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Article

Temperature Extremes and Topographic Complexity: Validation, Correction, and Spatial Trends of Temperature Indices in Northen Carpathian (1980–2024)

1
Department of Natural Resources, Faculty of African Postgraduate Studies, Cairo University, Giza 12613, Egypt
2
Department of Atmospheric Physics, Earth Science Institute, Slovak Academy of Sciences, 04104 Bratislava, Slovakia
3
Department of Climatological Service, Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, 83315 Bratislava, Slovakia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Climate 2026, 14(7), 142; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14070142
Submission received: 14 May 2026 / Revised: 22 June 2026 / Accepted: 2 July 2026 / Published: 7 July 2026

Abstract

While global climate change is fundamentally reshaping thermal regimes, capturing these shifts in topographically diverse regions remains a significant hurdle for standard gridded datasets. This study provides a comprehensive spatiotemporal analysis of 16 extreme temperature indices across Northern Carpathian from 1980 to 2024 using the E-OBS dataset. The QDM framework proved highly effective in neutralizing elevation-induced temperature biases, which reached up to 5.1 °C in raw E-OBS data. Beyond simple bias removal, the correction significantly improved the daily accuracy of the dataset, with RMSE values at high-altitude stations, such as the Chopok summit (1995 m), decreasing from 5.1 °C to 2.3 °C. Both Warm Days (TX90p) and Summer Days (SU) show near-perfect Field Coherence (Cf = 100% and 98%, respectively). A prominent feature of this temporal national average trend is its inherent asymmetry; the Annual Minimum (TNn) is climbing nearly twice as fast (+1.1 °C/decade) as the Annual Maximum (TXx) (+0.6 °C/decade), though the warming of these coldest nights is more localized (74.5% coherence). We also identified a clear signal of Elevation-Dependent Warming (EDW), with absolute maximums surging most aggressively in the Northern Carpathians at +1.6 °C/decade. Conversely, cold-tail indices like Ice Days are in a concurrent nationwide retreat (Cf = 97%), a shift that significantly reduces the physical window for winter tourism and alters the climatic envelope for fragile mountain ecosystems. Ultimately, these results position Slovakia as a high-sensitivity climate region where observed trends often outpace broader Central European averages, highlighting the urgent need for localized, nature-based adaptation strategies.
Keywords: temperature extreme indices; Slovakia; Northern Carpathian; QDM; field coherence; EDW; Central European temperature extreme indices; Slovakia; Northern Carpathian; QDM; field coherence; EDW; Central European

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Gamal, G.; Nejedlik, P.; Mikulová, K. Temperature Extremes and Topographic Complexity: Validation, Correction, and Spatial Trends of Temperature Indices in Northen Carpathian (1980–2024). Climate 2026, 14, 142. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14070142

AMA Style

Gamal G, Nejedlik P, Mikulová K. Temperature Extremes and Topographic Complexity: Validation, Correction, and Spatial Trends of Temperature Indices in Northen Carpathian (1980–2024). Climate. 2026; 14(7):142. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14070142

Chicago/Turabian Style

Gamal, Gamil, Pavol Nejedlik, and Katarína Mikulová. 2026. "Temperature Extremes and Topographic Complexity: Validation, Correction, and Spatial Trends of Temperature Indices in Northen Carpathian (1980–2024)" Climate 14, no. 7: 142. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14070142

APA Style

Gamal, G., Nejedlik, P., & Mikulová, K. (2026). Temperature Extremes and Topographic Complexity: Validation, Correction, and Spatial Trends of Temperature Indices in Northen Carpathian (1980–2024). Climate, 14(7), 142. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14070142

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