Abstract
We consider a Student process based on independent copies of a random variable X. If X is in the domain of attraction of the normal law (DAN), a weighted version of the Student process is known to follow a functional Central Limit Theorem (FCLT). Accordingly, appropriate functionals of such a process converge in distribution to the same functionals of the similarly weighted standard Wiener process. We use such a convergence for an integral functional and derive asymptotic confidence intervals (CIs) for the mean of X. For right-skewed distributions of X in DAN, we show that the obtained CIs have higher finite-sample coverage probabilities than, and may be preferred over, a CI of the same asymptotic confidence level that is based on the CLT for the Student t-statistic, since the finite-sample coverage probabilities of the latter CI may be lower than . Moreover, for such distributions, the finite-sample coverage probabilities of our best two CIs are also higher than those of their respective equal-expected-length counterparts.
Keywords:
weighted Student process; functional Central Limit Theorem; integral functional; asymptotic confidence interval; domain of attraction of the normal law; right-skewed distribution; Berry–Esseen bound MSC:
60E07; 60F17; 62G15
1. Introduction
Let be a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables (r.v.) with an unknown population mean throughout this paper. Consider the Student t-statistic
where and .
When , it is well-known that
which leads to the classical asymptotic confidence interval (CI) for the mean :
where and are the quantile of the standard normal distribution . In fact, ref. [1] extended (2) and hence validated (3) for the distributions in the domain of attraction of the normal law (DAN), where DAN means that there exist constants and > 0 such that
Remark 1.
The distributions in DAN have finite moments of order , while their variances are positive, but may be infinite. Clearly, if , then (4) is satisfied on account of the Central Limit Theorem (CLT), with = and = . If , then can also be taken as , while , where is a slowly varying function at infinity, meaning that , as , for any . Moreover, in this case is also nondecreasing and converges to ∞, as . Consider a Pareto distribution of the first kind with the tail index α and the scale parameter β, denoted by hereafter. with the probability density function is a well-known example of a distribution in DAN with an infinite variance. Moreover, in (4) can be taken as in this case. Clearly, if 2, then has a finite variance and hence is also in DAN.
A Student process in , the space of real-valued functions on that are right-continuous and have left-hand limits, is defined as follows:
where 0. Thus, is a random step function on :
When , the Student process in (6) becomes the Student t-statistic of (1).
Let denote a standard Wiener process. Theorem 1 of [2] extended (2) for DAN as follows:
where is the -field of subsets of that is generated by the finite-dimensional subsets of and is the sup-norm metric in . The convergence in distribution in (7) is known as a functional Central Limit Theorem (FCLT). We also note that the functionals to be considered in this paper are -measurable and .
In order to see that the CLT of (2) for the Student t-statistic is a special case of the FCLT of (7) for the Student process, one reads (7) with the projection functional with , where
Works [3,4] considered several concrete functionals as in (7) and derived respective asymptotic CIs, abbreviated as FACIs, for the mean of X based on convergence in distribution of these functionals. The focus of these works was to explore finite-sample properties of the obtained asymptotic CIs and compare them to those of of (3). Accordingly, from the comparison of the expected lengths and finite-sample coverage probabilities of these CIs, which was mostly performed numerically, it was concluded that some of the FACIs were shorter than on average, or had higher coverage probabilities than those of , and thus could potentially serve as alternatives to . Situations in which these FACIs could be preferred over were not discussed in these works.
Now, we present an FCLT for a weighted version of the Student process of (5) needed for an introduction of the current work.
Let Q be the class of positive functions , i.e., for all , which are non-decreasing near 0 and non-increasing near 1. For , let
Assuming that
it follows from Corollary 5 of [5] that (7) holds true for the weighted Student process :
Remark 2.
For ,
(see Theorem 3.4 of [6]). Using (12) and Khinchine’s local law of the iterated logarithm for the standard Wiener process, one can obtain examples of weight functions in Q satisfying (10), also known as Chibisov–O’Reilly functions, by simply multiplying the function
by an appropriate function on that converges to infinity as and .
Among other functionals, the convergence in distribution of (11) can be read with the integral functional , where
Moreover, such a convergence can also be concluded by using an -approximation in probability (see Theorem 3 of [5]), bypassing the FCLT and using a subclass of weight functions from Q that satisfy the condition
Thus, in particular, (11) with holds true with the weight function
The FCLT in (11) also holds true with a linear combination of the projection functional of (8) and the integral functional of (14), in particular, with the following functional:
where .
In the present work, we derive FACIs for the mean by using convergence in distribution of the integral functional of (14) and its modification of (17) applied to the Student process weighted with some appropriate functions .
We study, numerically, the finite-sample performance of the obtained FACIs and compare it to that of the CLT-based CI of (3). For asymmetric distributions in DAN, the finite-sample coverage probabilities of may be lower than its asymptotic confidence level . Moreover, may suffer from significant undercoverage for smaller sample sizes and more skewed distributions, especially the ones with fewer moments, while the rates of convergence of the coverage probabilities of to may be slow. We show that our FACIs have higher finite-sample coverage probabilities than, and may be reasonable alternatives to, the CI for right-skewed distributions in DAN, although the FACIs are longer than on average.
2. Main Results
2.1. Preliminaries
In order to derive our FACIs for from (11), the distribution function of the limiting r.v. must either have a closed form expression or be tabulated. This is only the case for . The rest of the limiting distributions have to be tabulated by us, similarly to the way of [3,4] for their functionals, which is based on the invariance principle approach of [7]. Accordingly, since the limiting distribution in (11) does not depend on the underlying distribution structure of X, we estimate its quantiles by those of the respective empirical distribution of the r.v. , where the latter distribution is based on 100,000 simulated values that are each computed from an random sample of size 100,000.
After deriving our FACIs, we conduct a detailed numerical study of their finite-sample coverage probabilities and expected lengths in comparison to those of the CLT-based CI of (3). The exact finite-sample coverage probabilities of the FACIs and are approximated by their empirical counterparts, which are based on 10,000 random samples of size n from a distribution of X.
