Prediction of Non-Cardiac Organ Failure in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients with Arrhythmia: A Retrospective Case–Control Study
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Participants Enrollment
2.2. Data Collection and Grouping
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Baseline Characteristics
3.2. LASSO-Logistic and Multivariate Logistic Regression Results
3.3. SHAP Analysis and Construction of Nomogram
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| AMI | Acute myocardial infarction |
| AKI | Acute kidney injury |
| AUC | Area under the curve |
| CI | Confidence interval |
| CS | Cardiogenic shock |
| FDP | Fibrin degradation products |
| LASSO | Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator |
| OR | Odds ratio |
| Pro-BNP | Pro-brain natriuretic peptide |
| SHAP | Shapley additive explanations |
| T2DM | Type 2 diabetes mellitus |
| VF | Ventricular fibrillation |
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| Items | Total (n = 668) | Complication Group (n = 59) | Control Group (n = 609) | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 67 (57, 74) | 70 (60, 76) | 66 (57, 73) | 0.018 |
| Gender (male, %) | 514 (76.9) | 42 (71.2) | 472 (77.5) | 0.271 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 24.45 (22.29, 26.01) | 24.42 (21.13, 26.43) | 24.45 (22.49, 25.97) | 0.510 |
| Smoking (%) | 201 (30.1) | 22 (37.3) | 179 (29.4) | 0.207 |
| Drinking (%) | 71 (10.6) | 4 (6.8) | 67 (11.0) | 0.315 |
| STEMI (%) | 391 (5835) | 36 (61.0) | 355 (58.3) | 0.685 |
| Killip III/IV (%) | 115 (17.2) | 28 (47.5) | 87 (14.3) | <0.001 |
| Comorbidities (%) | ||||
| Hypertension | 511 (76.5) | 49 (83.1) | 462 (75.9) | 0.214 |
| T2DM | 154 (23.1) | 22 (37.3) | 132 (21.7) | 0.007 |
| CS | 52 (7.8) | 13 (22.0) | 39 (6.4) | <0.001 |
| Previous AF | 37 (5.5) | 4 (6.8) | 33 (5.4) | 0.890 |
| Arrhythmia (%) | ||||
| Sinus bradycardia | 34 (5.1) | 1 (1.7) | 33 (5.4) | 0.350 |
| Atrial flutter | 23 (3.4) | 3 (5.1) | 20 (3.3) | 0.447 |
| AF | 300 (44.9) | 31 (52.5) | 269 (44.2) | 0.217 |
| Supraventricular tachycardia | 35 (5.2) | 2 (3.4) | 33 (5.4) | 0.760 |
| PVC | 165 (14.7) | 10 (16.9) | 155 (25.5) | 0.148 |
| Ventricular tachycardia | 116 (17.4) | 13 (22.0) | 103 (16.9) | 0.321 |
| VF | 77 (11.5) | 7 (11.9) | 70 (11.5) | 0.932 |
| Atrioventricular block | 107 (16.0) | 11 (18.6) | 96 (15.8) | 0.565 |
| Biochemical results | ||||
| Hb (g/L) | 139.00 (127.00, 150.00) | 132.00 (116.00, 143.00) | 140.00 (128.00, 150.00) | 0.003 |
| WBC (109/L) | 9.06 (6.87, 12.11) | 9.95 (7.34, 15.02) | 8.92 (6.83, 11.99) | 0.044 |
| NEUT (109/L) | 6.96 (4.73, 9.94) | 8.54 (5.49, 12.55) | 6.90 (4.66, 9.83) | 0.015 |
| NEUT% (%) | 77.00 (69.50, 85.48) | 83.50 (71.70, 89.10) | 76.70(69.30, 85.10) | 0.006 |
| LYMPHO (109/L) | 1.32 (0.96, 1.80) | 1.10 (0.76, 1.60) | 1.33 (0.99, 1.82) | 0.008 |
| LYMPHO% (%) | 15.69 (9.42, 22.16) | 11.21 (6.29, 20.39) | 15.88 (9.72, 22.23) | 0.003 |
| NLR | 4.93(3.18, 9.09) | 7.45 (3.41, 13.97) | 4.78 (3.17, 8.77) | 0.003 |
| CRP (mg/L) | 16.10 (10.00, 45.73) | 21.27 (10.00, 73.40) | 15.83 (10.00, 44.07) | 0.077 |
