4.1. Univariate Analysis
The descriptive analysis of the variables that make up the econometric model of this thesis is presented in
Table 4, which contains only the continuous variables. The dummy variables, as they have binary results, are not shown.
As observed in
Table 4, the variable level of disclosure (
ND) shows that pension funds disclose, on average, 45.6% of the indicators that make up the index. The pension fund with the lowest level of disclosure reveals three of the 48 indicators, which corresponds to 6.3%. The pension fund with the highest level of disclosure publishes 32 indicators, equivalent to 66.7%. This evidence allows us to infer, firstly, that there is no normative standardization for the disclosure of reports. The information to be disclosed depends on the decision of the managers. Second, none of the pension funds reached the entirety of the index. None disclosed all the indicators analyzed, even among the mandatory ones. Thus, once the studied indicators are accepted, it would be up to pension funds to review their disclosure policies to meet the demands of their public interest. Likewise, it indicates to the regulatory bodies the need to improve the standardization of annual information reports, especially about the information disclosed in this document.
Regarding the independent variable
GESTORMESTRDOUT, which corresponds to deliberate councilors, fiscal councilors, and executive directors who have a master’s and/or doctorate,
Table 4 indicates that, on average, the funds have 4.1% of their governing body with a master’s degree and/or doctorate. Some funds do not have members with this background on their governing body. For example, only one of the funds in the sample has 58.3% of its governing body with a master’s or Ph.D. The data indicates that the formal qualification of the governing body, in general, is restricted to higher education (minimum requirement for the exercise of the position). The average managers with a master’s and/or doctorate in pension funds is meager, indicating that these professionals do not have enough knowledge to deal with the complexity of the demands of their activities, including the management of investment resources. Third parties, the long-term nature of these organizations, and the diversification of investment options. These facts may denote a need to improve governance practices, especially regarding managers’ hiring, education, and training.
The variable LOGINVESTINDIV reveals that the average value of the participant’s investment is BRL 67,000.00 (log 11.13). The minimum amount corresponds to an average investment of BRL 128 (log 4.86). The maximum value corresponds to BRL 1,836,594 (log 14.42). These amounts are equal to the amount invested by the participant since joining the plan. Therefore, the risks for sponsors, beneficiaries, and participants of the fund with an average value of BRL 1,836,594 are more significant than those with an average investment value of BRL 128. This result may indicate that the demand for information from the first is greater than the second and may require different regulations for both cases. Although PREVIC has different classifications for monitoring the activities of pension funds according to assets, there are no substantial differences in Brazilian legislation regarding the difference in “size” and, therefore, in the associated risk.
The analysis of
Table 4 also shows that pension funds have an average of 8.5 retirees for every ten active participants, according to the
ASSISTPART variable. This variable represents the total number of people receiving the benefit (assisted) over the total number of participants (active). Several funds still do not have retirees (equivalent to 0%). On the other hand, there is a pension fund with a rate of 1667.7% assisted per participant, 1084 assisted for a total of 65 active participants. It reveals that such funds have reached maturity. Maturity means the disbursement phase, the highest proportion of the number of beneficiaries among active participants. As a result, the fund can pay more benefits than it collects. This situation should not bring greater risk because these are cases foreseen in the actuarial calculations, and, therefore, the investments made until then must cover the payments of the benefits (
Rabelo & Machry, 2000;
Sartor, 2001). On the other hand, it may indicate that the demand for disclosure for these funds is lower, considering that those assisted are already thoroughly enjoying their benefits (
Klumpes, 2011).
The return on assets (
ROA) variable shows a significant variation in the results of pension funds. On average, pension funds had a 9.6% return on assets. The lowest value is equivalent to a negative impact, 10.7% greater than the asset. The higher value corresponds to a 93.4% return on the asset. This variation may be due to the significant deficits of some pension funds in 2015, targets of Operation Greenfield. Negative results may indicate that those funds need to disclose more information due to the need for more excellent explanations to stakeholders (
Scott, 1991;
Graham et al., 2005;
Sievänen et al., 2013). On the other hand, managers tend to disclose more favorable information. (
Dye, 2001).
In the case of the
TEMPO variable,
Table 4 shows that, on average, the funds have been in existence for 26 years. The youngest fund is two years old, and the oldest is 57.7 years old.
Table 5 presents the correlation matrix between the dependent variable, the variable of interest, and the control variables.
