Search Results (24)

This study examines diurnal surface temperature dynamics across major Moroccan cities during the growing season and explores the interaction between urban and vegetated surfaces. We also introduce the Urban Thermal Impact Ratio (UTIR), a novel metric designed to quantify urban thermal comfort as a function of the surface urban heat island (SUHI) intensity. The analysis is based on outputs from a land surface model (LSM) for the year 2010, integrating high-resolution Landsat and MODIS data to characterize land cover and biophysical parameters across twelve land cover types. Our findings reveal moderate urban–vegetation temperature differences in coastal cities like Tangier (1.8 °C) and Rabat (1.0 °C), where winter vegetation remains active. In inland areas, urban morphology plays a more dominant role: Fes, with a 20% impervious surface area (ISA), exhibits a smaller SUHI than Meknes (5% ISA), due to higher urban heating in the latter. The Atlantic desert city of Dakhla shows a distinct pattern, with a nighttime SUHI of 2.1 °C and a daytime urban cooling of −0.7 °C, driven by irrigated parks and lawns enhancing evapotranspiration and shading. At the regional scale, summer UTIR values remain below one in Tangier-Tetouan-Al Hoceima, Rabat-Sale-Kenitra, and Casablanca-Settat, suggesting that urban conditions generally stay within thermal comfort thresholds. In contrast, higher UTIR values in Marrakech-Safi, Beni Mellal-Khénifra, and Guelmim-Oued Noun indicate elevated heat discomfort. At the city scale, the UTIR in Tangier, Rabat, and Casablanca demonstrates a clear diurnal pattern: it emerges around 11:00 a.m., peaks at 1:00 p.m., and fades by 3:00 p.m. This study highlights the critical role of vegetation in regulating urban surface temperatures and modulating urban–rural thermal contrasts. The UTIR provides a practical, scalable indicator of urban heat stress, particularly valuable in data-scarce settings. These findings carry significant implications for climate-resilient urban planning, optimized energy use, and the design of public health early warning systems in the context of climate change. Full article

Coastal cities and low-lying areas are increasingly vulnerable, and accurate data is needed to identify where interventions are most required. We compared 53 cities affected by a 1 m increase in land levels and a 2 m rise in sea levels. The geographical scope of this study covered selected coastal cities in Europe and northern Africa. Data were sourced from the European Environment Agency (EEA) in the form of prepared datasets, which were further processed for analysis. Statistical methods were applied to compare the extent of urban flooding under two sea level rise scenarios—1 m and 2 m—by calculating the percentage of affected urban areas. To assess social vulnerability, the analysis included several variables: MAPF65 (Mean Area Potentially Flooded for people aged 65 and older, indicating elderly exposure), Age (the percentage of the population aged 65+ in each city), MAPF (Mean Area Potentially Flooded, representing the average share of urban area at risk of flooding), and Unemployment Ratio (the percentage of unemployed individuals living in the areas potentially affected by sea level rise). We utilized t-tests to analyze the means of two datasets, yielding a mean difference of 2.9536. Both parametric and bootstrap confidence intervals included zero, and the p-values from the t-tests (0.289 and 0.289) indicated no statistically significant difference between the means. The Bayes factor (0.178) provided substantial evidence supporting equal means, while Cohen’s D (0.099) indicated a very small effect size. Ceuta’s flooding value (502.8) was identified as a significant outlier (p < 0.05), indicating high flood risk. A Grubbs’ test confirmed Ceuta as a significant outlier. A Wilcoxon test highlighted significant deviations between the medians, with a p << 0.001, demonstrating systematic discrepancies tied to flood frequency and sea level anomalies. These findings illuminated critical disparities in flooding trends across specific locations, offering essential insights for urban planning and mitigation strategies in cities vulnerable to rising sea levels and extreme weather patterns. Information on coastal flooding provides awareness of how rising sea levels affect at-risk areas. Examining factors such as MAPF and population data enables the detection of the most threatened zones and supports targeted action. These perceptions are essential for strengthening climate resilience, improving emergency planning, and directing resources where they are needed most. Full article

