Techno-Economic Assessment of Integrated CO2 Liquefaction and Waste Energy Recovery Using Low-GWP Zeotropic Mixtures for Maritime Applications
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Literature Review
1.1.1. Onboard Carbon Capture, Liquefaction, and Storage
1.1.2. Waste Energy Recovery Systems
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Case Study Vessel
2.2. System Configuration
2.2.1. Mathematical Modeling, Assumptions, and Operational Constraints
- Working fluids, zeotropic mixtures, in all subsystems are assumed to remain thermally and chemically stable under all operating conditions [42].
2.2.2. Exhaust Gas Aftertreatment and Carbon Capture and Storage System
2.2.3. Cold Energy Organic Rankine Cycle
2.2.4. HVAC Cooling Services
2.2.5. Waste Heat Organic Rankine Cycle
2.2.6. Seawater Cooling System
2.3. Organic Fluid Zeotropic Mixtures Selection Process
2.4. Environmental Assessment
Total Equivalent Warming Impact
2.5. Economic Assessment
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Model Validation
3.1.1. Carbon Capture
3.1.2. Cold Energy Organic Rankine Cycle
3.1.3. HVAC
3.1.4. Waste Heat Organic Rankine Cycle
3.2. Performance Assessment
3.2.1. Carbon Capture and Storage System
3.2.2. Cold Energy Organic Rankine Cycle
3.2.3. HVAC Cooling Services
3.2.4. Waste Heat Organic Rankine Cycle
3.2.5. Overall System Performance and Sensitivity Analysis
3.2.6. Exergy Destruction Assessment
3.3. Environmental Assessment
Total Equivalent Warming Impact
3.4. Economical Assessment
Uncertainty Analysis
4. Conclusions
- (1)
- The systematic screening of 208 ultra-low GWP zeotropic mixtures confirms the superior performance of Novec 649-based blends. Among the evaluated candidates, the Novec 649–R1233zd(E) mixture emerges as the most suitable general-purpose working fluid, delivering the highest overall energy recovery while maintaining acceptable safety and environmental characteristics. Although R1234yf performs slightly better in the cold energy ORC, the dominant contribution of the waste heat cycle makes R1233zd(E) the most advantageous integrated solution.
- (2)
- The waste heat ORC is identified as the dominant subsystem, accounting for the majority of total power recovered. Under optimal operating conditions, the integrated system achieves up to 2600 kW of recovered energy while simultaneously enabling the capture and liquefaction of 66% of the CO2 emitted by the engines. This highlights the importance of prioritizing waste heat utilization in future shipboard CCS–ORC integration strategies.
- (3)
- The techno-economic assessment confirms that the system’s economic viability is primarily driven by fuel savings and avoided GHG pricing costs under EU ETS. Discounted payback periods remain within the 20-year project lifetime in most simulated scenarios, even when accounting for fuel price uncertainty through Monte Carlo analysis. The results indicate that the proposed architecture enhances regulatory resilience under tightening decarbonization policies.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| CAPEX | Capital Expenditure |
| CCS | Carbon Capture and Storage |
