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18 pages, 2508 KB  
Article
Machine Learning-Enhanced MALDI-TOF Mass Spectrometry for Screening HBsAg-Positive Patients
by Tiantian Zhang, Shixuan Huang, Junxun Li, Yuwei Wu, Xinyu Zhao, He Gao, Juan Yang, Lingshuang Yang, Lulu Cao, Xinqiang Xie, Hui Zhao, Jing Cheng, Hongxia Tan, Ying Li and Qingping Wu
Microorganisms 2026, 14(3), 702; https://doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms14030702 - 20 Mar 2026
Viewed by 309
Abstract
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) remains a major global public health challenge, and its early screening is essential for controlling transmission and improving treatment outcomes. We analyzed serum samples from 422 participants via Matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry (MALDI-TOF MS) to establish a [...] Read more.
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) remains a major global public health challenge, and its early screening is essential for controlling transmission and improving treatment outcomes. We analyzed serum samples from 422 participants via Matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry (MALDI-TOF MS) to establish a screening model for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)-positive status. Following multi-bin preprocessing and single-sample spectral aggregation, we assessed three machine learning algorithms—random forest, deep neural network, and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM). Among them, the LightGBM model achieved the best performance, with an optimized F1 score of 0.87 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.94. A 100-iteration ensemble feature stabilization strategy identified twelve distinct m/z peaks as stable biomarkers for HBsAg-positive screening. Independent validation yielded sensitivity of 77.7% and specificity of 76.0%—insufficient for individual diagnosis but potentially suitable for population-level surveillance programs combined with confirmatory testing, particularly in resource-limited settings where conventional methods are impractical. Notably, the method offers a detection time of approximately one minute, a per-sample cost of ~$0.14. In conclusion, the combination of MALDI-TOF MS and machine learning enables a rapid, low-cost screening tool for large-scale HBV detection. Full article
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25 pages, 4338 KB  
Article
Assessment of Satellite-Based Rainfall Products for Flood Modeling in the Ouémé River Basin in Benin (West Africa)
by Marleine Bodjrènou, Kaidi Peng, Dognon Jules Afféwé, Jean Hounkpè, Hagninou E. V. Donnou, Julien Adounkpè and Aristide B. Akpo
Hydrology 2025, 12(4), 71; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology12040071 - 27 Mar 2025
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 2358
Abstract
Reliable rainfall data are critical for managing hydrometeorological hazards in West Africa, yet they are often sparse and temporally inconsistent. The current study assessed the accuracy of four near real-time satellite-based rainfall data, namely IMERGv7 Late, IMERGv6 Early, GSMAP-NRT and PERSIANN-DIR Now, for [...] Read more.
Reliable rainfall data are critical for managing hydrometeorological hazards in West Africa, yet they are often sparse and temporally inconsistent. The current study assessed the accuracy of four near real-time satellite-based rainfall data, namely IMERGv7 Late, IMERGv6 Early, GSMAP-NRT and PERSIANN-DIR Now, for rainfall estimation and hydrological modeling in the Ouémé basin. These datasets were compared with ground-based rainfall data, bias-corrected and used to calibrate and validate the hydrological model HBV light. While they demonstrated qualitative accuracy, their quantitative estimation shows obvious discrepancies on a daily scale, varying across subdomains. The original IMERGv7 product outperforms others in capturing the rainfall pattern and amount (KGE > 0.6), while GSMAP performs moderately (KGE ≈ 0.51) and IMERGv6 and PERSIANN show lower reliability with KGE < 0.5. Quantile mapping emerges as the most effective bias-correction method, improving the performance of all satellite products, with RMSE reductions ≤ 15%. The results of hydrological simulations demonstrate the potential of satellite-based rainfall, particularly IMERGv7 and corrected IMERGv6 (NSE > 0.75), for near real-time flood monitoring and water management in the study area. This study underscores their suitability as valuable alternatives to ground-based data for flood management decision making in the Ouémé basin. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrological and Hydrodynamic Processes and Modelling)
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16 pages, 4579 KB  
Article
First Detection of Hepatitis B Virus Subgenotype A5, and Characterization of Occult Infection and Hepatocellular Carcinoma-Related Mutations in Latin American and African Immigrants in Brazil
by Thaís Barbosa Ferreira Sant’Anna, Thaynara Lorrane Silva Martins, Megmar Aparecida dos Santos Carneiro, Sheila Araujo Teles, Karlla Antonieta Amorim Caetano and Natalia Motta de Araujo
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2024, 25(16), 8602; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms25168602 - 7 Aug 2024
Viewed by 1840
Abstract
This study aims to characterize the molecular profile of the hepatitis B virus (HBV) among socially vulnerable immigrants residing in Brazil to investigate the introduction of uncommon HBV strains into the country. Serum samples from 102 immigrants with positive serology for the HBV [...] Read more.
