Performance Analysis of Data-Driven and Deterministic Latency Models in Dynamic Packet-Switched Xhaul Networks
Abstract
1. Introduction
- A regression-based approach is proposed to predict maximum flow latencies in dynamic TSN-enabled packet-switched Xhaul networks.
- The performance of the proposed QR predictor is evaluated and compared with deterministic WC latency estimations in a dynamic Xhaul scenario characterized by varying traffic loads and changing Xhaul flow configurations.
- The accuracy and applicability of the QR model, trained on a comprehensive data set generated under diverse network configurations and load conditions, are validated across a wide range of evaluation scenarios.
- The impact of data-driven latency prediction on overall network performance is analyzed, demonstrating its potential to enhance deterministic latency modeling in dynamic Xhaul operation.
2. Related Works
3. Network Model
4. Latency Models
4.1. Worst-Case Model
- bursts belonging to other flows of equal or higher priority that may be transmitted before the burst of the considered flow, and
- the largest burst of a lower-priority flow that may already be in transmission and is not preempted.
4.2. Quantile Regression Model
- Routing path characteristics: hop count , the number of buffered links along the path , and the static latency , representing the sum of propagation, store-and-forward, and transmission delays, i.e., ;
- Deterministic latency bound: the worst-case latency estimate , which serves as a baseline input linking the QR model to analytical latency bounds;
- Queuing-related indicators:
- -
- —buffering contribution from equal-priority (EP) flows entering the same switch input port g. It captures the overlap between the reception delay of the burst of flow f () and the transmission delay of a burst of another EP flow q at the switch output port e (). If , the burst of flow q is completely transmitted before the burst of flow f is fully received, and no buffering delay is introduced. Otherwise, a partial buffering delay occurs, which is reduced proportionally to the difference between the burst reception and transmission times.
- -
- —buffering contribution from EP flows arriving from other input ports. It accounts for the longest EP burst from each such port, and is calculated as the sum of their respective delay contributions.
- -
- —aggregated buffering impact from higher-priority (HP) flows, calculated as the total delay induced by all such flows contending for transmission at the same output port.
5. Data Generation
5.1. Main Assumptions
5.2. Data Generation Workflow
- Step 1: Generating feasible flows —feasible FH and MH flows satisfying capacity and latency constraints were generated for each network scenario. For this purpose, a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) optimization method, discussed in Section 5.3, was applied assuming maximum Xhaul flow bit-rates () and latency estimation based on the WC model.
- Step 2: Generating data features—the goal of this step was to generate the data features, including the measurement of the actual latencies, for each individual data flow produced in Step 1. To this end, packet-level Xhaul network simulations were executed for each network scenario and data were gathered, as described in Section 5.4.
5.3. MILP Optimization
5.4. Network Simulations
- To introduce variability and avoid repetitive buffering patterns, the departure time of each burst (i.e., its offset relative to the start of the transmission window) is randomly modified every two transmission periods. Furthermore, the simulation enforces that all bursts complete their transmission within each two-window cycle, preventing temporal congestion caused by overlapping bursts from the same source.
- A store-and-forward switching mechanism without cut-through is assumed, meaning that each burst is fully received at the input port before transmission begins at the output port.
- Packet bursts are queued in a first-in–first-out (FIFO) manner and transmitted as complete units, without fragmentation or interleaving.
- Switches operate according to the strict-priority algorithm [11], which ensures that high-priority (HP) latency-sensitive FH bursts are always served before lower-priority (LP) MH bursts.
- Profile A of operation, as defined in [11], is applied, guaranteeing that an LP burst already being transmitted cannot be preempted by an HP burst.
- The latency of a flow, defined as the maximum one-way delay, is taken as the largest delay value measured among all bursts of that flow transmitted during the entire simulation.
- Each simulation assumes the transmission of bursts, after which the simulation terminates.
