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Keywords = Western and Central Pacific Ocean

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23 pages, 3216 KiB  
Article
Spatial Prediction and Environmental Response of Skipjack Tuna Resources from the Perspective of Geographic Similarity: A Case Study of Purse Seine Fisheries in the Western and Central Pacific
by Shuyang Feng, Xiaoming Yang, Menghao Li, Zhoujia Hua, Siquan Tian and Jiangfeng Zhu
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1444; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081444 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 261
Abstract
Skipjack tuna constitutes a crucial fishery resource in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean (WCPO) purse seine fishery, with high economic value and exploitation potential. It also serves as an essential subject for studying the interaction between fishery resource dynamics and marine ecosystems, [...] Read more.
Skipjack tuna constitutes a crucial fishery resource in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean (WCPO) purse seine fishery, with high economic value and exploitation potential. It also serves as an essential subject for studying the interaction between fishery resource dynamics and marine ecosystems, as its resource abundance is significantly influenced by marine environmental factors. Skipjack tuna can be categorized into unassociated schools and associated schools, with the latter being predominant. Overfishing of the associated schools can adversely affect population health and the ecological environment. In-depth exploration of the spatial distribution responses of these two fish schools to environmental variables is significant for the rational development and utilization of tuna resources and for enhancing the sustainability of fishery resources. In sparsely sampled and complex marine environments, geographic similarity methods effectively predict tuna resources by quantifying local fishing ground environmental similarities. This study introduces geographical similarity theory. This study focused on 1° × 1° fishery data (2004–2021) released by the Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Commission (WCPFC) combined with relevant marine environmental data. We employed Geographical Convergent Cross Mapping (GCCM) to explore significant environmental factors influencing catch and variations in causal intensity and employed a Geographically Optimal Similarity (GOS) model to predict the spatial distribution of catch for the two types of tuna schools. The research findings indicate that the following: (1) Sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface salinity (SSS), and net primary productivity (NPP) are key factors in GCCM model analysis, significantly influencing the catch of two fish schools. (2) The GOS model exhibits higher prediction accuracy and stability compared to the Generalized Additive Model (GAM) and the Basic Configuration Similarity (BCS) model. R2 values reaching 0.656 and 0.649 for the two types of schools, respectively, suggest that the geographical similarity method has certain applicability and application potential in the spatial prediction of fishery resources. (3) Uncertainty analysis revealed more stable predictions for unassociated schools, with 72.65% of the results falling within the low-uncertainty range (0.00–0.25), compared to 52.65% for associated schools. This study, based on geographical similarity theory, elucidates differential spatial responses of distinct schools to environmental factors and provides a novel approach for fishing ground prediction. It also provides a scientific basis for the dynamic assessment and rational exploitation and utilization of skipjack tuna resources in the Pacific Ocean. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Marine Biology)
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12 pages, 2196 KiB  
Article
Post-El Niño Influence on Summer Monsoon Rainfall in Sri Lanka
by Pathmarasa Kajakokulan and Vinay Kumar
Water 2025, 17(11), 1664; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17111664 - 30 May 2025
Viewed by 823
Abstract
Sri Lanka typically experiences anomalously wet conditions during the summer following El Niño events, but this response varies due to El Niño complexity. This study investigates the impact of post-El Niño conditions on Sri Lanka’s Monsoon rainfall, contrasting summers after fast- and slow-decaying [...] Read more.