This study aims to characterize the molecular profile of the hepatitis B virus (HBV) among socially vulnerable immigrants residing in Brazil to investigate the introduction of uncommon HBV strains into the country. Serum samples from 102 immigrants with positive serology for the HBV core antibody (anti-HBc) were tested for the presence of HBV DNA by PCR assays. Among these, 24 were also positive for the HBV surface antigen (HBsAg). The full or partial genome was sequenced to determine genotype by phylogenetic analysis. Participants were from Haiti (79.4%), Guinea-Bissau (11.8%), Venezuela (7.8%), and Colombia (1%). Of the 21 HBV DNA-positive samples, subgenotypes A1 (52.4%), A5 (28.6%), E (9.5%), F2 (4.8%), and F3 (4.8%) were identified. Among the 78 HBsAg-negative participants, four were positive for HBV DNA, resulting in an occult HBV infection rate of 5.1%. Phylogenetic analysis suggested that most strains were likely introduced to Brazil by migration. Importantly, 80% of A5 sequences had the A1762T/G1764A double mutation, linked to an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma development. In conclusion, this study is the first report of HBV subgenotype A5 in Brazil, shedding new light on the diversity of HBV strains circulating in the country. Understanding the genetic diversity of HBV in immigrant communities can lead to better prevention and control strategies, benefiting both immigrants and wider society. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Molecular Pathogenesis and Therapeutics in Viral Hepatitis)
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13 pages, 293 KB  
Article
Viral Hepatitis in Pregnant Mexican Women: Its Impact in Mother–Child Binomial Health and the Strategies for Its Eradication
by Carmen Selene García-Romero, Carolina Guzmán, Alejandra Martínez-Ibarra, Alicia Cervantes and Marco Cerbón
Pathogens 2024, 13(8), 651; https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens13080651 - 2 Aug 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2368
Abstract
Viral hepatitis is the main cause of infectious liver disease. During pregnancy, a risk of vertical transmission exists both during gestation and at birth. HAV, HBV, and HCV might progress similarly in pregnant and non-pregnant women. In this study, we found a prevalence [...] Read more.
Viral hepatitis is the main cause of infectious liver disease. During pregnancy, a risk of vertical transmission exists both during gestation and at birth. HAV, HBV, and HCV might progress similarly in pregnant and non-pregnant women. In this study, we found a prevalence of 0.22% of viral hepatitis in pregnant women, with a light preponderance of HCV over HAV and HBV. Here, it was observed that acute HAV infection is more symptomatic and has higher risks for the mother and fetus, in a similar manner to what has been reported for HEV. Histopathological alterations were observed in all except one placenta, indicating that it is an important tissue barrier. Regarding the Mexican strategies for viral hepatitis eradication, success may be related to vaccination at birth, whereas for HCV, the national program for eradication is aimed at treating the infection via direct-acting antiviral agents. The HBV strategy has positively impacted pregnant women and their children, diminishing the risk of vertical transmission. The HCV strategy is still in its early years, and it is expected to be just as successful. For acute hepatitis, HAV and HEV, programs promoting hand washing and those aimed at providing clean food and water are applicable as preventive strategies, alongside other programs such as vaccination. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Elimination Strategies for Viral Hepatitis in Latin America)
33 pages, 1718 KB  
Review
Insights into Immune Exhaustion in Chronic Hepatitis B: A Review of Checkpoint Receptor Expression
by João Panão Costa, Armando de Carvalho, Artur Paiva and Olga Borges
Pharmaceuticals 2024, 17(7), 964; https://doi.org/10.3390/ph17070964 - 21 Jul 2024
Cited by 13 | Viewed by 7428
Abstract
Hepatitis B, caused by the hepatitis B virus (HBV), often progresses to chronic infection, leading to severe complications, such as cirrhosis, liver failure, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Chronic HBV infection is characterized by a complex interplay between the virus and the host immune system, [...] Read more.
