Search Results (11)

Glaciers, often regarded as “frozen reservoirs”, play a crucial role in replenishing numerous rivers in arid regions, contributing to ecological balance and managing river flow. Recently, the rapid shrinkage of the glaciers in the East Tianshan Mountains has affected the water quantity in the Karez system. However, studies on glacier changes in this region are limited, and recent data are scarce. This study utilizes annual Landsat composite images from 1990 to 2022 obtained via the Google Earth Engine (GEE). It utilizes a ratio threshold approach in conjunction with visual analysis to gather the glacier dataset specific to the Turpan–Hami region. The Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM) is used to model the flowlines and mass balance of around 300 glaciers. The study analyzes the glacier change trends, distribution characteristics, and responses to climate factors in the Turpan–Hami region over the past 30 years. Additionally, future glacier changes through the end of the century are projected using CMIP6 climate data. The findings indicate that the following: (1) From 1990 to 2022, glaciers in the research area underwent considerable retreat. The total glacier area decreased from 204.04 ± 0.887 km² to 133.52 ± 0.742 km², a reduction of 70.52 km², representing a retreat rate of 34.56%. The number of glaciers also decreased from 304 in 1990 to 236 in 2022. The glacier length decreased by an average of 7.54 m·a⁻¹, with the average mass balance at −0.34 m w.e.·a⁻¹, indicating a long-term loss of glacier mass. (2) Future projections to 2100 indicate that under three climate scenarios, the area covered by glaciers could diminish by 89%, or 99%, or even vanish entirely. In the SSP585 scenario, glaciers are projected to nearly disappear by 2057. (3) Rising temperatures and solar radiation are the primary factors driving glacier retreat in the Turpan–Hami area. Especially under high emission scenarios, climate warming will accelerate the glacier retreat process. Full article

Glaciers are one of the most important water resources in the arid regions of Xinjiang, making it crucial to accurately monitor glacier changes for the region’s sustainable development. However, due to their typical distribution in remote, high-altitude areas, large-scale and long-term field observations are often constrained by the high costs of manpower, resources, and finances. Globally, fewer than 40 glaciers have been monitored for more than 20 years, and, in China, only Glacier No. 1 at the headwaters of the Urumqi River has monitoring records exceeding 50 years. To address these challenges, this study analyzed glacier changes in the Tomur Peak region of the Tianshan Mountains over the past 35 years using Landsat satellite imagery. Through experiments with deep learning models, the results show that the 3-4-5 band combination performed best for glacier boundary extraction. The DeepLabV3+ model, with MobileNetV2 as the backbone, achieved an overall accuracy of 90.44%, a recall rate of 82.75%, and a mean Intersection over Union (IoU) that was 1.6 to 5.94 percentage points higher than other models. Based on these findings, the study further analyzed glacier changes in the Tomur Peak region, revealing an average annual glacier reduction rate of 0.18% and a retreat rate of 6.97 km²·a⁻¹ over the past 35 years. This research provides a more precise and comprehensive scientific reference for understanding glacier changes in arid regions, with significant implications for enhancing our understanding of the impacts of climate change on glaciers, optimizing water resource management, and promoting regional sustainable development. Full article

The northern Tianshans region in the arid zone of northwestern China plays a key role in promoting high-quality development of the ecological environment. In recent years, ecological environmental protection in this region has encountered major challenges due to the dual impacts of human activities and natural changes. In order to accurately assess the current status of the ecological environment in the northern Tianshans, this study analyzed the spatial and temporal changes in land use and ecological and environmental effects using land use data from 2000 to 2020 and explored the current status of land use, land use dynamic process, and ecosystem service value (ESV) in the region. Two-factor spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed the spatio-temporal characteristics of the value changes over the 20-year period as well as their spatial heterogeneity. The results show that: (1) land use changes are dominated by increases in cultivated land, forest land, watershed, and wetland, and decreases in grassland, glacier snow, and bare land. Of these changes, the expansion of cultivated land area is the most significant, showing a total increase of 1136.13 × 10³ hm². (2) The ESV increased and then decreased, reaching the highest value in 2005 and the lowest in 2020. The value of individual ecosystem services is dominated by regulating services, accounting for about 67% of the total value. (3) The overall regional balance of ecological environment quality and the contribution rate of the conversion from bare land to other land types is as high as 82.7986%, constituting the main factor in regional ecological environment improvement. The spatial distribution pattern exhibits the characteristic of “high in the northeast and low in the southwest”. (4) There is a positive correlation between the ESV, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and the Anthropogenic Impact Composite Index, with the NDVI being the main cause of spatial heterogeneity in the ESV. The research results provide a scientific basis for ecological protection, land management, and policy formulation in the northern foothills of the Tianshan Mountains and are of great significance for promoting regional sustainable development. Full article

