1. Introduction
Monitoring crop water status in field conditions is particularly demanding for CAM species, where diurnal stomatal closure decouples canopy reflectance from actual tissue water content during conventional daylight acquisition windows, systematically compromising the interpretation of remote sensing signals [
1,
2]. Agriculture accounts for approximately 70% of global freshwater withdrawals [
3]; the precision with which irrigation is managed therefore determines both resource efficiency and the quality of phenotypic inferences derived from spectral observations. Climate variability in tropical agroecosystems has intensified these pressures, driving the adoption of precision agriculture approaches that rely on predictive, model-based systems [
4]. In Colombia, however, implementation remains constrained by limited high-resolution meteorological infrastructure and insufficient research on specialized tropical crops [
5].
Pineapple (
Ananas comosus var. MD2) concentrates these monitoring difficulties. The crop anchors the agricultural economy of Casanare Department, where approximately 15,000 ha of commercial production (as of 2023) sustain smallholder livelihoods [
6]. Optimal development requires temperatures of 20–36 °C and annual rainfall of 1500–3500 mm; erratic precipitation and thermal stress reduce fruit caliber and promote root-pathogen pressure [
6]. CAM physiology confers nocturnal CO
2 fixation and intrinsic drought tolerance [
2], but prolonged soil water deficit induces parenchyma dehydration while simultaneously suppressing the daytime spectral indicators used to detect early stress onset. This metabolic constraint strongly hampers the use of conventional remote sensing phenotyping pipelines designed for C3/C4 crops, which rely on daytime canopy reflectance to detect early stress [
1]. Under these conditions, monitoring hydric status extends beyond irrigation scheduling to serve as a critical phenotypic proxy for plant vigor, biomass accumulation, and water-use efficiency under adverse tropical climates [
2,
6].
Resolving this incompatibility requires multimodal, dynamic monitoring architectures. Wireless sensor networks with IoT connectivity continuously track soil–plant–atmosphere interactions [
7], and when coupled with machine learning, enable predictive estimation of water-related stress at operationally relevant scales. LSTM-RNN architectures and multivariate ensemble models have demonstrated consistent promise for water stress prediction across multiple crop systems [
8,
9]. Within-field spatial heterogeneity, however, demands centimeter-scale resolution to resolve individual plant variability—a requirement that satellite platforms cannot satisfy. UAV systems equipped with multispectral sensors achieve subcentimeter ground sampling distances, capturing canopy variability that remains invisible at coarser resolutions [
10,
11].
Despite these advances, a key methodological gap remains in many UAV-based phenotyping pipelines: the widespread reliance on NDVI as a single phenotypic descriptor. In open-canopy crops like pineapple, NDVI is confounded by background soil reflectance, reducing its sensitivity to canopy physiological status [
12]. Soil-adjusted indices offer a potential solution: OSAVI and MSAVI partially decouple the canopy physiological signal from substrate reflectance and have shown superior performance to NDVI in sparse or open canopies [
13,
14]. A second, compounding gap concerns the atmospheric dimension: crop spectral response is jointly modulated by edaphic water availability and vapor pressure deficit, and unimodal spectral approaches cannot disentangle these drivers [
15]. While Radiative Transfer Models (RTMs) provide a physical basis for leaf–canopy interactions, their parameterization in heterogeneous open-canopy architectures is computationally prohibitive for operational field-scale deployment. Machine learning offers a flexible alternative by learning non-linear mappings between multimodal spectral signals and physiological states [
4,
16]. Recent approaches increasingly rely on multimodal sensor fusion, integrating biological response (UAV spectral indices), environmental demand (Reference Evapotranspiration,
), and ground-truth soil moisture sensors [
16]; however, no study has incorporated FAO-56 water balance variables as mechanistic predictors within this sensor architecture for phenotyping in CAM bromeliad systems.
