Abstract
From the very start of modelling with power-tail distributions, concerns were expressed about the actual applicability of distributions with infinite expectations to real-world distributions, which usually have bounded ranges. Here, we suggest resolving this issue by shifting the analysis from the true convergence in various CLTs to some kind of quasi convergence, where a stable approximation to, say, normalised sums of n i.i.d. random variables (or more generally, in a functional setting, to the processes of random walks), holds for large n, but not “too large” n. If the range of “large n” includes all imaginable applications, the approximation is practically indistinguishable from the true limit. This approach allows us to justify a stable approximation to random walks with bounded jumps and, moreover, it leads to some kind of cascading (quasi) asymptotics, where for different ranges of a small parameter, one can have different stable or light-tail approximations. The author believes that this development might be relevant to all applications of stable laws (and thus of fractional equations), say, in Earth systems, astrophysics, biological transport and finances.
1. Introduction
1.1. Objectives of the Paper
From the very start of modelling with power-tail distributions, concerns were expressed about the actual applicability of distributions with infinite expectations to real-world distributions, which usually have bounded ranges, see e.g., []. We aim to resolve this issue by obtaining explicit rates of approximation in functional limit theorems with stable laws and allowing one to shift the analysis from exact convergence in various CLTs to some kind of quasi convergence. Namely, we look at stable approximations to, say, normalised sums of n i.i.d. random variables (or more generally, in a functional setting, to the processes of random walks), which hold for large n, but not “too large”. If the range of “large n” includes any imaginable applications (say, being of the order of the age of the Universe), the approximation is practically indistinguishable from a true limit, and we can say that the corresponding random variables belong to the domain of quasi attraction of a stable law. This idea is supported by supplying explicit rates of approximation in explicitly prescribed ranges of a small parameter. In this way, we justify a stable approximation to normalised sums of i.i.d. random variables having all moments bounded or even having a bounded range. It also leads to some kind of cascading (quasi) asymptotics, where for different ranges of n, one can have different stable or light-tailed approximations. This idea is already well appreciated by physicists, see, e.g., [], devoted to the analysis of cosmic rays, where it is stated that for fluxes “of actual interest one is relatively far from the Gaussian limit and much closer to the stable law limit” (though Gaussian limit is dictated by the assumption of bounded Universe). In the present paper, we give an exact quantitative and qualitative description of this effect. The author believes that this development might be relevant to all applications of stable laws and processes (and thus of fractional equations), say, in the contexts of Earth systems [], of astrophysics [], of biological transport [], of seismo-dynamics [] and of finances [].
A search for the rates of convergence for functional limit theorems with stable laws was initiated in the author’s paper []. That paper also contained a brief review of the literature on the three related topics: (i) rates of convergence for functional standard central limit theorem, (ii) rates of (nonfunctional) convergence of sequences to stable laws, and (iii) functional central limits with stable laws without the rates. We will not reproduce this review here, but only remind some basic references [,,,,] on the rates of convergence of random sequences (not processes of random walks) to stable laws. The second objective of the present paper is to introduce essential improvements to the first result of [] on the rates of convergence for functional limit theorems with stable laws in finite times. Namely, while in [] the rates were very rough and were given only for exact power tails, for the one-dimensional case and for stability index ; here, we essentially tighten the rates (improve both orders and distances used) and extend to arbitrary (excluding ), arbitrary dimensions, and to standard assumptions of asymptotic (not exact) power tails. Apart from theoretical importance, results on convergence rates are crucial for assessing the effectiveness of numeric schemes for solving fractional PDEs by probabilistic methods, see [,,]. They provide exact rates of convergence for these schemes.
We refer to books [,,] for a general background on modelling with stable laws.
1.2. Content
In Section 2, we formulate our results and present proofs that are consequences of two types of certain technical estimates for stable laws and their random walk approximations. These two types of estimates are proved in Section 3 and Section 4, respectively. In Section 2, we also present corollaries concerning normalised sums of i.i.d. random variables and an example of cascading asymptotics. For the latter, we identify explicitly the regions of different asymptotic regimes and the region of switching between them. Some conclusions and perspectives are drawn in Section 5. In Appendix A we recall the general theorem on the rates of convergence of discrete Markov chains to continuous time Feller processes, which forms the cornerstone for the present derivations.