| CEPCI | Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index |
| CFC | Chlorofluorocarbon |
| CII | Carbon Intensity Indicator |
| DWT | Deadweight tonnage |
| EU ETS | European Union Emissions Trading System |
| EUA | EU Emission Allowances |
| GCS | Gas Conditioning System |
| GHG | Greenhouse Gas |
| GHG-AC | Greenhouse Gas Abatement Cost |
| GWP | Global Warming Potential |
| HCFC | Hydrochlorofluorocarbon |
| HFC | Hydrofluorocarbon |
| HSC | High-speed Craft |
| HVAC | Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning |
| IMO | International Maritime Organization |
| LCA | Lifecycle Analysis |
| LNG | Liquefied |
| MRV | EU Monitoring, Reporting and Verification system |
| ODP | Ozone Depletion Potential |
| OPEX | Operational Expenditure |
| ORC | Organic Rankine Cycle |
| RPM | Revolutions per Minute |
| TEWI | Total Equivalent Warming Impact |
Appendix A
| Reference | Zeotropic Mixture | |
|---|---|---|
| Fluid 1 | Fluid 2 | |
| [79] | 1,1,1,3,3,5,5,5-Octafluoro-pentane | Neopentane |
| [79] | 1,1,1-Trifluoro-2-trifluoro-methyl-butane | Neopentane |
| [79] | 1,1,1-Trifluoro-2-trifluoromethylpropane | 2,2-Difluoro-hexane |
| [79] | 1,1,1-Trifluoro-butane | 1,1,1-Trifluoro-3-(fluoromethoxy)-2-methylpropane |
| [79] | 1,1,1-Trifluoro-butane | 1,1,1-Trifluoropentane |
| [79] | 1,1,1-Trifluoro-pentane | Neopentane |
| [79] | 1,1,1-Trifluoro-propane | 1-Fluoromethoxy-propane |
| [79] | 1,1,1-Trifluoro-propane | 1-Fluoromethoxy-propane |
| [80] | 1-Butanol | 2-Propanol |
| [81] | 1-Butene | Propene |
| [82] | 1-Butene | R290 |
| [82,83] | 1-Butene | R1270 |
| [81] | 2-Butanone | Propene |
| [79] | 2-Fluoromethoxy-2-methylpropane | Neopentane |
| [80] | 2-Propanol | Water |
| [82] | Acetone | Benzene |
| [82] | Acetone | Isobutene |
| [82] | Acetone | Isooctene |
| [81] | Acetone | Propene |
| [82] | Acetone | R600 |
| [82] | Acetone | R600a |
| [82] | Acetone | R601 |
| [82] | Acetone | Transbutene |
| [84] | Benzene | Cyclohexane |
| [81] | Benzene | Propene |
| [85] | Benzene | R11 |
| [85] | Benzene | R123 |
| [85] | Benzene | Toluene |
| [86] | Butene | R601 |
| [87] | Cis-2-Butane | R123 |
| [87,88] | Cis-2-Butane | R601 |
| [87,88] | Cis-2-Butane | R601a |
| [88] | Cis-2-Butene | R601 |
| [88] | Cis-2-Butene | R601a |
| [83] | CO2 | Novec 649 |
| [33] | CO2 | R12 |
| [89] | CO2 | R32 |
| [89] | CO2 | R41 |
| [33,89] | CO2 | R134a |
| [33] | CO2 | R143a |
| [33,89] | CO2 | R152a |
| [89] | CO2 | R161 |
| [33] | CO2 | R290 |
| [83] | CO2 | R601 |
| [90] | CO2 | R601a |
| [83] | CO2 | R1233zd(E) |
| [89] | CO2 | R1234yf |
| [91] | CO2 | R1234ze(E) |
| [92] | CO2 | R1234ze(Z) |
| [84] | Cyclohexane | Nonane |
| [81] | Cyclohexane | Propene |
| [85,93] | Cyclohexane | R11 |
| [85] | Cyclohexane | R123 |
| [93] | Cyclohexane | R141b |
| [94] | Cyclohexane | R236ea |
| [94] | Cyclohexane | R245fa |
| [95] | Cyclohexane | R601a |
| [96] | Cyclohexane | Toluene |
| [81] | Cyclopentane | Propene |
| [85] | Cyclopentane | R11 |
| [85] | Cyclopentane | R123 |
| [97] | Cyclopentane | R245fa |
| [97] | Cyclopentane | R1336mzz(Z) |
| [89] | D4 | R123 |