This study develops, to the best of current literature, one of the first physics-informed machine learning framework that couples a FAO-56 Penman–Monteith soil water balance with UAV-based multispectral phenotyping and IoT microclimatic sensing for water-related trait estimation in a commercial CAM crop. We develop and validate a Physics-Informed Machine Learning (PIML) framework that integrates high-resolution UAV multispectral imagery, IoT-based microclimatic records, and a mechanistic FAO-56 Penman–Monteith soil water balance within a Gradient Boosting architecture for soil moisture status phenotyping in A. comosus var. MD2. The framework was evaluated over a six-month field campaign (March–August 2022) integrating monthly UAV multispectral flights (MicaSense RedEdge-M) with continuous IoT monitoring across 25 georeferenced plots in the Colombian Orinoquia piedmont. Embedding daily soil moisture depletion () as a physically-derived variable provides hydrological context to the FAO-56 water balance framework and provides the atmospheric context required to interpret CAM-specific spectral responses.
Three objectives structured the investigation: (i) to assess whether soil-adjusted indices (OSAVI, MSAVI) reduce soil background interference relative to standard NDVI as physiological phenotypic descriptors in open-canopy pineapple architectures; (ii) to quantify the predictive improvement conferred by incorporating and as physics-informed features relative to a spectral-only baseline model; and (iii) to validate an operational, phenotyping-based traffic-light Decision Support System (DSS) that classifies soil moisture status into three management zones (Stress, Optimum, Saturation), with priority weighting toward minimizing false negatives in water deficit detection, appropriate for autonomous irrigation triggering in commercial tropical cultivation.
4. Discussion
4.1. Physiological Interpretation and Soil-Background Decoupling
The performance gap between soil-adjusted and broadband indices in this dataset warrants closer examination. OSAVI outperformed NDVI by a correlation margin of
(0.78 vs. 0.45), a difference too large to attribute to sampling variability alone. In wide-row pineapple plantations, inter-row bare soil occupies a substantial fraction of each pixel at moderate flight altitudes; high soil albedo attenuates the canopy water content signal and biases broadband reflectance indices toward substrate properties rather than plant physiology [
22]. OSAVI’s optimization factor (
) was specifically derived to minimize this background effect across a wide range of canopy cover conditions [
14], and its dominance in the Gini ranking (0.264) is consistent with that design rationale.
For CAM crops in particular, this robustness matters more than in C3/C4 systems: daytime stomatal closure further reduces the spectral contrast between stressed and non-stressed canopies, so any additional attenuation from soil background compounds the ambiguity in the reflectance signal.
4.2. PIML Framework: Bridging the CAM Metabolism Gap
Pineapple’s CAM physiology creates a specific inferential problem for remote sensing. Diurnal stomatal closure decouples daytime reflectance from tissue water content [
2], and a model trained solely on spectral features operates on a signal that is only partially informative about the physiological state it is meant to characterize. Embedding
and VPD as physics-derived features addresses this gap directly: both variables capture the atmospheric and edaphic demand context that spectral indices miss during daylight acquisition windows.
The improvement in predictive accuracy when moving from the spectral-only baseline () to the full PIML architecture () is modest in absolute terms but mechanistically interpretable. The FAO-56 water balance constrains predictions to hydrologically plausible ranges, reducing the probability that the model extrapolates into physically inconsistent moisture states between UAV acquisition events. This is not merely a regularization effect—it reflects the degree to which atmospheric demand governs the soil-plant-atmosphere water flux that spectral indices cannot directly observe.
4.3. Agronomic Justification via Mechanistic Modeling
The spatial and temporal agreement between PIML-GB stress classifications and FAO-56 RAM threshold exceedances (
Figure 10) offers a level of cross-validation that extends beyond statistical agreement. The data-driven classifier and the independently derived mechanistic water-balance model identify the same stress events despite being developed separately, with no shared parameters and calibration based on different data sources. This correspondence therefore reflects genuine consistency rather than methodological overlap.
This mechanistic concordance matters for field adoption. Producers and agronomists accustomed to FAO-56 scheduling can interpret PIML-GB outputs within a familiar biophysical framework, without treating the classifier as a black box. The alignment between machine learning decisions and water balance thresholds thus serves both as a validation signal and as a communication bridge between data-driven outputs and agronomic practice.
4.4. Operational Reliability and Decision Support
Cohen’s Kappa of 0.91 places the DSS well above the threshold commonly accepted for operational agreement in agricultural decision systems. The asymmetry in recall performance—perfect recovery of the Stress class (1.00) against slightly lower recovery for Optimum (0.89)—reflects a deliberate threshold calibration rather than a model deficiency. From an agronomic standpoint, the cost of missing a water deficit event substantially exceeds the cost of a conservative irrigation in marginally adequate conditions, and the threshold was set accordingly.
