacier. Our findings highlight the existence of proglacial lake affects the spatial change patterns of the lake-terminating glacier. Furthermore, the ongoing enlargement of the lake area amplifies the changes associated with the evolution of the lake-terminating glacier. Full article

Since the end of the Little Ice Age (LIA, ~1830), the accelerated glaciers’ shrinkage along mid-latitude high mountain areas promoted a quick readjustment of geomorphological processes with the onset of the paraglacial dynamic, making proglacial areas among the most sensitive Earth’s landscapes to ongoing climate change. A potentially useful remote-sensing method for investigating such dynamic areas is the DEM (Digital Elevation Model) of Difference (DoD) technique, which quantifies volumetric changes in a territory between successive topographic surveys. After a detailed geomorphological analysis and comparison with historical maps of the Martello Valley (central Italian Alps), we applied the DoD for reconstructing post-LIA deglaciation dynamics and reported on the surface effects of freshly-onset paraglacial processes. The head of the valley is still glacierized, with three main ice bodies resulting from the huge reduction of a single glacier present at the apogee of the LIA. Aftermath: the glaciers lose 60% of their initial surface area, largely modifying local landforms and expanding the surface of the proglacial areas. The DoD analysis of the 2006–2015 timeframe (based on registered DEM derived from LiDAR—Light Detection and Ranging—data) highlights deep surface elevation changes ranging from +38 ± 4.01 m along the foot of rock walls, where gravitative processes increased their intensity, to −47 ± 4.01 m where the melting of buried ice caused collapses of the proglacial surface. This approach permits estimating the volume of sediments mobilized and reworked by paraglacial processes. Here, in less than 10 years, −23,675 ± 1165 m³ of sediment were removed along the proglacial area and transported down valley, highlighting the dynamicity of proglacial areas. Full article

An updated glacier inventory is important for understanding the current glacier dynamics in the conditions of actual accelerating glacier retreat observed around the world. Here, we present a detailed analysis of the glaciation areas of the Zhetysu Alatau Range (Tien Shan) for 1956–2016 using well-established semiautomatic methods based on the band ratios. The total glacier area decreased by 49 ± 2.8% or by 399 ± 11.2 km² from 813.6 ± 22.8 km² to 414.6 ± 11.6 km² during 1956–2016, while the number of glaciers increased from 985 to 813. Similar rates of area change characterized the periods 1956–2001, 2001–2012, 2012–2016, and 2001–2016: −296.2 ± 8.3 (−0.8% a⁻¹), −63.7± 1.8 (−1.1% a⁻¹), −39.1 ±1.1 (−2.2% a⁻¹) and −102.8 ± 2.9 (−1.3% a⁻¹) km², respectively. The mean glacier size decreased from 0.57 km² in 2001 to 0.51 km² in 2016. Most glaciation areas of the Zhetysu Alatau faced north (north, northwest, and northeast), covered 390.35 ± 11 km², and were located in altitudes between 3000 and 4000 m.a.s.l. With shrinkage rates of about −0.8% and −1.3% a⁻¹ for the periods of 1956–2001 and 2001–2016, our results show that study area has the highest shrinkage rate compared to other glacierized areas of Central Asian mountains, including Altai, Pamir, and even the inner ranges of Tien Shan. It was found that a significant increase in temperature (0.12 °C/10 years) plays a main role in the state of glaciers. Full article

Accelerating glacier shrinkage is one of the most consequential of global warming. Yet, projections for the region remain ambiguous because of the tremendous spatial heterogeneity, especially in the Qilian Mountains, where glacier melt runoff is a vital water resource for the arid downstream area. To better understand glacier changes in this region, this study took regional representative Qiyi Glacier as an example and applied an enhanced distributed surface mass balance (SMB) model to glimpse the SMB variation and possible impacts on melt runoff under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Further, we combined a modified volume-scaling method to update the glacier geometry gradually to enhance long-term reliability. When forced with observed daily temperature and precipitation, the reconstructed glacier SMB, from 1957 through 2013, agrees well with the in situ observations. The result indicates an abrupt change for SMB from positive to negative in 1992 and subsequent mass accelerated loss after 2000. The increased summer air temperature and the pattern of large-scale atmospheric circulation shifts might both cause these changes. Using projected climate forcing from as many as 31 coupled GCMs from the CMIP 5 ensemble, the Qiyi Glacier is projected to undergo sustained SMB loss throughout the 21st century for both RCPs. By 2100, the Qiyi Glacier will lose ~25 m water equivalent (w.e.) for RCP 4.5 and ~37 m w.e. for RCP 8.5. Whereas the glacier area will shrink by 43% for RCP 4.5 and 54% for RCP 8.5 relative to 2013 glacier content, corresponding to the volume of the Qiyi Glacier will lose by 54% for RCP 4.5 and by 65% for RCP 8.5, accordingly. Simultaneously, the glacier terminus will experience extreme melts. The terminus elevation of the Qiyi Glacier will retreat from 4310 m a.s.l. in 2013 to 4810 m a.s.l. (RCP 4.5) and 4838 m a.s.l. (RCP 8.5) by the end of 2100, which will exceed the multi-year average ELA (4749 m) from 1957 to 2013. If the warming trends keep and glaciers melt like the Qiyi Glacier with this ‘shocking’ rate, it will raise the possibility of crippling, long-term water shortages for Hexi corridors. Full article