| [97] | D5 | R245fa |
| [79] | Decane | Nonane |
| [79] | Decane | Octane |
| [89] | Decane | Toluene |
| [98] | Ethane | R23 |
| [98] | Ethane | R1234ze(E) |
| [99] | Heptane | R245fa |
| [87] | Heptane | R600a |
| [87] | Heptane | R601a |
| [99] | Hexane | Isobutene |
| [89,94] | Hexane | R236ea |
| [89,94,99] | Hexane | R245fa |
| [79] | Hexane | R290 |
| [100] | Hexane | R600a |
| [89,101] | Hexane | R601 |
| [100] | Hexane | R601a |
| [87] | Isohexane | R123 |
| [89,94] | Isohexane | R236ea |
| [89,94] | Isohexane | R245fa |
| [28,89] | Isohexane | R601 |
| [86,95] | Isohexane | R601a |
| [89] | MD2M | R123 |
| [102] | MDM | MM |
| [89] | MDM | R123 |
| [81] | Methyl acetate | Propene |
| [81] | Methyl cyclopentane | Propene |
| [81] | Methyl propionate | Propene |
| [97] | MM | R1224yd(Z) |
| [98] | N-butane | R134a |
| [28,29,89] | N-hexane | R601 |
| [84] | Nonane | Toluene |
| [36] | Novec 649 | HFE7000 |
| [83] | Novec 649 | R32 |
| [83] | Novec 649 | R601 |
| [83] | Novec 649 | R1233zd(E) |
| [83] | Novec 649 | R1234yf |
| [83] | Novec 649 | R1234ze(E) |
| [103] | Novec 649 | R1234ze(Z) |
| [83] | Novec 649 | R1270 |
| [101] | R11 | R245fa |
| [49] | R12 | R22 |
| [49] | R13 | R23 |
| [89] | R113 | R245ca |
| [89,101] | R113 | R245fa |
| [101] | R114 | R141b |
| [49] | R115 | R32 |
| [82] | R123 | R21 |
| [104] | R123 | R236fa |
| [89] | R123 | R245fa |
| [87] | R123 | Trans-2-Butane |
| [49] | R125 | R134a |
| [49] | R125 | R32 |
| [105] | R134a | R152a |
| [49] | R134a | R227ea |
| [82] | R134a | R236ea |
| [28] | R134a | R236fa |
| [28] | R134a | R245fa |
| [106] | R134a | R32 |
| [28] | R134a | RC318 |
| [101] | R141b | R21 |
| [101] | R141b | R236ea |
| [101] | R141b | R245fa |
| [82] | R143a | R227ea |
| [82] | R152a | R236ea |
| [89] | R152a | R245fa |
| [107] | R152a | R365mfc |
| [108] | R227ea | R245fa |
| [79,109] | R236fa | 1,1,1-Trifluoro-2-(fluoromethoxy)ethane |
| [89] | R236fa | R245fa |
| [28] | R236fa | R365mfc |
| [99] | R245fa | R290 |
| [89] | R245fa | R365mfc |
| [89] | R245fa | RC318 |
| [89] | R245fa | Toluene |
| [110] | R290 | R1234ze(E) |
| [33] | R600 | CO2 |
| [99] | R600 | Heptane |
| [99] | R600 | Hexane |
| [98] | R600 | R32 |
| [101] | R600 | R123 |
| [101] | R600 | R141b |
| [98] | R600 | R152a |
| [89] | R600 | R245fa |
| [100] | R600 | R290 |
| [107] | R600 | R600a |
| [111] | R600 | R601 |
| [79] | R600 | R601a |
| [98,110] | R600 | R1234yf |
| [101] | R600a | Neopentane |
| [97] | R600a | Novec 649 |
| [81] | R600a | Propene |
| [83] | R600a | R32 |
| [89] | R600a | R245fa |
| [100] | R600a | R290 |
| [79,87] | R600a | R601 |
| [28,111] | R600a | R601a |
| [83] | R600a | R1233zd(E) |
| [83] | R600a | R1234yf |
| [83] | R600a | R1234ze(E) |
| [83] | R600a | R1270 |
| [101] | R601 | R21 |
| [83] | R601 | R32 |
| [112] | R601 | R142b |
| [86,89] | R601 | R245fa |
| [100] | R601 | R290 |
| [83] | R601 | R1233zd(E) |
| [83] | R601 | R1234yf |
| [83] | R601 | R1234ze(E) |
| [83] | R601 | R1270 |
| [88] | R601 | Trans-2-butene |
| [101] | R601a | R114 |
| [112] | R601a | R142b |
| [101] | R601a | R236ea |
| [86,101] | R601a | R245fa |