In order to compare the expected length of a FACI (which is also not feasible to obtain in general in a closed form expression) to the expected length of , we use the ratios of the empirical expected lengths of a FACI to that of from 10,000 random samples of size n.
In our simulation study, we use seven right-skewed and two symmetric distributions from DAN with different numbers of moments: , , , Log-logistic(2.1,1), Log-normal, , Half-t(3), , and . The probability density functions for some of these distributions are provided in Table 1.
Table 1.
Probability density functions for some distributions.
2.2. FACIs Based on and
Substituting of (14) into (11), we have the following, as :
Since is a random step function on as in (6), the convergence in (18) amounts to
We consider (19) with two weight functions from Q with and 0.4, where both and are Chibisov–O’Reilly functions satisfying (10) as well as (15). The cumulative distribution function of has only been available for (see [8]). We retabulated the quantiles of and they closely match the ones in the latter paper. We also obtained the required quantiles of . All these quantiles are listed in Table 2.
Table 2.
The quantile of .
Let and define such that = . It follows from (19) that
The quadratic inequality in under the probability sign in (20) reads
This leads to the following FACI for :
where is the discriminant of the quadratic function of (21):
where in all the Monte Carlo simulations of this paper. The FACI with reduces to one of the FACIs obtained in [3,4] from (7).
Next, we similarly derive the FACIs based on the convergence in distribution in (11) with the Chibisov–O’Reilly weight function
satisfying (10) and with of (17), with two pairs of values for ,
Accordingly, for and e defined as = , we have
Solving the quadratic inequality in under the probability sign in (26) yields the following FACI for :
where
where, for the discriminant , we have in all the Monte Carlo simulations in the upcoming tables, for both pairs of values for of (25). Our simulated values of quantiles e of can be found in Table 3.
Table 3.
The quantile of .
Hereafter, we denote the FACIs of (27) with and by and , respectively.
In the following Table 4, we numerically compare the finite-sample properties of , with the weight functions and , , and at the asymptotic confidence level. Table 4 lists the values of the empirical coverage probabilities of , , 3, and 4, and of , together with the corresponding Monte Carlo standard errors in parentheses, all multiplied by 100%, as well as the values of and , the ratios of the empirical expected lengths of and , and and , and 4. The Monte Carlo standard errors for (with both and ), , and are in the range of across all nine distributions from DAN and the sample sizes , 100, 300, 500, and 1000.
Table 4.
Comparison of , with , , and at confidence level.
Based on Table 4, we make the following observations in Remarks 3–6.
Remark 3.
All four FACIs exhibit trade-offs between their respective empirical coverage probabilities and expected lengths. Indeed, they have mostly higher coverage probabilities than those of , while being longer than on average. More precisely, the ratios , , and are greater than one, being at most for and only at most for , and it appears these ratios do not depend on a distribution and decrease as n increases. As for the empirical finite-sample coverage probabilities, , , and are higher than , except for a small number of larger samples for when . For all the asymmetric distributions, is lower than (more so for smaller n) and converges to 95% slowly. For the samples, has the most severe undercoverage, where the rate of convergence of is so slow that for , is still below 95%, at 89.82%. Moreover, as seen from Table 4 (for the 95% confidence level) and Table A1 and Table A2 from Appendix A with similar comparisons of , , , and at the 90% and 98% confidence levels, the four FACIs provide coverage improvements of various degree, with the most significant one being the case of , and thus may be reasonable alternatives to for right-skewed distributions. On the other hand, for the symmetric and distributions, the coverage is very close to the asymptotic confidence level for all our sample sizes and does not require an improvement. We note in passing that the ratios of the empirical expected lengths , , and obtained in Table A1 and Table A2 are very similar to the ones in Table 4, and that the corresponding Monte Carlo standard errors are in the range of in Table A1 and in Table A2.
Remark 4.
Various Berry–Esseen upper bounds for
were established by a number of authors under different conditions on the sequence (see section 3 of [9]). For example, assuming that are independent but not necessarily identically distributed r.v.s with zero means and finite variances, ref. [10] proved that
where
When are i.i.d. r.v.s, the expression of (31) converges to zero and becomes a uniform upper bound of the rate of convergence in the self-normalized CLT.
Assuming that are i.i.d. r.v.s with and and defining
and
ref. [11] showed that
where A is an absolute constant and , as .
The bounds and can also be used to estimate the rate of convergence in the Studentized CLT (2) and how fast the finite-sample coverage probability of the corresponding CI of (3) converges to the asymptotic level .
The rate of convergence in the self-normalized and Studentized CLTs and hence that of to are known to be in general faster for symmetric distributions and slower for asymmetric distributions, more so when the latter ones have fewer moments, larger skewness, or both (see, for example, [11] and references therein). This has properly been seen for for the symmetric and distributions from Table 4, Table A1, and Table A2. On the other hand, the asymmetric version of , the ordinary distribution with an infinite variance, has the lowest in these tables and converges slowly. Similarly, for the asymmetric Half-, its is lower compared to that of . For the asymmetric -, , and Half- distributions, we can see from Table 4, Table A1, and Table A2 that their respective values decrease, as so do their numbers of finite moments.
Interestingly enough, the behavior of the finite-sample coverage probabilities of our FACIs closely resembles the just described one of , as evident from Table 4, Table A1, and Table A2. Moreover, in Table 5, not only but also the four FACI coverages show nearly the same ordering as those of the values of and computed for our distributions for . The orderings of the values of , , , , , and vary insignificantly for other sample sizes, while still being in close agreement with each other. Thus, for the right-skewed distributions with larger values of (if defined) or , one may like to rely on one of the FACIs to estimate the mean μ, as may have undesirably low coverage probabilities.
Table 5.
, , and coverages , , , () for at 95% confidence level.
Remark 5.