1.3. Notations for Spaces and Distances
Letters and will be used to denote probability and expectation. We also use the standard abbreviation i.i.d. for independent identically distributed and r.h.s. (respectively, l.h.s.) for right (respectively, left) hand side.
As usual, let denote the space of bounded continuous functions on equipped with the standard sup-norm . By we shall denote the space of Lipschitz continuous functions from , the Lipschitz constant being denoted , with the norm .
For , let denote the space of k times continuously differentiable functions on with bounded derivatives equipped with the standard norm
where denotes the sup-norm of the norms of multi-linear operators . Let denote the closed subspace of consisting of functions vanishing at infinity, the closed subspace of consisting of functions such that itself and all its derivatives up to order k belong to .
For , let denote the space of bounded -Hölder continuous functions f having a finite Hölder constant
This is a Banach space equipped with the norm
For instance, so that .
The same notation is used for the space of bounded -Hölder continuous functions with Euclidean norm used in (1) instead of magnitude. We shall need this extension mostly for the gradient mapping
Similarly we use this notation for the square-matrix-valued functions (notably for the second derivatives of a real-valued function f), where, by the corresponding norm, we mean the usual norm of a matrix.
For , let denote the subspace of of functions with -Hölder continuous derivatives of order k equipped with the norm
where is the Hölder constant (of index ) of the mapping from to the space of k-linear forms in .
For a subspace B of , which is itself a Banach space equipped with the norm , one can introduce a metric on the set of -valued random variables (more precisely, on the space of distributions of random variables) by the equation
For instance, if , , the corresponding metrics are often referred to as the smooth Wasserstein metrics (see, e.g., []). Intermediate metrics can be defined by using the spaces of Hölder functions as the subspace B. For the space the corresponding metric is referred to as the bounded Lipschitz metric or as the (standard) Wasserstein 1-distance, and it is usually denoted .
The Kolmogorov distance between real random variables X and Y is defined by the formula
When one of the variables, say Y, has a continuous density, , the Kolmogorov distance can be estimated by the smooth Wasserstein distance. In particular, as was shown in [] (extending the arguments from []), for any ,
where . For a stable process, estimates for the maximum of densities can be easily found. For instance, the maximum of the density of the stable process generated by (10) below was estimated in [] as follows:
2. Main Results
Let , , be a sequence of i.i.d. real-valued random variables with a bounded probability density p, and let
be the corresponding scaled random walk (where we set for ). We shall denote by the transition operators of the discrete Markov chain .
For the probability p, we shall assume the following rather standard condition (P) of an asymptotic power tail, but with the marked difference that this power tail holds for large but finite distances.
Condition (P): The probability density on is bounded and such that
and for , where is a measurable function on such that , with some constants , , such that . No additional assumptions on the behaviour of on the interval are made.
The latter condition is taken for simplicity as being a bit stronger than
which is equivalent to the requirement that .
The generator of a one-sided stable Lévy process of index (or, in the language of analysis, fractional derivative operator of order ) is defined by the formulas
Remark 1.
In fact, the actual standard generators and derivatives differ from these formulas by a constant multiplier that we omit for simplicity.
Let be the Feller semigroup of the -stable Lévy process in generated by the operator .
Theorem 1.
Let and the probability density satisfy the assumption (P). (i) If and , then
where
which in terms of the Wasserstein 1-distance rewrites as
(ii) If and , then
where
which in terms of the Wasserstein 1-distance rewrites as
Proof.
It is a consequence of general estimate (A4), where is given by Theorem 4 (i) and is given by Proposition 3, proved in the next two sections. □
Remark 2.
1. It may seem strange at first sight that the range of h depends only on and not on , as one can hardly expect any approximation if, say, , which is not banned by our conditions. However, all constants depend linearly on , so that, for large , our estimates become essentially void. 2. In [] we obtained much weaker estimates for the distances between and , and, moreover, only in case and .