Glaciers retreating due to global warming create important new habitats, particularly suitable for studying ecosystem development where nitrogen is a limiting factor. Nitrogen availability mainly results from microbial decomposition and transformation processes, including nitrification. AOA and AOB perform the first and rate-limiting step of nitrification. Investigating the abundance and diversity of AOA and AOB is essential for understanding early ecosystem development. The dynamics of AOA and AOB community structure along a soil chronosequence in Tianshan No. 1 Glacier foreland were analyzed using qPCR and clone library methods. The results consistently showed low quantities of both AOA and AOB throughout the chronosequence. Initially, the copy numbers of AOB were higher than those of AOA, but they decreased in later stages. The AOB community was dominated by “Nitrosospira cluster ME”, while the AOA community was dominated by “the soil and sediment 1”. Both communities were potentially connected to supra- and subglacial microbial communities during early stages. Correlation analysis revealed a significant positive correlation between the ratios of AOA and AOB with soil ammonium and total nitrogen levels. These results suggest that variations in abundance and diversity of AOA and AOB along the chronosequences were influenced by ammonium availability during glacier retreat. Full article

Alpine glaciers are sensitive indicators of regional climate change, which can affect regional ecological stability and social development. Variations in glacier mass balance (GMB) are an important parameter in studying glacier change. In this study, data from the Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite-1 (ICESat-1), the Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2), and CryoSat-2 (Ku-band) were combined, and high-resolution ALOS DEM was employed to denoise. After that, the polynomial fitting method was used to analyze the characteristics of glacier surface elevation (GSE) variations from 2003–2020 in the Tomur Peak Region of the Central Asian Tianshan Mountains and the regional GMB was calculated. Research results showed that: (1) From 2003–2020, the GSE of the Tomur Peak Region had an overall −8.95 ± 4.48 m variation, the average rate of which was −0.53 ± 0.26 m/yr (/yr is /year). Overall, elevations of most glaciers in the Tomur Peak Region had downward trends, with a rate of change of −0.5 to 0 m/yr. The fastest rate of elevation decline in the Koxkar Glacier Tongue was −1.5 m/yr. The elevation of some altimetric points in the Eastern Tomur Peak Region showed a rising state, with a maximum rate of variation of 1.0 m/yr. (2) From 2003–2020, the average GMB in the Tomur Peak Region was −1.51 ± 0.04 Gt/yr. In the region of elevation below 4000 m, small glaciers dominated, with a GMB of −0.61 ± 0.04 Gt/yr. With increasing elevation, the melting rate of glaciers gradually slowed down, but overall, the mass balance remained in a state of decline. (3) Climate was the main driving factor of GMB change in the study area. From 2003–2020, in the Tomur Peak Region, the average annual temperature continued to increase at a rate of 0.04 ± 0.02 °C/yr, and this was the main influencing factor for the negative GMB in the Tomur Peak Region. In the same period, the annual precipitation showed a rising trend with a linear variation rate of 0.12 ± 0.06 mm/yr, and the rising precipitation was the influencing factor for the gradually slowing change in the GMB in the study area. Full article