The Saturation recall of 0.90 is equally relevant. Waterlogged conditions in Casanare piedmont soils favor
Phytophthora spp., a pathogen complex whose economic impact on pineapple production in tropical regions is well documented [
6]. A false irrigation trigger under Saturation conditions would exacerbate anaerobic stress at the root zone precisely when the crop is most vulnerable. That the classifier limits such errors to 10% of Saturation observations represents a meaningful operational safeguard.
Gradient boosting was selected over alternative ensemble methods given its established performance on high-dimensional tabular datasets with mixed feature types [
50], where tree-based partitioning captures non-linear spectral-physiological boundaries that linear and kernel-based models handle less efficiently. Pearson correlation analysis and XGBoost fulfill complementary roles within the analytical workflow. Pearson was used as an exploratory step to identify univariate linear associations between predictors and soil moisture, establishing an initial spectral relevance ranking (MSAVI
, OSAVI
, NDVI
), a strategy previously reported in remote sensing studies for precision agriculture [
56]. However, bivariate correlations cannot capture multivariate interactions or nonlinear dependencies. XGBoost, in contrast, operates on the full set of 14 features, identifying synergies among spectral indices, microclimatic variables, and FAO-56 constraints through recursive hierarchical partitioning. Thus, Pearson informs preliminary predictor selection, whereas XGBoost models their nonlinear interactions for final prediction.
4.5. Comparative Advantage: From Standard Methods to Hybrid Phenotyping
Most UAV-based irrigation support systems reported in the literature rely on a single sensing modality: either spectral indices from aerial platforms [
10] or ground-based soil sensors [
7]. Each approach has a structural blind spot. Spectral-only systems lack edaphic context; sensor-only networks lack the spatial resolution to resolve within-field heterogeneity in open-canopy crops. The present framework sidesteps both limitations by fusing UAV imagery, IoT microclimatic records, and a mechanistic water balance into a single prediction pipeline.
This study presents one of the first PIML frameworks validated for water-related trait estimation in a CAM bromeliad crop at commercial plot scale. The integration of physics-informed constraints with gradient boosting introduces a degree of interpretability that purely data-driven approaches rarely provide, particularly in operational settings where model outputs must remain consistent with agronomic decision criteria.
4.6. Operational Implications: Traffic-Light DSS Protocol
Translating continuous soil moisture estimates into categorical irrigation decisions introduces a practitioner-facing interface that does not require familiarity with model internals. The three-class traffic-light protocol (
Table 7) maps PIML-GB outputs directly onto field actions, enabling plot-level precision irrigation management by operators without specialized remote sensing training.
4.7. Limitations and Future Research Directions
Three constraints bound the interpretation of these results. Monthly UAV acquisitions ( campaigns) provide adequate coverage of phenological transitions but cannot resolve transient drought events between surveys; a water deficit that develops and recovers within a 4-week window would be invisible to the model. Integrating higher-frequency satellite time series (e.g., Sentinel-2 at 5-day revisit) between UAV campaigns is a natural extension that would address this temporal gap without proportional increases in operational cost.
Site specificity is the second constraint. The FAO-56 parameterization and the Gradient Boosting model were fitted on Casanare piedmont silty clay soils under var. MD2 pineapple. Transfer to other soil textures, precipitation regimes, or pineapple varieties would require recalibration of the water balance parameters and retraining of the classifier, ideally supported by a transfer learning strategy that reduces the number of new labeled observations required.
The third constraint is dimensional. With observations and 34 input features, the observation-to-predictor ratio of approximately 4.4 is below the threshold typically recommended for unconstrained feature selection. The L1/L2 regularization and 5-fold spatial cross-validation applied here mitigate, but do not eliminate, this risk. Multi-site campaigns across diverse edaphoclimatic zones of the Colombian Orinoquia would substantially strengthen the generalizability claims of the framework.
Moreover, the study was conducted within a single production cycle (March–August 2022), encompassing phenological stages from month 2 to month 8 after planting, corresponding to the vegetative and early reproductive phases of A. comosus var. MD2. Interannual climatic variability, particularly the alternating El Niño and La Niña precipitation regimes characteristic of the Casanare region, remains an unresolved source of uncertainty. Additional validation across successive growing seasons will therefore be necessary to assess model stability throughout the complete phenological cycle.
