Prognostic Value of Pretherapeutic Primary Tumor MTV from [¹⁸F]FDG PET in Radically Treated Cervical Cancer Patients

Abstract

The aim of this study was to assess the usefulness of pretherapeutic primary tumor metabolic tumor volume (MTV) in the prognosis of radically treated cervical cancer patients. Retrospective, single-centre analysis was performed on a group of 508 cervical cancer patients. All patients underwent a pretreatment [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT study for the assessment of the disease stage. Several PET-derived parameters—namely, maximum standardized uptake value (SUV_max), mean standardized uptake value (SUV_mean), total lesion glycolysis (TLG) and MTV, as well as the clinical parameters, were analysed in terms of the overall survival (OS), event-free survival (EFS), locoregional control (LRC) and freedom from distant metastases (FFDM). Hyperthermia and brachytherapy were prognostic for EFS, OS, and LRC.FIGO stage > II showed a significant effect on EFS, OS, and FFDM. Moreover, hysterectomy was prognostic for OS and histology was prognostic for FFDM. From the PET-derived parameters only MTV of the primary tumor had a significant influence on OS (cutoff point: >12.7 mL, HR: 2.8, 1.75–4.48 95% CI, p < 0.001), LRC (cutoff point: >13.7 mL, HR 2.82, 1.42–5.61 95% CI, p = 0.003), EFS (cutoff point: >10.4 mL, HR: 2.57, 1.67–3.97 95% CI, p < 0.001) and FFDM (cutoff point: >10.4 mL, HR: 5.04, 1.82–13.99 95% CI, p = 0.002). Pretreatment MTV from the primary tumor is the only independent prognostic parameter in OS, LRC, EFS, and FFDM in radically treated cervical cancer patients and should be used in clinical practice in assessing prognosis in these patients.

1. Introduction

According to the newest data, cervical cancer ranks fifth in terms of incidence and mortality worldwide (604,127 new cases and 341,831 deaths in 2020) [1]. An early diagnosis leads to better overall survival (OS) in cervical cancer patients. There are two available tests used for screening: the Papanicolaou test and the HPV test [2]. However, imaging modalities like transvaginal or transrectal ultrasound, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), computed tomography (CT), and lately, positron emission tomography combined with computed tomography (PET/CT) are essential for adequate assessment of tumor size, invasiveness, and detection of distant metastases [3]. MRI and CT are widely used to detect metastatic lymph nodes based on their size and morphological features. PET/CT with the most commonly used radiotracer: glucose analogue labelled with fluorine-18 (2-deoxy-2-[¹⁸F]fluoro-D-glucose, [¹⁸F]FDG) has an advantage over these modalities and provides both: morphological and anatomical information [4]. Several qualitative and quantitative PET-derived parameters have been found to be prognostic in the pretreatment of cervical carcinoma and in assessing the recurrence and restaging of other gynaecological malignancies [5,6,7,8,9]. Maximum standardised uptake value (SUV_max), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and metabolic tumor volume (MTV) are the most common PET-derived parameters with proven significance in assessing therapy response and outcome in cervical cancer patients [10,11].

The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the predictive value of [¹⁸F]FDG PET-derived parameters in radically treated cervical cancer patients.

2. Results

A total of 402 patients underwent radiochemotherapy (CRT) as primary treatment. Those patients, who were treated with a hysterectomy at the beginning, were then stratified to adjuvant treatment according to their risk factors: either chemotherapy or radiotherapy or radiochemotherapy. Hyperthermia was given as combined treatment with radiotherapy and radiochemotherapy.

Univariate Cox regression using the metric PET parameters revealed that only MTV and TLG are significant prognostic factors for event free survival (EFS), overall survival (OS), and freedom from distant metastases (FFDM). Moreover, MTV was also a prognostic factor for locoregional control (LRC).

SUV_max and SUV_mean were not prognostic for any of the investigated endpoints, and were, therefore, excluded in further analysis.

From the clinical parameters, hyperthermia and brachytherapy were prognostic for EFS, OS, and LRC. FIGO stage above II showed a significant effect for EFS, OS, and FFDM. Moreover, hysterectomy was prognostic for OS and histology was prognostic for FFDM. No significant effect was found in CRT in all four endpoints. Results for all investigated parameters are listed in

Table 1. Univariate Cox regression. PET parameters were included as metric parameters. For patient age the median was used as cutoff value.

