A Systems Approach to Modeling Loyalty Contagion and Adaptive Regulation in Emergency Document Systems: The Role of User Stickiness
Abstract
1. Introduction
- RQ1: How does user stickiness influence the formation and contagion mechanisms of system loyalty within an emergency document system?
- RQ2: Does there exist an optimal intensity of platform regulation that can maximize system loyalty while maintaining sustainable management costs?
- (1)
- A novel theoretical perspective. Moving beyond the consumer-centric focus of existing user stickiness research, this study pioneers its application to emergency document systems. We establish a “systems perspective + cross-domain adaptation” framework by integrating user stickiness theory with loyalty contagion and adaptive regulation mechanisms. This provides a new paradigm for studying user behavior in the high-stakes context of emergency management.
- (2)
- An innovative modeling approach. In contrast to prior work on emergency management systems, which predominantly focuses on technical optimizations (e.g., data storage, retrieval efficiency), this research introduces a loyalty contagion and adaptive regulation model. This approach quantifies the mediating role of user stickiness, thereby addressing the traditional gap of prioritizing technology over the dynamics of user behavior and interaction within collaborative systems.
- (3)
- Actionable practical implications. Tailored to the high-pressure and time-sensitive nature of emergency response, this study refines the evaluation metrics system for user stickiness to better align with the information-seeking logic of emergency personnel. This provides an operable theoretical basis for optimizing the design of emergency document systems and formulating effective user retention strategies.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. AIR Model Overview
2.2. Environment Module
2.2.1. Agent and Area Appearance Definition
2.2.2. Event Definition
2.3. Agent Module
2.3.1. Agent
- Assume that the information demand in the model is stable. This assumption is set to simplify the modeling process and control the interference of irrelevant variables, with the core purpose of focusing on the core research content of the user loyalty contagion mechanism and the platform’s adaptive regulation logic.
- Assume that the population in the model is dynamic, with a constant inflow of n per unit of time. In reality, the emergency online document platform can attract new users through various measures such as official promotion and integration into emergency response systems.
- Assume that all newly joining agents are loyalists. During emergency response processes, if new users are malicious actors who engage in negative, disruptive behaviors such as disseminating false emergency information or disrupting emergency orders, they will be subject to clear legal constraints and severe sanctions under relevant laws and regulations. Given this, the probability of malicious new users appearing is extremely low and can be temporarily excluded from the initial assumptions of the model.
- Assume that loyalists can be transformed into centrists or oppositions at rates of αc, αo, respectively. Influenced by the environment, the loyalists change their loyalty to the platform, but the process of decline is gradual, i.e., it is specified that αc > αo. Thus, the number of people who change from loyalists to centrists at unit time t is , and the number of people who change from loyalists to opposition is .
- Assume that the centrists can be transformed into loyalists or opposition at the rate of or , respectively. By the influence of other agents, some of the centrists will be transformed into loyalists, and some of them will be transformed into opposition. Thus, at the time t per unit time, the number of people who are transformed from centrists to loyalists is , and the number of people who are transformed from centrists to opposition is .
- Assume that the platform will regulate the opposition at a rate of . Due to platform control, a part of the opposition will be expelled. Thus, at unit time t, the number of people transformed from opposition to expelled is .
2.3.2. Agent Stickiness
2.3.3. Action Preference
2.4. Metrics Module
2.4.1. Loyalty Metric
2.4.2. Platform Loyalty Metric
2.5. Regulation Module
- : is the average value of user loyalty in the emergency online document platform, which is the metric of most importance to the platform. This metric directly reflects the regulatory effect of the model.
- : represents the intensity of platform regulation. The platform plays a regulatory role by increasing the number of benign events, but it does not mean well. These events require a cost to the platform, such as economic costs. This metric reflects the potential cost of the model.
- : represents comprehensive performance. It is necessary to take into account not only the platform loyalty metric in the model but also the cost of regulatory effort. We use the comprehensive performance to express the performance of the model. Based on the above definition, we list the equation for calculating
3. Results
3.1. Simulation Experiment
3.1.1. Parameter Setting
3.1.2. Experiment Results
- On day 1, the number relationship of all four types of agents was maintained 8:3:1:0.
- On day 7, the centrist agents surpassed the loyalist agents, the centrist process had an upward trend, and the loyalist process had a decreasing trend.
- On day 30, the number of opposition agents reached the maximum, and the centrist agents showed a decreasing trend.
- From day 30 to the end, the number of loyalists, centrists, and opposition agents showed a decreasing trend. The number of expelled agents steadily increases to the maximum.
