Study on Prediction of Wellbore Collapse Pressure of the Coal Seam Considering a Weak Structure Plane

To investigate the influence of weakly structured formations on wellbore stability in deep coal seams within the Lufeng Block, this study establishes an innovative predictive model for coal seam wellbore collapse pressure. The model integrates mechanical parameter variations along weak structural planes with the Mohr–Coulomb criterion, leveraging experimental correlations between mechanical properties and bedding angle. Key findings reveal that the coal sample demonstrates enhanced compressive strength and elastic modulus under elevated confining pressures. A distinctive asymmetric “V” pattern emerges in mechanical parameter evolution: compressive strength, elastic modulus, cohesion, and internal friction angle initially decrease before recovering with increasing bedding angle, reaching minimum values at a 60° bedding angle. Comparative analysis demonstrates that the proposed model predicts a higher collapse pressure equivalent density than conventional Mohr–Coulomb approaches, particularly when accounting for mechanical parameter alterations along weak structural planes. Field validation through coal seam data from the operational well confirms the model’s effectiveness for stability analysis in weakly structured coal formations within the Lufeng Block. These findings provide critical theoretical support for wellbore stability management in deep coal seam engineering applications.