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Volume 13
Issue 9
10.3390/cli13090182
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This is an early access version, the complete PDF, HTML, and XML versions will be available soon.
Article

Reconstruction of Water Storage Variability in the Aral Sea Region

by
Nikita Murzintcev
1,
Sahibjamal Nietullaeva
2,
Timur Berdimbetov
1,
Buddhi Pushpawela
3,*,
Asiya Tureniyazova
1,
Sherly Shelton
4,
Bakbergen Aytmuratov
1,
Khusen Gafforov
5,6,
Kanat Parakhatov
7,
Alimjan Erdashov
1,
Abdul-Aziz Makhamatdinov
8 and
Timur Allamuratov
9
1
Department of Computer Engineering, Nukus State Technical University, Nukus 130100, Uzbekistan
2
Department of Data Transmission Systems and Networks, Nukus State Technical University, Nukus 130100, Uzbekistan
3
The Department of Physics and Astronomy, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 35899, USA
4
The Department of Plants, Soils, and Climate, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322, USA
5
Scientific Research Institute of Irrigation and Water Problems, Tashkent 100187, Uzbekistan
6
Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
7
Information Systems and Technologies, Nukus State Technical University, Nukus 130100, Uzbekistan
8
Department of Artificial Intelligence and Cybersecurity, Nukus State Technical University, Nukus 130100, Uzbekistan
9
Department of Television Technologies, Nukus State Technical University, Nukus 130100, Uzbekistan
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Climate 2025, 13(9), 182; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090182
Submission received: 7 June 2025 / Revised: 6 August 2025 / Accepted: 22 August 2025 / Published: 29 August 2025
Versions Notes

Abstract

The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission, operational from 2002 to 2017, provided critical measurements of Earth’s gravity field anomalies which have been extensively used to study groundwater and terrestrial water storage (TWS) dynamics. In this research, we utilize GRACE data to identify, model, and analyze potential climate parameters contributing to the reconstruction of TWS variability in the Aral Sea Basin region (ASB). We assess the impact of climate change and anthropogenic nature management on TWS change using a quantitative method. Our analysis reveals a significant decline in the TWS at a rate of 0.44 cm year−1 during the 2005–2009 period, primarily attributed to the prevailing drought conditions in the region. Notably, the estimated impact of anthropogenic influence on TWS during the same period of −1.39 cm year−1 is higher than the influence of climatic variables, indicating that anthropogenic activity was the dominant factor in water resource depletion. In contrast, we observed an increase in TWS at a rate of 0.82 cm year−1 during the 2013–2017 period, which can be attributed to the implementation of more effective water resource management practices in the ASB.
Keywords: drought; drought index; GRACE; water storage; groundwater drought; drought index; GRACE; water storage; groundwater

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Murzintcev, N.; Nietullaeva, S.; Berdimbetov, T.; Pushpawela, B.; Tureniyazova, A.; Shelton, S.; Aytmuratov, B.; Gafforov, K.; Parakhatov, K.; Erdashov, A.; et al. Reconstruction of Water Storage Variability in the Aral Sea Region. Climate 2025, 13, 182. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090182

AMA Style

Murzintcev N, Nietullaeva S, Berdimbetov T, Pushpawela B, Tureniyazova A, Shelton S, Aytmuratov B, Gafforov K, Parakhatov K, Erdashov A, et al. Reconstruction of Water Storage Variability in the Aral Sea Region. Climate. 2025; 13(9):182. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090182

Chicago/Turabian Style

Murzintcev, Nikita, Sahibjamal Nietullaeva, Timur Berdimbetov, Buddhi Pushpawela, Asiya Tureniyazova, Sherly Shelton, Bakbergen Aytmuratov, Khusen Gafforov, Kanat Parakhatov, Alimjan Erdashov, and et al. 2025. "Reconstruction of Water Storage Variability in the Aral Sea Region" Climate 13, no. 9: 182. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090182

APA Style

Murzintcev, N., Nietullaeva, S., Berdimbetov, T., Pushpawela, B., Tureniyazova, A., Shelton, S., Aytmuratov, B., Gafforov, K., Parakhatov, K., Erdashov, A., Makhamatdinov, A.-A., & Allamuratov, T. (2025). Reconstruction of Water Storage Variability in the Aral Sea Region. Climate, 13(9), 182. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13090182

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