Hepatitis B, caused by the hepatitis B virus (HBV), often progresses to chronic infection, leading to severe complications, such as cirrhosis, liver failure, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Chronic HBV infection is characterized by a complex interplay between the virus and the host immune system, resulting in immune cell exhaustion, a phenomenon commonly observed in chronic viral infections and cancer. This state of exhaustion involves elevated levels of inhibitory molecules, cells, and cell surface receptors, as opposed to stimulatory counterparts. This review aims to elucidate the expression patterns of various co-inhibitory and co-stimulatory receptors on immune cells isolated from chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. By analyzing existing data, the review conducts comparisons between CHB patients and healthy adults, explores the differences between HBV-specific and total T cells in CHB patients, and examines variations between intrahepatic and peripheral immune cells in CHB patients. Understanding the mechanisms underlying immune exhaustion in CHB is crucial for developing novel immunotherapeutic approaches. This detailed analysis sheds light on the immune exhaustion observed in CHB and lays the groundwork for future combined immunotherapy strategies aimed at leveraging checkpoint receptors to restore immune function and improve clinical outcomes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue HIV and Viral Hepatitis: Prevention, Treatment and Coinfection)
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37 pages, 1689 KB  
Review
Safety and Efficacy of Antiviral Drugs and Vaccines in Pregnant Women: Insights from Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling and Integration of Viral Infection Dynamics
by Bárbara Costa, Maria João Gouveia and Nuno Vale
Vaccines 2024, 12(7), 782; https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines12070782 - 16 Jul 2024
Cited by 8 | Viewed by 11579
Abstract
Addressing the complexities of managing viral infections during pregnancy is essential for informed medical decision-making. This comprehensive review delves into the management of key viral infections impacting pregnant women, namely Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), Hepatitis B Virus/Hepatitis C Virus (HBV/HCV), Influenza, Cytomegalovirus (CMV), [...] Read more.
Addressing the complexities of managing viral infections during pregnancy is essential for informed medical decision-making. This comprehensive review delves into the management of key viral infections impacting pregnant women, namely Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), Hepatitis B Virus/Hepatitis C Virus (HBV/HCV), Influenza, Cytomegalovirus (CMV), and SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19). We evaluate the safety and efficacy profiles of antiviral treatments for each infection, while also exploring innovative avenues such as gene vaccines and their potential in mitigating viral threats during pregnancy. Additionally, the review examines strategies to overcome challenges, encompassing prophylactic and therapeutic vaccine research, regulatory considerations, and safety protocols. Utilizing advanced methodologies, including PBPK modeling, machine learning, artificial intelligence, and causal inference, we can amplify our comprehension and decision-making capabilities in this intricate domain. This narrative review aims to shed light on diverse approaches and ongoing advancements, this review aims to foster progress in antiviral therapy for pregnant women, improving maternal and fetal health outcomes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Maternal Vaccination and Vaccines)
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22 pages, 16146 KB  
Article
The Impact of Glacial Shrinkage on Future Streamflow in the Urumqi River Source Region of Eastern Tien Shan, Central Asia
by Weibo Zhao, Zhongqin Li, Hongliang Li, Chunhai Xu, Jianxin Mu and Yefei Yang
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(14), 2546; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16142546 - 11 Jul 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2392
Abstract
Understanding changes in runoff due to climate variations in glacier-dominated headwaters is key to managing water resources and dryland watersheds effectively and rationally. The continuous glacier shrinkage caused by climate warming has significantly impacted the water supply and ecological systems in the vast [...] Read more.
