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Adm. Sci. 2019, 9(2), 29; https://doi.org/10.3390/admsci9020029

Dynamic Impact Modeling as a Road Transport Crisis Management Support Tool

1
Faculty of Safety Engineering, VSB—Technical University of Ostrava, 700 30 Ostrava, Czech Republic
2
Faculty of Civil Engineering, Brno University of Technology, 602 00 Brno, Czech Republic
3
Faculty of Applied Informatics, Tomas Bata University in Zlín, 760 05 Zlín, Czech Republic
4
Faculty of Security Engineering, University of Žilina, 010 26 Žilina, Slovakia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 28 November 2018 / Revised: 15 March 2019 / Accepted: 21 March 2019 / Published: 28 March 2019
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Rational Decision Making in Risk Management)
PDF [1412 KB, uploaded 28 March 2019]

Abstract

Crisis management must provide data to allow for real-time decision-making. Accurate data is especially needed to minimize the risk of critical infrastructure failure. Research into the possible impacts of critical infrastructure failure is a part of developing a functional and secure infrastructure for each nation state. Road transport is one such sector that has a significant impact on its functions. When this fails, there may be a cascading spread of impacts on the energy, health, and other sectors. In this regard, this paper focuses on the dynamic modeling of the impacts of critical road infrastructure failures. It proposes a dynamic modeling system based on a stochastic approach. Its essence is the macroscopic model-based comparative analysis of a road with a critical element and detour roads. The outputs of this system are planning documents that determine the impacts of functional parameter degradation on detour roads—not only applicable in decision-making concerning the selection of the optimal detour road, but also as a support mechanism in minimising possible risks. In this article we aim to expand the extent of knowledge in the Crisis management and critical infrastructure protection in the road transport sector fields.
Keywords: crisis management; critical infrastructure; road transport; failure; impacts; dynamic modeling crisis management; critical infrastructure; road transport; failure; impacts; dynamic modeling
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0).
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Rehak, D.; Radimsky, M.; Hromada, M.; Dvorak, Z. Dynamic Impact Modeling as a Road Transport Crisis Management Support Tool. Adm. Sci. 2019, 9, 29.

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