Upon further inspection of Table 4, Table A1, and Table A2, for the asymmetric distributions, we conclude that the FACI has the finite-sample coverages that are similar to those of with , being shorter than the latter FACI on average. On the other hand, has a similar average length to that of with , but has higher finite-sample coverages than the latter FACI. Thus, and improve on with in terms of the expected length and finite-sample coverage probability, respectively. In addition to Table 4, for our right-skewed distributions, we compare the 95% confidence level and FACIs to their respective counterparts of the same average lengths (and thus of higher nominal levels, since the ratio of the average lengths and reported in Table 4 are greater than one). Thus, in Table 6, for each sample size used in Table 4, we find the respective matches for and (so that the absolute difference between the average lengths of the FACI and divided by the average length of the FACI is less than or equal to 0.00001) and report the finite-sample coverages of the thus adjusted together with their nominal asymptotic coverages and the difference in the finite-sample coverage between the 95% confidence level FACI and the adjusted CI. Both and have higher coverages than their adjusted CLT-based counterparts, especially for smaller sample sizes and Pareto(2,1), with a few exceptions for large sample sizes where and do not provide more overcoverage than the respective adjusted CIs. Similar comparisons with analogous conclusions are performed for the 90% and 98% confidence level and FACIs with their respective equal-average-length CIs in Table A3 and Table A4 from Appendix A.
Table 6.
Comparison of coverages of and of (both at 95% confidence level) with coverages of equal-average-length adjusted counterparts (at higher nominal levels) for right-skewed distributions.
Remark 6.
As per Table 4, Table A1, and Table A2, the FACIs with , , and exhibit a more expensive, yet, in case of the right-skewed distributions with higher (if defined) or , potentially desirable trade-off between their finite-sample coverage probabilities and expected lengths as compared to the FACI with that was obtained from the FCLT in (7) for the unweighted Student process in [3,4]. Moreover, the finite-sample coverage probabilities of other FACIs considered in these works can be seen to be significantly exceeded by those of with , , and for our right-skewed distributions (we did not include our computations in this regard here).
3. Conclusions
In this paper, we derived FACIs , , and for a population mean of a distribution in DAN by using convergence in distribution of the integral functional of (14) and its modification of (17) applied to the Student process weighted, respectively, with the function ( and 0.4) and the function . We showed, numerically, that our FACIs have higher finite-sample coverage probabilities than, and may be reasonable alternatives to, the CLT-based CI for right-skewed distributions in DAN, although the FACIs are longer than on average by at most for and only at most for . The obtained FACIs may be especially appealing for right-skewed distributions in DAN with larger values of the Berry–Esseen bounds of (31) (if defined) or of (33), since for such distributions, the finite-sample coverage probabilities of may be lower, sometimes significantly, than the asymptotic confidence level , especially for smaller samples, and may have slow convergence rates. Moreover, with , , and can be seen to be better potential alternatives to the CLT-based CI than the FACIs from the FCLT in (7) for the unweighted Student process, in particular, the FACI with that were obtained in [3,4]. Furthermore, our -based FACIs, namely, and , improve on the -based FACI with in terms of the expected length and finite-sample coverage probability, respectively.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, methodology, and supervision, Y.V.M.; simulation studies, S.B. and J.G.; formal analysis, S.B., J.G. and Y.V.M.; writing, J.G. and Y.V.M. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research was supported by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada via Y.V.M.’s Individual Discovery Grant RGPIN-2018-05052. S.B. acknowledges the support of the University of Manitoba Graduate Fellowship. J.G. acknowledges the support of funds from the Department of Statistics, the Faculty of Science, and the Faculty of Graduate Studies of the University of Manitoba.
Data Availability Statement
The original contributions presented in this study are included in the article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Appendix A
Table A1.
Comparison of , with , , and at confidence level.
Table A1.
Comparison of , with , , and at confidence level.
| FACI Coverages | Ratios of Average Lengths | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution | ||||||||||
| Pareto(2,1) | 50 | 76.62 (0.42) | 77.91 (0.41) | 84.46 (0.36) | 84.76 (0.36) | 88.47 (0.32) | 1.121 | 1.361 | 1.259 | 1.344 |
| 100 | 78.31 (0.41) | 79.90 (0.40) | 85.04 (0.36) | 85.80 (0.35) | 89.53 (0.31) | 1.111 | 1.280 | 1.189 | 1.280 | |