	EFS			OS
Parameter	HR	95% CI	p-Value	HR	95% CI	p-Value
Age > 57 y	0.85	0.63–1.15	0.29	0.93	0.65–1.34	0.71
Histology SCC	0.96	0.58–1.59	0.88	1.24	0.65–2.37	0.52
Grading > 2	1.19	0.81–1.76	0.37	1.35	0.86–2.12	0.19
Hyperthermia	0.6	0.44–0.82	0.001	0.5	0.35–0.73	<0.001
Chemotherapy	1.12	0.69–1.82	0.66	1.36	0.73–2.53	0.33
Teleradiotherapy	0.82	0.55–1.23	0.34	1.01	0.61–1.67	0.96
Brachytherapy	0.46	0.33–0.64	<0.001	0.45	0.31–0.67	<0.001
Hysterectomy CRT	0.75 0.79	0.43–1.29 0.55–1.13	0.3 0.19	0.41 0.86	0.18–0.94 0.56–1.33	0.035 0.5
FIGO stage > II	2.11	1.51–2.96	<0.001	2.33	1.54–3.5	<0.001
MTV	1.009	1.005–1.012	<0.001	1.009	1.005–1.013	<0.001
TLG	1	1–1.001	0.0077	1	1–1.001	0.039
SUVmax	1.004	0.979–1.03	0.75	1	0.97–1.031	1
SUVmean	0.997	0.957–1.038	0.87	0.99	0.94–1.04	0.66
	LRC			FFDM
Parameter	HR	95% CI	p-value	HR	95% CI	p-value
Age > 57 y	0.67	0.39–1.16	0.15	0.68	0.39–1.19	0.18
Histology SCC	1.43	0.52–3.95	0.49	0.4	0.2–0.78	0.0068
Grading > 2	0.78	0.35–1.72	0.54	1.8	0.96–3.37	0.069
Hyperthermia	0.56	0.33–0.96	0.037	1.02	0.59–1.77	0.95
Chemotherapy	1.05	0.45–2.46	0.9	1.28	0.51–3.22	0.6
Teleradiotherapy	0.59	0.31–1.13	0.11	1.3	0.56–3.06	0.54
Brachytherapy	0.32	0.18–0.55	<0.001	0.76	0.39–1.48	0.42
Hysterectomy CRT	1.68 0.72	0.82–3.43 0.39–1.34	0.16 0.3	0.32 1.1	0.08–1.31 0.54–2.26	0.11 0.79
FIGO stage > II	1.46	0.84–2.56	0.18	1.96	1.07–3.58	0.029
MTV	1.008	1.001–1.015	0.016	1.01	1–1.02	<0.001
TLG	1.001	1–1.001	0.056	1.001	1–1.001	0.042
SUVmax	1.03	0.99–1.07	0.2	1.02	0.98–1.06	0.39
SUVmean	1.02	0.96–1.09	0.5	1.02	0.95–1.09	0.55

.

As expected MTV and TLG were prognostic in univariate Cox regression also after binarisation. Corresponding Kaplan-Meier curves for MTV are shown in Figure 1.

Regression analysis revealed a notably higher hazard ratio for MTV than for TLG (

Table 2. Univariate Cox regression. PET parameters were included as binary parameters.

Parameter	Risk	HR	95% CI	p Value
EFS
MTV	>10.4 mL	2.57	1.67–3.97	<0.001
TLG	>133 mL	1.85	1.35–2.54	<0.001
OS
MTV	>12.7 mL	2.8	1.75–4.48	<0.001
TLG	>91.9 mL	2.16	1.42–3.3	<0.001
LRC
MTV	>13.7 mL	2.82	1.42–5.61	0.003
FFDM
MTV	>10.4 mL	5.04	1.82–13.99	0.002
TLG	>201 mL	2.26	1.3–3.94	0.004

).

Therefore, and due to the high correlation of MTV and TLG (R2 = 0.88, p < 0.001), only MTV was analysed in multivariate Cox regression together with the corresponding clinical parameters as confounding factors.

In this analysis MTV remained a prognostic factor for all four endpoints (

Table 3. Multivariate Cox regression. PET parameters were included as metric parameters.

	EFS			OS
Parameter	HR	95% CI	p-Value	HR	95% CI	p-Value
Histology		–			–
Hyperthermia	0.947	0.894–1	0.063	0.84	0.764–0.924	<0.001
Brachytherapy	0.382	0.268–0.543	<0.001	0.432	0.286–0.651	<0.001
FIGO stage	1.77	1.45–2.16	<0.001	1.95	1.54–2.46	<0.001
MTV	1.01	1–1.01	0.005	1.01	1–1.01	0.013
	LRC			FFDM
Parameter	HR	95% CI	p-value	HR	95% CI	p-value
Histology		-			-
Hyperthermia	1.02	0.932–1.11	0.68	3.07	1.56–6.03	0.001
Brachytherapy	0.303	0.169–0.546	<0.001	1.73	–
FIGO stage		-		1.73	1.19–2.53	0.004
MTV	1.01	1–1.01	0.021	1.01	1–1.02	0.009

) indicating its independent prognostic value.