Sri Lanka typically experiences anomalously wet conditions during the summer following El Niño events, but this response varies due to El Niño complexity. This study investigates the impact of post-El Niño conditions on Sri Lanka’s Monsoon rainfall, contrasting summers after fast- and slow-decaying El Niño events. Results indicate that fast-decaying El Niño events lead to wet and cool summers while slow-decaying events result in dry and warm summers. These contrasting responses are linked to sea surface temperature (SST) changes in the central to eastern Pacific. During the fast-decaying El Niño, the transition to La Niña generates strong easterlies in the central and eastern Pacific, enhancing moisture convergence, upward motion, and cloud cover, resulting in wetter conditions over Sri Lanka. During the fast-decaying El Niño, enhanced precipitation over the Maritime Continent acts as a diabatic heating source, inducing Gill-type easterly wind anomalies over the tropical Pacific. These winds promote coupled feedbacks that accelerate the transition to La Niña, strengthening moisture convergence and upward motion over Sri Lanka. Conversely, slow-decaying El Niño events are associated with cooling in the western North Pacific and warming in the Indian Ocean, which promotes the development of the western North Pacific anticyclone, suppressing upward motion and reducing cloud cover, leading to conditions over Sri Lanka. Changes in the Walker circulation further contribute to these distinct rainfall patterns, highlighting its influence on regional climate dynamics. These findings enhance our understanding of the seasonal predictability of rainfall in Sri Lanka during post-El Niño Summers. Full article
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18 pages, 2058 KiB  
Article
Tridacna maxima ‘Rediscovered’ in the Eastern Indian Ocean
by Lisa Kirkendale, Peter Middelfart and Michael Amor
Diversity 2025, 17(6), 384; https://doi.org/10.3390/d17060384 - 29 May 2025
Viewed by 551
Abstract
Giant clams are ecologically important coral reef animals, with many species facing imminent local extinction. While many regions have undertaken recent assessments of their biodiversity assets, persistent gaps remain even in otherwise well-surveyed areas. This study sought to understand the geographic distribution of [...] Read more.
Giant clams are ecologically important coral reef animals, with many species facing imminent local extinction. While many regions have undertaken recent assessments of their biodiversity assets, persistent gaps remain even in otherwise well-surveyed areas. This study sought to understand the geographic distribution of smaller-bodied and morphologically similar giant clams, specifically Tridacna maxima and T. noae, in the eastern Indian Ocean. Due to the difficulties in reliably identifying these species using morphological characters, we confirmed species identity and investigated intraspecific variation using sequence data from the mitochondrial cytochrome C oxidase subunit I gene (COI). Seventy whole animal vouchers were newly sampled from a 1500 km span of remote northwestern Australian coastline over a decade, as part of an ongoing coral reef survey expedition of the Western Australian Museum and partners. Tridacna maxima had a limited distribution and was only genotyped from offshore oceanic reefs in the Rowley Shoals and Cocos Keeling Islands. In contrast, T. noae was well established beyond Ningaloo Reef, and was abundant at inshore sites throughout the Pilbara and Kimberley, and even offshore to Ashmore Reef. Phylogeographically, T. maxima did not group with conspecifics from the Western Pacific Ocean, including the east coast of Australia, but instead clustered with individuals from Malaysia, China, Taiwan, and Indonesia; T. noae exhibited a similar pattern. The affinity of Western Australian individuals with representatives from the Indo-Malay region and not eastern Australia will be an important consideration for these commercially important species. Novel haplotypes in both tested species occur in Western Australia. Continued sampling of eastern and central Indian Ocean giant clams, especially to continue to document the range of T. noae, is encouraged to understand connectivity in this basin. Together, these findings contribute to an improved baseline for conservation initiatives of these iconic coral reef animals in Western Australia. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Marine Diversity)
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16 pages, 2851 KiB  
Article
A Catch Community Diversity Analysis of Purse Seine in the Tropical Western and Central Pacific Ocean
by Jiaojiao Fei, Jian Zhang, Xiao Wang, Yuntao Wu and Yuxiu Teng
Fishes 2025, 10(4), 164; https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes10040164 - 7 Apr 2025
Viewed by 438
Abstract
Epipelagic fish communities dominate fish assemblages and are an important part of marine ecosystems due to their high abundance, vertical migration behavior, and global distribution. Purse seine fisheries are key components of marine fisheries in the tropical Western and Central Pacific Ocean (WCPO), [...] Read more.
