1. Introduction
Photovoltaic conversion is the direct energy transformation from solar radiation into electrical energy through the photovoltaic effect. The electrical energy obtained can then be injected into the electrical grid by some power electronics converter, giving rise to the mini and micro photovoltaic generation systems. Since the enactment of the resolution of the National Electric Energy Agency (ANEEL), number 482/2012, which regulated the mini and microgeneration distributed systems in Brazil, the usage of photovoltaic solar energy has expanded, achieving thousands of new installations each year [
1,
2].
It is well-known that photovoltaic solar energy presents financial and ecological benefits associated with the strident reduction in costs for implementing generation systems. The photovoltaic technology has emerged as a trend in the electricity market, once it is a viable solution for the electricity supply by companies and customer. This fact is corroborated by international agencies, which predict that photovoltaic energy increases from 2% of the world energy matrix in 2018 to 25% in 2050 [
3].
Despite the many benefits as a source for distributed generation, photovoltaic (PV) modules are sensitive to the accumulation of dust and residues on their surface, causing efficiency reduction common to all generation units. Dirt losses can vary from 2% to 25%, maintaining an average of 5%. The deposit of dirt on the modules’ surface has been a research subject in several aspects: qualitative, quantitative, and economic [
4,
5,
6,
7,
8,
9,
10,
11].
One study focuses on determining the appropriate time interval for cleaning modules, proposing a preventive solution; that is, clean the modules at pre-established intervals [
8]. It turns out that the seasons of the year imply different climatic conditions, as rains, winds, and air humidity, which may require monthly or biannual cleaning, especially if it is considered the location and conditions of the generation unit installation. For instance, a module installed on a building tends to accumulate less dirt than another installed on the ground; in the same sense, summer rainfalls tend to keep the modules cleaner in this period. The neighborhood also impacts the efficiency of the generation units. The presence of a construction site close to the region of the generation unit may generate a soiling accumulation quickly. In this scenario, a suitable cleaning interval is not feasible and tends to incur unnecessary cleaning or the module’s efficiency losses due to late cleaning.
Another aspect, observed in [
9], is the determination of dirt losses related to the country regions, as well as the technology of the photovoltaic module. According to the authors, modules of cadmium telluride (CdTe) and polycrystalline silicon (p-Si) have different levels of losses for the same level of dirt. In this analysis, the amorphous silicon and CdTe modules lost performance more suddenly due to the deposition of dirt than those of crystalline silicon technology due to the difference between their spectral response ranges.
The work presented in [
8,
9] suggests a quantitative approach to dirt losses through a relationship between the output power of the generation unit and the solar irradiance simultaneously interval. The proposal estimates of how much energy should be generated are obtained for a given availability of solar radiation. However, they do not update the parameters of the cell model so leading to estimation errors.
The authors in [
10] suggest a model based on the relationship between the transmittance at a certain angle of incidence, which varies according to the dirt and the transmittance in conditions without dirt. The proposed model is an extension of the model adopted by the American Society of Heating, Refrigeration and Air Conditioning but requires using empirical adjustment parameters that assume vague dirt conditions at levels, such as low, medium, and high.
The model predictive control (MPC) has shown real feasibility and applicability in several prediction systems [
12,
13]. To the best of our knowledge, the usage of MPC to estimate losses in photovoltaic systems is not found in the literature, considering the incident irradiance, the irradiance absorbed, and the online estimation of the series resistance of the PV module, with analysis through time. Considering the need for increasing efficiency in photovoltaic energy production, this work presents the estimation of losses by a new model, based on MPC, which is robust and flexible to be applied in systems with nonlinearities as observed in photovoltaic systems.
3. Results and Discussions
The energy losses MPC estimator is based on the mathematical model of the solar cell for calculating G
ac, as well as on the predictive model for estimating an approximation for Rs. In the block diagram presented in
Figure 6, the difference between G
ac and G
am shows how much energy was not absorbed on the front surface of the PV module.
We have designed and prototyped an embedded device that implements the MPC estimator. The device was fitted to the available space in conventional string boxes, and it was installed next to the sectioning elements and DC protection of the generation unit.
Figure 8 shows the prototype at the Federal University of Mato Grosso do–Sul photovoltaic solar plant (UFV-UFMS), being connected directly at the output of the arrangement. The device was built to withstand a maximum voltage of up to 900 V and a current of up to 30 A. The prototype has a Microchip DSPic 30F4013 processor as a logical unit and possesses Wi-Fi, RS-232, a USB communication system, a PT-1000 temperature sensor, and a radiometer reading of up to 1300 W/m
2. The voltage acquired by the device is divided by the number of series modules to properly feed the estimation model.
The UFV-UFMS is comprised of 38 PV modules (model CS6K-275P), each one of 275 Wp, organized into two strings of 19 modules, each connected in series, being both connected in parallel to a string-box, forming an array with 10.45 kWp maximum power. Each module has a short-circuit current of 9.45 A, open-circuit voltage of 38 V, the current and voltage at the MPP point are 8.88 A and 31 V, respectively. Under STC conditions (25 °C and 1000 W/m2), the array has an open-circuit voltage (Voc) of 722 V and a short-circuit current of 18.9 A. The measured parameters of the photovoltaic arrangement are adapted (dividing the current by the number of strings and dividing the voltage by the number of modules and cells of each module) to match the model input data. The energy losses estimate, on average, the soiling on the whole set of PV modules. The PV power plant has an 8.2 kW Fronius inverter, model Primo 8.2-1. This inverter has two MPPT inputs, Internet connectivity, and an operational data supply system, such as energy generated by the modules, voltage of the array, the current supplied by the modules, among others.