| hs-CRP (mg/L) | 4.48 (1.55, 9.55) | 7.64 (2.24, 10.00) | 4.31 (1.52, 9.43) | 0.020 |
| HbA1c (%) | 5.94 (5.60, 6.80) | 6.20 (5.70, 7.79) | 5.90 (5.60, 6.66) | 0.054 |
| ALT (U/L) | 33.00 (22.00, 56.00) | 52.00 (22.00, 119.00) | 33.00 (22.00, 53.46) | 0.003 |
| AST (U/L) | 47.85 (27.00, 114.00) | 70.00 (27.00, 201.00) | 47.00 (27.00, 109.29) | 0.077 |
| Total protein (g/L) | 62.65 (58.55, 67.10) | 62.30 (58.30, 67.40) | 62.70 (58.60, 67.10) | 0.824 |
| Albumin (g/L) | 37.30 ± 4.82 | 36.29 ± 4.48 | 37.40 ± 4.85 | 0.104 |
| Globulin (g/L) | 25.50 (23.20, 28.10) | 26.50 (23.50, 29.40) | 25.40 (23.10, 28.00) | 0.183 |
| A/G | 1.44 (1.28, 1.65) | 1.37 (1.17, 1.48) | 1.44 (1.29, 1.66) | 0.007 |
| eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m2) | 87.80 (71.57, 99.36) | 59.65 (38.81, 79.18) | 89.00 (74.68, 99.97) | <0.001 |
| Cr (umol/L) | 69.00 (57.00, 84.00) | 98.00 (78.00, 130.00) | 68.00 (56.00, 80.50) | <0.001 |
| BUN (mmol/L) | 6.06 (4.85, 7.48) | 9.04 (6.09, 14.36) | 6.00 (4.77, 7.23) | <0.001 |
| LDL (mmol/L) | 2.15 (1.60, 2.72) | 1.91 (1.43, 2.63) | 2.17 (1.64, 2.73) | 0.063 |
| HDL (mmol/L) | 0.94 (0.81, 1.10) | 0.92 (0.80, 1.10) | 0.95 (0.81, 1.10) | 0.889 |
| TG (mmol/L) | 1.07 (0.77, 1.54) | 0.97 (0.63, 1.72) | 1.08 (0.79, 1.54) | 0.235 |
| TC (mmol/L) | 3.81 (3.13, 4.53) | 3.59 (2.98, 4.38) | 3.82 (3.16, 4.55) | 0.206 |
| APTT (s) | 31.70 (27.20, 37.90) | 31.90 (26.65, 38.30) | 31.70 (27.20, 37.88) | 0.943 |
| PT (s) | 13.45 (12.40, 14.40) | 14.10 (11.70, 15.90) | 13.40 (12.40, 14.40) | 0.073 |
| Fibrinogen (g/L) | 3.23 (2.57, 4.13) | 3.38 (2.78, 4.73) | 3.2 (2.57, 4.07) | 0.080 |
| D-dimer (mg/L) | 0.68 (0.40, 1.67) | 1.27 (0.50, 3.63) | 0.64 (0.40, 1.54) | 0.001 |
| FDP (mg/L) | 2.48 (1.40, 6.89) | 5.40 (1.73, 18.12) | 2.40 (1.37, 6.29) | 0.001 |
| LDH (U/L) | 298.00 (229.25, 468.00) | 352.00 (262.00, 831.00) | 296.00 (225.00, 454.50) | 0.012 |
| CK-MB (U/L) | 28.00 (15.00, 81.00) | 27.00 (15.00, 106.10) | 28.00 (15.00, 80.75) | 0.706 |
| CK (U/L) | 234.00 (99.00, 786.00) | 254.00 (105.00, 939.00) | 232.00 (97.75, 776.25) | 0.652 |
| hs-cTnT (ng/mL) | 0.56 (0.10, 2.32) | 0.84 (0.13, 2.99) | 0.54 (0.09, 2.31) | 0.200 |
| Pro-BNP (pg/mL) | 1302.50 (373.50, 3476.00) | 3451.02 (1382.00, 10,783.00) | 1170.00 (340.20, 3159.00) | <0.001 |
| Echo cardiology | ||||
| LVEF (%) | 48.00 (42.00, 59.00) | 45.00 (43.00, 51.75) | 48.50 (42.00, 59.00) | 0.396 |
| MR (%) | 144 (21.6) | 22 (37.3) | 122 (20.0) | 0.002 |
| PAH (%) | 63 (9.4) | 7 (11.9) | 56 (9.2) | 0.503 |
| In-hospital outcomes | ||||
| PCI (%) | 555 (83.1) | 46 (78.0) | 509 (83.6) | 0.272 |
| IABP (%) | 46 (6.9) | 11 (18.6) | 35 (5.7) | 0.001 |
| ECMO (%) | 13 (1.9) | 6 (10.2) | 7 (1.1) | <0.001 |
| Length of hospital stay (days) | 4 (3, 7) | 6 (4, 8) | 4 (3, 6) | <0.001 |
| In-hospital mortality (%) | 16 (2.4) | 4 (6.8) | 12 (2.0) | 0.063 |
| Items | LASSO-Logistic Regression | Multivariate Logistic Regression | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assignment | Coefficient | OR (95% CI) | p Value | |
| Age (years) | Male = 1, Famale = 0 | 0.2365 | 1.014 (0.985, 1.043) | 0.359 |