Understanding changes in runoff due to climate variations in glacier-dominated headwaters is key to managing water resources and dryland watersheds effectively and rationally. The continuous glacier shrinkage caused by climate warming has significantly impacted the water supply and ecological systems in the vast arid regions of Central Asia, attracting extensive public concern. The study results indicate an increase in total runoff at the Urumqi River source region during both the baseline (1997–2016) and mid-century (2040–2059) periods, encompassing rain, glacier meltwater, and snowmelt components. Compared to the baseline period, the temperature increases by the mid-century under the three climate scenarios (SSP1−26, SSP2−45, and SSP5−85) range from 0.98 to 1.48 °C. In this region, during the period from 1997 to 2016, glacier meltwater was the dominant component of runoff, comprising 42.10–43.79% of the total, followed by snowmelt at 29.64–30.40% and rainfall contributions of 26.56–27.49%. Additionally, glacier storage in this typical catchment responds quickly to temperature fluctuations, significantly impacting runoff. The Urumqi River source region’s runoff exhibits heightened sensitivity to these temperature shifts compared to precipitation effects. We hypothesized three glacier coverage scenarios: unchanged at 100% glaciation, reduced by half to 50%, and fully retreated to 0% glaciation. Analysis of these scenarios demonstrated that glaciers are pivotal in runoff formation. Under the SSP1−26, SSP2−45, and SSP5−85 climate scenarios, glaciers contributed additional runoff increases of 51.61%, 57.64%, and 62.07%, respectively. Generally, glaciers play a critical role in supplying water in dry areas. Thus, accurately forecasting future water resource shifts in high-altitude glacier regions is crucial for downstream water resource management and utilization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Remote Sensing in Glacial and Periglacial Geomorphology)
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14 pages, 1931 KB  
Article
Hepatitis C Virus as a Possible Helper Virus in Human Hepatitis Delta Virus Infection
by Maria Grazia Crobu, Paolo Ravanini, Clotilde Impaloni, Claudia Martello, Olivia Bargiacchi, Christian Di Domenico, Giulia Faolotto, Paola Macaluso, Alessio Mercandino, Miriam Riggi, Vittorio Quaglia, Stefano Andreoni, Mario Pirisi and Carlo Smirne
Viruses 2024, 16(6), 992; https://doi.org/10.3390/v16060992 - 20 Jun 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2449
Abstract
Previous studies reported that the hepatitis C virus (HCV) could help disseminate the hepatitis D virus (HDV) in vivo through the unrelated hepatitis B virus (HBV), but with essentially inconclusive results. To try to shed light on this still-debated topic, 146 anti-HCV-positive subjects [...] Read more.
Previous studies reported that the hepatitis C virus (HCV) could help disseminate the hepatitis D virus (HDV) in vivo through the unrelated hepatitis B virus (HBV), but with essentially inconclusive results. To try to shed light on this still-debated topic, 146 anti-HCV-positive subjects (of whom 91 HCV/HIV co-infected, and 43 with prior HCV eradication) were screened for anti-HDV antibodies (anti-HD), after careful selection for negativity to any serologic or virologic marker of current or past HBV infection. One single HCV/HIV co-infected patient (0.7%) tested highly positive for anti-HD, but with no positive HDV-RNA. Her husband, in turn, was a HCV/HIV co-infected subject with a previous contact with HBV. While conducting a thorough review of the relevant literature, the authors attempted to exhaustively describe the medical history of both the anti-HD-positive patient and her partner, believing it to be the key to dissecting the possible complex mechanisms of HDV transmission from one subject to another, and speculating that in the present case, it may have been HCV itself that behaved as an HDV helper virus. In conclusion, this preliminary research, while needing further validation in large prospective studies, provided some further evidence of a role of HCV in HDV dissemination in humans. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Hepatitis C Virus 2024)
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13 pages, 5282 KB  
Article
Analysis of Replication, Cell Division-Mediated Spread, and HBV Envelope Protein-Dependent Pseudotyping of Three Mammalian Delta-like Agents
by Gnimah Eva Gnouamozi, Zhenfeng Zhang, Vibhu Prasad, Chris Lauber, Stefan Seitz and Stephan Urban
Viruses 2024, 16(6), 859; https://doi.org/10.3390/v16060859 - 28 May 2024
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 3364
Abstract
The human hepatitis delta virus (HDV) is a satellite RNA virus that depends on hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface proteins (HBsAg) to assemble into infectious virions targeting the same organ (liver) as HBV. Until recently, the evolutionary origin of HDV remained largely unknown. [...] Read more.