6. Evaluation Scenario
- Stage 1: Selection of PP nodes —In an offline preprocessing stage, a pair of PP nodes, denoted as and , is determined for each RU by solving the MILP optimization model described in Section 5.3 for two extreme network load conditions, namely the minimum () and maximum () traffic levels.
- Stage 2: DU reallocation—During the network simulation, whenever a change in traffic load is detected, the system verifies whether the current DU allocation satisfies the transmission capacity and latency constraints of all flows. If these conditions are not met, an inactive node hosting the largest number of DUs is activated, and the corresponding DUs are reallocated to this node. The reallocation is carried out only to the minimum extent required to restore feasibility, ensuring that the number of active PP nodes remains as small as possible throughout the simulation.
7. Results
7.1. Validation of QR Model
7.2. Accuracy of Latency Models
7.3. Impact on Network Performance
8. Discussion
- The comparison presented in Section 7 shows that deterministic WC estimation, while ensuring that latency limits are not violated, is overly conservative. WC values often exceed the actual latencies observed in simulations, which may lead to rejecting feasible configurations and allocating more network resources than necessary. In contrast, the QR-based predictions remain within acceptable limits and closely approximate the measured latencies, making them a more accurate approach for estimating maximum one-way delays.
- The accuracy analysis confirms that the QR model consistently reduces prediction errors for both FH and MH flows. Although the absolute error still reaches a few percent in some cases, it represents a clear improvement over the WC estimator, especially in mesh topologies and at higher traffic loads. The results also show that tighter latency limits improve the accuracy of both models and that the impact of numerology differs between FH and MH flows. These observations highlight the need for parameter-aware adaptation of predictors and motivate the exploration of more advanced ML models.
- At the network level, more accurate latency prediction translates directly into improved resource efficiency. When QR-based estimates are applied during network operation, a decrease of 1–11% in active processing nodes is observed on average, depending on the scenario. Although these gains may seem modest, they become significant in large-scale deployments, where even small efficiency improvements yield noticeable reductions in energy consumption and operational costs. Importantly, this effect is consistent across different network sizes, traffic loads, and RU configurations, confirming the robustness of the QR approach.
- An important consideration regarding the applicability of the QR model is the range of network sizes and traffic loads represented in the training data. In this study, the maximum load level was limited to , corresponding to the full radio-flow bit-rate defined for each RU, and therefore representing the intended maximum Xhaul traffic. Scenarios with —i.e., exceeding the nominal RU capacity—were not considered. While the QR predictor may still produce reasonable outputs under such conditions, proper training for these extreme loads would require incorporating corresponding samples into the dataset. Similarly, although the training data cover a diverse set of topologies, including ring networks with up to 10 switches and mesh networks with up to 50 RUs, applying the model to significantly larger or structurally different networks would likely require extending the training dataset to ensure robust generalization.
- The QR model is well suited for packet-switched Xhaul networks because it focuses on conservatively predicting high-quantile latency values. In this study, the QR predictor incorporates worst-case latency estimations as one of its input features. If analogous WC estimations can be formulated for scenarios with additional traffic classes or more advanced QoS differentiation schemes, the same QR-based methodology could be extended to those settings as well. Extending the approach to multi-class priority scheduling or differentiated QoS policies therefore constitutes a promising direction for future research.
- While the evaluation considers a broad range of traffic loads and dynamically changing flow configurations, it does not explicitly address extreme operating conditions such as sudden traffic surges or link failures. The analysis assumes that traffic remains within the SLA-compliant maximum bit-rate levels defined for the flows. Nevertheless, the simulations include scenarios with varying routing configurations and time-varying loads, suggesting that the QR model may retain applicability in situations where flows must be rerouted following a link failure. A systematic investigation of such extreme network states, particularly those involving abrupt congestion spikes or partial network outages, remains an important topic for future research.
