Search Results (34)

Heating and cooling (H&C) accounts for approximately 50% of the European Union’s (EU) total energy demand and remains significantly reliant on imported fossil fuels. Hence, addressing the decarbonization of the H&C sector is key to achieving a successful energy transition. At the EU level, several legislative instruments within the Fit for 55 package directly target the decarbonization of H&C, including the core directives on renewable energy, energy efficiency, and the energy performance of buildings. At the national level, EU Member States (MSs) have developed National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs), which are the main framework for defining national energy transition strategies, including measures to address H&C. Within the EU-funded REDI4HEAT project, a guideline was developed to support the assessment of policy documents—particularly NECPs—regarding the robustness of their policies and measures for decarbonizing H&C. This assessment framework supports the identification of gaps and opportunities through six key Strategic Policy Priority (SPP) areas, offering a set of policy options that can be further elaborated into effective measures. The design of these policy measures is informed by the Knowledge Sharing Centre—an online repository of replicable and adaptable initiatives that can be tailored to the specific geographical, social, and economic contexts of each MS. Full article

The study examines the role of heat pumps (HPs) in achieving the targets set by the Italian National Integrated Energy and Climate Plan (PNIEC) for 2030, using official data and European-recognized calculation methodologies to quantify the renewable energy produced. Starting from the current stock analysis—21 million HPs installed in 2022, providing 39 GW_th of thermal capacity—the research outlines potential growth scenarios based on installation trends from the past three years: Scenario A assumes 2.5 million HPs/year, (b) 2.2 million/year, and (c) 1.6 million/year. Only Scenario A, the most ambitious, achieves full compliance with 2030 targets by ensuring over 4723 ktoe of renewable energy produced. An additional Scenario D is analyzed, based on the lowest annual installed capacity observed in the past three years but with a modified technology mix emphasizing air-to-water (A/W) and ground-source water-to-water (W/W) HPs. This scenario still achieves the 2030 goals, reaching 66.04 GW_th and 4859 ktoe of renewable energy. The results confirm that technology choices will be strategic to meet the targets. The study also highlights the importance of stable incentive policies, proper development of the industrial supply chain, and a plan for the technological upgrading of the existing systems stock. Full article

This paper analyses Poland’s participation in implementing European climate policy within the framework of the National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP), looking toward 2040. It assesses the feasibility of Poland’s commitments to the European Union’s decarbonisation targets, particularly with regard to transitioning from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources and nuclear power. The study highlights the challenges related to the speed of the energy transition, the security of electricity supply, and the competitiveness of the national economy. The study also assesses the energy mix scenarios proposed in the NECP, taking into account historical energy consumption data, economic and demographic projections, and expert analyses of energy security. It also critically examines the risks of delayed investment in nuclear and offshore wind, the potential shortfall in renewable energy infrastructure, and the need for transitional solutions, including coal and gas generation. An alternative scenario is proposed to mitigate potential energy supply shortfalls between 2035 and 2040, highlighting the role of energy storage, strategic reserves, and the maintenance of certain fossil fuel capacities. Poland’s energy policy should prioritize flexibility and synchronization with EU objectives, while ensuring economic stability and technological feasibility. The analysis underlines that the sustainable development of the national energy system requires not only alignment with European climate goals, but also a long-term balance between environmental responsibility, energy affordability, and security. Strengthening the sustainability dimension in energy policy decisions—by integrating resilience, renewability, and social acceptance—is essential to ensure a just and enduring energy transition. Full article

The long-term rise in energy prices leads to reduced consumption, negatively impacting the efficiency of centralized heat supply systems (CHSS). As a result, it is necessary to address the economically inefficient preparation of hot water (HW) at heat transfer stations (HTS). Within the framework of the “Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan” (NECP), which is valid from 2021 to 2030, the industrial sector is aiming to produce 25% of its electricity from renewable energy sources (RES) by 2030. This target, up from 19.2% in 2018, equates to a value of 27.3%, which is at the technical limit of the Slovak electricity system. This article aims to study the installation of PV panels for domestic hot water (DHW) preparation within the central heat supply system (HTS) process, with the decision depending on the results of an economic return analysis. The estimated investment of EUR 5000 excluding VAT would generate annual savings of EUR 311, resulting in a payback period of approximately 16 years. The main limitation is the low efficiency in winter and no production at night, while in summer, a surplus of electricity can be used for preheating cold water. Full article

