Symptom Trajectories and Long-Term Sequelae of COVID-19: A Matched Case–Control Study with Population-Based Controls
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design
2.2. Symptom Assessment at 6–8 Months
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Characteristics of the Study Group
3.2. Longitudinal Symptom Trajectories
3.3. Six-Month Symptom Profile Across Groups: Prevalence, Distributions, and Determinants
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| ACE2 | Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 |
| anti-N | Anti-nucleocapsid (SARS-CoV-2) antibodies |
| aOR | Adjusted odds ratio |
| ARDS | Acute respiratory distress syndrome |
| BMI | Body mass index |
| CI | Confidence interval |
| COVID-19 | Coronavirus disease 2019 |
| CRP | C reactive protein |
| ECLIA | Electrochemiluminescence immunoassay |
| FDR | False discovery rate |
| GEE | Generalized estimating equations |
| HR | Hazard ratio |
| IL-6 | Interleukin-6 |
| IQR | Interquartile range |
| IRR | Incidence rate ratio |
| IgG | Immunoglobulin G |
| IgM | Immunoglobulin M |
| Mdn | Median |
| NICE | National Institute for Health and Care Excellence |
| PCC | Post-COVID-19 condition |
| POTS | Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome |
| PROMs | Patient-Reported Outcome Measures |
| RT-PCR | Reverse transcriptase chain reaction |
| SARS-CoV-2 | Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 |
| SD | Standard deviation |
| TMPRSS2 | Transmembrane protease, serine 2 |
References
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| Variable | Control | Post-COVID-19 | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years | 50.6 ± 14.1 (Mdn 52.0) | 51.9 ± 12.8 (Mdn 52.0) | 0.416 |
| Female, n (%) | 94 (46.8%) | 94 (46.8%) | 1.000 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 27.2 ± 5.4 (Mdn 26.6) | 29.8 ± 6.1 (Mdn 29.3) | <0.001 |
| Current smoking | 53/158 (33.5%) | 21/171 (12.3%) | <0.001 |
| Visit period, n (%) | 1.000 | ||
| Janurary–February 1 | 9 (4.5%) | 9 (4.5%) | |
| March–April 2 | 7 (3.5%) | 7 (3.5%) | |
| May–June 3 | 37 (18.4%) | 37 (18.4%) | |
| July–August 4 | 71 (35.3%) | 71 (35.3%) | |
| September–October 5 | 35 (17.4%) | 35 (17.4%) | |
| November–December 6 | 42 (20.9%) | 42 (20.9%) | |
| Anti-N serostatus | Positive: 64 (46.7%); Negative: 73 (53.3%); Missing: 64 | Positive: 182 (96.8%); Negative: 6 (3.2%); Missing: 13 | <0.001 |
| Variable | Post-COVID-19 |
|---|---|
| Hospitalized group, n (%) | 161 (80.1%) |
| Severe COVID-19 | 26/161 (16.1%) |
| CRP mg/L | 55.1 [19.7–118.5] (n = 157) |
| IL-6 pg/mL | 43.9 [20.6–102.5] (n = 140) |
| D-dimer ng/mL | 1007.5 [563.5–1640.5] (n = 156) |
| Domain | Control n/N (%) | Post-COVID-19 n/N (%) | aOR (95% CI) | p-Value (aOR) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allergic | 58/158 (36.7%) | 91/175 (52.0%) | 2.22 (1.44–3.40) | <0.001 |
| Dermatologic | 32/158 (20.3%) | 76/175 (43.4%) | 4.15 (2.42–7.11) | <0.001 |
| Fatigue | 47/158 (29.7%) | 89/175 (50.9%) | 2.64 (1.67–4.16) | <0.001 |
| Neurocognitive | 56/158 (35.4%) | 94/175 (53.7%) | 2.16 (1.40–3.33) | 0.001 |
| Cardiovascular | 81/158 (51.3%) | 114/175 (65.1%) | 1.75 (1.15–2.66) | 0.010 |
| Inflammatory | 73/158 (46.2%) | 99/182 (54.4%) | 1.55 (1.03–2.34) | 0.037 |
| Respiratory | 12/158 (7.6%) | 27/175 (15.4%) | 1.90 (0.90–3.99) | 0.090 |
| Predictor | IRR (95% CI) | p-Value |
|---|---|---|
| Age (per 10 years) | 1.02 (0.90–1.16) | 0.743 |
| BMI (per 5 kg/m2) | 1.09 (0.95–1.24) | 0.236 |
| Female (vs. male) | 1.65 (1.17–2.31) | 0.004 |
| Hospitalized (acute) | 1.02 (0.67–1.56) | 0.915 |
| Severe acute course (CRP ≥ 100, IL-6 ≥ 80, D-dimer ≥ 1000) | 1.05 (0.64–1.75) | 0.838 |
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Sołomacha, S.; Alimowski, M.; Moniuszko-Malinowska, A.; Kiszkiel, Ł.; Laskowski, P.; Dubatówka, M.; Sowa, P.; Kamiński, K. Symptom Trajectories and Long-Term Sequelae of COVID-19: A Matched Case–Control Study with Population-Based Controls. J. Clin. Med. 2026, 15, 3707. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15103707
Sołomacha S, Alimowski M, Moniuszko-Malinowska A, Kiszkiel Ł, Laskowski P, Dubatówka M, Sowa P, Kamiński K. Symptom Trajectories and Long-Term Sequelae of COVID-19: A Matched Case–Control Study with Population-Based Controls. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2026; 15(10):3707. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15103707
Chicago/Turabian StyleSołomacha, Sebastian, Maciej Alimowski, Anna Moniuszko-Malinowska, Łukasz Kiszkiel, Piotr Laskowski, Marlena Dubatówka, Paweł Sowa, and Karol Kamiński. 2026. "Symptom Trajectories and Long-Term Sequelae of COVID-19: A Matched Case–Control Study with Population-Based Controls" Journal of Clinical Medicine 15, no. 10: 3707. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15103707
APA StyleSołomacha, S., Alimowski, M., Moniuszko-Malinowska, A., Kiszkiel, Ł., Laskowski, P., Dubatówka, M., Sowa, P., & Kamiński, K. (2026). Symptom Trajectories and Long-Term Sequelae of COVID-19: A Matched Case–Control Study with Population-Based Controls. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 15(10), 3707. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15103707