| 300 | 82.15 (0.38) | 83.56 (0.37) | 86.88 (0.34) | 87.17 (0.33) | 90.71 (0.29) | 1.106 | 1.192 | 1.120 | 1.202 | |
| 500 | 83.14 (0.37) | 83.47 (0.37) | 86.88 (0.34) | 87.26 (0.33) | 90.28 (0.30) | 1.104 | 1.162 | 1.100 | 1.179 | |
| 1000 | 84.67 (0.36) | 85.93 (0.35) | 87.85 (0.33) | 88.24 (0.32) | 91.03 (0.29) | 1.104 | 1.129 | 1.079 | 1.156 | |
| Weibull(0.4,1) | 50 | 77.18 (0.42) | 78.20 (0.41) | 84.06 (0.37) | 84.33 (0.36) | 87.44 (0.33) | 1.120 | 1.361 | 1.259 | 1.343 |
| 100 | 81.37 (0.39) | 82.90 (0.38) | 87.86 (0.33) | 88.13 (0.32) | 90.54 (0.29) | 1.111 | 1.280 | 1.190 | 1.281 | |
| 300 | 85.61 (0.35) | 85.75 (0.35) | 89.68 (0.30) | 89.18 (0.31) | 90.82 (0.29) | 1.106 | 1.192 | 1.120 | 1.202 | |
| 500 | 86.56 (0.34) | 87.30 (0.33) | 90.22 (0.30) | 89.78 (0.30) | 91.30 (0.28) | 1.105 | 1.162 | 1.100 | 1.179 | |
| 1000 | 87.82 (0.33) | 88.35 (0.32) | 91.11 (0.28) | 90.09 (0.30) | 91.17 (0.28) | 1.103 | 1.129 | 1.079 | 1.156 | |
| InverseNormal(7,1) | 50 | 78.44 (0.41) | 79.27 (0.41) | 84.90 (0.36) | 84.91 (0.36) | 87.81 (0.33) | 1.121 | 1.361 | 1.259 | 1.343 |
| 100 | 82.47 (0.38) | 83.35 (0.37) | 88.35 (0.32) | 88.20 (0.32) | 90.42 (0.29) | 1.111 | 1.280 | 1.189 | 1.279 | |
| 300 | 86.65 (0.34) | 87.16 (0.33) | 91.11 (0.28) | 90.28 (0.30) | 91.74 (0.28) | 1.105 | 1.192 | 1.119 | 1.201 | |
| 500 | 88.08 (0.32) | 87.99 (0.33) | 91.94 (0.27) | 90.71 (0.29) | 91.64 (0.28) | 1.104 | 1.162 | 1.100 | 1.179 | |
| 1000 | 89.29 (0.31) | 88.79 (0.32) | 91.92 (0.27) | 90.65 (0.29) | 91.10 (0.28) | 1.103 | 1.128 | 1.079 | 1.156 | |
| Log-logistic(2.1,1) | 50 | 79.73 (0.40) | 80.88 (0.39) | 87.50 (0.33) | 87.82 (0.33) | 91.03 (0.29) | 1.121 | 1.361 | 1.259 | 1.344 |
| 100 | 82.65 (0.38) | 83.18 (0.37) | 88.82 (0.32) | 89.19 (0.31) | 92.49 (0.26) | 1.112 | 1.280 | 1.189 | 1.279 | |
| 300 | 85.16 (0.36) | 85.46 (0.35) | 89.35 (0.31) | 89.49 (0.31) | 91.94 (0.27) | 1.106 | 1.192 | 1.120 | 1.202 | |
| 500 | 85.18 (0.36) | 85.99 (0.35) | 89.30 (0.31) | 89.28 (0.31) | 92.16 (0.27) | 1.104 | 1.162 | 1.100 | 1.179 | |
| 1000 | 86.29 (0.34) | 86.97 (0.34) | 89.34 (0.31) | 89.46 (0.31) | 91.76 (0.27) | 1.104 | 1.129 | 1.079 | 1.156 | |
| Log-normal(0,1.3) | 50 | 80.89 (0.39) | 82.02 (0.38) | 87.69 (0.33) | 87.51 (0.33) | 90.64 (0.29) | 1.121 | 1.361 | 1.260 | 1.344 |
| 100 | 82.77 (0.38) | 83.35 (0.37) | 88.79 (0.32) | 88.64 (0.32) | 91.34 (0.28) | 1.111 | 1.280 | 1.189 | 1.280 | |
| 300 | 87.03 (0.34) | 87.18 (0.33) | 91.27 (0.28) | 90.75 (0.29) | 92.09 (0.27) | 1.106 | 1.192 | 1.120 | 1.202 | |
| 500 | 87.21 (0.33) | 87.66 (0.33) | 90.93 (0.29) | 90.26 (0.30) | 91.97 (0.27) | 1.104 | 1.162 | 1.099 | 1.179 | |
| 1000 | 88.24 (0.32) | 88.52 (0.32) | 91.31 (0.28) | 90.54 (0.29) | 91.96 (0.27) | 1.104 | 1.129 | 1.079 | 1.156 | |
| Frechet(2.5) | 50 | 82.70 (0.38) | 84.05 (0.37) | 90.40 (0.29) | 90.38 (0.29) | 92.77 (0.26) | 1.120 | 1.361 | 1.259 | 1.344 |
| 100 | 84.96 (0.36) | 85.53 (0.35) | 90.81 (0.29) | 90.82 (0.29) | 92.89 (0.26) | 1.111 | 1.280 | 1.190 | 1.281 | |
| 300 | 87.06 (0.34) | 87.11 (0.34) | 91.16 (0.28) | 90.53 (0.29) | 92.24 (0.27) | 1.105 | 1.192 | 1.120 | 1.202 | |
| 500 | 87.58 (0.33) | 87.65 (0.33) | 91.18 (0.28) | 90.52 (0.29) | 92.41 (0.26) | 1.104 | 1.162 | 1.099 | 1.178 | |
| 1000 | 89.03 (0.31) | 88.62 (0.32) | 91.45 (0.28) | 91.06 (0.29) | 92.28 (0.27) | 1.103 | 1.129 | 1.079 | 1.156 | |
| Half-t(3) | 50 | 86.12 (0.35) | 86.82 (0.34) | 92.92 (0.26) | 92.50 (0.26) | 94.25 (0.23) | 1.121 | 1.361 | 1.260 | 1.344 |
| 100 | 87.11 (0.34) | 87.43 (0.33) | 92.98 (0.26) | 92.42 (0.26) | 93.88 (0.24) | 1.111 | 1.280 | 1.189 | 1.280 | |
| 300 | 88.42 (0.32) | 88.40 (0.32) | 93.07 (0.25) | 91.43 (0.28) | 92.17 (0.27) | 1.106 | 1.192 | 1.120 | 1.202 | |
| 500 | 89.02 (0.31) | 88.75 (0.32) | 92.55 (0.26) | 91.36 (0.28) | 91.93 (0.27) | 1.105 | 1.162 | 1.100 | 1.179 | |
| 1000 | 89.35 (0.31) | 89.29 (0.31) | 92.25 (0.27) | 91.03 (0.29) | 91.65 (0.28) | 1.103 | 1.128 | 1.079 | 1.156 | |
| SymPareto(2,1) | 50 | 89.94 (0.30) | 90.37 (0.30) | 96.95 (0.17) | 95.04 (0.22) | 94.57 (0.23) | 1.120 | 1.361 | 1.259 | 1.344 |
| 100 | 90.29 (0.30) | 90.58 (0.29) | 95.91 (0.20) | 94.14 (0.23) | 93.21 (0.25) | 1.111 | 1.280 | 1.189 | 1.279 | |
| 300 | 90.44 (0.29) | 90.32 (0.30) | 94.65 (0.23) | 92.50 (0.26) | 91.75 (0.28) | 1.106 | 1.192 | 1.121 | 1.203 | |
| 500 | 90.53 (0.29) | 90.36 (0.30) | 94.14 (0.23) | 92.37 (0.27) | 91.77 (0.27) | 1.104 | 1.162 | 1.100 | 1.179 | |
| 1000 | 90.11 (0.30) | 90.05 (0.30) | 93.35 (0.25) | 91.66 (0.28) | 91.15 (0.28) | 1.102 | 1.128 | 1.079 | 1.156 | |
| t(3) | 50 | 89.63 (0.30) | 89.55 (0.31) | 96.62 (0.18) | 94.86 (0.22) | 94.56 (0.23) | 1.120 | 1.360 | 1.259 | 1.343 |
| 100 | 89.71 (0.30) | 89.65 (0.30) | 95.58 (0.21) | 93.57 (0.25) | 92.91 (0.26) | 1.111 | 1.280 | 1.189 | 1.280 | |
| 300 | 90.08 (0.30) | 90.38 (0.29) | 94.38 (0.23) | 92.19 (0.27) | 91.68 (0.28) | 1.105 | 1.192 | 1.120 | 1.202 | |
| 500 | 90.13 (0.30) | 90.30 (0.30) | 93.62 (0.24) | 91.75 (0.28) | 91.28 (0.28) | 1.104 | 1.162 | 1.100 | 1.179 | |
| 1000 | 89.38 (0.31) | 89.53 (0.31) | 92.57 (0.26) | 90.81 (0.29) | 90.50 (0.29) | 1.103 | 1.129 | 1.079 | 1.156 | |
Table A2.