The human hepatitis delta virus (HDV) is a satellite RNA virus that depends on hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface proteins (HBsAg) to assemble into infectious virions targeting the same organ (liver) as HBV. Until recently, the evolutionary origin of HDV remained largely unknown. The application of bioinformatics on whole sequence databases lead to discoveries of HDV-like agents (DLA) and shed light on HDV’s evolution, expanding our understanding of HDV biology. DLA were identified in heterogeneous groups of vertebrates and invertebrates, highlighting that the evolution of HDV, represented by eight distinct genotypes, is broader and more complex than previously foreseen. In this study, we focused on the characterization of three mammalian DLA discovered in woodchuck (Marmota monax), white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus), and lesser dog-like bat (Peropteryx macrotis) in terms of replication, cell-type permissiveness, and spreading pathways. We generated replication-competent constructs expressing 1.1-fold over-length antigenomic RNA of each DLA. Replication was initiated by transfecting the cDNAs into human (HuH7, HeLa, HEK293T, A549) and non-human (Vero E6, CHO, PaKi, LMH) cell lines. Upon transfection and replication establishment, none of the DLA expressed a large delta antigen. A cell division-mediated viral amplification assay demonstrated the capability of non-human DLA to replicate and propagate in hepatic and non-hepatic tissues, without the requirement of envelope proteins from a helper virus. Remarkably L-HDAg but not S-HDAg from HDV can artificially mediate envelopment of WoDV and DeDV ribonucleoproteins (RNPs) by HBsAg to form infectious particles, as demonstrated by co-transfection of HuH7 cells with the respective DLA expression constructs and a plasmid encoding HBV envelope proteins. These chimeric viruses are sensitive to HDV entry inhibitors and allow synchronized infections for comparative replication studies. Our results provide a more detailed understanding of the molecular biology, evolution, and virus–host interaction of this unique group of animal viroid-like agents in relation to HDV. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Life Cycle of Hepatitis D Virus (HDV) and HDV-Like Agents)
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16 pages, 2467 KB  
Article
Neuroprotective Effect of Antiapoptotic URG7 Protein on Human Neuroblastoma Cell Line SH-SY5Y
by Ilaria Nigro, Rocchina Miglionico, Monica Carmosino, Andrea Gerbino, Anna Masato, Michele Sandre, Luigi Bubacco, Angelo Antonini, Roberta Rinaldi, Faustino Bisaccia and Maria Francesca Armentano
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2024, 25(1), 481; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms25010481 - 29 Dec 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2648
Abstract
Up-regulated Gene clone 7 (URG7) is a protein localized in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) and overexpressed in liver cells upon hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Its activity has been related to the attenuation of ER stress resulting from HBV infection, promoting protein folding [...] Read more.
Up-regulated Gene clone 7 (URG7) is a protein localized in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) and overexpressed in liver cells upon hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Its activity has been related to the attenuation of ER stress resulting from HBV infection, promoting protein folding and ubiquitination and reducing cell apoptosis overall. While the antiapoptotic activity of URG7 in HBV-infected cells may have negative implications, this effect could be exploited positively in the field of proteinopathies, such as neurodegenerative diseases. In this work, we aimed to verify the possible contribution of URG7 as a reliever of cellular proteostasis alterations in a neuronal in vitro system. Following tunicamycin-induced ER stress, URG7 was shown to modulate different markers of the unfolded protein response (UPR) in favor of cell survival, mitigating ER stress and activating autophagy. Furthermore, URG7 promoted ubiquitination, and determined a reduction in protein aggregation, calcium release from the ER and intracellular ROS content, confirming its pro-survival activity. Therefore, in light of the results reported in this work, we hypothesize that URG7 offers activity as an ER stress reliever in a neuronal in vitro model, and we paved the way for a new approach in the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Molecular Neurobiology)
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12 pages, 287 KB  
Article
Disparities in Healthcare and HBV Vaccination by Smoking Status: Findings from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017–2018
by Wenxue Lin
Healthcare 2024, 12(1), 41; https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare12010041 - 23 Dec 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3800
Abstract
Cigarette smokers face greater challenges in accessing healthcare compared with non-smokers. In the US, approximately 2.2 million individuals are chronically infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV). I used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017–2018 to investigate the association [...] Read more.