Epipelagic fish communities dominate fish assemblages and are an important part of marine ecosystems due to their high abundance, vertical migration behavior, and global distribution. Purse seine fisheries are key components of marine fisheries in the tropical Western and Central Pacific Ocean (WCPO), primarily targeting skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis, SKJ), yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares, YFT), and bigeye tuna (Thunnus obesus, BET). In this study, WCPO purse seine fishery data from 2014 to 2022, combined with environmental factor data, were used, and Mantel tests and correlation analysis were employed to analyze the diversity, fish coexistence mechanisms, and environmental responses of catch communities under the following two different fishing strategies: free–swimming schools (FSCs) and drifting fish aggregating devices (DFADs). Mantel tests indicated that nitrate (NO3), the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI), and pH significantly impact the diversity of the FSCs community, whereas NO3 significantly affects the diversity of the DFADs community. Based on the correlation analysis results, in the FSCs community, yellowfin tuna was positively correlated with bigeye tuna, and yellowfin tuna was negatively correlated with skipjack tuna and black marlin (Istiompax indica, BLM). In the DFADs community, yellowfin tuna was only positively correlated with skipjack tuna and bigeye tuna. In addition, species with high correlations were also positively correlated. The results of this study provide a theoretical basis for the biodiversity conservation of catch communities under two different purse seine fishing strategies in the WCPO. Full article
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21 pages, 2053 KiB  
Article
A Multi-Type Ship Allocation and Routing Model for Multi-Product Oil Distribution in Indonesia with Inventory and Cost Minimization Considerations: A Mixed-Integer Linear Programming Approach
by Marudut Sirait, Peerayuth Charnsethikul and Naraphorn Paoprasert
Logistics 2025, 9(1), 35; https://doi.org/10.3390/logistics9010035 - 6 Mar 2025
Viewed by 1209
Abstract
Background: Indonesia is an archipelagic country with 17,508 islands spread over the Pacific and Indian Oceans, with thousands of inter-island routes requiring a large and engaged fleet. The vast expanse of the country also leads to challenges related to optimal fleet coverage, [...] Read more.
Background: Indonesia is an archipelagic country with 17,508 islands spread over the Pacific and Indian Oceans, with thousands of inter-island routes requiring a large and engaged fleet. The vast expanse of the country also leads to challenges related to optimal fleet coverage, routing, and oil distribution while maintaining cost-effectiveness and reliable supply. Methods: This study combined a mixed-integer linear-programming (MILP) model with a response surface methodology (RSM) approach to optimize vessel assignment, vessel routes, and inventory control simultaneously and comprehensively across three regional clusters (i.e., Western, Central, and Eastern Indonesia). The model takes into account a fleet of 28 vessels (13 medium range [MR] and 15 general purpose [GP]) that can distribute three oil products: gasoline, diesel, and kerosene. Results: The optimized solution yields 100% service reliability at an operational cost of $ 2.83 million per month—far lower than currently operating services. The model is robust against variations in demand (±20%), port congestion (±50%), and changing fuel prices (±50%), which is confirmed by a sensibility analysis. The close correlation coefficient (0.987) between the MILP and RSM results confirms the framework’s accuracy. At the same time, the critical performance factors were found to be vessel speed (13.5 knots), fleet size, and port operation time. Conclusions: The study offers a cost-efficient and data-intensive model that could be implemented as a maritime logistics framework, as well as potential areas for future work and insight for relevant stakeholders. Future research will have to integrate real-time data fusion, mainly due to the need for environmental and stochastic modeling methods to foster operational resilience in dynamic maritime business ecosystems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Maritime and Transport Logistics)
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17 pages, 4185 KiB  
Article
The Spatial Distribution Dynamics of Shark Bycatch by the Longline Fishery in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean
by Shengyao Xia, Jiaqi Wang, Xiaodi Gao, Yiwei Yang and Heyang Huang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(2), 315; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13020315 - 8 Feb 2025
Viewed by 1537
Abstract
Shark bycatch represents a substantial issue in the management of oceanic fisheries. Utilizing data on shark bycatch from the longline fishery, as released by the Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Commission, this study applied the boosted regression tree model to examine the impact [...] Read more.