The solar irradiance data were acquired from a solarimetric station on-site, which is equipped with a radiometer of reference.
Even the generation unit having an installed power of 10.45 kWp, the inverter is capable of injecting only 8.2 kW into the power grid. As the solar irradiance achieves approximately 750 W/m², the inverter moves its point of operation outside the MPP region, making the voltage of the modules increase to the maximum point voltage (VMPP). The effectively injected power remains fixed at 8.2 kW, resulting in a reduction in energy injection of up to 20% to the maximum available power, which usually happens between 10:00 a.m. and 2:00 p.m., a time interval that presents the maximum instantaneous peaks of irradiance. This difference between the power of the modules and the inverter allows testing the precision of the system in estimating Rs even in the presence of electrical incompatibility between the generation system and the inverter.
At the experimental evaluations, a sunny day reference was adopted so that the climatic variations do not interfere with the results. The data were inserted into the MPC estimation system, which returned the incident solar irradiance values and the solar irradiance effectively absorbed by the modules.
Figure 9 shows the irradiance values obtained from the radiometer (red line), the irradiance estimated by the prototype MPC (blue line) and the irradiance calculated mathematically, without correction.
Figure 10 shows the relative error between the measured and estimated irradiance.
Figure 9,
Figure 10 and
Figure 11 present the measurements according to the local time, with the first measurement taking place shortly after 7:30 a.m. and the last measurement around 4:00 p.m.
Once the irradiance used by the modules (Gac) is defined in (6), the estimation system calculates the available electrical power, that is, the power that the electrical system should have demanded from the photovoltaic modules. The goal is to identify the losses due to dirt and the losses resulting from incompatibilities that may exist from the electrical system of the generation unit.
The graph in
Figure 11 presents the power reported by the inverter (blue line) and the power calculated by the MPC estimator.
Under normal operating conditions, the power from the inverter should have the same behavior as the estimated power. Once there are differences between both powers, the conclusion is that there may be electrical losses in the system (in this case, losses due to incompatibility between PV system power and maximum inverter power). It is also noteworthy that the estimated peak power is compatible with the solar zenith irradiance on the day of the test (1075 W/m²), reaching 11 kW.
After analyzing the losses results from the experiment, the average daily losses due to dirt were about 4.95%, and the average daily losses due to incompatibility were 15.68%, resulting in a total loss of 20.63%.
It is also worth mentioning the performance of the MPC correcting the values of the series resistance of the solar cells. As seen in
Figure 9, the green line represents the calculated irradiance without correction of R
s, where the effects of the inverter saturation appear characterized by the curve flattening. The blue line represents the estimated irradiance with the corrected values of R
s by MPC. One may observe that the line is quite akin to the line of the solar irradiance measured by the radiometer, demonstrating the effectiveness of the MPC estimator.
The performance of the predictive model removed the effects of the disturbance out of the electrical system configuration, presenting only the irradiance that effectively affected the photovoltaic cells of the modules. Comparing the estimated and measured irradiances, the dirt losses were 4.95%, free from the problem arisen by the MPPT tracking and the electrical anomalies of the generation system due to incompatibility between the system and the inverter.
Figure 12 presents the daily dirt losses and the daily rainfalls from March to October 2019. Losses are around 15% between March and June, most likely due to the location of the system and the low rainfall in the period.
There is a remarkable increase in dirt losses from July to September (around 18%), as the rains were very low during this period. In July, there was only 4 mm of rain, on 26 August mm and on 7 September mm, in the PV plant location. A manual cleaning procedure on the modules was carried out on 27 September, which caused the losses to be reduced sharply on the following day. From additional experiments using a particle sensor along the period of experiments, there were fine particles (particles with diameters between 1 µm and 10 µm) suspended in air, and they may be one impact factor to the dirt on the modules.
4. Conclusions
This work proposed an MPC system to dirt losses estimates and identifying electrical anomalies in photovoltaic power plants. The MPC system receives energy production data from the inverter and irradiation data from a solarimetric station. The losses estimation is based on the difference between the measured irradiance and the estimated irradiance
We have evaluated the MPC estimator for a period of 8 months (March to October/2019). The system estimated losses are 15% between March and June. From July to September, the losses increased to 18% as the rains were very low during this period. Those results reveal that the dirt was determinant to the energy losses in the PV power plant.
The MPC estimator device prototype operates as a power monitoring system, presenting to the administrator the estimation of losses due to dirt and electrical losses. The device has a Wi-Fi communication system that sends real-time information to a supervisory software enabling the administrator to know any anomalies and make decisions regarding the cleaning and maintenance of the modules. Additionally, an administrator can monitor the energy effectively generated by the system and compare it to the energy generation expected by the system. This prototype aims to meet a demand in the photovoltaic solar energy market that lacks similar monitoring solutions, meeting demands from small microgeneration units to large units.
As a future work, the MPC system and its properties can also be applied to control the power converter to optimize energy harvesting as an MPPT algorithm improvement and/or for increasing current controllers stability and robustness of the converter.