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Open AccessArticle

Probabilistic Model for Aero-Engines Fleet Condition Monitoring

Simulation and Optimization for Future Industrial Applications, Mälardalen University, 72123 Västerås, Sweden
SAAB Aeronautic, 58254 Linköping, Sweden
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Aerospace 2020, 7(6), 66;
Received: 1 May 2020 / Revised: 24 May 2020 / Accepted: 25 May 2020 / Published: 26 May 2020
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Progress in Jet Engine Technology)
Since aeronautic transportation is responsible for a rising share of polluting emissions, it is of primary importance to minimize the fuel consumption any time during operations. From this perspective, continuous monitoring of engine performance is essential to implement proper corrective actions and avoid excessive fuel consumption due to engine deterioration. This requires, however, automated systems for diagnostics and decision support, which should be able to handle large amounts of data and ensure reliability in all the multiple conditions the engines of a fleet can be found in. In particular, the proposed solution should be robust to engine-to-engine deviations and different sensors availability scenarios. In this paper, a probabilistic Bayesian network for fault detection and identification is applied to a fleet of engines, simulated by an adaptive performance model. The combination of the performance model and the Bayesian network is also studied and compared to the probabilistic model only. The benefit in the suggested hybrid approach is identified as up to 50% higher accuracy. Sensors unavailability due to manufacturing constraints or sensor faults reduce the accuracy of the physics-based method, whereas the Bayesian model is less affected. View Full-Text
Keywords: diagnostics; performance model; Bayesian network; turbofan; fleet diagnostics; performance model; Bayesian network; turbofan; fleet
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Zaccaria, V.; Fentaye, A.D.; Stenfelt, M.; Kyprianidis, K.G. Probabilistic Model for Aero-Engines Fleet Condition Monitoring. Aerospace 2020, 7, 66.

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