3.1.3. Experiments Result
- Across simulation scenarios with varying sample sizes, the experimental results of the model remain highly consistent, demonstrating its good stability and generalizability.
- Communities lacking standardized governance will struggle to maintain healthy development, ultimately descending into a detrimental state due to user attrition and heightened group polarization.
3.2. Sensitivity Analysis Experiment
3.2.1. Parameter Setting and Algorithm
| Algorithm 1 Sensitivity Analysis |
| then |
| clear the previous experiments data and cure. |
| time curve. |
| else break |
| Output Sensitivity analysis data and cure |
3.2.2. Experimental Results
3.2.3. Experiment Analysis
- When 0.25 ≥ CR ≥ 0.05, CP increases as platform regulation increases, but the result is still negative. The majority of the population transforms into opponents at this time, which is related to the platform’s environment. The benefits of management efforts are not as great as the losses caused by vicious events, which reduce the effectiveness of platform management.
- When 0.35 ≥ CR ≥ 0.75, CP increases rapidly as platform regulation increases, and the result is positive. The benefits of the platform to the group are causing more and more people to transform into loyalists, and the growing loyalty metric covers the cost of platform regulation.
- When CR ≥ 0.85, CP falls again instead. The population state has been stable, even if a further increase in regulation does not produce better results, but instead reduces the overall performance because of the cost.
- (1)
- Within the range of experimental parameters and values set in this study, the platform’s management intensity shows a negative correlation with comprehensive performance. Specifically, when exceeding the optimal range, an increase in management intensity leads to a decline in comprehensive performance.
- (2)
- The experimental results indicate that when the platform’s regulatory intensity is set at 0.75, the model achieves its peak comprehensive performance, striking an optimal balance between enhancing loyalty and controlling regulatory costs.
3.3. Comparison Experiment
- CR = 0.05. At this regulation intensity, the platform eventually becomes chaotic and collapses, which is a great control value.
- CR = 0.35. At this regulation intensity, the comprehensive performance of the model becomes positive, and the platform develops in a healthy direction.
- CR = 0.75. At this regulation intensity, the comprehensive performance of the model achieves its maximum value, and the platform is in an optimal state.
3.3.1. Experiment Results
- In Figure 6a, the platform regulation intensity is 0.05. The loyalist agents decline rapidly from the start of the model, reaching a minimum around day 15, after which there are only a few inflows of new agents and transfers from the centrist. The centrist agents first experienced a wave of rapid growth, peaking around day 15 and then steadily declining. The opposition agents first grew slowly, plateaued from day 20 to day 50, and declined slowly.
- In Figure 6b, the platform regulation intensity is 0.35. The loyalist agents grew slowly from the beginning to the top on day five and then showed an overall decreasing trend. The centrist agents had a short period of decline after the beginning and then remained around 100. The opposition agents had a period of growth after the beginning and then maintained a similar trend to the centrist agents until the end.
- In Figure 6c, the platform regulation intensity is 0.75. The loyalist agents grew from the beginning and remained within that fluctuation range. The centrist agents were in an overall decreasing trend from the beginning to the end. Oppositionist agents experienced an increase after the beginning and then slowly decreased.
- The expelled agents in Figure 6a–c showed an increasing trend, but at different rates and with very different final numbers.
3.3.2. Experiment Analysis
- When the platform sample is constant, different platform regulation intensities will significantly impact the agents’ actions.
- When the platform sample is constant, and the platform regulation intensity gradually increases, the agents will develop in a better direction.
- When the platform regulation intensity is 0.35, the CP value is positive at this time. Nevertheless, it can be seen in the experimental results that the platform is still developing in a dangerous direction at this time. We could conclude the following from the comparative experiments.
- When the platform regulation intensity is at a low level (0.05), due to the lack of effective intervention in the spread of vicious events and negative loyalty contagion, the loyalist group exhibits a continuous attenuation trend, and the system gradually presents characteristics of disorderly evolution. When the platform regulation intensity is 0.35, the number of loyalists tends to stabilize after initial fluctuating adjustments, and the risk of system collapse is effectively curbed. When the regulation intensity is further increased to the optimal threshold (0.75), the loyalist group not only exhibits a growth trend at the initial stage of evolution but also maintains a dominant position in the long term.
- (1)
- The comparative experiment verifies that the data obtained from the sensitivity analysis experiment are accurate.
- (2)
- Taking only the regulation strength when CP is positive cannot make the platform healthy and long-lasting.
- (3)
- Proactive platform regulation can significantly enhance individual user stickiness to break the transmission chain of negative loyalty attenuation, thereby effectively curbing the trend of system disorder.