Coastal cities are increasingly exposed to the risks posed by climate change, including rising sea levels, intensified storms, and coastal erosion. In this context, risk communication plays a crucial role, as it can shape public perception, promote preparedness, and influence both emergency responses and long-term mitigation strategies. This study investigated how disaster-related risks are framed in the media, focusing on the case of Naples, Italy, following a severe coastal storm surge that struck the city’s waterfront on December 2020. Using Dynamic Latent Dirichlet Allocation (DLDA), the research analyzed 297 newspaper articles published between 2020 and 2024 to examine the evolution of media narratives over time. The findings reveal four dominant patterns: (1) a prevailing economic discourse centered on financial damages and compensations, with limited references to resilience planning; (2) a temporal framing that presents the storm as a sudden, exceptional event, disconnected from historical precedents or future climate projections; (3) a lack of emphasis on the social experiences and vulnerabilities of local residents; and (4) minimal discussion of tourists’ exposure to risk, despite their presence in high-impact areas. These results highlight key limitations of media-driven risk communication and underscore the need for more inclusive, forward-looking narratives to support urban resilience and climate adaptation in coastal cities. This research offers valuable insights for urban planners, policymakers, journalists, and disaster risk reduction professionals, helping them to better align communication strategies with long-term adaptation goals and the needs of diverse urban populations. Full article

Amidst the rapid global urbanization and economic integration, coastal cities have undergone significant changes in urban spatial patterns. These changes have further worsened the complex urban thermal environment, making it crucial to study the interaction between human-driven development and natural climate systems. To address the insufficient quantification of marine elements in the urban planning of subtropical coastal zones, this study takes Xiamen, a typical deep-water port city, as an example to construct a spatial analysis framework integrating marine boundary layer parameters. This research employs interpolation simulation, atmospheric correction, and other techniques to simulate the inversion of land use and Landsat 8 data, deriving urban morphological elements and Land Surface Temperature (LST) data. These data were then assigned to 500 m grids for analysis. A bivariate spatial auto-correlation model was applied to examine the relationship between urban carbon emission and LST. The study area was categorized based on the influence of marine factors, and the spatial relationships between urban morphological elements and LST were analyzed using a multiscale geographically weighted regression model. Three Xiamen-specific discoveries emerged: (1) the marine exerts a significant thermal mitigation effect on the city, with an average influence range of 7.94 km; (2) the relationship between urban morphology and the thermal environment exhibits notable spatial heterogeneity across different regions; and (3) to mitigate urban thermal environments, connected green corridors should be established in the southern coastal areas of outer districts in regions significantly influenced by the ocean. In areas with less marine influence, spatial complexity should be introduced by disrupting relatively intact blue–green spaces, while regions unaffected by the ocean should focus on increasing green spaces and reducing impervious surfaces and water bodies. These findings directly inform Xiamen’s 2035 Master Plan for combating heat island effects in coastal special economic zones, providing transferable metrics for similar maritime cities. Full article

The convergence of the Internet of Physical–Virtual Things (IoPVT) and the Metaverse presents a transformative opportunity for safety and health monitoring in outdoor environments. This concept paper explores how integrating human activity recognition (HAR) with the IoPVT within the Metaverse can revolutionize public health and safety, particularly in urban settings with challenging climates and architectures. By seamlessly blending physical sensor networks with immersive virtual environments, the paper highlights a future where real-time data collection, digital twin modeling, advanced analytics, and predictive planning proactively enhance safety and well-being. Specifically, three dimensions of humans, technology, and the environment interact toward measuring safety, health, and climate. Three outdoor cultural scenarios showcase the opportunity to utilize HAR–IoPVT sensors for urban external staircases, rural health, climate, and coastal infrastructure. Advanced HAR–IoPVT algorithms and predictive analytics would identify potential hazards, enabling timely interventions and reducing accidents. The paper also explores the societal benefits, such as proactive health monitoring, enhanced emergency response, and contributions to smart city initiatives. Additionally, we address the challenges and research directions necessary to realize this future, emphasizing AI technical scalability, ethical considerations, and the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration for designs and policies. By articulating an AI-driven HAR vision along with required advancements in edge-based sensor data fusion, city responsiveness with fog computing, and social planning through cloud analytics, we aim to inspire the academic community, industry stakeholders, and policymakers to collaborate in shaping a future where technology profoundly improves outdoor health monitoring, enhances public safety, and enriches the quality of urban life. Full article

