Planning Resilient Territories Against Weather-Related Power Outages: Insights from Lombardia Region
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Rationale and Research Background
3. Methodology
- REGULATORY AND CONCEPTUAL FRAMING based on a review of the scientific literature and relevant regulatory frameworks (from global to local scale) on power system resilience, Climate Change Adaptation, and Disaster Risk Reduction, identifies key principles/goals and normative requirements influencing the mitigation and management of weather-related power outages, underpinning the overall analytical framework.
- TERRITORIAL CHARACTERIZATION conceptualizing blackout risk as the result of interactions between territorial conditions, hazard dynamics, and infrastructure characteristics, to differentiate resilience conditions across territorial contexts, thereby informing targeted planning and risk mitigation strategies. This involves several operational steps: i) analyzing hazard dynamics and local vulnerability factors; ii) mapping territorial and infrastructural assets to identify their exposure; iii) integrating these insights to locate critical areas and infrastructures.
- STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT, adopting a participatory and interpretive approach, complements regulatory and territorial analyses by involving diverse actors to gather experiential knowledge, institutional perspectives, and operational constraints related to electricity system management and emergency response, thereby supporting the co-production of strategic orientations, guidelines, and operational tools to enhance coordination, adaptive capacity, and territorial resilience to weather-related power outages.

4. Key Requirements for Enhancing Territorial Resilience to Power Outages
4.1. From Critical Infrastructure Protection to Critical Entities Resilience in the Power Sector
- In the prevention phase, the power system must be robust enough to withstand the initial impact before the occurrence of a disruptive event. This involves conducting regular risk assessments and scenario analyses to address multi-sectoral and cross-border threats (Row 1 of Table 1).
- In the preparedness phase, a well-designed and managed system should possess sufficient resilience to handle a wide range of contingencies. Operational preparedness is critical, as it equips operators with the tools to configure the system in a resilient state. In this context, critical entities are required to develop resilience plans, conduct training exercises, and foster awareness among operators and authorities, including through secure, interoperable information exchange. Such measures enhance early warning capabilities and enable timely, coordinated responses to emerging hazards (Rows 2 and 3 of Table 1).
- In the response phase, resilience relies on resourcefulness, redundancy, and adaptive self-organization, which are needed to manage evolving conditions (often unprecedented) and mitigate the impacts of the event. Promoting operational continuity and inter-sectoral cooperation is essential to support rapid and effective crisis management (Row 4 of Table 1).
- In the recovery phase, the system enters a restorative phase, where it must demonstrate the capacity to recover quickly and reestablish resilient operation, in line with the objectives of the EU Civil Protection Mechanism. Post-event requirements, including business continuity and performance evaluation, contribute to long-term resilience by enabling continuous learning, adaptation, and improvement (Row 5 of Table 1).
| DRM Phase | Disaster Resilience Goal (2023/C56/01) | CER Directive (2022/2557) | Objective | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prevention | 1—Anticipate | Regular risk assessment and scenario planning to address multi-sectoral and cross-border risks (art.6–7) | Minimize the likelihood of negative impacts resulting from extreme weather events. | Risk scenario and impact analysis, network vulnerability mapping |
| Readiness | 2—Prepare | Resilience plans, training, and exercises (art. 10–12) | Enhance the capacity to forecast and monitor the power network under extreme meteorological conditions | Training programs, collaboration protocols with Civil Protection, and capacity building |
| 3—Alert | Secure and interoperable information flows between operators and authorities (art. 9) | Integration of the alert system with smart grids and meteorological data, predictive dashboards for blackout risk management | ||
| Response | 4—Respond | Operational continuity and inter-sectoral cooperation (art. 9) | Enhance the capacity for planning and managing crises | Civil Protection plans |
| Recovery | 5—Secure | Business continuity and post-event evaluation (art. 13) | The ability of the electricity distribution network to quickly return to normal operating conditions | Post-event review and plan adaptation |
4.2. Core Dimensions of Power Supply Service Management Within the Italian Context
5. Case Study: Lombardia Region Initiative on Power Blackout Risk Mitigation
5.1. Climate Hazards Behind Power Outages in Mountain and Plain Areas
5.2. Evidence from Stakeholder Engagement
- Hazard drivers—In Valle Brembana, hazard drivers are primarily natural and climate-related, including heavy snowfall, intense rainfall, and falling trees. In the Milan metropolitan area, hazard drivers are also climate-related but manifest differently, notably through extreme rainfall events leading to flooding (e.g., 15 May 2020) and heatwaves that stress the network during peak demand periods.
- Exposed assets—In Valle Brembana, exposed assets include overhead lines crossing forested areas and critical access routes necessary for restoration activities. In contrast, in Milan, exposure primarily concerns underground substations, basements, and medium-voltage joints embedded within a dense urban infrastructure. The spatial configuration of assets (dispersed and terrain-dependent in Valle Brembana versus concentrated and underground in Milan) shapes the nature of risk.