4. Discussion
- (1)
- The model demonstrates good validity and robustness: Simulation results indicate that the model can stably reproduce the dynamic evolution of user loyalty in emergency document systems. Under various initial parameter settings, the model consistently exhibits the same behavioral trend: without effective external regulation, user loyalty continuously declines, and the system tends toward disorder; however, once appropriate regulation mechanisms are introduced, the system state can be effectively guided and restored to a healthy range. This validates the rationality of the model’s structural design and the reliability of its simulation outputs.
- (2)
- User stickiness serves as the micro-foundation for system loyalty formation: The simulation process reveals that user stickiness characteristics at the individual level—such as usage habits, satisfaction, and task dependency—can significantly influence the overall loyalty level of the system through interaction and diffusion within the collaborative network. This finding confirms that in task-oriented information systems like emergency document platforms, enhancing individual user stickiness is fundamental to maintaining collaborative activity and collective loyalty.
- (3)
- There exists an optimal threshold for active system regulation intensity: Sensitivity analysis results show that the relationship between platform (system) regulation intensity and comprehensive system performance (balancing steady-state loyalty levels and regulation cost control) is not a simple linear positive correlation. Specifically, we have the following:
- -
- When regulation intensity is within a low range, the system evolves in a laissez-faire manner, with loyalty levels continuously declining.
- -
- When regulation intensity is within a moderate range, the system can achieve significant improvements in loyalty levels and long-term stability under reasonable regulatory cost constraints, reaching optimal comprehensive performance.
- -
- When regulation intensity is excessively high, although higher loyalty levels can be maintained, the marginal benefits of regulation diminish significantly, and it may lead to surging management costs or excessive suppression of user autonomy.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Parameter Meaning Value | Parameter Meaning Value | Parameter Meaning Value |
|---|---|---|
| Initial total population | V Sum0 | |
| Agent initial ratio | 8:3:1 | |
| Population inflow per unit time | 1 | |
| Loyalist to centrist rate | 0.10 | |
| Loyalist to opponent rate | 0.05 | |
| Centrist to loyalist rate | 0.05 | |
| Centrist to opponent rate | 0.1 | |
| Opponent to expelled rate | 0.2 | |
| Initial vicious events | 1 | |
| Weighting ratio of Equation (16) | 4:3:3 |
| Time (Days) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5733 | 0.5783 | 0.5783 | 0.5783 | 0.5783 | 0.5783 | 0.5783 | 0.5783 | 0.5783 | 0.5783 | |
| 0.2304 | 0.5239 | 0.5692 | 0.5673 | 0.5775 | 0.5877 | 0.5894 | 0.5894 | 0.5911 | 0.6065 | |
| −0.2585 | 0.3579 | 0.5009 | 0.5424 | 0.5810 | 0.5969 | 0.6053 | 0.6095 | 0.6060 | 0.6162 | |
| −0.3659 | 0.1282 | 0.4126 | 0.5127 | 0.5712 | 0.6104 | 0.6288 | 0.6497 | 0.6455 | 0.6396 | |
| −0.4388 | −0.1590 | 0.2808 | 0.4866 | 0.5913 | 0.6194 | 0.6399 | 0.6849 | 0.7036 | 0.6893 | |
| −0.5872 | −0.4336 | −0.0716 | 0.3851 | 0.5966 | 0.6870 | 0.7295 | 0.7857 | 0.7787 | 0.7967 | |
| −0.6508 | −0.5619 | −0.2939 | 0.3138 | 0.6230 | 0.7206 | 0.8304 | 0.8796 | 0.8720 | 0.8922 | |
| −0.7115 | −0.6250 | −0.3431 | 0.2508 | 0.6893 | 0.7340 | 0.8800 | 0.9144 | 0.9129 | 0.9424 |
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Feng, Y.; Song, Y. A Systems Approach to Modeling Loyalty Contagion and Adaptive Regulation in Emergency Document Systems: The Role of User Stickiness. Systems 2026, 14, 268. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems14030268
Feng Y, Song Y. A Systems Approach to Modeling Loyalty Contagion and Adaptive Regulation in Emergency Document Systems: The Role of User Stickiness. Systems. 2026; 14(3):268. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems14030268
Chicago/Turabian StyleFeng, Yike, and Yan Song. 2026. "A Systems Approach to Modeling Loyalty Contagion and Adaptive Regulation in Emergency Document Systems: The Role of User Stickiness" Systems 14, no. 3: 268. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems14030268
APA StyleFeng, Y., & Song, Y. (2026). A Systems Approach to Modeling Loyalty Contagion and Adaptive Regulation in Emergency Document Systems: The Role of User Stickiness. Systems, 14(3), 268. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems14030268