Shark bycatch represents a substantial issue in the management of oceanic fisheries. Utilizing data on shark bycatch from the longline fishery, as released by the Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Commission, this study applied the boosted regression tree model to examine the impact of environmental factors on the bycatch per unit effort (BPUE) of key bycatch species, as well as to predict the spatial distribution dynamics of both BPUE and bycatch risk (BR). The findings emphasize that the oxygen concentration, sea surface temperature, and chlorophyll-a concentration are paramount to sharks’ BPUE. Furthermore, the study compared the variations in environmental preferences across diverse shark species, pinpointing key environmental attributes defining the ecological niches of distinct shark populations. The spatial predictions identified the hotspots of BPUE and BR for the bigeye thresher shark (Alopias superciliosus), longfin mako (Isurus paucus), silky shark (Carcharhinus falciformis), and oceanic whitetip shark (Carcharhinus longimanus) in tropical latitudes (10° S to 15° N), and for the blue shark (Prionace glauca) and shortfin mako (Isurus oxyrinchus) in temperate zones (south of 30° S or north of 30° N). The geometric center analysis indicated that all shark species exhibited large annual fluctuations in BPUE and BR, and most populations displayed significant shifting trends. Several grids (5° × 5°) were identified as high-risk areas due to their considerable contribution to bycatch. Furthermore, the geometric centers of BR were observed to shift eastward towards equatorial waters, compared to the geometric centers of BPUE. This underscores the necessity of considering factors beyond BPUE when identifying critical areas for the implementation of area-specific bycatch mitigation measures. The insights derived from this study can enhance and support the development and enforcement of targeted area-based fishery management initiatives. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Marine Ecology)
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21 pages, 10590 KiB  
Article
Examine the Role of Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures in Recent Meteorological Drought in Sudan
by Awad Hussien Ahmed Mohammed, Xiaolin Zhang and Mohamed Abdallah Ahmed Alriah
Atmosphere 2024, 15(10), 1194; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15101194 - 6 Oct 2024
Viewed by 1054
Abstract
Drought poses a serious threat to Sudan, causing water shortages, crop failures, hunger, and conflict. The relationships between Indo-Pacific teleconnections and drought events in Sudan are examined based on the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), anomalies, Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF), correlation, composite analysis, sequential [...] Read more.
Drought poses a serious threat to Sudan, causing water shortages, crop failures, hunger, and conflict. The relationships between Indo-Pacific teleconnections and drought events in Sudan are examined based on the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), anomalies, Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF), correlation, composite analysis, sequential Mann–Kendall test, and MK-trend test during the period of 1993–2022. The results of the SPI-1 values indicate that the extreme drought in Sudan in 2004 was an exceptional case that affected the entire region, with an SPI-1 value of −2 indicating extremely dry conditions. In addition, Sudan experienced moderate to severe drought conditions for several years (1993, 2002, 2008, 2009 and 2015). The Empirical Orthogonal Function showed that the first EOF mode (42.2%) was the dominant variability mode and had positive loading over most of the country, indicating consistent rainfall variation in the central, eastern, and western regions. Correlation analysis showed a strong significant relationship between June–September rainfall and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) (r ≤ 0.5). Furthermore, a weak positive influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) on JJAS precipitation was observed (r ≤ 0.14). Various time lags in the range of ±12 months were examined, with the highest correlation (0.6) found at 9 month among the time lags of ±12 months. This study contributes to a better understanding of drought dynamics and provides essential information for effective drought management in Sudan. Further research is needed to explore the specific mechanisms driving these interactions and to develop tailored strategies to mitigate the impacts of drought events in the future. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biosphere/Hydrosphere/Land–Atmosphere Interactions)
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17 pages, 9382 KiB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Variation and Influences of Acidification in the North Pacific, 1995–2019
by Xun Wang, Jie Wang, Jingjing Mao and Jiaming Liu
Water 2024, 16(18), 2705; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16182705 - 23 Sep 2024
Viewed by 1639
Abstract
The continuous rise in atmospheric CO2 levels has led to persistent ocean acidification, which negatively impacts marine environments crucial for marine life and alters the chemical composition of seawater. This phenomenon carries significant implications for human society. Utilizing surface seawater pH data [...] Read more.