Flood risks are escalating globally due to unplanned urban expansion and the impacts of climate change, posing significant challenges for urban areas and necessitating effective mitigation strategies. Nature-based solutions (NBSs) have emerged as innovative and sustainable approaches for managing flood risks. The International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) defines NBSs as actions that conserve, manage, and restore natural and modified ecosystems to address societal concerns while benefiting both people and the environment. This research focuses on developing NBS strategies for the most flood-prone area within Kochi, a city highly vulnerable to flooding. The study begins with a comprehensive site examination to identify flood sources and causes in Kochi, aiding in selecting flood vulnerability indicators. An analytical framework incorporating flood risk assessment and exposure studies using physical and social indicators, alongside GIS mapping techniques, revealed that approximately half of Kochi is affected. The study identified key vulnerability hotspots, particularly within the Central Business District (CBD), where high population density and inadequate infrastructure exacerbate flood risks. Proposed NBS interventions include restoring natural floodplains, enhancing canal capacities, creating urban forests, and establishing green infrastructure like permeable pavements and rainwater harvesting systems. Key findings emphasize the effectiveness of integrating NBSs with traditional flood management strategies, forming a mixed flood control system. These interventions mitigate flood risks, improve biodiversity, reduce the urban heat island effect, and enhance community well-being. Importantly, the research underscores the role of public participation and community-driven maintenance plans in ensuring the sustainability of NBS interventions. Aligning these strategies with Kochi’s Master Plan 2040 ensures coherence with broader urban planning and climate resilience goals. The research anticipates changes in climate, land use patterns, and urban dynamics to inform NBS suitability in Kochi. Ultimately, the research demonstrates how implementing NBSs can deliver a range of socio-environmental benefits, significantly influencing urban development in vulnerable zones. By advocating for the integration of NBSs into urban infrastructure planning, this study offers a blueprint for resilient and sustainable flood management strategies that are applicable to other coastal cities facing similar challenges. Full article

Among the frequent natural disasters, there is a growing concern that storm surges may cause enhanced damage to coastal regions due to the increase in climate extremes. It is widely believed that storm surge risk assessment is of great significance for effective disaster prevention; however, traditional risk assessment often relies on the land use data from the government or manual interpretation, which requires a great amount of material resources, labor and time. To improve efficiency, this study proposes a framework for conducting fast risk assessment in a chosen area based on social sensing data and a deep learning method. The coupled Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) and Simulating Waves Nearshore (SWAN) model are applied for simulating inundation of five storm surge scenarios. Social sensing data are generated by fusing POI kernel density and night light data through wavelet transform. Subsequently, the Swin Transformer model receives two sets of inputs: one includes social sensing data, Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI) and Normalized Difference Chlorophyll Index (NDCI), and the other is Red, Green, Blue bands. The ensembled model can be used for fast land use identification for vulnerability assessment, and the accuracy is improved by 3.3% compared to the traditional RGB input. In contrast to traditional risk assessment approaches, the proposed method can conduct emergency risk assessments within a few hours. In the coast area of Huizhou city, the area considered to be at risk is 135 km², 89 km², 82 km², 72 km² and 64 km², respectively, when the central pressure of the typhoon is 880, 910, 920, 930 and 940 hpa. The Daya Bay Petrochemical Zone and central Huangpu waterfront are two areas at high risk. The conducted risk maps can help decision-makers better manage storm surge risks to identify areas at potential risk, prepare for disaster prevention and mitigation. Full article

As urban areas expand rapidly, understanding the complex interactions between human migration, climate change impacts, and biodiversity loss is crucial for effective climate policy. However, comprehensive knowledge of the simultaneous interaction of these aspects is still scarce. Thus, this paper proposes the classification of ‘Climate Emergency Coastal Cities’, with the categorization of 43 cities into four levels according to their vulnerability (extreme, very high, high, and critical). Our study contributes to evidence-based climate policy and supports efficient resource allocation and interventions for the most vulnerable coastal cities. Highly anthropogenic megacities were ranked as the most sensitive to climate emergencies (Lagos, Nigeria; Jakarta, Indonesia; Los Angeles and Houston, USA; and Hong Kong and Shenzhen, China). It is noteworthy that in countries from both the Global North and South, the entry of new populations is a critical issue, and represents a threat to urban structures and biodiversity; however, in territories with fragile economies and numerous governance challenges, the required structure is still more challenging. The study concludes that integrated urban planning policies are crucial, considering various perspectives and coordinated actions. Policies should address marginalized urban groups and include migrants, and promote human well-being, ecosystem recovery, and climate mitigation, for effective adaptation. Full article

