Ischemic Vascular Complications in Early Systemic Sclerosis (SSc): A Longitudinal Inception Cohort Study of Associated Clinical Factors and Mortality
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Material and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Setting
2.2. Study Population
2.3. Data Collection
2.4. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Baseline Characteristics
3.2. Incidence Rate of Overall IVCs, CAD, Ischemic Stroke, and Digital Gangrene
3.3. Comparison of Clinical Manifestations and Investigations at Study Entry
3.4. Comparison of Cumulative Manifestations at the Last Visit
3.5. Associated Factors for Overall IVCs, CAD, Ischemic Stroke, and Digital Gangrene
3.6. Survival of Patients with Overall IVCs, CAD, Ischemic Stroke, and Digital Gangrene
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Baseline Variables | SSc Without IVCs (n = 129) | SSc with IVCs (n = 17) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic | |||
| Age at SSc diagnosis, yrs. | 53.4 ± 9.6 | 55.1 ± 7.11 | 0.497 |
| Disease duration 1st NRP to entry, mo. | 8 (5, 15.5) | 7 (4.5, 20) | 0.993 |
| Female | 74 (57.4%) | 9 (52.9%) | 0.729 |
| DcSSc | 105 (81.4%) | 14 (82.4%) | 1.000 |
| Anti-topoisomerase I antibody | 100 (77.5%) | 13 (76.5%) | 1.000 |
| Anti-centromere antibody | 8 (6.2%) | 3 (17.6%) | 0.120 |
| Ever been a smoker | 54 (41.9%) | 8 (47.1%) | 0.684 |
| Comorbidities | |||
| Diabetes mellitus | 7 (5.4%) | 0 | 1.000 |
| Dyslipidemia | 38 (29.5%) | 6 (35.3%) | 0.622 |
| Hypertension | 32 (24.8%) | 2 (11.8%) | 0.361 |
| Body mass index (kg/mm2) | 21.1 ± 3.2 | 21.2 ± 3.40 | 0.940 |
| Organ involvement | |||
| Modified Rodnan skin score | 18 (9, 26) | 21 (12, 30) | 0.267 |
| Raynaud’s phenomenon | 114 (88.4%) | 15 (88.2%) | 1.000 |
| Digital pitting scar | 64 (49.6%) | 14 (82.4%) | 0.011 |
| Digital ulcer | 4 (3.1%) | 6 (35.3%) | <0.001 |
| Traumatic ulcer | 5 (3.9%) | 5 (29.4%) | 0.002 |
| Arthritis | 34 (26.4%) | 7 (41.2%) | 0.251 |
| Small joint contracture | 63 (48.8%) | 10 (58.8%) | 0.439 |
| Large joint contracture | 27 (20.9%) | 5 (29.4%) | 0.532 |
| Tendon friction rub | 11 (8.5%) | 3 (17.6%) | 0.211 |
| Gastroesophageal reflux disease | 55 (42.6%) | 5 (29.4%) | 0.298 |
| Dysphagia | 36 (27.9%) | 8 (47.1%) | 0.106 |
| Cardiopulmonary investigations | |||
| ECG | |||
| Atrial fibrillation | 0 | 2 (11.8%) | 0.013 |
| Conduction defect | 21 (16.3%) | 3 (17.6%) | 1.000 |
| Echocardiography | |||
| % LVEF a | 68.2 ± 7.0 | 63.3 ± 13.7 | 0.171 |
| LVEF < 50% | 1 (0.8%) | 2 (11.8%) | 0.036 |
| SPAP, mmHg (n = 100, 16) a | 31.8 ± 9.6 | 35.5 ± 12.2 | 0.173 |
| TRV, m/s (n = 112, 16) a | 2.4 ± 0.4 | 2.5 ± 0.4 | 0.758 |
| Pulmonary function test | |||
| %pFVC (n = 100, 12) a | 73.0 ± 19.0 | 68.6 ± 18.9 | 0.551 |