The continuous rise in atmospheric CO2 levels has led to persistent ocean acidification, which negatively impacts marine environments crucial for marine life and alters the chemical composition of seawater. This phenomenon carries significant implications for human society. Utilizing surface seawater pH data from the North Pacific spanning 1995 to 2019, this study investigates the overall and localized spatiotemporal variations in pH within the region, as well as the factors influencing these variations. Additionally, it conducts a quantitative analysis of the different influencing factors. The findings reveal a consistent downward trend in surface seawater pH in the North Pacific, decreasing from 8.073 to 8.029, with notable seasonal variations. The highest pH values are recorded in winter, followed by spring, with lower values in autumn and summer. Spatially, the pH values are higher in the northwest and lower in the southeast, with the most pronounced acidification occurring in the central and western regions, while other areas exhibit more uniform acidification levels. Spatial correlation analysis indicates that surface seawater pH in the North Pacific generally shows a negative correlation with sea surface temperature (SST), salinity (SSS), and chlorophyll-a concentration (chl a) and a positive correlation with dissolved oxygen (DO). Among these factors, SST exerts the greatest influence on seawater pH, followed by DO and SSS. The degree of acidification varies across different regions, and the dominant influencing factors differ accordingly. In the equatorial central region (A), the primary factors are chl a and SST; in the eastern regions of China and Japan (B) and the western region of Canada (C), DO and SSS are the main controlling factors. An interaction analysis of each pair of dominant factors using the geodetector shows that their respective contributions to regions A, B, and C are 70%, 90%, and 50%, respectively. Understanding the primary factors driving acidification in different regions can aid in comprehending the biological and environmental impacts of acidification in those areas and provide valuable insights for mitigating marine acidification. Full article
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18 pages, 38471 KiB  
Article
Typhoon Intensity Change in the Vicinity of the Semi-Enclosed Sea of Japan
by Soo-Min Choi and Hyo Choi
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2024, 12(9), 1638; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12091638 - 13 Sep 2024
Viewed by 1460
Abstract
The intensity change of Typhoon Songda (TY-0418) in the vicinity of the semi-enclosed Sea of Japan (SJ) was numerically investigated using 3D-WRF and UM-KMA models and GOES-IR satellite images on 4 to 8 September 2004. After the typhoon originated in the Western Pacific [...] Read more.
The intensity change of Typhoon Songda (TY-0418) in the vicinity of the semi-enclosed Sea of Japan (SJ) was numerically investigated using 3D-WRF and UM-KMA models and GOES-IR satellite images on 4 to 8 September 2004. After the typhoon originated in the Western Pacific Ocean in August, it moved to the East China Sea. Following the north-eastward Kuroshio Warm Current, it developed with horizontal and vertical asymmetrical wind and moisture patterns until 5 September. On 7 September, closing to the Kyushu Island, it was divided into three wind fields near the surface due to the increased friction from the surrounding lands and shallower sea depth close to the land, but it still maintained its circular shape over 1 km in height. As it passed by the Korea Strait and entered the SJ, it became a smaller, deformed typhoon due to the SJ’s surrounding mountains, located between the East Korea and Tsushima Warm Currents inside the SJ. Its center matched a high equivalent potential temperature area, releasing significant latent heat through the condensation of water particles over warm currents. The latent heat converted to kinetic energy could be supplied into the typhoon circulation, causing its development. Moist flux and streamline at 1.5 km in height clearly showed the moisture transportation via the mutual interaction of the cyclonic circulation of the typhoon and the anti-cyclonic circulation of the North Pacific High Pressure from the typhoon’s tail toward both the center of the SJ and the Russian Sakhalin Island in the north of Japan, directly causing large clouds in its right quadrant. Simultaneously, the central pressure decrease with time could converge both transported moist air by the typhoon itself and water particles evaporated from the sea, causing them to rise and resulting in the formation of large clouds and the rapid development of the typhoon circulation. The strong downslope winds from the surrounding mountains of the SJ to its center also produced a cyclonic vortex due to the Coriolis force to the right, enhancing the typhoon’s circulation. Full article
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20 pages, 14849 KiB  
Article
Comparison of the Impacts of Sea Surface Temperature in the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean on the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone and Water Vapor in the Upper Troposphere
by Luyao Chao, Hongying Tian, Xiaoxu Tu, Jiaying Jiang and Kailong Shen
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(16), 2922; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16162922 - 9 Aug 2024
Viewed by 1484
Abstract
The variation in the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone (ASMA) has long been of interest due to its effects on the weather and climate, as well as the vertical transport of pollutants in South Asia and East Asia. This study employs composite analysis to [...] Read more.
