A Comparison of Connected-Vehicle Roughness and Traditional Pavement Condition Index
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Problem Objective
1.2. Literature Review
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Location
2.2. US Roads Dataset
2.3. Connected-Vehicle Roughness Data
2.4. PCI Data
2.5. Data Processing
2.6. Threshold Optimization
2.7. Summary of Processed Data
3. Results
3.1. PCI-IRI Relationship
3.2. PCI-IRI Agreement Analysis
- True Positive (TP): both metrics indicate poor condition.
- True Negative (TN): both metrics indicate good condition.
- False Negative (FN): PCI suggests good condition, but IRI indicates a rough surface.
- False Positive (FP): IRI suggests a smooth surface, but PCI indicates poor condition.

3.3. Quality Control Application
4. Discussion and Conclusions
- Classification performance was highest for secondary arterials and primary collectors, as evidenced by the MCC and AUC values (Table 2). While the overall linear correlation (R2 = 0.15) was weak, this is consistent with how these metrics capture different dimensions of pavement degradation. The strength of the classification metrics confirms that IRICVe is a reliable indicator for categorical “needs maintenance” screening, even though it does not linearly track the full range of PCI values.
- Threshold optimization identified PCI ≤ 50 as best aligning with the IRI “needs maintenance” category (IRI > 170 in/mi). While this value maximizes the metric agreement within the Marion County dataset, it is intended as a calibration for localized data validation (Figure 9, Figure 10 and Figure 11) rather than a universal predictive rule, which would require diverse inter-agency datasets to minimize the risk of overfitting.
- Systematic biases were observed in both metrics. For instance, a high false-negative rate for PCI values around 87 indicated possible category bias in the dataset (Figure 11), and these segments can be re-evaluated according to the ASTM standards to correct for it if needed. Therefore, agencies can mitigate problems from biased data by combining both metrics: using IRI for large-scale screening and quality control and relying on PCI for diagnosis and treatment planning due to its ability to account for distress type and severity.
- Finally, and perhaps most promising for immediate implementation, by integrating crowdsourced IRI data into a common database that has traditional PCI data, an agency can very efficiently perform important quality control checks that complement, rather than replace, the use of the PCI data. Figure 12, Figure 13 and Figure 14 provide examples of a small subset of the significant number of discrepancies visible in Figure 8. These inconsistencies may be caused by factors such as systematic bias, human error, or data uncertainty, but all can be detected and addressed through the use of IRICVe data.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| CV | Connected Vehicle |
| IRI | International Roughness Index |
| IRICVe | CV-estimated IRI |
| PCI | Pavement Condition Index |
| ASTM | American Society for Testing and Materials |
| CNN | Convolutional Neural Network |
| LiDAR | Light Detection and Ranging |
| LTPP | Long-Term Pavement Performance |
| TIGER | Topologically Integrated Geographic Encoding and Referencing |
| OEM | Original Equipment Manufacturer |
| IMU | Inertial Measurement Unit |
| GPS | Global Positioning System |
| FHWA | Federal Highway Administration |
| CFD | Cumulative Frequency Distribution |
| TP | True Positive |
| TN | True Negative |
| FP | False Positive |
| FN | False Negative |
| R2 | Coefficient of Determination |
| MCC | Matthews Correlation Coefficient |
| AUC | Area Under the Curve |
| OLS | Ordinary Least Squares |
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| Roadway Class | Asphalt | Concrete | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary Arterial | 516.1 | 1.8 | 548.1 |
| Secondary Arterial | 140.2 | 0.2 | 141.4 |
| Primary Collector | 384.8 | 0.6 | 387.4 |
| Local Street | 844.6 | 12.2 | 870.8 |
| Total | 1900.7 | 14.7 | 1963.6 |
| Roadway Class | MCC | AUC | R2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary Arterial | 0.37 | 0.74 | 0.18 |
| Secondary Arterial | 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.21 |
| Primary Collector | 0.40 | 0.77 | 0.21 |
| Local Street | 0.21 | 0.69 | 0.15 |
| Total | 0.30 | 0.71 | 0.15 |
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Thompson, A.; Desai, J.; Bullock, D.M. A Comparison of Connected-Vehicle Roughness and Traditional Pavement Condition Index. Future Transp. 2026, 6, 47. https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp6010047
Thompson A, Desai J, Bullock DM. A Comparison of Connected-Vehicle Roughness and Traditional Pavement Condition Index. Future Transportation. 2026; 6(1):47. https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp6010047
Chicago/Turabian StyleThompson, Andrew, Jairaj Desai, and Darcy M. Bullock. 2026. "A Comparison of Connected-Vehicle Roughness and Traditional Pavement Condition Index" Future Transportation 6, no. 1: 47. https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp6010047
APA StyleThompson, A., Desai, J., & Bullock, D. M. (2026). A Comparison of Connected-Vehicle Roughness and Traditional Pavement Condition Index. Future Transportation, 6(1), 47. https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp6010047