The analysis of
Table 5 does not show a significant correlation (above 0.600) between the variables of interest and control. Thus, it was not necessary to exclude variables from the econometric model.
4.2. Linear Regression
We applied the Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Shapiro–Wilk tests to assess the normality of the residuals of the disclosure variable (ND), presented in
Table 6.
The tests, Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Shapiro–Wilk, present significance greater than 0.05, indicating normal distribution. In addition, we obtained residual normality after excluding outliers from the Gerdau, Quanta, and Visão funds.
Figure 1 shows the normal distribution of residuals.
Figure 2 illustrates the residual normality line.
Subsequently, we examined the possibility of heteroscedasticity in the model with the Breusch–Pagan–Godfrey and White tests, as shown in
Table 7 and
Table 8.
The Breusch–Pagan–Godfrey and White heteroscedasticity tests indicate no significance in the p-values. Therefore, the assumption that the data is homoscedastic is accepted.
Furthermore, the possibility of collinearity problems between the variables that make up the model was verified using the variance inflation factor (VIF) test.
Table 9 demonstrates the result of the said test.
Table 9 presents the variance inflation factor test below 10 for all variables, indicating that they do not present multicollinearity problems with each other. Thus, the preliminary analyses of the multiple linear regression analysis are concluded, with their assumptions confirmed and attesting to the validity and reliability of the multiple linear regression estimated by the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). Therefore, the multiple linear regression results are in
Table 10.
The results presented in
Table 10 show that the model has an R
2 of 20.5%. The adjusted R
2 is 17.8%, indicating the level of explanation of the model. The percentage of proof of the model is significant, considering the sample and the model variables. The F test has a result of 7.4247. The index greater than 5000 indicates that at least one variable in the model helps to explain the level of disclosure of pension funds. The significance of 0.000 suggests that the model is highly significant, as shown in
Table 10.
The econometric model results indicate that the explanatory variable
GESTORMESTRDOUT has a positive relationship with the level of disclosure of pension funds.
Table 10 shows statistical significance in this variable. Its coefficient shows that the pension fund’s disclosure level increases for each percentage increase in the number of members of the fund’s governing body (deliberative and fiscal counselor and executive board) with a master’s and/or doctorate by 0.15 percentage points. This result does not allow refuting the previously established hypothesis. Furthermore, it is in line with the study by
Marchetti et al. (
2018), who mention that highly qualified advisors are related to a higher level of disclosure, and one of the explanations is related to their reputation.
The study by
Stewart and Yermo (
2008) highlights that the most severe failures in the governance of pension funds would improve with higher levels of specialization of fund managers. In this sense,
Aslan (
2023) mentions that hiring unqualified managers is one of the main flaws in the governance structure of funds, relating this fact to the absence of a regulatory framework that defines best practices for hiring. This could be achieved, among other measures, through the training and qualification of managers. Unfortunately for the authors, the governing body often does not have adequate knowledge, experience, or activity, which prevents them from understanding and even facing suggestions and guidance they receive from external experts, such as actuaries and auditors.
Personal characteristics, such as education, play a significant role in these organizations’ management and disclosure decisions (
Bamber et al., 2010;
Faleye et al., 2018).
Bamber et al. (
2010) comments that research should be more attentive to the effects of these characteristics, which can be more elucidative than variables already tested before, such as the manager’s personality. The improvement in the skill and knowledge of managers can positively contribute to disclosure (
Krishnan et al., 2011;
Dass et al., 2014).
The level of knowledge, responsibility, and training of pension fund managers is necessary if the characteristics of the “product” they operate are considered: third-party resources and long-term perspectives. (
Reish & Faucher, 2004;
Clark, 2007;
Stewart & Yermo, 2008;
Rozanov, 2015;
Hewitt & La Grange, 2017;
Almaghrabi et al., 2021). And, in many cases, managers are not adequately qualified to do so. (
Faleye et al., 2018). The study by
Andonov et al. (
2018) pointed out that the lack of financial knowledge resulted in the poor performance of the funds studied, for example. On the other hand, better levels of training improve the stories of judgment of managers in the decision-making process (
Graham et al., 2005;
Hess, 2005;
Demerjian et al., 2013).