The variation in the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone (ASMA) has long been of interest due to its effects on the weather and climate, as well as the vertical transport of pollutants in South Asia and East Asia. This study employs composite analysis to investigate the differences in the influences of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the Western Pacific (WP) and the Indian Ocean (IO) on the ASMA and water vapor in the upper troposphere during summer. The underlying physical mechanisms were further explored. The results indicate that the warm SSTs in the WP have a greater impact on the intensity of the ASMA than those in the IO in summer. On the contrary, the cold SSTs in the IO have a greater impact on intensity of the ASMA than those in the WP in summer. The difference in the impact of SSTs in the WP and IO on the boundaries of the ASMA is relatively small. During positive SST anomalies in the WP, the increase in tropospheric temperature in South Asia and the strengthening of Walker circulation in the WP both contribute to the enhancement of the ASMA. The variations in tropospheric temperature and Walker circulation caused by positive SST anomalies in the IO are similar to those in the WP, except that the rising branch of the Walker circulation is located in the central and western IO. The decrease in SST in the WP region causes insignificant changes in the ASMA. During the cold SST period in the IO, the significant decrease in tropospheric temperature and the weakening of the Walker circulation in the IO region lead to a significant decrease in the intensity of the ASMA at the southern ASMA. When the SST in the WP and IO regions is warmer, the high value centers of water vapor in the troposphere generally coincide with the high value centers of temperature, accompanied by enhanced convection, significantly increasing the water vapor south of the ASMA. The anomalous sinking movement in the Western Pacific leads to relatively small changes in water vapor from the near-surface to 150 hPa over the southeast of the ASMA. Full article
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21 pages, 3348 KiB  
Article
The Use of the GWPCA-MGWR Model for Studying Spatial Relationships between Environmental Variables and Longline Catches of Yellowfin Tunas
by Menghao Li, Xiaoming Yang, Yue Wang, Yuhan Wang and Jiangfeng Zhu
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2024, 12(6), 1002; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12061002 - 15 Jun 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1758
Abstract
The yellowfin tuna represents a significant fishery resource in the Pacific Ocean. Its resource endowment status and spatial variation mechanisms are intricately influenced by marine environments, particularly under varying climate events. Consequently, investigating the spatial variation patterns of dominant environmental factors under diverse [...] Read more.
The yellowfin tuna represents a significant fishery resource in the Pacific Ocean. Its resource endowment status and spatial variation mechanisms are intricately influenced by marine environments, particularly under varying climate events. Consequently, investigating the spatial variation patterns of dominant environmental factors under diverse climate conditions, and understanding the response of yellowfin tuna catch volume based on the spatial heterogeneity among these environmental factors, presents a formidable challenge. This paper utilizes comprehensive 5°×5° yellowfin tuna longline fishing data and environmental data, including seawater temperature and salinity, published by the Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Commission (WCPFC) and the Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission (IATTC) for the period 2000–2021 in the Pacific Ocean. In conjunction with the Niño index, a multiscale geographically weighted regression model based on geographically weighted principal component analysis (GWPCA-MGWR) and spatial association between zones (SABZ) is employed for this study. The results indicate the following: (1) The spatial distribution of dominant environmental factors affecting the catch of Pacific yellowfin tuna is primarily divided into two types: seawater temperature dominates in the western Pacific Ocean, while salinity dominates in the eastern Pacific Ocean. When El Niño occurs, the area with seawater temperature as the dominant environmental factor in the western Pacific Ocean further extends eastward, and the water layers where the dominant environmental factors are located develop to deeper depths; when La Niña occurs, there is a clear westward expansion in the area with seawater salinity as the dominant factor in the eastern Pacific Ocean. This change in the spatial distribution pattern of dominant factors is closely related to the movement of the position of the warm pool and cold tongue under ENSO events. (2) The areas with a higher catch of Pacific yellowfin tuna are spatially associated with the dominant environmental factor of mid-deep seawater temperature (105–155 m temperature) to a greater extent than other factors, the highest correlation exceeds 70%, and remain relatively stable under different ENSO events. The formation of this spatial association pattern is related to the vertical movement of yellowfin tuna as affected by subsurface seawater temperature. (3) The GWPCA-MGWR model can fully capture the differences in environmental variability among subregions in the Pacific Ocean under different climatic backgrounds, intuitively reflect the changing areas and influencing boundaries from a macro perspective, and has a relatively accurate prediction on the trend of yellowfin tuna catch in the Pacific Ocean. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Marine Environmental Science)
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18 pages, 3898 KiB  
Article
Risk Assessment of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in China Based on Hazard Risk Theory
by Jin Xu, Xinyue Xue, Bo Yang, Wen Wang, Wenxiang Wu and Xiaodong Ji
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(12), 5126; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14125126 - 12 Jun 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1313
Abstract
As a frequent hazard, tropical cyclones have a great impact on the social and economic development of China, which is close to the origin of tropical cyclones in the western Pacific Ocean. The primary objective of this study was to construct a comprehensive [...] Read more.