Cigarette smokers face greater challenges in accessing healthcare compared with non-smokers. In the US, approximately 2.2 million individuals are chronically infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV). I used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017–2018 to investigate the association between smoking status (current, former, and never smoker) and different health outcomes, including healthcare accessibility, HBV vaccination, general health condition, and health insurance. Multivariable logistic regressions were used to analyze healthcare disparity by smoking status. I found that current smokers had 40% higher odds (AOR = 1.4, 95% CI: 1.1, 1.8) of lacking routine healthcare access compared with non-smokers. Regardless of smoking status, I observed a high rate of HBV non-vaccination among all participants. Specifically, 64% of current smokers, 67% of former smokers, and 57% of non-smokers had not received a single dose of HBV immunization. My study sheds light on the persisting gaps in healthcare access, particularly for smokers, and the urgent need to promote awareness and vaccination against hepatitis B. Full article
15 pages, 4482 KB  
Article
Evaluation of Reservoir Inflows Using Semi-Distributed Hydrological Modeling Techniques: Application to the Esil and Moildy Rivers’ Catchments in Kazakhstan
by Nurgalym T. Serikbay, Tursyn A. Tillakarim, Javier Rodrigo-Ilarri, María-Elena Rodrigo-Clavero and Kassym K. Duskayev
Water 2023, 15(16), 2967; https://doi.org/10.3390/w15162967 - 17 Aug 2023
Cited by 9 | Viewed by 2668
Abstract
This study explores the potential application of the HBV model for simulating water inflow into the Astana reservoir in Kazakhstan. The Astana reservoir, with an area of 60.9 km2 and a capacity of 411 million m3, serves as a vital [...] Read more.
This study explores the potential application of the HBV model for simulating water inflow into the Astana reservoir in Kazakhstan. The Astana reservoir, with an area of 60.9 km2 and a capacity of 411 million m3, serves as a vital hydrotechnical structure for the regulation of long-term water resources. Positioned on the Esil River, this reservoir plays a crucial role in providing drinking water to Astana, the capital city of the Republic of Kazakhstan. This study presents a concise overview of the HBV model and includes hydrometeorological data as well as information from a digital elevation model constructed from altitude maps of the catchment areas of the Esil and Moildy rivers. To simulate the runoff from both rivers, the GAP optimization algorithm was employed. Model parameters were calibrated for the period spanning 1975 to 2020. The effectiveness of the model was evaluated using the Nash–Sutcliffe criterion, which confirms a strong correlation between the simulated runoff dynamics and observed data. This study’s outcomes reveal the efficiency of the selected optimal parameters, particularly for the 2020–2022 timeframe, during which the HBV model’s parameters were validated. Overall, the quality metrics achieved during both the calibration and validation periods are satisfactory, affirming the model’s suitability for short-term runoff forecasts, especially during flood events. Furthermore, the model proves valuable for assessing potential shifts in river runoff patterns under the influence of climate change. Full article
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24 pages, 25347 KB  
Article
Effects of Climate Change on Streamflow in the Ayazma River Basin in the Marmara Region of Turkey
by Khaja Haroon Seddiqe, Rahmatullah Sediqi, Osman Yildiz, Gaye Akturk, Jakub Kostecki and Marta Gortych
Water 2023, 15(4), 763; https://doi.org/10.3390/w15040763 - 15 Feb 2023
Cited by 9 | Viewed by 4058
Abstract
This study investigates the effects of climate change on streamflow in the Ayazma river basin located in the Marmara region of Turkey using a hydrological model. Regional Climate Model (RCM) outputs from CNRM-CM5/RCA4, EC-EARTH/RACMO22E and NorESM1-M/HIRHAM5 with the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios [...] Read more.