- Physical and systemic vulnerabilities—Physical vulnerabilities in Valle Brembana stem from forest proximity, difficult terrain, and limited accessibility, all of which increase outage duration and complicate repairs. In Milan, vulnerabilities relate more to infrastructure aging, flood sensitivity of underground components, recurrent joint failures during heatwaves, limited remote monitoring capacity, and dependence on inter-agency coordination during emergencies. Here, systemic vulnerabilities are more closely tied to operational complexity and coordination requirements in a dense urban setting.
- Resilience measures—Resilience strategies in Valle Brembana are largely anticipatory and spatially oriented, including forest monitoring, pre-identification of staging areas for mobile generators, assessment of route accessibility, mapping of priority users, and the use of historical and spatial data for planning. In Milan, resilience measures are more embedded in regulatory and operational frameworks, relying on systematic outage data analysis, spatial risk mapping, prioritization of interventions according to ARERA and Terna guidelines, PESSE procedures, and targeted operational planning for flood- and heat-prone areas.
| Area of Study (Location & DSO) | Main Criticalities | Implemented Solutions |
|---|---|---|
| Valle Brembana (Bergamo province) e-distribuzione |
|
|
| Milan (metropolitan area) UNARETI |
|
|
6. Coordinated Actions to Support Civil Protection Activity in Blackout Risk Mitigation
6.1. Preparedness Actions
- Mapping hazardous areas based on the likelihood of potentially harmful events that could impact the territory, including the possibility of multiple events co-occurring (multi-hazard). In mountain regions, hazardous conditions to consider are: i) heavy snowfall and windstorms, which can affect overhead lines and/or external electrical substations due to ice buildup; ii) falling tall trees or branches, limiting access in case of road system disruptions; and iii) wildfires in areas with dense forests or vegetation. In plain regions, hazardous conditions include heat waves and flooding caused by very intense rainfall over short periods (commonly called “cloudbursts”). In this context, wildfire risk should be assessed along with heatwave and drought conditions. Local authorities and power operators prioritize actions to share knowledge and provide information on the most critical areas (Table 3).
- Mapping critical components of the electrical network (overhead or underground lines and primary/secondary substations) to gather and share information about their exposure to heavy snowfall and/or strong winds, including damage caused by falling trees (in mountain areas) and heat waves and flooding (in plain areas), which could lead to road system disruptions and decreased accessibility (Table 4).
- Mapping critical users and assets to prioritize power restoration, including human presence (e.g., urban and rural settlements), public health facilities (related to water supply, electricity, etc.), transportation infrastructure (such as roads, airports, and railroads), and environmental resources (Table 5).
6.2. Prevention Actions
6.3. Response Actions
- Identification and mapping of power generator storage areas, taking into account variations in generator features, including different power capacities and fuel types, as well as their configurations (open, enclosed, soundproofed, or trailer-mounted units). Local authorities and power network operators contribute to identifying such areas, considering their own competencies (Table 7).
- Identification and mapping of fuel stations, as in the event of a power blackout, it is essential to maintain fuel reserves and ensure continuous refueling to support the operational continuity of emergency vehicles and equipment required to manage the emergency (e.g., generators, snowplows, etc.) (Table 8).
- Identification and mapping of available local resources, including personnel (e.g., snowplow crews, local police, volunteer organizations), vehicles and equipment belonging to territorial actors, alerting systems (e.g., sirens, bells), emergency contractors for rapid response, and logistics centers for equipment storage (Table 9).
- Mapping of strategic road infrastructures, essential for effective emergency response, defined as roads providing access to the relevant territorial area and connecting critical or sensitive elements, including electrical network infrastructure, generator storage areas, and fuel stations for refueling (Table 10).
- Management and monitoring of road infrastructure with particular focus on hazardous areas that may affect access to electrical network infrastructure, critical or sensitive users, generator storage areas, fuel depots, and other key sites (Table 11).
- Ensuring the functionality of the telecommunications system, as during a widespread blackout, TLC network services may be disrupted (Table 12).
7. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| ARERA | Regulatory Authority for Energy, Networks and Environment |
| ARPA | Regional Agency for Environmental Protection |
| AsFo | Association Foncière pastorale |
| BT | Low Voltage |
| CBA | Cost–Benefit Analysis |
| CER | Critical Entities Resilience |
| Cis | Critical Infrastructures |
| DRM | Disaster Risk Management |
| DSO | Distribution System Operator |
| KPI | Key Performance Indicators |
| PESSE | Emergency Plan for the Safety of the Electrical System |
| PNIEC | National Integrated Energy and Climate Plan |
| PRG/PGT | General Regulatory Plan/Territorial Government Plan |
| SECAP | Sustainable Energy and Climate Action Plan |
| TERNA | National Electricity Transmission Grid |
| TLC | Telecommunications |
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| Mountain Areas | Plain Areas | |
|---|---|---|
| Local authorities |
|
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| Power |
| |
| Goal | Hazard analysis ► Local/Provincial maps describing territorial hazard level | |
| Mountain/Plain Areas | |
|---|---|
| Local |
|
| Power |
|
| Goal | Exposure analysis ► Local/Provincial maps of spatial distribution of electrical network components like power lines, nodes, and transformation cabins. |
| Mountain/Plain Areas | |
|---|---|
| Local |
|
| Power |
|
| Goal | Exposure analysis ► Local/Provincial maps of the spatial distribution of strategic/relevant/sensitive elements, accompanied by an updated list of available contacts. |
| Mountain/Plain Areas | |
|---|---|
| Local |
|
| Power |
|
| Goal | Define methods for managing tree material near electrical infrastructure, causing service interruptions and blocking access ► Local/provincial maps of spatial distribution of vegetation near power lines; ordinances for property maintenance near power infrastructure; agreements among authorities, grid operators, and land owners. |
| Mountain/Plain Areas | |
|---|---|
| Local |
|
| Power |
|
| Goal | Identification of areas for power generator storage ► Local/provincial maps of the identified areas with detailed information about size, current land use (from PRG/PGT), ownership (public/private), access roads and connecting infrastructure, type of paving, etc. |
| Mountain/Plain Areas | |
|---|---|
| Local | ▪ Site selection should consider operational needs and logistics. ▪ Fuel station sites can be secured with agreements to ensure electricity during blackouts or equipped with generators by civil protection. ▪ Regulatory acts like ordinances may be needed to activate strategic services quickly, restrict non-strategic use, and reduce civilian fuel demand. ▪ Thematic maps should be updated every 1–2 years to monitor fuel distribution points. |
| Goal | Mapping fuel stations to identify strategic ones for emergency stock availability ►Local and provincial maps, along with agreements between territorial authorities and fuel distribution operators. |
| Mountain/Plain Areas | |
|---|---|
| Local | ▪ Consider establishing agreements with companies for supplies like earth-moving equipment, salt, snowplows, shovels, etc. ▪ Every six months to a year, update contacts for all strategic and sensitive users on a priority basis. Identify the responsible person for updating the list, including their contact info and location. |
| Goal | Identification of resources devoted to risk preparation, response, and recovery ►Local/Provincial maps representing resource locations and quantities per Municipality or territorial area, an updated contact list of local suppliers for equipment, vehicles, and materials, and agreements with specialized equipment suppliers. |
| Mountain/Plain Areas | |
|---|---|
| Local | ▪ Provide geospatial data layers of roads (including highways, major roads, and intersections) to identify strategic roads that connect critical infrastructure like electrical networks, generator storage, and fuel stations. ▪ Updates should occur every six months to a year, reflecting changes in strategic users, generator locations, and fuel depots. |
| Power | ▪ Share information regarding electrical infrastructure components that require special attention, taking into account the impacts and frequency of past events in the area. |
| Goal | Vulnerability analysis of the road system network ► Local and provincial maps of strategic roads categorized according to classification (in accordance with the ‘New Highway Code’, Legislative Decree 30 April 1992 No. 285, and subsequent amendments), as well as by size and capacity (specifically for bridges). |
| Mountain/Plain Areas | |
|---|---|
| Local |
|
| Police |
|
| Goal | Regulation of road traffic, especially concerning ‘strategic road infrastructures’ (see Table 9) ► Agreement among local stakeholders involved to define specific responsibilities in the implementation of the measure. |
| Mountain/Plain Areas | |
|---|---|
| Local/Power | ▪ Establish redundant communication systems between authorities and electricity providers for current fault info and service times. ▪ Keep risk assessments and telecom infrastructure maps to support remote monitoring and identify issues. ▪ Implement a citizen info system to broadcast event updates on electricity status via loudspeakers, radio, flyers, notices, and public postings. |
| Goal | Ensure the functionality of the telecommunications system, also by providing for the identification of an alternative system in order to have—at all levels—strategic and operational communication of the event ► Agreement between the involved local actors to define the specific responsibilities in implementing the measure. |
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© 2026 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license.
Share and Cite
Gazzola, V.; Menoni, S.; Melzi, C.; Broggi, M. Planning Resilient Territories Against Weather-Related Power Outages: Insights from Lombardia Region. Urban Sci. 2026, 10, 186. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10040186
Gazzola V, Menoni S, Melzi C, Broggi M. Planning Resilient Territories Against Weather-Related Power Outages: Insights from Lombardia Region. Urban Science. 2026; 10(4):186. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10040186
Chicago/Turabian StyleGazzola, Veronica, Scira Menoni, Carmela Melzi, and Marco Broggi. 2026. "Planning Resilient Territories Against Weather-Related Power Outages: Insights from Lombardia Region" Urban Science 10, no. 4: 186. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10040186
APA StyleGazzola, V., Menoni, S., Melzi, C., & Broggi, M. (2026). Planning Resilient Territories Against Weather-Related Power Outages: Insights from Lombardia Region. Urban Science, 10(4), 186. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10040186