Comparison of , with , , and at confidence level.
Table A2.
Comparison of , with , , and at confidence level.
| FACI Coverages | Ratios of Average Lengths | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution | ||||||||||
| Pareto(2,1) | 50 | 85.64 (0.35) | 87.64 (0.33) | 92.21 (0.27) | 92.09 (0.27) | 94.26 (0.23) | 1.119 | 1.351 | 1.248 | 1.330 |
| 100 | 87.94 (0.33) | 89.66 (0.30) | 92.90 (0.26) | 93.08 (0.25) | 95.66 (0.20) | 1.111 | 1.272 | 1.178 | 1.261 | |
| 300 | 91.62 (0.28) | 92.82 (0.26) | 94.49 (0.23) | 94.79 (0.22) | 96.84 (0.17) | 1.105 | 1.185 | 1.110 | 1.187 | |
| 500 | 92.16 (0.27) | 93.10 (0.25) | 94.64 (0.23) | 95.05 (0.22) | 97.23 (0.16) | 1.103 | 1.155 | 1.090 | 1.165 | |
| 1000 | 93.73 (0.24) | 94.56 (0.23) | 95.56 (0.21) | 95.97 (0.20) | 97.77 (0.15) | 1.103 | 1.122 | 1.070 | 1.143 | |
| Weibull(0.4,1) | 50 | 85.42 (0.35) | 87.06 (0.34) | 91.02 (0.29) | 90.86 (0.29) | 93.03 (0.25) | 1.119 | 1.351 | 1.247 | 1.330 |
| 100 | 89.94 (0.30) | 91.29 (0.28) | 93.73 (0.24) | 93.80 (0.24) | 95.87 (0.20) | 1.110 | 1.272 | 1.178 | 1.262 | |
| 300 | 93.58 (0.25) | 94.56 (0.23) | 96.00 (0.20) | 96.04 (0.20) | 97.65 (0.15) | 1.105 | 1.185 | 1.110 | 1.187 | |
| 500 | 94.61 (0.23) | 95.21 (0.21) | 96.57 (0.18) | 96.73 (0.18) | 97.94 (0.14) | 1.104 | 1.155 | 1.090 | 1.165 | |
| 1000 | 96.14 (0.19) | 96.44 (0.19) | 97.35 (0.16) | 97.40 (0.16) | 98.39 (0.13) | 1.103 | 1.122 | 1.070 | 1.143 | |
| InverseNormal(7,1) | 50 | 86.05 (0.35) | 87.77 (0.33) | 91.01 (0.29) | 90.93 (0.29) | 92.95 (0.26) | 1.119 | 1.351 | 1.247 | 1.330 |
| 100 | 90.58 (0.29) | 91.78 (0.27) | 94.19 (0.23) | 94.36 (0.23) | 96.14 (0.19) | 1.111 | 1.272 | 1.178 | 1.261 | |
| 300 | 94.75 (0.22) | 95.23 (0.21) | 96.65 (0.18) | 96.74 (0.18) | 98.04 (0.14) | 1.105 | 1.185 | 1.110 | 1.187 | |
| 500 | 95.70 (0.20) | 96.40 (0.19) | 97.31 (0.16) | 97.38 (0.16) | 98.51 (0.12) | 1.104 | 1.155 | 1.090 | 1.165 | |
| 1000 | 96.64 (0.18) | 97.03 (0.17) | 97.79 (0.15) | 97.84 (0.15) | 98.62 (0.12) | 1.103 | 1.122 | 1.070 | 1.143 | |
| Log-logistic(2.1,1) | 50 | 88.88 (0.31) | 90.57 (0.29) | 94.60 (0.23) | 94.47 (0.23) | 96.55 (0.18) | 1.120 | 1.351 | 1.248 | 1.330 |
| 100 | 91.63 (0.28) | 92.95 (0.26) | 95.66 (0.20) | 95.75 (0.20) | 97.65 (0.15) | 1.111 | 1.272 | 1.177 | 1.261 | |
| 300 | 93.68 (0.24) | 94.36 (0.23) | 96.25 (0.19) | 96.43 (0.19) | 98.02 (0.14) | 1.105 | 1.185 | 1.110 | 1.187 | |
| 500 | 94.16 (0.23) | 95.17 (0.21) | 96.44 (0.19) | 96.73 (0.18) | 98.25 (0.13) | 1.104 | 1.155 | 1.090 | 1.165 | |
| 1000 | 94.80 (0.22) | 95.40 (0.21) | 96.34 (0.19) | 96.58 (0.18) | 97.98 (0.14) | 1.103 | 1.122 | 1.070 | 1.143 | |
| Log-normal(0,1.3) | 50 | 88.70 (0.32) | 90.59 (0.29) | 93.95 (0.24) | 93.94 (0.24) | 95.79 (0.20) | 1.119 | 1.351 | 1.248 | 1.331 |
| 100 | 91.38 (0.28) | 92.40 (0.26) | 94.83 (0.22) | 94.97 (0.22) | 96.91 (0.17) | 1.111 | 1.272 | 1.178 | 1.262 | |