Corollary 1.
In case (i) and (ii), we have the following estimates for the Kolmogorov distances for any :
respectively.
As a direct consequence, let us derive the approximating rates for normalised sums, that is, a non-functional (quasi) central limit theorem (CLT) with stable laws. Namely, setting and in the formulas above yields the following.
Corollary 2.
Let and the probability density satisfy the assumption (P). (i) If and , then
(ii) If and , then
When the upper bound for n is large, we may say that the distribution belongs to the domain of quasi attraction of the -stable law, in the sense that the normalised sums of the corresponding i.i.d. random variables behave in the same way as for distributions from the actual domain of attraction, for all practical purposes. The parameter is the main parameter measuring the level of deviation from the actual domain of attraction.
Remark 3.
Rates obtained for non-functional approximations (18), (19) are surely far from being optimal. The proofs (given below) show the essential flexibility of our approach. In this paper, our main stress was on functional approximations, and moreover, we planned to develop and demonstrate some methodology and did not fight for the best estimates. Nevertheless, for non-functional results and for the exact convergence (when ) it can be instructive to compare our rates with those in the literature, which are in abundance. It seems that, even in this case, our results are not consequences of any known results but complement them. The nearest to us seem to be the estimates from [] that also operate with smooth Wasserstein distances and makes the same standard assumptions on the densities of τ. However, using Hölder spaces, we managed to obtain estimates of weak convergence in terms of just once differentiable functions for and of twice differentiable functions for (unlike twice and thrice differentiable, respectively, in []). Additionally, our approach allows one to further weaken these regularity assumptions (that is, decrease the order of smooth Wasserstein distances). In other papers, most notably [], the assumptions on τ are made in terms of characteristic functions, which makes a direct comparison with our rates not straightforward.
Let us turn to the case . In this paper, we decided to avoid dealing with several technical complications arising in the case .
Theorem 2.
Let , the probability density satisfy assumption (P), and , where coefficients with tilde are defined in (33).
(i) If , then
where
(ii) If , then
where
Proof.
It is a consequence of estimate (A4), where is given by Theorem 4 case (iii) and is given by Proposition 6. □
Inequalities of Theorem 2 estimate the smooth Wasserstein distances . Analogously to the case above one can obtain an estimate for the corresponding Kolmogorov distances using (7), and for the distances of normalised sums.
Next, let , , be a sequence of i.i.d. -valued random variables with a bounded probability density p, . The random walk and its transition operator are defined as above in case .
For p, we shall assume the condition (Pd), which is a natural extension of the one-dimensional case above.
Condition (Pd): With given constants , , , the probability density on is bounded and such that
where , is a measurable function on such that , and is a continuous non-negative function on the sphere such that
The generator of a d-dimensional stable Lévy process of index with a spectral measure specified by the density function is defined by the formulas
One-dimensional results above are presented in a way that they extend straightforwardly to the present d-dimensional case. For instance, for , we find the following.
Theorem 3.
Let us now provide an example of cascading asymptotics showing different regimes for large and for “very large” number of terms.
Let , a positive constant, , and
Aiming at dealing with large , let us assume for definiteness that , so that and thus .
A random variable with distribution satisfies the requirement of Theorem 1 (i) with and
On the other hand, the distribution has finite moments
Hence, we can apply the Berry–Essen theorem for the distance of normalised sums of to the standard law. Combining this theorem with Theorem 1 yields the following result.
Proposition 1.
For a sequence of i.i.d. random variables distributed like τ with the distribution given by (24), with , it follows that
for . On the other hand, for all n,
where C is the Berry–Essen constant and is a standard normal random variable.
Remark 4.
The Berry–Essen constant C belongs to the interval . We refer to [,] for the best-known results on its approximation.
We see that roughly speaking, in order for estimate (26) to make sense, we must have . Thus the interval is the switching region, where the (quasi) -stable asymptotics is transferred to the normal CLT. Clearly, if is sufficiently large so that observations for n beyond the level of are not available or feasible, the random variable looks like it belongs to the domain of attraction of the -stable law and its true asymptotics cannot be revealed. However, the example shows exactly where this quasi attraction actually breaks down and when the true limit becomes visible.