The European Union (EU) is witnessing an expansion in solar capacity, aligning with its commitment to achieving climate neutrality by 2050. However, deploying solar capacity introduces significant environmental complexities, such as managing photovoltaic waste when the modules reach their end of life. This study presents an assessment of PV waste mass generation, integrating the latest data from the revised targets of the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) of EU Member States presented in December 2023. Annual and cumulative PV waste mass is presented, analyzing the results in terms of the PV capacity deployment in each country and their recycling needs to face the treatment of the generated PV waste. According to the reviewed targets, the analysis reveals significant variations in PV waste mass generation across EU countries. The revisions show a substantial increase in the amount of waste generated in Europe. Lithuania and Ireland are anticipated to face substantial challenges, particularly under the early-loss scenario, whereas Germany, Italy, France, and Spain continue to be the countries that will generate the most PV waste mass in Europe. These findings emphasize the necessity for formulating and implementing effective waste management strategies to address the increasing generation of PV waste and mitigate its environmental impact. Furthermore, the study underscores the need to reassess projections to accommodate evolving energy policies and targets, ensuring alignment with sustainability objectives in this dynamic field. Full article

The JUpiter Icy Moon Explorer (JUICE) mission, launched on 14 April 2023, aims to explore Jupiter and its Galilean moons, with arrival in the Jovian system planned for mid-2031. One of the scientific investigations is the Geodesy and Geophysics of Jupiter and the Galilean Moons (3GM) radio science experiment, designed to study the interior structures of Europa, Callisto, and Ganymede and the atmospheres of Jupiter and the Galilean moons. The 3GM experiment employs a Ka-band Transponder (KaT) to enable two-way coherent range and Doppler measurements used for the gravity experiment and an Ultra Stable Oscillator (USO) for one-way downlink occultation experiments. This paper analyzes KaT data collected at the ESA/ESTRACK ground station in Malargüe, Argentina, during the Near-Earth Commissioning Phase (NECP) in May 2023 and the first in-cruise payload checkout (PC01) in January 2024. The radiometric data were fitted using both NASA’s Mission Analysis, Operations, and Navigation Toolkit Environment (MONTE) and ESA’s General Orbit Determination and Optimization Toolkit (GODOT) software. The comparison of the orbital solutions showed an excellent agreement. In addition, the Doppler and range residuals allowed a preliminary assessment of the quality of the radiometric measurements. During the NECP pass, the radio link data showed a range-rate noise of 0.012 mm/s at 1000 s integration time, while the root mean square of the range residuals sampled at 1 s was 8.4 mm. During the first payload checkout, the signal power at the KaT input closely matched the value expected at Jupiter, due to a specific ground station setup. This provided early indications of the 3GM’s performance during the Jovian phase. In this test, the accuracy of range data at an integration time of 1s, particularly sensitive to the link signal-to-noise ratio, degraded to 13.6 cm, whilst the range-rate accuracy turned out to be better than 0.003 mm/s at 1000 s, thanks to the accurate tropospheric delay calibration system (TDCS) available at the Malargue station (inactive during NECP). Full article

Household food waste accounts for a significant share of total food waste. In 2022, around 1.05 billion tons of food waste were generated—60% of which came from households. In the EU, households generate 54% of the total food waste. In Italy, according to a former diary study, avoidable household food waste accounts for 529.9 g per capita per week. Building on this data, this study assesses the monetary value of food waste at the household level in 6 provinces across the country, considering the prices of food items recorded by the Italian Observatory of market prices. Moreover, the environmental impacts of household food waste (greenhouse gas emissions, water consumed, and land used) were investigated based on existing data from well-grounded scientific literature. The results show that the monetary value of food waste ranges from EUR 357.43 to EUR 404.62 per household per year, corresponding to 5–7% of the average household expenditure for food. The environmental impacts per household per year account for 149 kgCO₂eq, which contributes to climate change. In addition, household food waste is responsible for 303,498 L of water consumed and 1426 m² of land used. The results of this study can be integrated into National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs), to integrate food waste reduction into energy savings and greenhouse gas mitigation strategies. Full article

This work provides the policy and economic analysis of the renewable heating and cooling sector in Greece. The novelty of this study is that it unveils the different policy instruments and incentive structures in promoting renewable heating and cooling adoption, and it analyses the social, cultural and technical barriers to the adoption of renewable heating and cooling systems in Greece. To this end, a PESTEL (Political, Economic, Social, Technical, Environmental and Legal) analysis is performed, with a view to demonstrating the factors that affect Greece’s progress against the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECP), the decarbonisation of the heating and cooling sector and finally, the alignment with the long-term energy strategy. Overall, the results of this analysis show that the heating and cooling sector is still greatly dependent on the use of fossil fuels. However, there are more opportunities than barriers for the deployment of the renewable heating and cooling sector in Greece; opportunities arise from the ambitious political goals that are harmonized with those of the EU, targeting climate-neutrality by 2050. Full article