| FEV1/FVC (n = 100, 12) a | 84.1 ± 15.3 | 84.3 ± 8.7 | 0.974 |
| HRCT | |||
| Interstitial lung disease | 95 (73.6%) | 14 (82.4%) | 0.562 |
| Laboratory investigations | |||
| Hemoglobin, mg/dL a | 12.5 ± 1.7 | 11.9 ± 1.7 | 0.226 |
| Creatinine, mg/dL a | 0.8 ± 0.3 | 0.8 ± 0.2 | 0.868 |
| ESR, mm/h a | 31 (15, 52) | 40 (12, 62.5) | 0.563 |
| Creatine kinase, U/L b | 139 (79, 285.5) | 231 (123.5, 880.5) | 0.046 |
| Pro-BNP, pg/mL, b | 147 (57.5, 321.8) | 407 (126.3, 1083.7) | 0.007 |
| Current medications | |||
| Prednisolone | 49 (38.0%) | 6 (35.3%) | 0.830 |
| Cyclophosphamide | 31 (24.0%) | 3 (17.6%) | 0.763 |
| Methotrexate | 17 (13.2%) | 3 (17.6%) | 0.706 |
| Mycophenolate mofetil | 5 (3.9%) | 1 (5.9%) | 0.531 |
| Azathioprine | 6 (4.7%) | 0 | 1.000 |
| Calcium channel blocker | 106 (82.2%) | 15 (88.2%) | 0.738 |
| Aspirin | 84 (65.1%) | 15 (88.2%) | 0.055 |
| Cumulative Variables | SSc Without IVCs (n = 129) | SSc with IVCs (n = 17) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comorbidities | |||
| Diabetes mellitus | 17 (13.2%) | 0 | 0.221 |
| Dyslipidemia | 82 (63.6%) | 11 (64.7%) | 0.927 |
| Hypertension | 37 (28.7%) | 5 (29.4%) | 1.000 |
| Organ involvement | |||
| Raynaud’s phenomenon | 114 (88.4%) | 15 (88.2%) | 1.000 |
| Digital pitting | 89 (69.0%) | 15 (88.2%) | 0.153 |
| Digital ulcer | 27 (20.9%) | 11 (64.7%) | <0.001 |
| Traumatic ulcer | 38 (29.5%) | 9 (52.9%) | 0.051 |
| Arthritis | 44 (34.1%) | 10 (58.8%) | 0.047 |
| Small joint contracture | 85 (65.9%) | 15 (88.2%) | 0.062 |
| Large joint contracture | 49 (38.0%) | 8 (47.1%) | 0.471 |
| Tendon friction rub | 25 (19.4%) | 5 (29.4%) | 0.345 |
| Gastroesophageal reflux disease | 98 (76.0%) | 14 (82.4%) | 0.763 |
| Dysphagia | 63 (48.8%) | 11 (64.7%) | 0.219 |
| ECG | |||
| Atrial fibrillation | 7 (5.4%) | 4 (23.5%) | 0.025 |
| Conduction defect | 54 (41.9%) | 7 (41.2%) | 0.957 |
| Echocardiography | |||
| Suspected pulmonary hypertension | 38 (29.5%) | 6 (35.3%) | 0.588 |
| LVEF < 50% | 11 (8.6%) | 5 (29.4%) | 0.024 |
| HRCT | |||
| Interstitial lung disease | 106 (82.2%) | 15 (88.2%) | 0.738 |
| Variables | Univariate Analysis | Multivariate Cox Regression Analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | p-Value | AHR | 95% CI | p-Value | |
| IVCs | ||||||
| BL digital pitting | 4.54 | 1.30–15.80 | 0.017 | |||
| BL digital ulcer | 9.01 | 3.32–24.47 | <0.001 | 13.70 | 3.81–49.33 | <0.001 |
| BL traumatic ulcer | 5.66 | 1.99–16.10 | 0.001 | 5.51 | 1.62–18.77 | 0.006 |
| BL atrial fibrillation | 15.69 | 3.42–71.93 | <0.001 | |||
| Any atrial fibrillation | 5.21 | 1.67–16.23 | 0.004 | 8.39 | 2.25–31.30 | 0.002 |
| Any arthritis | 2.47 | 0.94–6.50 | 0.067 | |||
| BL LVEF < 50% | 16.53 | 3.37–81.02 | 0.001 | 13.95 | 2.23–87.45 | 0.005 |