This paper aims to broadly understand the response of glaciers to thick and thin debris cover from one of the less explored regions (Zanskar) of the Himalaya. The present study is based on ground-based measurements (from 2015 to 2019), satellite data (since 1971), and available topographic maps (at a 1:50,000 scale). The study includes snout retreat, changes in equilibrium line altitude (ELA), surface elevation, and modeled mass balance of thick and thin debris-covered Pensilungpa (Suru River basin) and Durung-Drung (Doda River basin) glaciers in the western Indian Himalaya, Ladakh, for the past five decades. The Durung-Drung Glacier (DDG) receded ~−624 ± 547 m with an average rate of −12 ± 11 m a⁻¹ between 1971 and 2019. The frontal part of the DDG is broad (~2 km wide), which shows wide discrepancies in its retreat. Compared to DDG, the small and narrow snout of the Pensilungpa Glacier (PG) retreated −270.5 ± 27.5 m (1971 to 2019), with an average rate of −5.6 ± 0.57 m a⁻¹. Similarly, the four years (2015–2019) of field observations suggest that the retreat rate of PG and DDG is −6.7 ± 3 and −18 ± 15 m a⁻¹, and the rate of modeled glacier mass loss is −0.29 ± 0.3 and −0.3 ± 0.3 m w.e. a⁻¹, respectively. Furthermore, the ELA of the DDG and PG between 1971 and 2019 increased by ~59 ± 38 and ~23 ± 19 m, respectively. The change in the longitudinal profile of the glaciers along the centerline between 2000 and 2017 shows the DDG and PG lost ~17 and 15 m surface ice thickness. The change in debris cover plays a critical role in the glacier surface lowering, shrinkage, retreat, and mass balance. Hence, we quantitatively evaluated the influence of the debris cover on summer ablation and terminus recession on two different characteristic glaciers (DDG and PG) with its potential effect on the mass balance process (area-volume loss). Full article

Accurately capturing the changing patterns of ecological quality in the urban agglomeration on the northern slopes of the Tianshan Mountains (UANSTM) and researching its significant impacts responds to the requirements of high-quality sustainable urban development. In this study, the spatial and temporal distribution patterns of remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) were obtained by normalization and PCA transformation of four basic indicators based on Landsat images. It then employed geographic detectors to analyze the factors that influence ecological change. The result demonstrates that: (1) In the distribution of land use conversions and degrees of human disturbance, built-up land, principally urban land, and agricultural land, represented by dry land, are rising, while the shrinkage of grassland is the most substantial. The degree of human disturbance is increasing overall for glaciers. (2) The overall ecological environment of the northern slopes of Tianshan is relatively poor. Temporally, the ecological quality changes and fluctuates, with an overall rising trend. Spatially, ecological quality is low in the north and south and high in the center, with high values concentrated in the mountains and agriculture and low values in the Gobi and desert. However, on a large scale, the ecological quality of the Urumqi–Changji–Shihezi metropolitan area has worsened dramatically compared to other regions. (3) Driving factor detection showed that LST and NDVI were the most critical influencing factors, with an upward trend in the influence of WET. Typically, LST has the biggest influence on RSEI when interacting with NDVI. In terms of the broader region, the influence of social factors is smaller, but the role of human interference in the built-up area of the oasis city can be found to be more significant at large scales. The study shows that it is necessary to strengthen ecological conservation efforts in the UANSTM region, focusing on the impact of urban and agricultural land expansion on surface temperature and vegetation. Full article