Can government environmental policy harmonize environmental protection with economic output? We explore this issue from the perspective of forestry eco-efficiency, using China’s National Ecological Civilization Pilot Zone Policy (NECP), an environmental policy promulgated by the government of China, as the subject of this study. The study introduces forestry eco-efficiency as an indicator to assess the balance between economic development in the forestry sector and environmental conservation. The indicator, grounded in sustainable development theory, employs a super-efficiency SBM model that includes undesirable outputs to evaluate efficiency. Additionally, we empirically analyze the impact of NECP on forestry eco-efficiency by using the difference-in-difference (DID) model with provincial panel data from 2011 to 2020. Ultimately, we analyze the effects of spatial spillover by employing the spatial Durbin model (SDM). Our study yields the following conclusions. (1) In this paper, through hotspot clustering analysis, forestry eco-efficiency in each province is categorized into three categories: effective, semi-effective and ineffective. Our findings suggest that China’s average forestry eco-efficiency falls into the ineffective category, highlighting the need to optimize resource allocation within the sector. (2) NECP significantly enhances forestry eco-efficiency, with robust findings across various stability tests. Thus, implementing government environmental policies can have a multiplier effect on forestry, i.e., it can synergize its economic development with environmental protection. (3) In provinces with a strong ecological foundation, the NECP significantly enhances forestry eco-efficiency. However, in other provinces, the improvement is only moderate. Furthermore, while the NECP has a substantial positive impact in the eastern region, it has yet to show a discernible effect in other regions. (4) The positive impacts of NECP implementation on forestry eco-efficiency have spatial spillover effects due to demonstration effects and comparative advantages. Full article

Several northern European countries have announced ambitious plans to become carbon neutral already before the year 2050. Recent research has, however, highlighted how potential bottlenecks in raw material and resource availability could significantly delay or hinder wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) expansion and continued biomass usage in parts of Europe. To address this issue, this paper assesses how exposed the national energy and climate plans (NECPs) of Finland, Estonia, Germany, Sweden, and Denmark are to resource limitations and techno-economic risks by reviewing and analysing 2030 NECP targets compared to statistical energy use data in these countries. The results indicate that the NECPs of Denmark and Germany are particularly exposed to risks related to global raw material availability, as Denmark plans to rapidly grow the share of wind and solar PV in electricity generation to 81% and 13% by 2030, respectively, followed by Germany, which outlines a 39% and 16% share of wind and solar PV in its national climate strategy. The NECPs of Finland and Germany are also shown to be vulnerable to limitations in biomass availability, as there is a significant disparity between the projected biomass usage and legally binding European Union (EU) targets for land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector emissions in 2030 in these countries. Full article

The Spanish government is a strong advocate of reducing CO₂ emissions and has made a clear commitment to the implementation of renewable energies. As reflected in Spain’s National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP), its objective is to double the current capacity of pumped hydropower storage (PHS) plants by 2030. Therefore, the study presented here is both current and forward-looking. This paper presents the results of the analysis of the technical potential of installing floating photovoltaic (FPV) plants at 25 PHS plants in Spain, i.e., the total capacity of Spanish hydropower plants. The study was conducted using various assessment indicators: the global horizontal irradiance ratio, electrical efficiency ratio, area required ratio, pumping area ratio, volume ratio of water pumped per day, and achievable power ratio. In summary, the following conclusions can be drawn: (i) The global horizontal irradiance ratio indicates whether a FPV plant is economically viable. From this point of view, the Aguayo PHS plant and the Tanes PHS plant are not suitable, as this ratio is very low; (ii) the compliance with the electrical efficiency ratio is flexible, and all hydropower plants meet this criterion; (iii) maximising the use of the assigned grid connection capacity is one of the goals sought by electrical companies when implementing FPV plants at existing PHS plants. The following hydropower plants are not suitable for the implementation of an FPV plant in view of the following: La Muela I, La Muela II, Aguayo, Sallente, Aldeadavila II, Moralets, Guillena, Bolarque II, Montamara, and IP; (iv) if the aim is energy storage, the following hydropower plants are not suitable for the implementation of an FPV plant: the La Muela I, La Muela II, Tajo de la Encantada, Aguayo, Sallente, Aldeadavila II, Conso, Moralets, Guillena, Bolarque II, Tanes, Montamara, Soutelo, Bao-Puente Bibey, Santiago de Jares, IP, and Urdiceto; (v) if the aim is to expand an FPV plant already installed at a PHS plant, the following hydropower plants do not meet this criterion: the La Muela I, La Muela II, Aguayo, Sallente, Aldeadavila, Moralets, Guillena, Bolarque II, Montamara, and IP. There are only eight hydropower plants that meet conditions (i), (iii) and (iv): the Villarino, Torrejon, Valparaiso, Gabriel y Galan, Guijo de Granadilla, Pintado, and Gobantes. Full article