3. Technical Estimates I: Random Walk Approximation for Stable Generators
In this section, we supply the first group of inequalities needed for the application of Proposition A1 in our setting, namely estimates of type (A1).
Theorem 4.
Let be a measurable bounded function on satisfying assumption (P).
(i) Let , and
Then
for any vanishing at zero and any .
In particular, for ,
(ii) Let . Then
for
and any differentiable f vanishing at zero together with its first derivative and such that .
In particular,
for and .
(iii) Let again and set the first moment of p (which is well-defined due to the assumptions of the theorem). Let us assume (for definiteness) that and
Then
for and , where
(iv) Finally, let be the symmetrized version of the probability density p. Then
for , and . Integrals in this formula are understood in the sense of the main value.
Remark 5.
(i) If , it is natural to choose in Statement (i). We have taken here arbitrary δ, because for small β, the interval can become void even for sufficiently large . In addition, notice that the bound was used only for and is not required whenever . (ii) Statements (iii) and (iv) are particular cases of a more general situation with different power asymptotics for p on positive and negative half-lines. This general case is dealt with in the next result concerning stable limits in arbitrary dimensions. (iii) As seen from the proofs below, most of the explicit constants on the r.h.s. of the estimates above can be essentially tightened. We tried to give the simplest versions that, at the same time, clearly indicate the role of all parameters. (iv) The case with requires certain modifications that we are not touching here.
Proof.
(i) We shall compare the integrals separately in the domains , and .
Firstly,
For the second term, we have the following estimate:
where we used the inequality .
Secondly,
and
so that
The latter estimate follows from the inequality .
Thirdly,
In the last inequality we used the definition of and the inequality .
Finally, combining the three estimates above yields (28).
Secondly,
Thirdly,
If , then and therefore
where and
because .
Let us now obtain a multidimensional extension of these estimates, reducing attention to .
Recall that for a differentiable function f on we shall denote by the sup-norm of the Euclidean length of the gradient vector , and by the sup-norm of the standard matrix norm of the matrix of the second derivatives of f and .
Theorem 5.
Let a density p on satisfy condition (Pd) and .
Let denote the first moment of p (which is well-defined due to the assumptions of the theorem). All estimates below are supposed to hold for
(with the corresponding and in case (iii)) and twice continuously differentiable functions f and g.
(i) For a differentiable f vanishing at zero together with its first derivative, it follows that
(ii) If , then
(iii) If and , then
where
Proof.
Statement (i) is a straightforward extension of the proof of part (ii) of Theorem 4. Statement (ii) is obtained by applying (i) to the function and noting that the integrals containing vanish. To prove (iii), we follow the line of arguments of part (iii) of Theorem 4 and start by writing
Then we apply Statement (ii) to this integral with respect to the probability density . Notice that if , then . At the same time, if , then , and therefore
implying the required estimate for . □
4. Technical Estimates II: Stable Generators from Stable Semigroups
In this section, we supply the second group of inequalities needed for the application of Proposition A1 in our setting, namely estimates (A2). Thus the main results are given by Propositions 3, 5 and 7. Preliminary Lemmas 1 and 2 must be essentially known to specialists, but explicit constants for the corresponding estimates are not easy to find in the literature, and we sketch proofs for the convenience of readers.
Lemma 1.
Let . Then
for any .
Furthermore, if and , then and
In particular,
Proof.
Estimate (41) is straightforward from dividing the integral in (10) in two parts, over the interval and over the rest of (more details are given below for the analogous case of ).
To prove (42), let us write
We can estimate the first term in magnitude by
and the second term by
Choosing yields the result required.
Let be the Feller semigroup of the -stable Lévy process generated by operator .
Proposition 2.
(i) If , then
(ii) For any and ,
Proof.
(ii) Let be an even nonnegative smooth function on with support in such that , is increasing on and . For , let . For an , let
If , then
On the other hand, and therefore
for any .