| [100] | R601a | R290 |
| [107] | R601a | R601 |
| [88] | R601a | Trans-2-butene |
| [105] | R1123 | R32 |
| [111] | R1150 | R170 |
| [18] | R1224yd(Z) | R1233zd(E) |
| [18] | R1224yd(Z) | R1234ze(Z) |
| [97] | R1224yd(Z) | R1243zf |
| [83] | R1233zd(E) | R32 |
| [83] | R1233zd(E) | R1234yf |
| [83] | R1233zd(E) | R1234ze(E) |
| [113] | R1233zd(E) | R1234ze(Z) |
| [18,97] | R1233zd(E) | R1336mzz(Z) |
| [97] | R1233zd(E) | Toluene |
| [83] | R1234yf | R32 |
| [105] | R1234yf | R134a |
| [105] | R1234yf | R152a |
| [110] | R1234yf | R245fa |
| [105] | R1234ze(E) | R227ea |
| [110] | R1234ze(E) | R245fa |
| [105] | R1234ze(E) | R1243zf |
| [83] | R1270 | R32 |
| [87] | R1270 | R123 |
| [83] | R1270 | R170 |
| [83] | R1270 | R1233zd(E) |
| [83] | R1270 | R1234yf |
| [89] | R1336mzz(Z) | R236fa |
| [89] | R1336mzz(Z) | R245fa |
| Symbol | Parameter | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Annual savings | Euro | |
| Constant-pressure specific heat | kJ/kg·K | |
| Energy (for TEWI calculation) | kJ | |
| Specific enthalpy | kJ/kg | |
| Exergy destruction | kW | |
| Mass flow | kg/s | |
| Time | Years | |
| Pressure | bar | |
| Thermal energy | kW | |
| Discount rate | % | |
| Specific entropy | kJ/kg·K | |
| Temperature | K | |
| Power | kW | |
| Subscripts | ||
| amb | Environmental conditions | |
| annual | Annual | |
| avg | LMTD temperature | |
| BM | Bare module factor | |
| CO2 | Carbon dioxide | |
| cold | Cold energy | |
| compressor | Compressor | |
| cond | Condenser | |
| cricondenbar | Cricondenbar conditions | |
| evap | Evaporator | |
| gen | Electrical generator | |
| HVAC | Heating, ventilation and air conditioning | |
| in | Inlet | |
| JW | Engine jacket water | |
| LCO2 | Liquefied carbon dioxide | |
| LNG | Liquefied natural gas | |
| M | Material factor | |
| net | Net | |
| ORC | Organic Rankine cycle | |
| out | Outlet | |
| price | Price | |
| pump | Pump | |
| ref | Reference | |
| savings | Savings | |
| SW | Seawater | |
| total | Total | |
| turbine | Turbine | |
| WH | Waste heat | |
| zeotropic | Zeotropic fluid | |
| Greek symbols | ||
| Recovery factor | ||
| CO2 emission factor | kgCO2/kWh | |
| Increment | ||
| Efficiency (machinery) | % | |
| Specific volume | m3/kg | |
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| Month | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Ago | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seawater temp (°C) | 14.5 | 14.0 | 14.5 | 16.0 | 18.8 | 22.0 | 25.0 | 26.5 | 25.0 | 22.5 | 19.5 | 16.5 |
| Air temp (°C) | 11.8 | 11.8 | 13.8 | 15.9 | 19.0 | 23.2 | 25.9 | 26.3 | 23.6 | 20.2 | 15.5 | 12.8 |
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Main Engines | |
| Engine type | Wärtsilä 16V31DF |
| NOx emission standard | IMO Tier II (Diesel)/Tier III (Gas) |
| Number of cylinders | 16 |
| R.P.M. | 750 |
| Power | 9600 kW |
| LNG fuel consumption (85% load) | 0.325 kg/s |
| Exhaust gas temperature after turbocharger (85% load, gas mode) | 603.15 K |
| Exhaust gas mass flow rate (85% load) | 12.77 kg/s |
| Cooling water temperature (engine outlet) | 369.15 K |
| Cooling water mass flow | 41.67 kg/s |