Many cities worldwide are increasingly threatened by compound floods resulting from the interaction of multiple flood drivers. Simultaneously, rapid urbanization in coastal areas, which increases the proportion of impervious surfaces, has made the mechanisms and simulation methods of compound flood disasters more complex. This study employs a comprehensive literature review to analyze 64 articles on compound flood risk under climate change from the Web of Science Core Collection from 2014 to 2024. The review identifies methods for quantifying the impact of climate change factors such as sea level rise, storm surges, and extreme rainfall, as well as urbanization factors like land subsidence, impervious surfaces, and drainage systems on compound floods. Four commonly used quantitative methods for studying compound floods are discussed: statistical models, numerical models, machine learning models, and coupled models. Due to the complex structure and high computational demand of three-dimensional joint probability statistical models, along with the increasing number of flood drivers complicating the grid interfaces and frameworks for coupling different numerical models, most current research focuses on the superposition of two disaster-causing factors. The joint impact of three or more climate change-driving factors on compound flood disasters is emerging as a significant future research trend. Furthermore, urbanization factors are often overlooked in compound flood studies and should be considered when establishing models. Future research should focus on exploring coupled numerical models, statistical models, and machine learning models to better simulate, predict, and understand the mechanisms, evolution processes, and disaster ranges of compound floods under climate change. Full article

Coastal zones, despite their contribution to global economies, continue to suffer the negative impacts of climate variability, which limit the livelihoods of people, particularly small-scale fishermen. This study examined climate variability, coastal livelihoods, and the influence of ocean change on the total annual fish catch in Ghana’s Coastal Savannah zone. The mixed-methods approach was used to analyze primary data (semi-structured questionnaires and interviews), secondary data (sea surface temperature (SST) and salinity (SSS), and fish catch), and statistical tests (chi-square, binary logistic regression, and multiple regression). Findings revealed a significant increase in climate variability awareness among fishermen, attributed to the influence of broadcast media. However, they lack sufficient information regarding the transformation of cities, the urbanization process, and its impact on the global climate. Increasing temperatures and sea level rise emerged as the most prevalent impacts of climate variability over the past two decades in the zone. Although the fishermen lack awareness regarding the changes in SSS and their effects on fish, the findings of the multiple regression analysis established that changes in SSS exert a more pronounced effect on the decreasing fishing catch in the zone compared to those in SST. Empirical fish catch records supported the fishermen’s claim of a substantial decrease in total fish catch in the zone over the past 20 years. Aside from climate variability impacts, the involvement of many people and light fishing emerged as additional factors contributing to the decreasing fish catch in the zone. High premix fuel prices or shortages and “saiko” activities were the main obstacles that hindered the fishermen’s activities. “Saiko” is an unlawful activity in which foreign industrial trawlers sell fish directly to Ghanaian canoes or small-scale fishermen at sea. The fishermen lack sufficient means of supporting their livelihoods, as there is a lack of viable alternative livelihood options. Additionally, the majority of the fishermen experience symptoms of fever and headaches. The binary logistic regression analysis showed that the fishermen’s income insufficiency could be substantially reduced if they were to have their own houses, canoes, or fish all year. This situation highlights the need for heightened support from policymakers for improved sustainable livelihood prospects as well as health and well-being. Full article

Coastal regions, increasingly threatened by floods due to climate-change-driven extreme weather, lack a comprehensive study that integrates coastal and riverine flood dynamics. In response to this research gap, we conducted a comprehensive bibliometric analysis and thorough visualization and mapping of studies of compound flooding risk in coastal cities over the period 2014–2022, using VOSviewer and CiteSpace to analyze 407 publications in the Web of Science Core Collection database. The analytical results reveal two persistent research topics: the way to explore the return periods or joint probabilities of flood drivers using statistical modeling, and the quantification of flood risk with different return periods through numerical simulation. This article examines critical causes of compound coastal flooding, outlines the principal methodologies, details each method’s features, and compares their strengths, limitations, and uncertainties. This paper advocates for an integrated approach encompassing climate change, ocean–land systems, topography, human activity, land use, and hazard chains to enhance our understanding of flood risk mechanisms. This includes adopting an Earth system modeling framework with holistic coupling of Earth system components, merging process-based and data-driven models, enhancing model grid resolution, refining dynamical frameworks, comparing complex physical models with more straightforward methods, and exploring advanced data assimilation, machine learning, and quasi-real-time forecasting for researchers and emergency responders. Full article