An additional limitation concerns the target variable itself. The model estimates root-zone soil moisture, which acts as an indirect proxy of plant water status rather than a direct physiological measurement of tissue water content. This distinction becomes particularly relevant in CAM crops such as pineapple, where parenchymatic water storage and nocturnal stomatal regulation introduce temporal lags and nonlinear responses between soil moisture and plant water status. Under prolonged water deficit, pineapple may maintain apparent canopy turgor through stored parenchymatic water even when root-zone moisture is depleted, potentially leading to underestimation of stress severity. Future studies integrating direct measurements of plant water status, including thermal imaging for Crop Water Stress Index (CWSI) estimation [
57], sap flow monitoring, or leaf spectroscopy for tissue water assessment, would enable a more direct validation of the relationship between predicted soil moisture and the physiological stress experienced by the crop [
58].
Although the validation scheme did not include explicit controls for spatial or temporal autocorrelation, this decision preserved part of the complexity that is characteristic of agricultural systems under real open-field conditions. The multimodal integration of multispectral UAV data, in-situ IoT sensors, and FAO-56-derived variables throughout the six-month campaign required synchronizing sources with heterogeneous temporal resolutions (daily for meteorological variables and monthly for spectral information) and different spatial scales (subplot-level sensors versus plot-level ROIs). Within the same experimental block, covariance structures associated with local microclimatic gradients or shared management practices may arise [
59,
60]. Likewise, consecutive monthly measurements tend to exhibit serial dependence due to the thermal persistence of the soil and the hydric memory of the root system [
61,
62]. This spatiotemporal heterogeneity is not only a potential source of statistical bias, but also reproduces the operational environment in which the model is expected to perform once deployed in real agronomic scenarios. Nonetheless, future studies should incorporate spatially structured validation schemes, such as leave-one-block-out cross-validation, to more rigorously quantify the impact of these dependencies on uncertainty estimates and, consequently, on the model’s ability to generalize to unobserved blocks.
5. Conclusions
We developed and validated a Physics-Informed Machine Learning (PIML) framework for soil water status phenotyping in commercial pineapple (Ananas comosus var. MD2) under tropical savanna conditions, integrating UAV multispectral imagery, IoT microclimatic records, and FAO-56 mechanistic water balance variables to address the combined constraints of CAM diurnal physiology and open-canopy spectral interference.
Three findings emerge from this work. Among the 17 spectral indices evaluated as phenotypic descriptors of root-zone moisture, OSAVI ranked first in Gini importance (0.264) and achieved against measured soil moisture, substantially above the NDVI correlation of . The difference reflects the soil-background correction embedded in OSAVI’s design: in wide-row pineapple plantations, inter-row bare soil systematically biases broadband indices, and the optimization factor attenuates this bias at the canopy scale.
Within the full multimodal architecture, the Gradient Boosting regressor achieved and (7.05% on the normalized sensor scale). Removing the FAO-56 physics-derived features ( and VPD) reduced accuracy to (), a drop that quantifies the contribution of mechanistic context to interpreting daytime spectral signatures under CAM-specific stomatal dynamics.
The three-class Traffic-Light Decision Support System achieved 91.1% overall accuracy (Cohen’s Kappa = 0.91), with no water deficit observations misclassified on the hold-out validation set (). Saturation recall of 0.90 limits false irrigation triggers under waterlogged conditions that favor Phytophthora spp. root rot. Together, these classification outcomes indicate that the PIML-GB model meets the precision thresholds required for autonomous irrigation triggering in commercial tropical cultivation.
The monthly UAV acquisition schedule used here cannot resolve transient hydraulic events between surveys. Bridging this temporal gap through integration with satellite time series (e.g., Sentinel-2 at 5-day revisit) or higher-frequency drone deployments is the most immediate avenue for extending the framework’s operational scope. Multi-site validation across diverse edaphoclimatic zones of the Colombian Orinoquia and other tropical pineapple regions would further test the generalizability of the approach and the portability of the FAO-56 parameterization to different soil textures and pineapple varieties.