Nourishing the Body and Mind of University Students: Using a Machine Learning Approach to Prioritize Outreach Strategies for a Campus Food Pantry
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Food Insecurity, Diet Quality, and Academic Performance
1.2. Machine Learning
1.3. Research Questions
- How do grade point average (GPA), student pantry participation rates, frequency of pantry shopping, and other sociodemographic factors of food pantry shoppers (PSs) compare for academic years 2021–2022 and 2022–2023?
- How do GPA data compare for PSs and Non-Pantry Shoppers (NPS) in AY 2022–2023?
- What are the most important factors (including sociodemographic factors and frequency of pantry shopping) to predict academic success in food PSs?
- How well do the three ML models (multiple regression, logistic regression, and LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) perform in the prediction of academic success?
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Research Methods
2.2. Statistical Methods
3. Results
3.1. Participants
3.2. Machine Learning Models and Validation
3.2.1. Multiple Regression Model
3.2.2. Logistic Regression Model
3.2.3. LASSO Model
4. Discussion
Study Limitations
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Independent Variables (N = 22) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1. Biological Sex | 9. Classification | 16. Major |
| 2. Age | 10. Student Type | 17. Pantry Shopping frequency |
| 3. Ethnicity | 11. Beginning Academic Standing | 18. Veteran Status |
| 4. Citizenship | 12. End Academic Standing | 19. Sport |
| 5. Residency | 13. Time Status | 20. Elite Participation |
| 6. First-Generation Status | 14. Athlete | 21. Evolve Participation |
| 7. Student Level | 15. College | 22. Pell Grant Eligibility |
| 8. Honors |
| Variable | n | % |
|---|---|---|
| Biological Sex | ||
| Female | 632 | 66.5 |
| Male | 319 | 33.5 |
| Ethnicity/Race | ||
| Hispanic | 312 | 32.8 |
| White | 259 | 27.2 |
| Black | 212 | 22.3 |
| International | 103 | 10.8 |
| Multiple races | 37 | 3.9 |
| Asian | 19 | 1.9 |
| Unknown/Other | 9 | 0.9 |
| Classification | ||
| Freshman | 150 | 15.7 |
| Sophomore | 189 | 19.8 |
| Junior | 243 | 25.5 |
| Senior | 281 | 29.5 |
| Master’s | 81 | 8.5 |
| Doctoral | 7 | 0.7 |
| Pell Grant eligible | ||
| No | 394 | 41.4 |
| Yes | 557 | 58.5 |
| Honors | ||
| No | 893 | 93.9 |
| Yes | 58 | 6.1 |
| First Generation | ||
| First generation | 399 | 42.0 |
| Continuing generation | 338 | 35.5 |
| Unknown | 214 | 22.5 |
| Time Status | ||
| Full time | 810 | 85.1 |
| Part time | 124 | 13.0 |
| Citizen | ||
| Citizen | 832 | 87.5 |
| Non-resident alien | 103 | 10.8 |
| Resident alien | 16 | 1.68 |
| Residency | ||
| In-state resident | 832 | 87.5 |
| International with waiver | 79 | 8.3 |
| Other | 42 | 4.2 |
| GPA | Pantry Shopper (n = 963) Mean GPA | SD | Non-Pantry Shopper (n = 22,574) Mean GPA | SD | t Value | df | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumulative | 3.03 | 0.75 | 3.00 | 0.89 | −1.05 | 1079.9 | 0.29 |
| Fall Term | 2.97 | 0.96 | 2.91 | 1.11 | −2.04 | 1038.4 | 0.04 * |
| Spring Term | 2.93 | 1.04 | 2.95 | 1.09 | 0.73 | 1051 | 0.47 |
| Summer Term | 3.22 | 1.00 | 3.21 | 1.06 | −0.06 | 7988 | 0.95 |
| Variable | Parameter |
|---|---|
| Intercept | 2.857614742 |
| Biological Sex Female | 0.204899016 |
| Ethnicity Black/African American | −0.225166738 |
| Hispanic | −0.020393197 |
| International | 0.054332046 |
| Residency—International with waiver | 0.020498918 |
| Student Level Graduate | 0.568153711 |
| Classification Junior | 0.083372071 |
| Senior | 0.293192063 |
| Student Type First-Time Freshman | −0.229683075 |
| Time Status Three-Quarter Time | −0.233304915 |
| Half-time | −0.092289532 |
| Withdrawn | −0.239834575 |
| College Business Administration | −0.041244556 |
| Science and Engineering Technology | −0.076165589 |
| Frequency of Pantry Shopping | 0.001259289 |
| Sport Women’s Track and Field | 0.108088484 |
| Pell Grant Eligible | −0.058776439 |
| Honors Student | 0.553383774 |
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Fergus, L.; Davis, R.; Gao, D.; Gilbert, K.; Lopez, T. Nourishing the Body and Mind of University Students: Using a Machine Learning Approach to Prioritize Outreach Strategies for a Campus Food Pantry. Trends High. Educ. 2026, 5, 22. https://doi.org/10.3390/higheredu5010022
Fergus L, Davis R, Gao D, Gilbert K, Lopez T. Nourishing the Body and Mind of University Students: Using a Machine Learning Approach to Prioritize Outreach Strategies for a Campus Food Pantry. Trends in Higher Education. 2026; 5(1):22. https://doi.org/10.3390/higheredu5010022
Chicago/Turabian StyleFergus, Linda, Reagan Davis, Di Gao, Kathleen Gilbert, and Tabbetha Lopez. 2026. "Nourishing the Body and Mind of University Students: Using a Machine Learning Approach to Prioritize Outreach Strategies for a Campus Food Pantry" Trends in Higher Education 5, no. 1: 22. https://doi.org/10.3390/higheredu5010022
APA StyleFergus, L., Davis, R., Gao, D., Gilbert, K., & Lopez, T. (2026). Nourishing the Body and Mind of University Students: Using a Machine Learning Approach to Prioritize Outreach Strategies for a Campus Food Pantry. Trends in Higher Education, 5(1), 22. https://doi.org/10.3390/higheredu5010022