Writing
and estimating
yields
Choosing yields
□
Since
it follows that
Varying in (42) and Proposition 2, we can obtain, as direct corollaries, various estimates for the l.h.s. of this inequality. A particular choice of and leads to the following result.
Proposition 3.
Under assumptions of Proposition 2,
Proof.
Remark 6.
Let us turn to the case .
Lemma 2.
Let . Then
for .
Furthermore, if and , then
and
Proof.
Proposition 4.
Let and . Then
and
Remark 7.
One sees from Proposition 4 that for an effective estimate of one either uses higher regularity of f with better behaviour in small h, or less regularity in f resulting in worse estimate in h. Different versions can be used depending on the regularity requirement.
Proof.
Estimate (50) is a direct consequence of (47). To prove the second inequality, we work as if in the proof of (45) exploiting the approximation to an arbitrary f.
Writing
and estimating
and, for ,
yields
Choosing yields
implying (51) by a rough estimate of the term in the bracket.
Alternatively, we can estimate
and, for ,
yields
Choosing again yields
implying (51). □
As above, for the case of , we obtain the following as a direct corollary.
Proposition 5.
Let and . Then
If and , then also
Proof.
Choosing in the first case and in the second (also estimating in the second case) we obtain the following consequence.
Proposition 6.
Let . Then
If , then also
All these estimates and their proofs extend automatically to the d-dimensional case leading to the following result.
5. Conclusions
In this paper, we proved various rates of convergence for functional limit theorems with stable laws. In particular, we paid attention to some kind of quasi convergence, where stable approximation holds for large, but not too large n, and in fact, it can vary in different regions of these large n. The method of proof was based essentially on the theory of semigroups.
Let us draw some further perspective.
First of all, our results have more or less straightforward extensions for the convergence of position-dependent random walks to stable-like processes. Unlike the method of Fourier transform, which is tailored to the analysis of constant-coefficient equations, our approach is more robust. To extend our main theorems to variable coefficients, one just has to use general estimate (A3), rather than its simplified version (A4).
Next, we excluded the case that requires certain additional efforts. Bringing this case to the theory is also connected to working out the best rates available for various and various distances (Kolmogorov, Wasserstein, etc.). As seen from our proofs, several possibilities arise in choosing various intermediate parameters, and our choice here was motivated by simplicity and not by proper consideration of optimality. One can also weaken the assumption on an asymptotic similarity of with an exact power.
Essential improvement of the results of [] on functional CLT with stable laws (as performed here) would naturally imply improvements in the results of [] for the convergence of continuous time random walks (CTRW), which we did not touch here at all.
Finally, the author believes that the methods developed here can be successfully applied to many other related models, as described, for instance, in [].
Funding
The paper was published with the financial support of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation as part of the program of the Moscow Center for Fundamental and Applied Mathematics under the agreement 075-15-2022-284.
Data Availability Statement
Not applicable.
Acknowledgments
The author is grateful to V. Yu. Korolev for inspiring discussions.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Appendix A. Rates of Convergence for Scaled Markov Chains
Our proofs are all derived from a general estimate for the difference between a Feller semigroup and its discrete (random walk) approximation. The following result was proved essentially in Theorem 8.1.1 of [] (see also []), though here we modify it by stating that all estimates hold only for (rather than all positive h in []), which does not affect the proof.
Proposition A1.
Let be a Feller semigroup in the Banach space , generated by an operator L, having a core D, which is itself a Banach space with a norm . Let be also a bounded semigroup in D such that
with a constant (the growth rate of the semigroup).
Let be a family of contractions in B, and let
for with some constant and with some positive continuous functions and on . Then the scaled discrete semigroups are close to the semigroup in the sense that
for .
In all our examples, we deal with spatially homogeneous Feller processes and with D being spaces of differentiable or Hölder continuous functions. In these cases, functions and all their derivatives satisfy the same evolution equations and therefore are contractions in all these spaces. Hence (A3) reduces to the simpler relation
for .
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