The Oceans from Space V Symposium, held in Venice, Italy, on 24–27 October 2022, devoted special sessions to sea level rise, as described by a series of satellite altimeters, and to remediations of consequent calamities in vulnerable mediterranean seas. It emerged that various aspects of climate change can be modelled in time as a Single Exponential Event (SEE), with a similar trend (a 54–year e–folding time) for CO₂ concentration in the Earth’s atmosphere, global average sea surface temperature, and global average sea level. The sea level rise record, combining tide gauges data starting in 1850, as well as more recent altimeter data, for the last 30 years, is already 25 cm above historical values. If the curve continues to follow the exponential growth of the simple SEE model, it will reach about 40 cm by the year 2050, 1 m by 2100, and 2.5 m by 2150. As a result, dramatic impacts would be expected for most coastal areas in the next century. Decisive remediations, based on geo-engineering at the basin scale, are possible for semi-enclosed seas, such as the Mediterranean and Black Seas. Damming the Strait of Gibraltar would provide an alternative to the conclusion that coastal sites such as the City of Venice are inevitably doomed. Full article

Waterfront areas in cities are subject to constant changes. The desire to integrate the transformed waterside areas with the urban fabric involves shaping high-quality public spaces related to water, which are often referred to as urban blue spaces (UBS). The aim of the research was to examine the transformation processes of urban waterfront areas in the Baltic Sea Region and identify emerging transition models and types of blue public spaces. The methodological framework of this study is based on qualitative analysis of urban form with respect to coastal and riverine waters. An introductory analysis of 50 cases of transformations was conducted, and 12 were selected for further investigation: Tallinn, Pärnu (Estonia), Copenhagen, Køge, Aarhus (Denmark), Helsinki, Turku (Finland), Stockholm, Malmö, Luleå, Sundsvall, and Ystad (Sweden). As the outcome of the study, the authors indicate that the existing hard land–water interfaces were transformed into soft transition zones where new types of blue public spaces were created with different relationships to water. Synergies were identified between public space design, flood protection measures, and climate adaptation schemes. Finally, the findings highlight the need to verify the existing planning regulations and make them more flexible and effective in guiding the sustainable waterfront design processes. Full article

Climate change is expected to increase the risks of coastal hazards (erosion and inundation). To effectively cope with these emerging problems, littoral countries are advised to assess their coastal vulnerabilities. In this study, coastal vulnerability is first assessed by considering two basic storm-induced phenomena, i.e., erosion and inundation. First, the erosion is computed using the numerical model for Storm-induced BEAch CHange (SBEACH), whereas the inundation is estimated using two different empirical equations for comparison. Then, the integration of the vulnerabilities of both storm-induced impacts associated with the same return period permits the identification of the most hazardous regions. The methodology is applied to the coast of Thrace (Greece). The majority of the coastline is not vulnerable to erosion, except for some steep and narrow beaches and the coast along the city of Alexandroupolis. Beaches with very low heights are highly vulnerable to inundation. Half of the studied coastline is considered highly or very highly vulnerable, whereas the other half is relatively safe. The above results will help decision-makers choose how to invest their resources for preventing damage. Full article

Global warming and climate variations are expected to alter hydrologic conditions and exacerbate flooding, primarily through increasingly frequent and intense storm events and sea-level rise. The interactions between coastlines and their inhabitants around the world are highly diverse, making them challenging to model due to the non-homogeneous, nonlinear, and complex nature of human decision-making. Agent-based modeling has proven valuable in various fields, enabling researchers to explore various social phenomena and emergent patterns under different institutional frameworks, including climate change scenarios and policy decisions, particularly at local scales. This approach is particularly useful in providing insights into possible outcomes and feedback resulting from the convergence of individual- and community-level adaptation decisions, and it has increasingly been used to model coastal systems. However, there are a limited number of studies that examine the effects of climate adaptation decisions on coastal tourism systems. This paper aims to address this gap by first providing an overview of the current state of agent-based modeling literature that explores coastal community adaptation responses to climate change. Subsequently, the paper argues for the application of these methods to simulate the effects of adaptation on coastal tourism dynamics. To better capture the interactions within subsystems and potential redistributed effects inherent in multi-scale and multi-stakeholder decision-making processes within these systems, we propose integrating agent-based modeling with a novel system of socio-environmental systems (SoSES) approach. This integration aims to assist city planners, policymakers, stakeholders, and attraction managers in effectively assessing adaptation options to safeguard their communities from the multifaceted impacts of climate change. Full article