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Knowledge, Volume 5, Issue 2 (June 2025) – 2 articles

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8 pages, 172 KiB  
Study Protocol
The Uncertainty–Certainty Matrix for Licensing Decision Making, Validation, Reliability, and Differential Monitoring Studies
by Richard Fiene
Knowledge 2025, 5(2), 8; https://doi.org/10.3390/knowledge5020008 (registering DOI) - 28 Apr 2025
Viewed by 113
Abstract
This research article proposes the use of an uncertainty–certainty matrix (UCM) for licensing decision making in the human services, which is the decision to issue a license to operate. It is a proposed study protocol and conceptual framework; it is not an empirical [...] Read more.
This research article proposes the use of an uncertainty–certainty matrix (UCM) for licensing decision making in the human services, which is the decision to issue a license to operate. It is a proposed study protocol and conceptual framework; it is not an empirical study. It shows how the matrix can be used in rule decision making and how it clearly shows when decision making has gone awry when bias is introduced into the decision making. It is also proposed to be used to make decisions in differential monitoring and in validation and reliability studies. This proposal presents a potential blueprint on how the UCM can be used within human services licensing as a decision-making tool. Full article
20 pages, 2209 KiB  
Article
Modeling the Knowledge Production Function Based on Bibliometric Information
by Boris M. Dolgonosov
Knowledge 2025, 5(2), 7; https://doi.org/10.3390/knowledge5020007 - 3 Apr 2025
Viewed by 239
Abstract
An integral indicator of the development of society is the amount of knowledge, which can be measured by the number of accumulated publications in the form of patents, articles, and books. Knowledge production is examined on a global scale. We analyze existing econometric [...] Read more.
An integral indicator of the development of society is the amount of knowledge, which can be measured by the number of accumulated publications in the form of patents, articles, and books. Knowledge production is examined on a global scale. We analyze existing econometric models and develop a generalized model that expresses the per capita knowledge production rate (called productivity) as a function of the amount of accumulated knowledge. The function interpolates two extreme cases, the first of which describes an underdeveloped society with very little knowledge and non-zero productivity, and the second, a highly developed society with a large amount of knowledge and productivity that grows according to a power law as knowledge accumulates. The model is calibrated using literature data on the number of patents, articles, and books. For comparison, we also consider the rapid growth in the global information storage capacity that has been observed since the 1980s. Based on the model developed, we can distinguish between two states of society: (1) a pre-information society, in which the knowledge amount is below a certain threshold and productivity is quite low, and (2) an information society with a super-threshold amount of knowledge and its rapid accumulation due to advanced computer technologies. An analysis shows that the transition to an information society occurred in the 1980s. Full article
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