As a frequent hazard, tropical cyclones have a great impact on the social and economic development of China, which is close to the origin of tropical cyclones in the western Pacific Ocean. The primary objective of this study was to construct a comprehensive risk assessment model for tropical cyclone hazards based on natural influencing factors, informing recommendations for hazard prevention and mitigation in affected regions. This research focused on tropical cyclones that made landfall in mainland China and Hainan from 1949 to 2023, utilizing hazard risk theory and classical extreme value theory. The wind speed and rainfall data during the peak cyclone periods (June to October) from 1997 to 2021 gathered from various meteorological stations, as well as altitude and vegetation cover data, were examined. Hierarchical analysis and ArcGIS spatial analysis methods were employed to study the characteristics of the spatiotemporal distribution of landfalling tropical cyclones and the comprehensive risk of tropical cyclone hazards, and the regions of China were delineated according to these methods. The results showed that, during the period from 1949 to 2023, the overall number of landfalling tropical cyclones decreased in a fluctuating manner, while the intensity of the cyclones increased. Furthermore, severe typhoons tended to occur more frequently in the summer than autumn with time, intensifying the challenge to resist short-term hazards. Moreover, the hazard-causing factors in areas affected by tropical cyclones displayed an increasing trend from north to south and from west to east. In detail, the regions sensitive to natural hazards were primarily located in the central part of Liaoning province, Tianjin, central and eastern Hebei province, Shandong province, eastern Henan province, central and northern Anhui province, Jiangsu province, and Shanghai, which are characterized by flat terrain and relatively low vegetation cover. Overall, the comprehensive risk of tropical cyclone hazards showed a geographical distribution that decreases from south to north and from east to west, with coastal cities in provinces such as Hainan, Guangdong, Guangxi, Fujian, and Zhejiang—including Haikou, Zhanjiang, Xiamen, Beihai, and Taizhou—exhibiting the highest levels of risk. Full article
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28 pages, 2875 KiB  
Article
Ocean Surface Warming and Long-Term Variability in Rainfall in Equatorial Pacific Atolls
by Ian White, Tony Falkland and Farran Redfern
Atmosphere 2024, 15(6), 666; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15060666 - 31 May 2024
Viewed by 932
Abstract
Freshwater availability in Pacific equatorial atolls is highly variable because of the influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on rainfall. IPCC projections for the central and western tropical Pacific suggest annual rainfall (Pa) will increase as sea surface temperature (SST) rises. [...] Read more.
Freshwater availability in Pacific equatorial atolls is highly variable because of the influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on rainfall. IPCC projections for the central and western tropical Pacific suggest annual rainfall (Pa) will increase as sea surface temperature (SST) rises. Future changes in ENSO frequency and intensity and in hydrological droughts, however, are uncertain. Here, trends in monthly, seasonal, annual, annual maximum, and minimum rainfall in two equatorial atolls in the eastern and central tropical Pacific are compared with trends in the SST of the surrounding Nino regions from 1951 to 2023. Significant increasing trends in the warm season, annual, and annual maximum SST in the Nino1 + 2, Nino3, and Nino4 regions were of order +1.0 °C/100 y. There were no significant trends in the cool season or annual minimum SST. Despite ocean warming, there were no significant trends in atoll Pa, in intra-annual or interannual variability over 7 decades for either SST or Pa, or in the relative strengths of warm/cool and wet/dry seasons. Extreme, large Pa only occurred after 1987, indicative of ocean warming. Extreme, small Pa happened throughout the period, suggesting no change in drought frequency. Correlations between 12-month P and SST were very strong, with historic rates of increases in Pa of around 1200 mm/y/°C, consistent with projections. The results indicate that the recharge of atoll groundwater will increase as oceans warm, but droughts will remain a major challenge. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue The Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources)
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13 pages, 43650 KiB  
Article
Modulation of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Center Stagnation on Typhoon Genesis over the Western North Pacific
by Chun-qiao Lin, Ling-li Fan, Xu-zhe Chen, Jia-Hao Li and Jian-jun Xu
Atmosphere 2024, 15(3), 373; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15030373 - 18 Mar 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1764
Abstract
Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) modulates the generation of typhoons (TYs) in the western North Pacific (WNP). Using IBTrACS v04 tropical cyclone best path data, ERA5 reanalysis data, and the MJO index from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), this paper defines an index to describe [...] Read more.
Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) modulates the generation of typhoons (TYs) in the western North Pacific (WNP). Using IBTrACS v04 tropical cyclone best path data, ERA5 reanalysis data, and the MJO index from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), this paper defines an index to describe the persistent anomalies of the MJO and to examine the statistical characteristics of TYs over 44 years (1978–2021), focusing on the analysis of major differences in environmental conditions after the removal of the ENSO signal over the WNP. The results indicate that the persistent anomalous state of the MJO influences the change in large-scale environmental factors, which, in turn, affects the generation of TYs, as follows: (1) For the I high-value years, the center of the MJO stagnates in the Indian Ocean–South China Sea (SCS), the monsoon trough retreats westward, the warm pool becomes warmer, and the Walker circulation is enhanced. There is stronger upper-level divergence and low-level convergence, larger low-level relative vorticity, higher mid-level relative humidity, and smaller vertical wind shear in the SCS and the seas near the Philippines. Consequently, these conditions foster a conducive environment for TY genesis in the SCS and the seas near the Philippines. (2) For the I low-value years, the center of the MJO stagnates in the WNP–North America region, the monsoon trough extends eastward, the warm pool becomes colder, and the Walker circulation is weakened. Consequently, these conditions are more likely to facilitate TY genesis in the central–eastern WNP. The results show that persistent anomalies in MJO active centers can effectively improve the predictive ability of TY frequency. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)
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20 pages, 5408 KiB  
Article
From Microscale Interactions to Macroscale Patterns in Copepod–Crinoid Symbiosis
by Oksana A. Korzhavina, Natalia V. Gubareva, Andrey V. Kitashov, Temir A. Britayev and Viatcheslav N. Ivanenko
Animals 2024, 14(6), 877; https://doi.org/10.3390/ani14060877 - 13 Mar 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1507
Abstract
Crinoids (Echinodermata) exhibit unique morphological and behavioral characteristics that facilitate a wide range of symbiotic relationships with diverse organisms. Our comprehension of their interactions with microscopic copepod crustaceans is, however, still in a nascent and fragmented state. Here, we review and discuss the [...] Read more.
Crinoids (Echinodermata) exhibit unique morphological and behavioral characteristics that facilitate a wide range of symbiotic relationships with diverse organisms. Our comprehension of their interactions with microscopic copepod crustaceans is, however, still in a nascent and fragmented state. Here, we review and discuss the 166 literature records to date in which a total of 39 copepod species in 6 families have been reported in association with 33 species of the crinoid order Comatulida. Many of these associations have been reported just once. The respective localities cover 5 of the World Ocean’s 12 ecoregions, with a notable concentration of both host and symbiont diversity in the Central and Western Indo-Pacific. In contrast, the documentation of copepod–crinoid associations in the Atlantic appears markedly limited. Copepods have been found predominantly in ectosymbiotic relationships with crinoids, with a lower incidence of endosymbiosis. Copepods of the genera Collocheres Canu, 1893 and Pseudanthessius Claus, 1889 are particularly prominent in the list, and the comatulid family Comatulidae displays the most diverse assortment of copepod associations. The current scope of knowledge encompasses a mere 5% of the potential crinoid host diversity, underscoring the need for more extensive research in this area. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Aquatic Animals)
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