| Killip III/IV (%) | Yes = 1, No = 0 | 0.3987 | 2.409 (1.246, 4.657) | 0.009 |
| T2DM (%) | Yes = 1, No = 0 | 0.2703 | 1.888 (1.005, 3.546) | 0.048 |
| CS (%) | Yes = 1, No = 0 | 0.4426 | 3.443 (1.463, 8.089) | 0.005 |
| Hb (g/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| WBC (109/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| NEUT (109/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| NEUT% (%) | Continuous variable | |||
| LYMPHO (109/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| LYMPHO% (%) | Continuous variable | |||
| NLR | Continuous variable | 0.2637 | 1.027 (0.988, 1.068) | 0.177 |
| CRP (mg/L) | Continuous variable | 0.1335 | 1.002 (0.995, 1.010) | 0.541 |
| hs-CRP (mg/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| HbA1c (%) | Continuous variable | |||
| A/G | Continuous variable | |||
| ALT (U/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| AST (U/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m2) | Continuous variable | |||
| Cr (umol/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| BUN (mmol/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| LDL (mmol/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| PT (s) | Continuous variable | 0.2134 | 0.967 (0.867, 1.078) | 0.545 |
| Fibrinogen (g/L) | Continuous variable | 0.0859 | 1.081 (0.862, 1.354) | 0.501 |
| D-dimer (mg/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| FDP (mg/L) | Continuous variable | −0.2991 | 1.029 (1.009, 1.049) | 0.003 |
| LDH (U/L) | Continuous variable | |||
| Pro-BNP (pg/mL) | Continuous variable | 0.0180 | 1.000 (1.000, 1.000) | 0.002 |
| MR (%) | Yes = 1, No = 0 | 0.3813 | 1.809 (0.925, 3.537) | 0.083 |
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Share and Cite
Yan, L.; Zhang, B.; Chen, B.; Yan, Y.; Shi, T. Prediction of Non-Cardiac Organ Failure in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients with Arrhythmia: A Retrospective Case–Control Study. J. Clin. Med. 2025, 14, 7667. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14217667
Yan L, Zhang B, Chen B, Yan Y, Shi T. Prediction of Non-Cardiac Organ Failure in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients with Arrhythmia: A Retrospective Case–Control Study. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2025; 14(21):7667. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14217667
Chicago/Turabian StyleYan, Luqin, Bowen Zhang, Boyu Chen, Yang Yan, and Tao Shi. 2025. "Prediction of Non-Cardiac Organ Failure in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients with Arrhythmia: A Retrospective Case–Control Study" Journal of Clinical Medicine 14, no. 21: 7667. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14217667
APA StyleYan, L., Zhang, B., Chen, B., Yan, Y., & Shi, T. (2025). Prediction of Non-Cardiac Organ Failure in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients with Arrhythmia: A Retrospective Case–Control Study. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 14(21), 7667. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14217667