| Any LVEF < 50% | 3.16 | 1.11–9.01 | 0.031 | 4.54 | 1.26–16.32 | 0.020 |
| BL pro-BNP (pg/mL) | 1.0003 | 1.0001–1.0004 | <0.001 | 1.0004 | 1.0002–1.0006 | <0.001 |
| BL creatine kinase (U/L) | 1.0005 | 1.0000–1.0009 | 0.058 | |||
| CAD | ||||||
| BL digital ulcer | 7.86 | 1.31–47.20 | 0.024 | |||
| BL pro-BNP | 1.0006 | 1.0001–1.0010 | 0.021 | 1.0005 | 1.0000–1.0010 | 0.040 |
| BL dyslipidemia | 10.63 | 1.19–95.20 | 0.035 | 9.74 | 1.08–87.76 | 0.043 |
| Ischemic stroke | ||||||
| BL atrial fibrillation | 36.68 | 3.32–405.50 | 0.003 | |||
| Any atrial fibrillation | 15.34 | 2.13–110.69 | 0.007 | 45.26 | 3.43–596.45 | 0.004 |
| BL pro-BNP (pg/mL) | 1.0005 | 1.0001–1.0009 | 0.005 | 1.0007 | 1.0002–1.0012 | 0.011 |
| BL creatine kinase (U/L) | 1.0009 | 1.0003–1.0016 | 0.006 | |||
| Digital gangrene | ||||||
| BL digital pitting | 8.62 | 1.09–68.05 | 0.041 | |||
| BL digital ulcer | 11.17 | 3.12–39.94 | <0.001 | 7.27 | 1.66–31.89 | 0.008 |
| BL traumatic ulcer | 13.13 | 3.80–45.42 | < 0.001 | 13.01 | 2.79–60.70 | 0.001 |
| BL atrial fibrillation | 8.76 | 1.09–70.21 | 0.041 | |||
| Any atrial fibrillation | 3.88 | 0.81–18.49 | 0.089 | |||
| Any arthritis | 3.87 | 0.99–14.99 | 0.050 | 3.30 | 0.84–12.95 | 0.087 |
| Any LVEF < 50% | 3.08 | 0.79–12.01 | 0.105 | 9.29 | 1.73–49.77 | 0.009 |
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Wangkaew, S.; Preecha, C.; Prasertwitayakij, N.; Euathrongchit, J. Ischemic Vascular Complications in Early Systemic Sclerosis (SSc): A Longitudinal Inception Cohort Study of Associated Clinical Factors and Mortality. J. Clin. Med. 2026, 15, 2575. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15072575
Wangkaew S, Preecha C, Prasertwitayakij N, Euathrongchit J. Ischemic Vascular Complications in Early Systemic Sclerosis (SSc): A Longitudinal Inception Cohort Study of Associated Clinical Factors and Mortality. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2026; 15(7):2575. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15072575
Chicago/Turabian StyleWangkaew, Suparaporn, Chammaliang Preecha, Narawudt Prasertwitayakij, and Juntima Euathrongchit. 2026. "Ischemic Vascular Complications in Early Systemic Sclerosis (SSc): A Longitudinal Inception Cohort Study of Associated Clinical Factors and Mortality" Journal of Clinical Medicine 15, no. 7: 2575. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15072575
APA StyleWangkaew, S., Preecha, C., Prasertwitayakij, N., & Euathrongchit, J. (2026). Ischemic Vascular Complications in Early Systemic Sclerosis (SSc): A Longitudinal Inception Cohort Study of Associated Clinical Factors and Mortality. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 15(7), 2575. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15072575