This study investigates the effects of climate change on streamflow in the Ayazma river basin located in the Marmara region of Turkey using a hydrological model. Regional Climate Model (RCM) outputs from CNRM-CM5/RCA4, EC-EARTH/RACMO22E and NorESM1-M/HIRHAM5 with the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios were utilized to drive the HBV-Light (Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning) hydrological model. A trend analysis was performed with the Mann–Kendall trend test for precipitation and temperature projections. A meteorological drought assessment was presented using the Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) method for the worst-case scenario (i.e., RCP8.5). The calibrated and validated hydrological model was used for streamflow simulations in the basin for the period 2022–2100. The selected climate models were found to produce high precipitation projections with positive anomalies ranging from 22 to 227 mm. The increase in annual mean temperatures reached up to 1.8 °C and 2.6 °C for the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. The trend results showed statistically insignificant upward and downward trends in precipitation and statistically significant upward trends in temperatures at 5% significance level for both RCP scenarios. It was shown that there is a significant increase in drought intensities and durations for SPEI greater than 6 months after mid- century. Streamflow simulations showed decreasing trends for both RCP scenarios due to upward trend in temperature and, hence, evapotranspiration. Streamflow peaks obtained with the RCP8.5 scenario were generally lower than those obtained with the RCP4.5 scenario. The mean values of the streamflow simulations from the CNRM-CM5/RCA4 and NorESM1-M/HIRHAM5 outputs were approximately 2 to 10% lower than the observation mean. On the other hand, the average value obtained from the EC-EARTH/RACMO 22E outputs was significantly higher than the observation average, up to 32%. The results of this study can be useful for evaluating the impact of climate change on streamflow and developing sustainable climate adaptation options in the Ayazma river basin. Full article
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20 pages, 1715 KB  
Review
Immune Microenvironment and Immunotherapeutic Management in Virus-Associated Digestive System Tumors
by Panagiotis Sarantis, Eleni-Myrto Trifylli, Evangelos Koustas, Kostas A. Papavassiliou, Michalis V. Karamouzis and Athanasios G. Papavassiliou
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2022, 23(21), 13612; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms232113612 - 6 Nov 2022
Cited by 12 | Viewed by 3987
Abstract
The development of cancer is a multifactorial phenomenon, while it constitutes a major global health problem. Viruses are an important factor that is involved in tumorigenesis and is associated with 12.1% of all cancer cases. Major examples of oncogenic viruses which are closely [...] Read more.
The development of cancer is a multifactorial phenomenon, while it constitutes a major global health problem. Viruses are an important factor that is involved in tumorigenesis and is associated with 12.1% of all cancer cases. Major examples of oncogenic viruses which are closely associated with the digestive system are HBV, HCV, EBV, HPV, JCV, and CMV. EBV, HPV, JCV, and CMV directly cause oncogenesis by expressing oncogenic proteins that are encoded in their genome. In contrast, HBV and HCV are correlated indirectly with carcinogenesis by causing chronic inflammation in the infected organs. In addition, the tumor microenvironment contains various immune cells, endothelial cells, and fibroblasts, as well as several growth factors, cytokines, and other tumor-secreted molecules that play a key role in tumor growth, progression, and migration, while they are closely interrelated with the virus. The presence of T-regulatory and B-regulatory cells in the tumor microenvironment plays an important role in the anti-tumor immune reaction. The tumor immune microenvironments differ in each type of cancer and depend on viral infection. The alterations in the immune microenvironment caused by viruses are also reflected in the effectiveness of immunotherapy. The present review aims at shedding light on the association between viruses and digestive system malignancies, the characteristics of the tumor immune microenvironment that develop, and the possible treatments that can be administered. Full article
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17 pages, 15965 KB  
Article
On the Benefits of Bias Correction Techniques for Streamflow Simulation in Complex Terrain Catchments: A Case-Study for the Chitral River Basin in Pakistan
by Muhammad Usman, Rodrigo Manzanas, Christopher E. Ndehedehe, Burhan Ahmad, Oluwafemi E. Adeyeri and Cornelius Dudzai
Hydrology 2022, 9(11), 188; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology9110188 - 24 Oct 2022
Cited by 17 | Viewed by 3936
Abstract
This work evaluates the suitability of linear scaling (LS) and empirical quantile mapping (EQM) bias correction methods to generate present and future hydrometeorological variables (precipitation, temperature, and streamflow) over the Chitral River Basin, in the Hindukush region of Pakistan. In particular, LS and [...] Read more.
This work evaluates the suitability of linear scaling (LS) and empirical quantile mapping (EQM) bias correction methods to generate present and future hydrometeorological variables (precipitation, temperature, and streamflow) over the Chitral River Basin, in the Hindukush region of Pakistan. In particular, LS and EQM are applied to correct the high-resolution statistically downscaled dataset, NEX-GDDP, which comprises 21 state-of-the-art general circulation models (GCMs) from the coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 (CMIP5). Raw and bias-corrected NEX-GDDP simulations are used to force the (previously calibrated and validated) HBV-light hydrological model to generate long-term (up to 2100) streamflow projections over the catchment. Our results indicate that using the raw NEX-GDDP leads to substantial errors (as compared to observations) in the mean and extreme streamflow regimes. Nevertheless, the application of LS and EQM solves these problems, yielding much more realistic and plausible streamflow projections for the XXI century. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Stochastic and Deterministic Modelling of Hydrologic Variables)
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