The National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) of the EU Member States have established comprehensive goals for 2030 to speed up the process of energy transition. Though Italy was an innovator in the area of photovoltaics (PV) up until 2014, the subsequent collapse and stagnation of its PV market have revealed an intrinsic fragility, which makes reaching international targets in the future unclear. This study used the Generalized Bass Model in a multi-phase extension to offer insights into and perspectives on the Italian PV market with the use of new data at finer temporal and market-size scales. Our model-based evidence suggests the possibility of a remarkable structural change corresponding to the “reboot” period after the pandemic crisis. In this period, small- and large-scale PV adoption, after years of parallel pathways, have taken largely different routes. On the one hand, small-scale adoption exhibited a fast decline with the end of the post-COVID-19 incentive programs, thus confirming the traditional “addiction to incentive” issue. On the other hand, during the “reboot” period, large-scale installations showed, for the first time, symptoms of exponential growth. This is consistent with the possibility that, finally, this sector is on an autonomous growth path. The latter evidence might represent a critically important novelty in the Italian PV landscape, where firms—rather than households—take the lead in the process. Nonetheless, future public monitoring and guidance are both urgent requirements to avoid a further catastrophic fall in the residential PV market and to make the sustained growth of the large-scale PV industry a robust phenomenon. Full article

As per general provisions of European Directive 2010/31/EU on the energy efficiency of buildings (recast), the Lithuanian government transposed the Directive into Lithuanian national law. In the process, the Lithuanian government prepared strategic documents in the field of energy performance and renewable energy that were integrated together through the National Energy and Climate Plan for 2021–2030 (NECP). To better understand the current situation vis-à-vis energy performance, the main characteristics of buildings pertaining to the Lithuanian multi-apartment building stock, classified according to their energy performance class, are analysed and discussed in this paper. Through the exploitation of data from the national Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) register, an overview of the energy performance of the existing Lithuanian residential building stock is presented along with an analysis of the unused potential energy savings pertinent to this building category. The results obtained from the analysed data of energy consumption in buildings shows that the policies adopted over the years were successful in improving the building stock, promoting the move towards the specifications required by a Class A++ (nearly zero energy buildings—NZEB) by 2021. The results show that this was primarily achieved by a significant reduction in the thermal energy used for space heating. Full article

In Italy, the de-carbonization process descending from the National Energy Strategy (NES) of the November 2017 and the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) of December 2019 has led two specific effects: the progressive ending of coal use as a fuel for the production of electricity and the emanation of authorization acts for the conversion to natural gas of existing coal-fired power plants and/or for the construction of new power plants powered by natural gas. These new plants will be technologically advanced and designed to guarantee the safety of the national electricity grid in periods of greatest energy demand and will have to support the growing part of energy produced with plants powered by renewable energy sources (especially wind and photovoltaic). This reference context will necessarily have to take into account the recent gas supply difficulties due to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which could lead to a reconsideration of the projects for the construction of new gas plants by focusing on other energy sources. This paper hence aims to quantify and to evaluate the effective environmental benefits for atmospheric emissions, related to the replacement of coal with natural gas. Starting from the electrical powers replaced and installed, the potential reductions in greenhouse gas emissions will be examined, comparing the current emission situation in terms of CO₂, with the future scenarios deriving from the construction of thermoelectric plants whose projects are currently under authorization. Full article

In this study, ground observation data were selected from January 2016 to January 2020. First, six machine learning methods were used to predict visibility. We verified the accuracy of the method with and without principal components analysis (PCA) by combining actual examples with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) data and National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NECP) data. The results show that PCA can improve visibility prediction. Neural networks have high accuracy in machine learning algorithms. The initial visibility data plays an important role in the visibility forecast and can effectively improve forecast accuracy. Full article