The cutoff stability test performed for MTV revealed a wide range of cutoff values, leading to a significant effect for all four endpoints (

Table 4. Evaluation of bootstrap samples and cutoff range. Column 4 shows the fraction of bootstrap samples for which the same cutoff value leads to p < 0.05, respectively.

	Bootstrap			Cutoff Range p < 0.05
Endpoint	Mean HR	Mean p Value	p < 0.05	Min. Cutoff	Opt. Cutoff	Max. Cutoff
EFS	2.7	<0.001	100%	3 mL	10.4 mL	102.5 mL
OS	2.9	<0.001	100%	3.2 mL	12.7 mL	23.9 mL
LRC	3.2	0.021	90%	10.1 mL	13.7 mL	23.2 mL
FFDM	6.6	0.007	98%	5.8 mL	10.4 mL	13.2 mL

, right). Cutoff values were also stable according to the bootstrap analysis (Table 4, left). However, this has to be confirmed in an independent patient group.

3. Discussion

Several quantitative and qualitative PET-derived parameters have been reported to be prognostic factors in cervical cancer [12,13]. The most common, SUV_max, despite its confirmed prognostication value, might be affected by several factors (segmentation method, patient glucose level, reconstruction algorithm, etc.), and does not represent the whole tumor. To measure the metabolic activity in the whole tumor and its entirety, volume based parameters, such as MTV and TLG have become more of an object of interest lately [14]. Takagi et al. based on the analysis of 38 cervical cancer patients noted that SUV_max value of primary tumor is useful in differentiating between stage ≤I and ≥II [15]. Our analysis showed that neither SUV_max nor SUV_mean had any significance in all assessed endpoints. This might be caused by a notable difference in cohort groups between studies.

In their work on 91 patients, Sun et al. showed that cervical metabolic tumor volume (CMTV) above 53.75 mL significantly decreases OS in cervical cancer patients [5]. Additionally, in their univariate analysis they also observed that CMTV and cervical total lesion glycolysis (CTLG) were significant prognostic factors for OS in terms of FIGO stage, age, lymphadenopathy, and SUV_max value. In our analysis, we also observed that MTV is an independent PET-derived prognostic factor, for OS, as well as EFS, LRC, and FFDM. Different values for MTV obtained between our and the abovementioned data are probably caused by a significant difference in the number of analysed patients (91 vs. 508). Moreover, our study also revealed that several clinical factors such as FIGO stage, brachytherapy, hyperthermia, are predictors in cervical cancer patients, however only MTV was an independent predictor on all four endpoints.

In their work, Wong et al. found that [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT is an accurate diagnostic tool in detecting the local or distant recurrence in cervical cancer patients with 82% sensitivity, 97% specificity and 92% accuracy for the local and 100%, 90% and 94% for the distant one [16]. Our study revealed that the FIGO stage, histology of the primary tumor and MTV are significantly associated with FFDM. Moreover, MTV and brachytherapy were also prognostic factors for LRC. Brachytherapy was documented in many studies to be the essential part of cervical cancer treatment leading to improved outcomes [17,18].

Wang et al. showed that TLG ≥113.4 mL and MTV ≥18.3 cm³ of primary cervical tumor were associated with worse DFS, DMFS, and OS [19]. No significance was noted in OS, DFS, LC or DMFS for SUV_max or SUV_mean values either in univariate or multivariate analysis. Our analysis on a larger cohort group showed similar results for commonly used metabolic parameters (SUV_max and SUV_mean), as well as for the volumetric parameters. However, as the TLG is a product of a SUV_mean and MTV, and a strong correlation between these two parameters was found, only MTV was included in the analysis. MTV proved to be a significant PET-derived metabolic parameter which has an influence on OS, EFS, LRC, and FFDM in 508 analysed cervical cancer patients.

Han et al. performed a meta-analysis on 660 patients from 12 studies, during which they assessed the value of volume-based [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT parameters in uterine cervical cancer [20]. They found that higher values for MTV and TLG are significantly associated with worse DFS, EFS and OS. Similar results were obtained in this study. Moreover, well known clinical parameters are shown to be prognostic in cervical cancer patients, but only MTV was an independent prognostic parameter. MTV value above 10 mL was associated with worse EFS and FFDM, while above 13 mL and 14 mL, with worse OS and LRC, respectively.

Even though this study was carried out as a retrospective and single-centre analysis, which might be a major limitation, to the best of our knowledge, it is performed on the largest group of patients with verified long-term outcomes. Moreover, the heterogeneity of the treatment methods might affect the obtained results, but these treatment options were used according to the stage of the disease at the time of initial diagnosis. Nevertheless, we are aware that results obtained in this study should be validated in a multicentre, prospective study.