| Auxiliary Engines | |
| Engine type | SGE-24SL |
| NOx emission standard | IMO Tier III (Gas) |
| Number of cylinders | 8 |
| R.P.M. | 1500 |
| Power | 344 kW |
| LNG fuel consumption (80% load) | 0.0156 kg/s |
| Exhaust gas temperature after turbocharger (80% load) | 693.15 K |
| Exhaust gas mass flow rate (80% load) | 0.86 kg/s |
| Cooling water temperature (engine outlet) | 369.15 K |
| Cooling water mass flow | 13.34 kg/s |
| Parameter | Value | Units | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|
| LNG fuel mass flow | 1.32 | kg/s | Case study, all engines |
| Exhaust gas mass flow | 51.94 | kg/s | Case study, all engines |
| Jacket water mass flow | 180.02 | kg/s | Case study, all engines |
| Seawater mass flow | 100 | kg/s | Design condition |
| ORC cold pump efficiency | 75 | % | [48] |
| ORC cold turbine efficiency | 80 | % | [49] |
| HVAC compressor efficiency | 80 | % | Case study, manufacturer data |
| Waste heat ORC pump efficiency | 75 | % | [48] |
| Waste heat ORC turbine efficiency | 80 | % | [50] |
| Electrical generators efficiency | 98 | % | [51] |
| Pressure drop in heat exchangers | 0.1 | bar | [52] |
| Parameter | Min | Max | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air temperature | 283.15 | 303.15 | K |
| Seawater temperature | 288.15 | 303.15 | K |
| ORC cold evaporation pressure | 0.2 | 0.8 | Reduced press |
| ORC cold superheat | 0 | 30 | K |
| Waste heat ORC evap. pressure | 0.2 | 0.8 | Reduced press |
| Waste heat ORC superheat | 0 | 30 | K |
| Base Fluid | Secondary Fluid | Optimal Mass Fraction | Mixture GWP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novec 649 | R1233zd(E) | 0.1–0.9 | 3.6 |
| R1234yf | 0.1–0.9 | 0.6 | |
| R1234ze(E) | 0.1–0.9 | 1.3 | |
| R1234ze(Z) | 0.1–0.9 | 0.38 |
| Leakage Rate (kg/year) | Recovery Factor | |
|---|---|---|
| R407C (original fluid) | 0.15 | 0.85 |
| Novec 649 & R1233zd(E) | 0.10 | 0.68 |
| Novec 649 & R1234yf | 0.10 | 0.70 |
| Novec 649 & R1234ze(E) | 0.10 | 0.65 |
| Novec 649 & R1234ze(Z) | 0.10 | 0.71 |
| Component | K1 | K2 | K3 | C1 | C2 | C3 | B1 | B2 | FM | FBM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centrifugal Pump | 3.3892 | 0.0536 | 0.1538 | −0.3935 | 0.3957 | −0.01363 | 1.89 | 1.35 | 2.4 | |
| Compressor | 2.2897 | 1.3604 | −0.1027 | 7 | ||||||
| Condenser (shell and tube) | 4.3247 | −0.303 | 0.1634 | 1.63 | 1.66 | 1 | ||||
| Evaporator (shell and tube) | 4.3247 | −0.303 | 0.1634 | 0.1578 | −0.2992 | 0.1413 | 1.63 | 1.66 | 1 | |
| Heat Exchanger (flat plate) | 4.6656 | −0.1557 | 0.1547 | 0.96 | 1.21 | 2.5 | ||||
| Expansion Valve | 3.8751 | 0.3328 | 0.1901 | −0.16742 | 0.13428 | 0.15058 | 4.5 | |||
| Turbine | 2.7051 | 1.4398 | −0.1776 | 3.5 |
| Manufacturer Data | Simulation Results | Relative Error (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compressor power input (kW) | 110 | 112.6 | 2.36 |
| Heat absorbed by evaporator (kW) | 167 | 169.9 | 1.79 |
| Heat rejected by condenser (kW) | 120 | 121.4 | 1.18 |
| R407C (Original) | Novec 649 & R1233zd(E) | Novec 649 & R1234yf | Novec 649 & R1234ze(E) | Novec 649 & R1234ze(Z) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compressor work | 110 | 61.5 | 50.8 | 51.0 | 53.9 |