The elevation of the snowline of the No. 1 Glacier in the Tianshan Mountains is increasing due to global warming, which has created favorable conditions for moss invasion and offers an opportunity to investigate the synergistic effects of incipient succession by mosses, plants, and soils. In this study, the concept of altitude distance was used instead of succession time. To investigate the changes of bacterial-community diversity in moss-covered soils during glacial degeneration, the relationship between bacterial community structure and environmental factors was analyzed and valuable microorganisms in moss-covered soils were explored. To do so, the determination of soil physicochemical properties, high-throughput sequencing, the screening of ACC-deaminase-producing bacteria, and the determination of ACC-deaminase activity of strains were performed on five moss-covered soils at different elevations. The results showed that the soil total potassium content, soil available phosphorus content, soil available potassium content, and soil organic-matter content of the AY3550 sample belt were significantly different compared with those of other sample belts (p < 0.05). Secondly, there was a significant difference (p < 0.05) in the ACE index or Chao1 index between the moss-covered-soil AY3550 sample-belt and the AY3750 sample-belt bacterial communities as the succession progressed. The results of PCA analysis, RDA analysis, and cluster analysis at the genus level showed that the community structure of the AY3550 sample belt and the other four sample belts differed greatly and could be divided into two successional stages. The enzyme activities of the 33 ACC-deaminase-producing bacteria isolated and purified from moss-covered soil at different altitudes ranged from 0.067 to 4.7375 U/mg, with strains DY1–3, DY1–4, and EY2–5 having the highest enzyme activities. All three strains were identified as Pseudomonas by morphology, physiology, biochemistry, and molecular biology. This study provides a basis for the changes in moss-covered soil microhabitats during glacial degradation under the synergistic effects of moss, soil, and microbial communities, as well as a theoretical basis for the excavation of valuable microorganisms under glacial moss-covered soils. Full article

Accurately capturing the changing patterns of ecological quality in the urban agglomeration on the northern slopes of the Tianshan Mountains (UANSTM) and researching its significant impacts responds to the requirements of high-quality sustainable urban development. In this study, the spatial and temporal distribution patterns of remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) were obtained by normalization and PCA transformation of four basic indicators based on Landsat images. It then employed geographic detectors to analyze the factors that influence ecological change. The result demonstrates that: (1) In the distribution of land use conversions and degrees of human disturbance, built-up land, principally urban land, and agricultural land, represented by dry land, are rising, while the shrinkage of grassland is the most substantial. The degree of human disturbance is increasing overall for glaciers. (2) The overall ecological environment of the northern slopes of Tianshan is relatively poor. Temporally, the ecological quality changes and fluctuates, with an overall rising trend. Spatially, ecological quality is low in the north and south and high in the center, with high values concentrated in the mountains and agriculture and low values in the Gobi and desert. However, on a large scale, the ecological quality of the Urumqi–Changji–Shihezi metropolitan area has worsened dramatically compared to other regions. (3) Driving factor detection showed that LST and NDVI were the most critical influencing factors, with an upward trend in the influence of WET. Typically, LST has the biggest influence on RSEI when interacting with NDVI. In terms of the broader region, the influence of social factors is smaller, but the role of human interference in the built-up area of the oasis city can be found to be more significant at large scales. The study shows that it is necessary to strengthen ecological conservation efforts in the UANSTM region, focusing on the impact of urban and agricultural land expansion on surface temperature and vegetation. Full article

Glacier mass balance can visually indicate the degree of glacier response to climate change. The mountain glaciers are an essential source of recharge for rivers in arid regions and play a vital role in maintaining regional ecological stability and production life. This paper drives a spatially distributed degree-day model using multi-source remote sensing data such as MOD11C3 and TRMM3B43 to simulate the mass balance in the Tianshan Mountains’ south and north slope basins. The spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the mass balance was compared and attributed using a Geographical detector. The results show that: (1) The glaciers in the north and south basins are mainly distributed at an altitude of 3900–4300 m, and the total glacier area accounts for 85.71%. The number of less than 1 km² glaciers is the most in the whole region. (2) During the study period, the glaciers in the north and south basins were negative (−465.95 mm w.e.) an entire interannual change rate was −28.36 mm w.e./a. The overall trend of ablation can be divided into two stages: from 2000 to 2010a, the persistence increased, and from 2010 to 2016a, the volatility decreased. (3) In the attribution of mass balance, the factors affecting glacier mass balance can be divided into two parts: climate and topography. The cumulative contribution rate of climate factors in Kaidu is nearly 20% higher than that of topographic factors, but the contribution rate of climate factors in Manas is only 7.3% higher. Therefore, the change of glacier mass balance in the Kaidu river basin is more driven by climate factors, while the glacier mass balance in the Manas river basin is more affected by the combination of climate and topographic factors. (4) The climate accumulation is the dominant factor in the Manas river basin (69.55%); for the ablation area, the Kaidu river basin is dominated by climate (70.85%), and the Manas river basin is dominated by topographic factors (54.11%). Due to the driving force of climate and topographic factors and the different coupling modes, glacier mass balance’s spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the north and south slope basins is caused. This study contributes to analyzing the mechanism of regional changes in the glacier mass balance. It provides a scientific basis for investigating the characteristics of water resource changes and water resource regulation in the north and south slope basins of the Tianshan Mountains. Full article