4. Materials and Methods

4.1. Patient Characteristic

A retrospective analysis was performed on a group of 508 newly diagnosed cervical cancer patients. All patients were admitted to the Gynaecology and Radiotherapy Department with radical treatment intent between May 2009 and May 2020. A medical chart review was performed to obtain the recurrence, and data from the Greater Poland Cancer Registry were used to estimate the patients’ prognosis. The majority of patients were diagnosed at stage III (49.2%) or II (29.5%), and squamous cell carcinoma was the most common histological type (89.6%). Chemotherapy and radiotherapy (including teleradiotherapy and brachytherapy) were the most common therapy methods used in the analysed group. Detailed patient and tumor characteristics are shown in

Table 5. Patient and tumor characteristics.

Characteristics	Value
Age (years)
Mean ± SD	55 ± 12
Median	57
Histology
SCC	455 (89.6)
Adeno Ca	53 (10.4)
Grading
n/a	140 (27.6)
G1	28 (5.5)
G2	251 (49.4)
G3	89 (17.5)
FIGO stage
I	59 (11.6)
II	150 (29.5)
III	250 (49.2)
IV	49 (9.7)
Therapy
Hyperthermia	264 (52)
Chemotherapy	445 (87.6)
Teleradiotherapy	425 (83.7)
Brachytherapy	396 (78)
Hysterectomy CRT	57 (11.2) 402 (79.1)

.

All patients provided their informed consent for the treatment and diagnostic imaging procedure and because of the retrospective character of this study, bioethical committee approval was waived.

4.2. [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT Analysis

All patients underwent a hybrid [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT scan prior to therapy. Scans were performed using Gemini TF TOF PET/CT scanner (Philips Healthcare, Best, The Netherlands). The scan ranged from the vertex to the mid-thigh according to the standard whole-body acquisition protocol used in our department. Patients were fasting for at least 6 h before the injection of 364 ± 75 MBq [¹⁸F]FDG and the acquisition started 60 ± 15 min (range: 45–75 min) after injection. First, a low-dose multislice CT scan was obtained using a 16-slice multidetector scanner (parameters: 100–250 mAs, 120 kV, slice thickness 5 mm). The PET scan was performed in 3D mode with an acquisition time of 1.30 min per bed position (8–12 bed positions) covering the same field as the CT scan. The obtained images were reconstructed using the ordered subset expectation maximisation (OSEM) iterative algorithm. SUV was normalized by body weight.

4.3. Data Analysis

The metabolically active part of the primary tumor was delineated in the PET data by an automatic algorithm based on adaptive thresholding. The algorithm iteratively determines the local background of a lesion and then applies a background-corrected threshold; more detailed information can be found in [21,22] for more details. The resulting region of interest (ROI) delineation was inspected visually by an experienced observer (who was blinded to patient outcomes) and manually corrected when this was deemed necessary. This was the case in 59 out of 508 patients as the algorithm delineated also parts of the bladder. For the delineated ROIs, the parameters: SUV_max, SUV_mean, metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG calculated as MTV × SUV_mean) were computed. ROI definition and analysis were performed using the ROVER software, version 3.0.XX (ABX, Radeberg, Germany).

4.4. Statistical Analysis

Survival analysis was performed with respect to event free survival (EFS), overall survival (OS), locoregional control (LRC), and freedom from distant metastases (FFDM) measured from the start of therapy to death and/or event. Patients who did not keep follow-up appointments and for whom information on survival or tumor status, therefore, was unavailable were censored at the date of the last follow-up. For EFS, any disease recurrence (loco-regional or distant) or death was classified as an event. The association of endpoints with clinical and quantitative PET parameters was analysed using univariate Cox proportional hazard regression in which the PET parameters were included as metric parameters. PET parameters showing a significant effect in this analysis were further analysed in a univariate Cox regression using binarised PET parameters. The cutoff values were calculated by minimising the p-value in univariate Cox regression, as described by Bütof et al. [23]. The optimal cutoff was determined separately for EFS, OS, LRC, and FFDM. The stability of optimal cutoff values was tested using the bootstrap method (random resampling with replacement, 10⁵ samples). For each sample, a univariate Cox regression was performed in which the same cutoff as in the original data was used to define high- and low-risk groups. Mean (sample averaged) HR and p-value were computed. The fraction of samples yielding p < 0.05 was determined. Furthermore, the range of cutoff values for which p remains below 0.05 in univariate analysis was determined by successively decreasing/increasing the cutoff (starting at the optimal cutoff) and repeating univariate Cox regression in the original patient group. The probability of survival was computed and rendered as Kaplan–Meier curves. The independence of parameters was analysed by a multivariate Cox regression.

Statistical significance was assumed at a p-value of less than 0.05. Statistical analysis was performed with the R language and environment for statistical computing version 4.1.1 [24].

5. Conclusions

Pretreatment MTV from the primary tumor is an independent prognostic factor for assessing overall survival, event-free survival, locoregional control and freedom from distant metastases in radically treated cervical cancer patients. Further investigations are needed to confirm these promising results.