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Medium-Term Artificial Intelligence and Society

Global Catastrophic Risk Institute, P.O. Box 40364, Washington, DC 20016, USA
Information 2020, 11(6), 290; https://doi.org/10.3390/info11060290
Received: 16 February 2020 / Revised: 25 May 2020 / Accepted: 26 May 2020 / Published: 29 May 2020
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence)
There has been extensive attention to near-term and long-term AI technology and its accompanying societal issues, but the medium-term has gone largely overlooked. This paper develops the concept of medium-term AI, evaluates its importance, and analyzes some medium-term societal issues. Medium-term AI can be important in its own right and as a topic that can bridge the sometimes acrimonious divide between those who favor attention to near-term AI and those who prefer the long-term. The paper proposes the medium-term AI hypothesis: the medium-term is important from the perspectives of those who favor attention to near-term AI as well as those who favor attention to long-term AI. The paper analyzes medium-term AI in terms of governance institutions, collective action, corporate AI development, and military/national security communities. Across portions of these four areas, some support for the medium-term AI hypothesis is found, though in some cases the matter is unclear. View Full-Text
Keywords: near-term AI; long-term AI; medium-term AI; intermediate-term AI; mid-term AI; societal implications of AI near-term AI; long-term AI; medium-term AI; intermediate-term AI; mid-term AI; societal implications of AI
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Baum, S.D. Medium-Term Artificial Intelligence and Society. Information 2020, 11, 290.

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