| 300 | 94.91 (0.22) | 95.46 (0.21) | 96.79 (0.18) | 96.92 (0.17) | 98.30 (0.13) | 1.105 | 1.185 | 1.110 | 1.187 | |
| 500 | 95.42 (0.21) | 95.88 (0.20) | 97.15 (0.17) | 97.29 (0.16) | 98.37 (0.13) | 1.104 | 1.155 | 1.090 | 1.165 | |
| 1000 | 96.40 (0.19) | 96.83 (0.18) | 97.68 (0.15) | 97.83 (0.15) | 98.78 (0.11) | 1.103 | 1.122 | 1.070 | 1.143 | |
| Frechet(2.5) | 50 | 91.41 (0.28) | 92.66 (0.26) | 95.83 (0.20) | 95.75 (0.20) | 97.38 (0.16) | 1.119 | 1.351 | 1.248 | 1.330 |
| 100 | 93.37 (0.25) | 94.13 (0.24) | 96.52 (0.18) | 96.62 (0.18) | 98.17 (0.13) | 1.111 | 1.272 | 1.178 | 1.262 | |
| 300 | 95.15 (0.21) | 95.69 (0.20) | 97.29 (0.16) | 97.39 (0.16) | 98.48 (0.12) | 1.105 | 1.185 | 1.110 | 1.187 | |
| 500 | 95.55 (0.21) | 96.15 (0.19) | 97.32 (0.16) | 97.52 (0.16) | 98.65 (0.12) | 1.104 | 1.155 | 1.090 | 1.165 | |
| 1000 | 96.44 (0.19) | 97.04 (0.17) | 97.88 (0.14) | 97.86 (0.14) | 98.77 (0.11) | 1.103 | 1.122 | 1.070 | 1.143 | |
| Half-t(3) | 50 | 94.04 (0.24) | 95.09 (0.22) | 97.68 (0.15) | 97.62 (0.15) | 98.73 (0.11) | 1.120 | 1.351 | 1.248 | 1.331 |
| 100 | 95.50 (0.21) | 96.21 (0.19) | 98.23 (0.13) | 98.24 (0.13) | 99.04 (0.10) | 1.111 | 1.272 | 1.178 | 1.262 | |
| 300 | 96.76 (0.18) | 96.97 (0.17) | 98.35 (0.13) | 98.27 (0.13) | 98.94 (0.10) | 1.105 | 1.185 | 1.110 | 1.187 | |
| 500 | 97.00 (0.17) | 97.09 (0.17) | 98.43 (0.12) | 98.26 (0.13) | 98.85 (0.11) | 1.104 | 1.155 | 1.090 | 1.165 | |
| 1000 | 97.27 (0.16) | 97.44 (0.16) | 98.31 (0.13) | 98.06 (0.14) | 98.71 (0.11) | 1.103 | 1.122 | 1.070 | 1.143 | |
| SymPareto(2,1) | 50 | 98.22 (0.13) | 98.42 (0.12) | 99.72 (0.05) | 99.49 (0.07) | 99.47 (0.07) | 1.119 | 1.351 | 1.247 | 1.330 |
| 100 | 98.36 (0.13) | 98.23 (0.13) | 99.63 (0.06) | 99.16 (0.09) | 99.00 (0.10) | 1.110 | 1.272 | 1.177 | 1.261 | |
| 300 | 98.32 (0.13) | 98.24 (0.13) | 99.39 (0.08) | 98.84 (0.11) | 98.81 (0.11) | 1.105 | 1.185 | 1.110 | 1.187 | |
| 500 | 98.57 (0.12) | 98.43 (0.12) | 99.40 (0.08) | 98.95 (0.10) | 98.92 (0.10) | 1.104 | 1.155 | 1.090 | 1.165 | |
| 1000 | 98.17 (0.13) | 98.06 (0.14) | 99.02 (0.10) | 98.43 (0.12) | 98.49 (0.12) | 1.102 | 1.122 | 1.070 | 1.143 | |
| t(3) | 50 | 97.92 (0.14) | 98.15 (0.13) | 99.75 (0.05) | 99.45 (0.07) | 99.38 (0.08) | 1.119 | 1.351 | 1.247 | 1.330 |
| 100 | 98.00 (0.14) | 98.03 (0.14) | 99.59 (0.06) | 99.10 (0.09) | 99.06 (0.10) | 1.110 | 1.272 | 1.178 | 1.261 | |
| 300 | 98.28 (0.13) | 98.00 (0.14) | 99.32 (0.08) | 98.79 (0.11) | 98.66 (0.11) | 1.105 | 1.185 | 1.110 | 1.187 | |
| 500 | 97.92 (0.14) | 98.04 (0.14) | 99.06 (0.10) | 98.53 (0.12) | 98.46 (0.12) | 1.104 | 1.155 | 1.090 | 1.165 | |
| 1000 | 97.95 (0.14) | 98.05 (0.14) | 98.88 (0.11) | 98.23 (0.13) | 98.24 (0.13) | 1.103 | 1.122 | 1.070 | 1.143 | |
Table A3.
Comparison of coverages of and of (both at 90% confidence level) with coverages of equal-average-length adjusted counterparts (at higher nominal levels) for right-skewed distributions.
Table A3.