Discussing the development and shrinkage process of glaciers is of great significance for the in–depth comprehension of regional environmental evolution and predicting global changes. However, there is little understanding of the developmental and retreat processes of mountain glaciers during the Late Quaternary (150 ka) in the East Asian Monsoon region. Using the latest chronological glacial data from eastern China, Taiwan, the Russian Far East, and the Japanese islands of Hokkaido and Honshu, which are all regions impacted by the East Asian Monsoon, we screened reliable glacial age data. This study compiled and compared the age sequences of the different mountain glaciations (dating techniques included optically–stimulated luminescence (OSL), thermoluminescence (TL), electron spin resonance (ESR), U–series (U), cosmogenic nuclides (¹⁰Be/CRN), carbon–14 (¹⁴C) and potassium–argon (K–Ar), etc.). Based on the evolutionary features of the glaciations in these mountains, by comparison with the marine isotope stage (MIS) environment, the influence of monsoonal circulation patterns on the regional development of glaciers was analyzed. This study determined that Japanese mountain glacial stages since 150 ka are the most complete in the East Asian Monsoon region, having developed during MIS 6–1. Taiwanese mountain glaciers developed during MIS 4–1, but glacial stages in continental East Asia were relatively short, with glaciers first developing only during MIS 3b–1. The reason for this this phenomenon is that the tectonic uplift in different subregions was significantly different; on the other hand, it is also related to the difference of precipitation between land and sea in monsoon climate. By comparing the glacial glaciations in the East Asian Monsoon region with western China, we found that there were significant differences between the extent, onset time, and length of glacial periods. Since the Last Glacial Period, precipitation levels have become transitional and concentrated during the summer months, and temperatures have been continuously changing as a result of the many periodic changes in the East Asian Monsoon. From the Early Last Glacial Period (MIS 4) to the Middle Last Glacial Period (MIS 3b) to the Last Glacial Period (MIS 2/LGM–YD), climatic conditions increasingly restricted the development of glaciers; the regional environment continued to warm until glaciers completely disappeared during the Late Holocene. Full article

The Suhai Lake Basin has held major ecological status as a crucial component of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau’s ecological security barrier. The Suhai Lake Migratory Bird Nature Reserve’s safety and the livelihood of Kazakh citizens are now directly endangered by the frequent switching between land-use types and the decrease of ecosystem service functions caused by climate change and human activity. As a result, this work introduces the idea of land-use transfer flow. Through the application of interval level change and the land-use transfer chain, the process, affecting factors, and current issues of land-use change in the Suhai Lake Basin over the past 40 years are thoroughly investigated. The results showed that the intensity of land-use change was significant, at 0.055%, during the period 1990–2000, whereas the grassland area significantly increased, with a net increase of 23.07 km², mainly from the conversion of saline-alkali land, swamp, and other unused land in the middle and lower reaches. The key factor influencing the growth of the grassland throughout this time has been the ecological management policy. As a result of the climate’s ongoing warming between 2000 and 2018, glacial meltwater and precipitation increased, the middle and lower ranges of the groundwater table rose, and the grassland degradation, swamp shrinkage, and soil salinization in the watershed all worsened. The degradation of grassland will result from both overgrazing and overprotection. Suhai Lake Wetland and Haizi Grassland Wetland are the most readily apparent examples of land-use changes in the Suhai Lake Basin from a spatial perspective. More consideration should be given to the ecological deterioration and land exposure in the glacier retreat zone of the upstream source region. The results can provide important information on the impact of regional development and the environmental governance policies of the changes in land use/cover in the Suhai Lake Basin. Full article

With the escalation of global warming, the shrinkage of mountain glaciers has accelerated globally, the water volume from glaciers has changed, and relative disasters have increased in intensity and frequency (for example, ice avalanches, surging glaciers, and glacial lake outburst floods). However, the wireless monitoring of glacial movements cannot currently achieve omnidirectional, high-precision, real-time results, since there are some technical bottlenecks. Based on wireless networks and sensor application technologies, this study designed a wireless monitoring system for measuring the internal parameters of mountain glaciers, such as temperature, pressure, humidity, and power voltage, and for wirelessly transmitting real-time measurement data. The system consists of two parts, with a glacier internal monitoring unit as one part and a glacier surface base station as the second part. The former wirelessly transmits the monitoring data to the latter, and the latter processes the received data and then uploads the data to a cloud data platform via 4G or satellite signals. The wireless system can avoid cable constraints and transmission failures due to breaking cables. The system can provide more accurate field-monitoring data for simulating glacier movements and further offers an early warning system for glacial disasters. Full article