- An additional consideration concerns the computational complexity of the QR model in the context of dynamic network operation. Although the model is intended for real-time use, its training is performed entirely offline using large data sets that cover diverse traffic loads and routing configurations. For the mesh topology, training on the complete dataset of up to 1.44 million labeled samples, corresponding to 360,000 samples per flow type, required approximately 1.5–2 h per flow type on a standard laptop. Once trained, the model can be deployed without further retraining, even under dynamically changing flow configurations. Inference is lightweight (sub-millisecond), as it involves only simple linear operations on features such as WC and other latency-related components, which are dynamically computed through iterative summation of per-link latency values along each flow’s routing path. These properties make the QR predictor entirely suitable for real-time network control. While a formal complexity analysis of the underlying optimization solver is beyond the scope of this work, the empirical results indicate that the approach is computationally efficient and practically deployable.
- Overall, the obtained results show that applying the QR model in latency-sensitive packet-switched Xhaul networks improves efficiency without violating SLA constraints. By mitigating conservatism in WC estimates, the QR approach enables more effective use of network resources. These findings support the integration of data-driven latency predictors into future network control and management systems, including those operating within the O-RAN architecture, enabling proactive and automated network optimization.
9. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
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| Link | Bit-Rate [Gbit/s] | Length [km] |
|---|---|---|
| switch–RU | 25 | |
| switch–switch | 100 | |
| switch–PP | 400 | |
| switch–hub | 400 |
| Score | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FH | MH | |||||
| Network | Model | UL | DL | UL | DL | |
| RING-N | 1 | WC | 0.952 | 0.990 | 0.633 | 0.012 |
| QR | 0.980 | 0.993 | 0.952 | 0.864 | ||
| 2 | WC | 0.956 | 0.991 | 0.823 | 0.516 | |
| QR | 0.986 | 0.995 | 0.972 | 0.929 | ||
| MESH-N | 1 | WC | 0.960 | 0.990 | 0.754 | 0.381 |
| QR | 0.984 | 0.993 | 0.944 | 0.873 | ||
| 2 | WC | 0.918 | 0.980 | 0.884 | 0.480 | |
| QR | 0.974 | 0.991 | 0.963 | 0.853 | ||
| Model WC | Model QR | Absolute Difference | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Network | [μs] | FH | MH | FH | MH | FH | MH | |
| RING-N | 75 | 1 | 7% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 6% |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 5% | ||
| 100 | 1 | 13% | 19% | 11% | 12% | 2% | 7% | |
| 2 | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 5% | ||
| MESH-N | 75 | 1 | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 2% |
| 2 | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| 100 | 1 | 10% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 3% | |
| 2 | 14% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Traffic Load () | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Network | [μs] | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| RING-N | 75 | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| 100 | 4% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
| MESH-N | 75 | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| 100 | 5% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | |
| Traffic Load | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Network | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | |
| RING-N | 1 | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| 2 | 1% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
| MESH-N | 1 | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| 2 | 3% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | |
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Klinkowski, M.; Więcek, D. Performance Analysis of Data-Driven and Deterministic Latency Models in Dynamic Packet-Switched Xhaul Networks. Appl. Sci. 2025, 15, 12487. https://doi.org/10.3390/app152312487
Klinkowski M, Więcek D. Performance Analysis of Data-Driven and Deterministic Latency Models in Dynamic Packet-Switched Xhaul Networks. Applied Sciences. 2025; 15(23):12487. https://doi.org/10.3390/app152312487
Chicago/Turabian StyleKlinkowski, Mirosław, and Dariusz Więcek. 2025. "Performance Analysis of Data-Driven and Deterministic Latency Models in Dynamic Packet-Switched Xhaul Networks" Applied Sciences 15, no. 23: 12487. https://doi.org/10.3390/app152312487
APA StyleKlinkowski, M., & Więcek, D. (2025). Performance Analysis of Data-Driven and Deterministic Latency Models in Dynamic Packet-Switched Xhaul Networks. Applied Sciences, 15(23), 12487. https://doi.org/10.3390/app152312487