Comparison of coverages of and of (both at 90% confidence level) with coverages of equal-average-length adjusted counterparts (at higher nominal levels) for right-skewed distributions.
| Distribution | |||||||||
| Pareto(2,1) | 50 | 1.125 | 84.76 | 82.80 (96.169) | 1.96 | 1.201 | 88.47 | 84.51 (97.294) | 3.96 |
| 100 | 0.815 | 85.80 | 83.66 (94.957) | 2.14 | 0.877 | 89.53 | 85.52 (96.477) | 4.01 | |
| 300 | 0.517 | 87.17 | 85.59 (93.457) | 1.58 | 0.555 | 90.71 | 87.24 (95.194) | 3.47 | |
| 500 | 0.406 | 87.26 | 85.97 (92.947) | 1.29 | 0.435 | 90.28 | 87.83 (94.756) | 2.45 | |
| 1000 | 0.301 | 88.24 | 87.08 (92.407) | 1.16 | 0.322 | 91.03 | 89.14 (94.270) | 1.89 | |
| Weibull(0.4,1) | 50 | 5.061 | 84.33 | 82.92 (96.157) | 1.41 | 5.399 | 87.44 | 84.25 (97.281) | 3.19 |
| 100 | 3.586 | 88.13 | 86.00 (94.964) | 2.13 | 3.860 | 90.54 | 87.94 (96.487) | 2.60 | |
| 300 | 2.090 | 89.18 | 88.70 (93.459) | 0.48 | 2.243 | 90.82 | 90.45 (95.197) | 0.37 | |
| 500 | 1.617 | 89.78 | 89.16 (92.954) | 0.62 | 1.734 | 91.30 | 90.94 (94.755) | 0.36 | |
| 1000 | 1.142 | 90.09 | 90.17 (92.414) | −0.08 | 1.224 | 91.17 | 92.09 (94.283) | −0.92 | |
| InverseNormal(7,1) | 50 | 9.350 | 84.91 | 83.73 (96.160) | 1.18 | 9.975 | 87.81 | 85.04 (97.282) | 2.77 |
| 100 | 6.628 | 88.20 | 87.08 (94.948) | 1.12 | 7.132 | 90.42 | 88.67 (96.464) | 1.75 | |
| 300 | 3.823 | 90.28 | 90.26 (93.443) | 0.02 | 4.101 | 91.74 | 91.95 (95.180) | −0.21 | |
| 500 | 2.925 | 90.71 | 90.99 (92.949) | −0.28 | 3.137 | 91.64 | 92.70 (94.755) | −1.06 | |
| 1000 | 2.052 | 90.65 | 91.45 (92.406) | −0.80 | 2.198 | 91.10 | 93.11 (94.274) | −2.01 | |
| Log-logistic(2.1,1) | 50 | 1.056 | 87.82 | 85.91 (96.168) | 1.91 | 1.127 | 91.03 | 87.52 (97.291) | 3.51 |
| 100 | 0.774 | 89.19 | 87.39 (94.947) | 1.80 | 0.833 | 92.49 | 89.20 (96.458) | 3.29 | |
| 300 | 0.462 | 89.49 | 88.43 (93.460) | 1.06 | 0.496 | 91.94 | 90.05 (95.199) | 1.89 | |
| 500 | 0.370 | 89.28 | 88.27 (92.949) | 1.01 | 0.397 | 92.16 | 90.20 (94.752) | 1.96 | |
| 1000 | 0.269 | 89.46 | 88.53 (92.413) | 0.93 | 0.289 | 91.76 | 90.45 (94.281) | 1.31 | |
| Log-normal(0,1.3) | 50 | 2.368 | 87.51 | 86.49 (96.174) | 1.02 | 2.528 | 90.64 | 87.61 (97.300) | 3.03 |
| 100 | 1.655 | 88.64 | 87.52 (94.958) | 1.12 | 1.782 | 91.34 | 89.33 (96.480) | 2.01 | |
| 300 | 0.972 | 90.75 | 90.18 (93.455) | 0.57 | 1.043 | 92.09 | 91.96 (95.190) | 0.13 | |
| 500 | 0.742 | 90.26 | 90.07 (92.947) | 0.19 | 0.796 | 91.97 | 91.89 (94.750) | 0.08 | |
| 1000 | 0.528 | 90.54 | 90.65 (92.415) | −0.11 | 0.565 | 91.96 | 92.54 (94.281) | −0.58 | |
| Frechet(2.5) | 50 | 0.686 | 90.38 | 89.06 (96.164) | 1.32 | 0.732 | 92.77 | 90.38 (97.292) | 2.39 |
| 100 | 0.476 | 90.82 | 89.59 (94.963) | 1.23 | 0.513 | 92.89 | 91.21 (96.483) | 1.68 | |
| 300 | 0.278 | 90.53 | 90.37 (93.449) | 0.16 | 0.298 | 92.24 | 92.16 (95.190) | 0.08 | |
| 500 | 0.215 | 90.52 | 90.46 (92.941) | 0.06 | 0.231 | 92.41 | 92.07 (94.738) | 0.34 | |
| 1000 | 0.154 | 91.06 | 91.22 (92.405) | −0.16 | 0.164 | 92.28 | 92.84 (94.270) | −0.56 | |
| Half-t(3) | 50 | 0.703 | 92.50 | 92.17 (96.174) | 0.33 | 0.751 | 94.25 | 93.25 (97.298) | 1.00 |
| 100 | 0.482 | 92.42 | 91.92 (94.959) | 0.50 | 0.518 | 93.88 | 93.64 (96.480) | 0.24 | |
| 300 | 0.271 | 91.43 | 92.09 (93.458) | −0.66 | 0.290 | 92.17 | 93.86 (95.198) | −1.69 | |
| 500 | 0.208 | 91.36 | 91.74 (92.955) | −0.38 | 0.223 | 91.93 | 93.67 (94.758) | −1.74 | |
| 1000 | 0.145 | 91.03 | 91.68 (92.411) | −0.65 | 0.156 | 91.65 | 93.41 (94.280) | −1.76 | |
Table A4.
Comparison of coverages of and of (both at 98% confidence level) with coverages of equal-average-length adjusted counterparts (at higher nominal levels) for right-skewed distributions.
Table A4.
