Can Artificial Intelligence Transform Early Warning for Antimicrobial-Resistant Outbreak Clones? Approaches, Gaps, and Opportunities: A Scoping Review
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design
2.2. Search Strategy
2.3. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
2.4. Study Selection and Data Extraction
2.5. Synthesis of Results
3. Results
3.1. Study Selection
3.2. General Characteristics of Included Studies
3.3. Evidence Domains
3.3.1. Genomic Surveillance for Outbreak Detection and Investigation
3.3.2. Rapid Typing and Clone Screening
3.3.3. Prediction of Resistance, Risk Factors, and High-Risk Lineages
3.3.4. Transmission Reconstruction and Outbreak Dynamics
3.3.5. IPC-Oriented Integrated Genomic Epidemiology
4. Discussion
5. Limitations and Future Directions
6. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| PCC Component | Operational Definition |
|---|---|
| Population | Bacterial antimicrobial-resistant pathogens relevant to healthcare-associated transmission, with emphasis on WHO-prioritized bacterial pathogens, multidrug-resistant organisms, high-risk clones, epidemic lineages, and outbreak-associated strains. |
| Concept | AI/ML methods and advanced computational or statistical approaches integrated with WGS/genomic surveillance, rapid typing, or epidemiological and/or clinical data to support early detection, characterization, transmission reconstruction, or investigation of AMR outbreak clones. |
| Context | Healthcare settings and public health genomic surveillance with direct relevance to healthcare-associated transmission, infection prevention and control, outbreak investigation, transmission reconstruction, or early detection of resistant bacterial clones. |
| Ref. | First Author; Year | Pathogen/ Resistance Profile | Setting | Study Material/ Sample Size | Genomic/ Typing Method | AI/ML or Computational Method | Surveillance/ IPC Relevance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [17] | Sundermann et al., 2021 | P. aeruginosa | USA; adult tertiary hospital; gastroscope-associated outbreak | 882 isolates; 6 outbreak cases; 1 contaminated gastroscope isolate | WGS; SNP-based clustering | EHR-based ML route analysis | Detected hidden outbreak and implicated gastroscope source |
| [18] | Sundermann et al., 2022 | Multiple healthcare-associated pathogens | USA; adult tertiary hospital; hospital-wide surveillance | 3165 isolates; 2752 patient isolates; 99 clusters | WGS; cgSNP clustering | EDS-HAT; EHR-linked ML | Detected outbreaks missed by traditional IPC and inferred transmission routes |
| [19] | Sundermann et al., 2026 | Multiple healthcare-associated pathogens | USA; adult tertiary hospital; WGS-detected outbreaks | 172 outbreaks; 476 case patients; EHR data from 48,723 patients | WGS; SNP-based outbreak detection | AI algorithm using EHR-derived exposures | Identified transmission routes missed by manual review |
| [20] | Sundermann et al., 2026 | Multiple healthcare-associated pathogens | USA; adult tertiary hospital; real-time genomic surveillance | 4723 isolates; 3921 patient isolates; 172 outbreaks | Weekly WGS; SNP-based outbreak detection | Real-time computational surveillance and impact modelling | Supported real-time IPC actions and estimated infections avoided |
| [21] | Raven et al., 2022 | S. aureus/MRSA | UK; clinical microbiology/public health laboratory | 781 MRSA genomes from 777 patients | WGS; ST, mec detection; SNP relatedness | Fully automated bioinformatics platform | Automated confirmation or refutation of MRSA clusters |
| [22] | Böhne et al., 2026 | K. pneumoniae complex; mostly wild type; selected ESBL clusters | Germany; tertiary NICU/intermediate care unit | 936 patients; 83 isolates; 10 genomic clusters | WGS; MLST; cgMLST; SKA/SNP analysis | Regression; XGBoost; random forest; SHAP | Identified high-risk VLBW infants and supported risk-adapted IPC |
| [23] | Price et al., 2022 | Gram-negative organisms; AMR genes including blaCTX-M variants | UK; neonatal unit; routine screening programme | 155 isolates from 44 neonates | WGS; MLST; phylogeny; SNP relatedness, AMR genes | Computational genomic epidemiology | Revealed occult transmission and possible AMR gene transfer |
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Tempesta, A.A.; Chines, E.; Boscarelli, L.; Parisi, M.F.; Marcoccia, L.; Capillo, A.; Mezzatesta, M.L.; Ledda, C.; Chessari, M.; Cafiso, V. Can Artificial Intelligence Transform Early Warning for Antimicrobial-Resistant Outbreak Clones? Approaches, Gaps, and Opportunities: A Scoping Review. Antibiotics 2026, 15, 599. https://doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics15060599
Tempesta AA, Chines E, Boscarelli L, Parisi MF, Marcoccia L, Capillo A, Mezzatesta ML, Ledda C, Chessari M, Cafiso V. Can Artificial Intelligence Transform Early Warning for Antimicrobial-Resistant Outbreak Clones? Approaches, Gaps, and Opportunities: A Scoping Review. Antibiotics. 2026; 15(6):599. https://doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics15060599
Chicago/Turabian StyleTempesta, Adriana Antonina, Eleonora Chines, Ludovica Boscarelli, Matteo Francesco Parisi, Lorenzo Marcoccia, Antonino Capillo, Maria Lina Mezzatesta, Caterina Ledda, Marco Chessari, and Viviana Cafiso. 2026. "Can Artificial Intelligence Transform Early Warning for Antimicrobial-Resistant Outbreak Clones? Approaches, Gaps, and Opportunities: A Scoping Review" Antibiotics 15, no. 6: 599. https://doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics15060599
APA StyleTempesta, A. A., Chines, E., Boscarelli, L., Parisi, M. F., Marcoccia, L., Capillo, A., Mezzatesta, M. L., Ledda, C., Chessari, M., & Cafiso, V. (2026). Can Artificial Intelligence Transform Early Warning for Antimicrobial-Resistant Outbreak Clones? Approaches, Gaps, and Opportunities: A Scoping Review. Antibiotics, 15(6), 599. https://doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics15060599

