Experiences in Developing a Decision Support Tool for Agricultural Decision-Makers—Australian CliMate
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Design Philosophy
2.1. Conceptual Framework
- Assessing the current condition of a system (rainfall to date, soil water, heat sum, and drought) using near real-time data from a local weather station, the “knowable” element shown in Figure 2.
- Probability of future weather events based on “climatology” derived from a probabilistic analysis of historic weather data (rainfall, temperature, and radiation) and derivatives (heat sum and soil moisture).
2.2. Specifications
- Develop a common interface between the previously valued but lapsed analyses.
- Support transparent and open-ended queries to accommodate users’ rules and models across a wide range of agricultural production systems (grazing, cropping, horticulture, and apiculture).
- Involve stakeholders early in development and revise prototypes based on feedback.
- Aim for a minimalist interface (input and output), applying a principle of “if in doubt, leave it out”, and use easily recognised graphical presentations such as “fire risk” charts, histograms, and line graphs.
- Provide output as text and graphics to accommodate different learning styles [25];
- Enable mobile device apps to be used “offline” by farmers when in the “field”. This required accessing and storing climate data sourced when last connected to the internet.
- Include a “backend” to support iterative tuning of interfaces based on user feedback, shortening development cycles.
- Embed the ability to monitor use of each analysis, including spatial and industry applications.
Analysis Origin 1 | Function and Application (Variables 2) | Interface |
---|---|---|
How’s the season? Rainman [3,4] Qld Govt. | Current season relative to long term. Adjust expectations and inputs. (1, 2, 4, 5) | |
How often? Howoften? [18] Qld Govt. | Probability of weather events. Risk assessment key operations, e.g., planting, rain, heat/frost stress, and grazing days. (1, 2, 4) | |
How Wet/Nitrate? Howwet? [5] Qld Govt. | Soil water and nitrate accumulation in fallows. Yield expectations, nitrogen inputs, and crop choice (1, 2, 6, 7) | |
Potential yield? WUE [28] PYCalc [29], DAWA | Expected crop yield. Adjust inputs and marketing. (1, 8, WUE) | |
Drought? SCOPIC [30,31] Qld Govt. | Drought status, rainfall deficit, and decile method. Stocking rate alert and financial relief (1, 9) | |
How hot/cold? CropMate [6] NSW Govt. | Coincident probability of min. and max. temperature. Risk assessment for new crops and new managers (1, 2) | |
How’s the past? Standard statistics. MCVP | Historic weather. Seasonal overview. Land purchase (1, 2, 3, 4) | |
What trend? Graphical analysis MCVP | Long-term trend graphics. Assess trends and variability (1, 2, 4, 10) | |
How likely? SCOPIC [30] BoM, Qld Govt. | Season forecast and skill (ENSO). Assess forecast skill to complement “climatology” assessment (11) | |
How’s El Nino Direct lookup BoM, Qld Govt., MCVP | SOI and ENSO status. Seasonal forecast (11) |
2.3. Software and Data Sources
2.4. Ethical Considerations
3. The Analyses
4. Adoption
5. Discussion
Lessons Learnt
- DST development requires a partnership between the intended audience, a program manager, a software engineer, and a connection to people with empathy and knowledge of the audience and technical issues.
- If software development were to be contracted, specifications would need to be very tight. In this case, an organic development cycle allowed for synergy between software design, interface design, and user feedback. CliMate’s specification at project initiation would have been difficult, as the development team did not understand user preferences without a prototype, and the designers did not fully understand software and technology capabilities and limitations.
- There is a strong tendency for a DST to be comprehensive yet flexible—potentially leading to added complexity and reduced useability [16]. “Keep it simple, stupid” (KISS) is a hard but essential lesson in building a useful DST.
- Multiple platforms (iOS, Android, and www) increased costs and time to develop. An option might be to develop a rapid www-based prototype, interact with a sample of prospective users, and carry out an initial evaluation.
- DSTs may have simple interfaces, but technology requires maintenance and ongoing support (servers, etc.), which needs to be budgeted over the expected life of a DST.
- Technical problems in software development are inevitable as technologies and third-party data sources evolve, requiring continual support for the expected life of each DST. It seems that 10 years is an over-optimistic life expectancy for a DST.
- DSTs require promotion, evaluation, and maintenance after release. Investors underappreciate the importance of building on an initial investment, especially if early indications of acceptance and use are available.
- Evaluation is important to justify an initial investment and guide future development. CliMate was independently evaluated in 2018 [38], but there was no scope to act on findings.
6. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
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Freebairn, D.M.; McClymont, D. Experiences in Developing a Decision Support Tool for Agricultural Decision-Makers—Australian CliMate. Climate 2025, 13, 188. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090188
Freebairn DM, McClymont D. Experiences in Developing a Decision Support Tool for Agricultural Decision-Makers—Australian CliMate. Climate. 2025; 13(9):188. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090188
Chicago/Turabian StyleFreebairn, David M., and David McClymont. 2025. "Experiences in Developing a Decision Support Tool for Agricultural Decision-Makers—Australian CliMate" Climate 13, no. 9: 188. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090188
APA StyleFreebairn, D. M., & McClymont, D. (2025). Experiences in Developing a Decision Support Tool for Agricultural Decision-Makers—Australian CliMate. Climate, 13(9), 188. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090188