Comparison of coverages of and of (both at 98% confidence level) with coverages of equal-average-length adjusted counterparts (at higher nominal levels) for right-skewed distributions.
| Distribution | |||||||||
| Pareto(2,1) | 50 | 1.576 | 92.09 | 90.68 (99.630) | 1.41 | 1.681 | 94.26 | 91.98 (99.803) | 2.28 |
| 100 | 1.141 | 93.08 | 91.73 (99.385) | 1.35 | 1.222 | 95.66 | 93.02 (99.666) | 2.64 | |
| 300 | 0.725 | 94.79 | 93.82 (99.018) | 0.97 | 0.776 | 96.84 | 94.84 (99.424) | 2.00 | |
| 500 | 0.569 | 95.05 | 93.76 (98.877) | 1.29 | 0.608 | 97.23 | 95.14 (99.328) | 2.09 | |
| 1000 | 0.422 | 95.97 | 94.99 (98.719) | 0.98 | 0.451 | 97.77 | 96.09 (99.216) | 1.68 | |
| Weibull(0.4,1) | 50 | 7.093 | 90.86 | 89.86 (99.629) | 1.00 | 7.563 | 93.03 | 90.89 (99.802) | 2.14 |
| 100 | 5.021 | 93.80 | 92.63 (99.386) | 1.17 | 5.379 | 95.87 | 93.63 (99.667) | 2.24 | |
| 300 | 2.930 | 96.04 | 95.10 (99.019) | 0.94 | 3.133 | 97.65 | 96.08 (99.425) | 1.57 | |
| 500 | 2.267 | 96.73 | 95.97 (98.878) | 0.76 | 2.423 | 97.94 | 96.80 (99.328) | 1.14 | |
| 1000 | 1.601 | 97.40 | 96.98 (98.720) | 0.42 | 1.711 | 98.39 | 97.68 (99.218) | 0.71 | |
| InverseNormal(7,1) | 50 | 13.104 | 90.93 | 89.83 (99.629) | 1.10 | 13.971 | 92.95 | 90.90 (99.802) | 2.05 |
| 100 | 9.285 | 94.36 | 93.29 (99.384) | 1.07 | 9.943 | 96.14 | 94.30 (99.665) | 1.84 | |
| 300 | 5.360 | 96.74 | 96.17 (99.017) | 0.57 | 5.731 | 98.04 | 96.84 (99.423) | 1.20 | |
| 500 | 4.101 | 97.38 | 96.76 (98.877) | 0.62 | 4.384 | 98.51 | 97.47 (99.328) | 1.04 | |
| 1000 | 2.878 | 97.84 | 97.53 (98.719) | 0.31 | 3.075 | 98.62 | 98.18 (99.217) | 0.44 | |
| Log-logistic(2.1,1) | 50 | 1.480 | 94.47 | 93.43 (99.630) | 1.04 | 1.578 | 96.55 | 94.46 (99.803) | 2.09 |
| 100 | 1.085 | 95.75 | 94.57 (99.384) | 1.18 | 1.162 | 97.65 | 95.69 (99.664) | 1.96 | |
| 300 | 0.648 | 96.43 | 95.42 (99.019) | 1.01 | 0.693 | 98.02 | 96.38 (99.425) | 1.64 | |
| 500 | 0.519 | 96.73 | 95.85 (98.878) | 0.88 | 0.555 | 98.25 | 96.84 (99.328) | 1.41 | |
| 1000 | 0.378 | 96.58 | 95.80 (98.720) | 0.78 | 0.404 | 97.98 | 96.61 (99.218) | 1.37 | |
| Log-normal(0,1.3) | 50 | 3.318 | 93.94 | 92.96 (99.630) | 0.98 | 3.538 | 95.79 | 93.91 (99.804) | 1.88 |
| 100 | 2.318 | 94.97 | 94.16 (99.385) | 0.81 | 2.483 | 96.91 | 95.00 (99.666) | 1.91 | |
| 300 | 1.363 | 96.92 | 96.39 (99.018) | 0.53 | 1.457 | 98.30 | 97.13 (99.424) | 1.17 | |
| 500 | 1.040 | 97.29 | 96.65 (98.877) | 0.64 | 1.112 | 98.37 | 97.43 (99.328) | 0.94 | |
| 1000 | 0.740 | 97.83 | 97.37 (98.720) | 0.46 | 0.791 | 98.78 | 97.99 (99.218) | 0.79 | |
| Frechet(2.5) | 50 | 0.961 | 95.75 | 95.07 (99.629) | 0.68 | 1.025 | 97.38 | 95.82 (99.803) | 1.56 |
| 100 | 0.667 | 96.62 | 95.73 (99.386) | 0.89 | 0.714 | 98.17 | 96.49 (99.667) | 1.68 | |
| 300 | 0.390 | 97.39 | 96.67 (99.017) | 0.72 | 0.417 | 98.48 | 97.35 (99.424) | 1.13 | |
| 500 | 0.302 | 97.52 | 96.77 (98.876) | 0.75 | 0.322 | 98.65 | 97.62 (99.326) | 1.03 | |
| 1000 | 0.215 | 97.86 | 97.49 (98.718) | 0.37 | 0.230 | 98.77 | 98.03 (99.217) | 0.74 | |
| Half-t(3) | 50 | 0.985 | 97.62 | 97.05 (99.630) | 0.57 | 1.051 | 98.73 | 97.66 (99.804) | 1.07 |
| 100 | 0.674 | 98.24 | 97.51 (99.386) | 0.73 | 0.722 | 99.04 | 98.26 (99.666) | 0.78 | |
| 300 | 0.379 | 98.27 | 97.96 (99.019) | 0.31 | 0.406 | 98.94 | 98.51 (99.425) | 0.43 | |
| 500 | 0.291 | 98.26 | 98.09 (98.878) | 0.17 | 0.311 | 98.85 | 98.69 (99.329) | 0.16 | |
| 1000 | 0.204 | 98.06 | 98.05 (98.719) | 0.01 | 0.218 | 98.71 | 98.71 (99.218) | 0.00 | |
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