Stability and Direction of Hopf Bifurcation with Optimal Control Analysis of HIV Transmission Dynamics
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Model Formulation with Drugs
- A1:
- We consider a dynamical system describing the interaction between uninfected CD4+ T cells, infected CD4+ T cells, and cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs). Let us define the model populations:
- (i)
- The density of uninfected CD4+ T cells, T(t);
- (ii)
- The density of infected CD4+ T cells, y(t);
- (iii)
- The density of CTL cells, C(t), at any time t.
The interactions among the populations are discussed below. The model is built upon several biological and pharmacological assumptions that govern the dynamics of CD4+ T cells and cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) under HIV infection and drug treatment. - A2:
- We assumed that uninfected CD4+ T cells undergo natural apoptosis at a constant rate denoted by , while CTLs similarly die at a rate [35]. Due to spatial and resource limitations within the host environment, uninfected CD4+ T cells also experience intra-population competition, which is captured by a quadratic term [36,37].
- A3:
- The infection process is modeled as being proportional to the frequency of encounters between uninfected and infected CD4+ T cells, with an infection rate [8]. The presence of reverse transcriptase inhibitors (RTIs) reduces this infection rate by a factor of , where represents the efficacy of RTI treatment [38]. However, as emphasized in the introduction, this formulation explicitly captures the RTI aspect of HAART. Interleukin-2 (IL-2) therapy is also incorporated into the model to account for its role in enhancing the proliferation of CD4+ T cells, represented by the term [9,39,40] (as indicated by Figure 1).
- A4:
- On the immune response side, CTLs are responsible for eliminating infected CD4+ T cells, and this cytotoxic activity is modeled as being proportional to the contact rate between CTLs and infected cells, with a removal rate [15]. Furthermore, CTLs proliferate in response to the presence of infected cells at a rate [15], and this proliferation is further boosted by IL-2 treatment, captured by the term [41].
3. Basic Properties
3.1. Existence and Uniqueness of Solutions
3.2. Positive Invariance
3.3. Boundedness of the System
3.4. Equilibrium Analysis
- (i)
- The disease-free equilibrium where
- (ii)
- The CTL-free endemic equilibrium , whereis feasible if .
- (iii)
- The endemic equilibrium wherewith . is biologically feasible if
3.5. The Basic Reproduction Number,
4. Stability of Equilibria
- (i)
- The Jacobian at disease-free equilibrium, , isAt , the eigenvalues areFor the stability of the equilibrium, we require the conditions
- (ii)
- At , the Jacobian matrix is obtained asAt , one eigenvalue is Other two eigenvalues satisfywhereThus, the equilibrium is stable if
- (iii)
- Stability of endemic equilibrium : The Jacobian matrix at is determined aswithThe characteristic equation of J at iswhereThe Routh–Hurwitz conditions for all roots of to have negative real parts areTherefore, the local asymptotic stability conditions at the steady point areNow, we study the local Hopf bifurcation of . Any of the parameters of the model may be a bifurcation parameter. Thus, we assume as the generic bifurcating parameter of the system.
Stability and Direction of Hopf Bifurcation
- (i)
- If , the Hopf bifurcation is supercritical: a stable limit cycle is born for parameter values on the side where the equilibrium becomes unstable.
- (ii)
- If , the Hopf bifurcation is subcritical: an unstable limit cycle exists on the side where the equilibrium is still stable.
- (i)
- If , the bifurcating periodic orbits exist for ; if , they exist for .
- (ii)
- The periodic orbits are orbitally stable if and unstable if .
- (iii)
- The period varies according to : it increases if and decreases if .
5. System with Optimal Drug Dosing
- (i)
- : dosage of reverse transcriptase inhibitor (RTI);
- (ii)
- : dosage of interleukin-2 (IL-2) therapy.
5.1. Cost Functional and Admissible Controls
- (i)
- and represent the control functions corresponding to drug administration;
- (ii)
- denotes the population of susceptible CD4+ T cells at time t;
- (iii)
- denotes the population of CTL cells at time t;
- (iv)
- are weight constants penalizing drug usage;
- (v)
- are penalty multipliers rewarding the proliferation of CD4+ T cells and CTLs;
- (vi)
- is the treatment interval under consideration.
5.2. Existence of the Optimal Control Pair
- (i)
- The control set U is nonempty, closed, convex, and bounded;
- (ii)
- The right-hand side of (22) is jointly continuous in and locally Lipschitz in for each pair ;
- (iii)
5.3. The Hamiltonian
5.4. Adjoint System
5.5. Characterization of the Optimal Control Pair
5.6. Uniqueness of the Optimal Control Pair
5.6.1. Transformation of State and Adjoint Variables
5.6.2. Finding the Optimal Control
5.6.3. Inequalities for Control Differences
6. Numerical Results
6.1. Dynamics of the System Without Control

| Figures | Parameter Set |
|---|---|
| Figure 2 | , |
| Figure 3 | Parameter set is the same as in Figure 2 |
| Figure 4 | |
| Figure 5 | Parameter set is the same as in Figure 4 |
| Figure 6 | |
| Figure 7 | |
| Figure 8 | |
| Figure 9 | |
| Figure 10 | Parameter set is the same as in Figure 10 |
6.2. Dynamics of the System with Optimal Control
6.3. PRCC Analysis for the Optimal System
7. Discussion and Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Parameter | Definition | Value (Unit) |
|---|---|---|
| a | constant rate of production of Cells | 15 cells day−1 |
| death rate of Uninfected cells | 0.1 cells day−1 | |
| rate of infection | 0.00025–0.5 cells day−1 | |
| death rate of infected cells | 0.2 cells/day | |
| clearance rate of infected cells by CTL | 0.002 day−1 | |
| rate of proliferation of CTL | 0.02–0.6 day−1 | |
| decay rate of CTL | 0.1 day−1 | |
| intra-population competition | 0.00065 day−1 | |
| activation rate of uninfected CD4+T cell by IL-2 | 0.005 day−1 | |
| activation rate of CTL by IL-2 | 0.02 day−1 |
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Alsulami, I.M.; Basir, F.A. Stability and Direction of Hopf Bifurcation with Optimal Control Analysis of HIV Transmission Dynamics. Mathematics 2026, 14, 1079. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14061079
Alsulami IM, Basir FA. Stability and Direction of Hopf Bifurcation with Optimal Control Analysis of HIV Transmission Dynamics. Mathematics. 2026; 14(6):1079. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14061079
Chicago/Turabian StyleAlsulami, Ibraheem M., and Fahad Al Basir. 2026. "Stability and Direction of Hopf Bifurcation with Optimal Control Analysis of HIV Transmission Dynamics" Mathematics 14, no. 6: 1079. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14061079
APA StyleAlsulami, I. M., & Basir, F. A. (2026). Stability and Direction of Hopf Bifurcation with Optimal Control Analysis of HIV Transmission Dynamics. Mathematics, 14(6), 1079. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14061079