Global warming affects the hydrological characteristics of the cryosphere. In arid and semi-arid regions where precipitation is scarce, glaciers and snowmelt water assume important recharge sources for downstream rivers. Therefore, the simulation of snowmelt water runoff in mountainous areas is of great significance in hydrological research. In this paper, taking the Hutubi River Basin in the Tianshan Mountains as the study area, we used the “MODIS Daily Cloud-free Snow Cover 500 m Dataset over China” (MODIS_CGF_SCE) to carry out the Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) simulation and evaluated the simulation accuracy. The results showed that: (1) The SRM preferably simulated the characteristics of the average daily flow variation of the Hutubi River from May to October, from 2003–2009. The monthly total runoff was maximum in July and minimum in October. Extreme precipitation events influenced the formation of flood peaks, and the interannual variation trend of total runoff from May to October was increased. (2) The mean value of the volume difference (${\mathrm{D}}_{\mathrm{V}}$) during the model validation period was 8.85%, and the coefficient of determination (${\mathrm{R}}^2$) was 0.73. In general, the SRM underestimates the runoff of the Hutubi River, and the simulation accuracy is more accurate in the normal water period than in the high-water period. (3) By analyzing MODIS_CGF_SCE from 2003 to 2009, areas above 3200 m elevation in the Hutubi River Basin were classified as permanent snow areas, and areas below 3200 m were classified as seasonal snow areas. In October, the snow area in the Hutubi River Basin gradually increased, and the increase in snow cover in the permanent snow area was greater than that in the seasonal snow area. The snowmelt period was from March to May in the seasonal snow area and from May to early July in the permanent snow area, and the minimum snow cover was 0.7%. Full article

Glaciers are vital to water resources in the arid land of central Asia. Long-term runoff records in the glacierized area are particularly valuable in terms of evaluating glacier recession and water resource change on both a regional and global scale. The runoff records of streams draining basins with 46% current glacier cover, located at the Urumqi Glacier No. 1 in the source area of the Urumqi River in eastern Tianshan, central Asia, were examined for the purpose of assessing climatic and glacial influences on temporal patterns of streamflow for the period 1959–2018. Results suggest that runoff from the catchment correlates well with temperature and associated precipitation data. During the period 1993–2018, it increased by 114.39 × 10⁴ m³, which was 1.7 times the average runoff during the period 1959–1992. A simple water balance model is introduced to calculate the different components of the runoff, including precipitation runoff from glacier surface and from nonglacial areas, glacier mass balance and glacial runoff. Thus, the long-term change of each component and its response to climate change are revealed. We found that the period 1997–2018 is likely to be the “peak water” (tipping point) of the glacial runoff resulting from shrinkage of glacier area. Full article

Most small glaciers in the world have significantly decreased their volume during the last century, which has caused water shortage problems. Glacier No. 1, at the headwaters of the Urumqi River, Tianshan, China, has been monitored since 1959 and similarly has experienced significant mass and volume losses over the last few decades. Thus, we examined the trend and potential abrupt changes of the mass balance of Glacier No. 1. Principal component analysis and singular value decomposition were used to find significant relations between the mass balance of Glacier No. 1 and Northern Hemisphere teleconnection patterns using climate indices. It was found that the mass balance of Glacier No. 1 had a significantly decreasing trend corresponding to −14.5 mm/year from 1959 to 2010. A change point was detected in 1997 with 99% confidence level. Two time periods with different mass balances were identified as 1959–1996 and 1997–2010. The mass balance for the first period was −136.4 mm/year and up to −663.9 mm/year for the second period. The mass balance of Glacier No. 1 is positively related to the Scandinavian Pattern (SCA), and negatively related to the East Atlantic Pattern (EA). These relationships are useful in better understanding the interaction between glacier mass balance and climate variability. Full article