| Ton/year | Novec 649 & R1233zd(E) | Novec 649 & R1234yf | Novec 649 & R1234ze(E) | Novec 649 & R1234ze(Z) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CO2 | 5135.22 | 4770.11 | 5108.34 | 4544.05 |
| CH4 | 71.52 | 66.44 | 71.15 | 63.29 |
| N2O | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| CO2-eq | 7206.73 | 6694.34 | 7169.01 | 6377.09 |
| Fluid | R407C (Original) | Novec 649 & R1233zd(E) | Novec 649 & R1234yf | Novec 649 & R1234ze(E) | Novec 649 & R1234ze(Z) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEWI (ton CO2-eq) | 4735.0 | 2640.9 | 2180.0 | 2187.4 | 2313.1 |
| EU ETS | IMO Tier 1 Remedial Unit * | IMO Tier 2 Remedial Unit * | Novec 649 & R1233zd(E) | Novec 649 & R1234yf | Novec 649 & R1234ze(E) | Novec 649 & R1234ze(Z) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CO2-eq price (Euro/ton) | 82.89 | 90.91 | 345.45 | 258.75 | 303.68 | 261.84 | 335.12 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Recovery within 20 years | 83.95% |
| Mean discounted payback (years) | 13.65 |
| Median (P50) (years) | 13.08 |
| Standard deviation (years) | 2.85 |
| P10 (years) | 10.29 |
| P90 (years) | 18.09 |
| Probability DPB < 10 years (conditional) | 4.4% |
| Probability DPB < 7 years (overall) | 0% |
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© 2026 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license.
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Díaz-Secades, L.A.; Álvarez, A.N.F.; Martínez Martínez, R.; Rico Lázaro, P.A.; Ringsberg, J.W.; Guedes Soares, C. Techno-Economic Assessment of Integrated CO2 Liquefaction and Waste Energy Recovery Using Low-GWP Zeotropic Mixtures for Maritime Applications. J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14, 420. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14050420
Díaz-Secades LA, Álvarez ANF, Martínez Martínez R, Rico Lázaro PA, Ringsberg JW, Guedes Soares C. Techno-Economic Assessment of Integrated CO2 Liquefaction and Waste Energy Recovery Using Low-GWP Zeotropic Mixtures for Maritime Applications. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering. 2026; 14(5):420. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14050420
Chicago/Turabian StyleDíaz-Secades, Luis Alfonso, Aitor Nicolás Fernández Álvarez, Raquel Martínez Martínez, Pablo A. Rico Lázaro, Jonas W. Ringsberg, and C. Guedes Soares. 2026. "Techno-Economic Assessment of Integrated CO2 Liquefaction and Waste Energy Recovery Using Low-GWP Zeotropic Mixtures for Maritime Applications" Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 14, no. 5: 420. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14050420
APA StyleDíaz-Secades, L. A., Álvarez, A. N. F., Martínez Martínez, R., Rico Lázaro, P. A., Ringsberg, J. W., & Guedes Soares, C. (2026). Techno-Economic Assessment of Integrated CO2 Liquefaction and Waste Energy Recovery Using Low-GWP Zeotropic Mixtures for Maritime Applications. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 14(5), 420. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14050420