In a study carried out with pension funds in South Africa, the authors identified four limitations related to the governing body that impact the excellent governance of these organizations: lack of knowledge, lack of experience, lack of independence, and lack of capacity (
Hewitt & La Grange, 2017). Such limitations affect fund disclosure decisions and increase information asymmetry. On the other hand, the study by
Francis et al. (
2015) pointed out that the presence in the management of people with academic knowledge attributes significant improvements in governance and the results of organizations, which can contribute to increasing levels of disclosure.
It is illustrated, for example, that the best level of qualification of managers would probably lead to better ranks in the dissemination of indicators such as “Investment Policies,” “Investment Statement,” and “Demonstration of the Administrative Management Plan (DPGA).” Such indicators demand a high degree of technical knowledge about the activity and summarize the result of the actions of these managers in a way that would make apparent the possible lack of skill and expertise in conducting the business. Furthermore, these indicators are directly related to the legal requirements of the positions they hold.
Note that art. 13 of Complementary Law no. 108 of 2001, among others, mentions that it is incumbent upon the deliberative council to define the entity’s general management policy and its benefit plans (item I) and to manage investments and the investment plan (item III). These attributions are evidenced through the “Investment Policy” indicator, which involves the disclosure of the planning for the allocation of assets, generally for five years, and the “Investment Statement” indicator, which deals with the details of the investments made by the fund, by type of investment, profitability, and its evolution over time. Also, the Statement of Administrative Management Plan (DPGA) explains the administrative activity of the pension fund, its income and expenses, and, consequently, the acts of management.
Although it is mandatory and essential for interested parties to monitor the results of the funds and the legal fulfillment of the functions of the managers, these indicators are not always disclosed by the organizations. So, it can demonstrate the lack of knowledge, inability, or insecurity of the managers. In this sense, those directly responsible for asset management, such as the board, those who deliberate on the main directions of these organizations, and their supervisors (deliberative and fiscal councils), have specific knowledge to correctly understand their activities, as well as the attributions of those who report to them (
Mitchell & Hsin, 1994;
Stewart & Yermo, 2008;
Dass et al., 2014;
OECD, 2016). Highly qualified directors and boards can significantly influence strategic decision-making and become a positive governance signal to the market (
Pombo & De La Hoz, 2021;
Cho et al., 2025).
The results indicate that managers’ higher level of training also increases the disclosure of pension funds and, consequently, reduces information asymmetry. However, without an adequate understanding of the qualities such as knowledge and training necessary for the performance of management functions on the part of the entire system involving pension funds, including regulatory bodies, unqualified persons without a complete understanding of the extent of their responsibilities will continue to hold these positions (
Hewitt & La Grange, 2017). And it is along these lines that regulatory bodies around the world have acted, as in the case of The Pension Regulator (TPR) in the United Kingdom, the Department of Labor (DOL) in the United States, and The Pension Board (TPB) in Ireland (
DOL, 2004;
TPB, 2006;
TPR, 2007).
For the International Organization of Pension Supervisors (IOPS), several countries use the certification process so that the regulatory body can guarantee the necessary competence of the governing body of pension funds. In the application for qualification, usually, the director must present a series of documents to the competent authorities, including the academic and professional qualifications (
IOPS, 2008).
In Brazil, there is also the process of certification of members of the executive board and deliberative and fiscal councilors by PREVIC, as provided in CNPC Resolution n. 19, of 30 March 2015, and PREVIC Instruction n. 28, of 12 May 2015. However, in the understanding of the international organization, post-licensing monitoring is as crucial as pre-licensing assessment. In this regard, supervisors can proactively conduct on-site inspections to verify that members continue to meet “appropriate and adequate” criteria.
For example, in the UK and Australia, efforts were made to educate managers to improve their skills and knowledge on an ongoing basis. There is even a method of training administrators in the UK—an e-learning program covering the full scope of topics that can fill gaps in your knowledge. The program provides the learning content and the toolkit. As the regulator wrote the material, it is evident that using these tools and trainers will cover the learning points that the regulator believes administrators should know and understand. In addition, the regulator carried out a pre-training program with instructors to use the toolkit (
TPR, 2007;
IOPS, 2008).
Also, the courses offered by the Irish Institute of Pension Managers offer participants the opportunity to receive a formal qualification as part of their training regime. The Irish regulatory body assesses the updating of courses, the content of the training, and the quality of the instructors (
TPB, 2006). In addition, in the cases of Portugal and Spain, members of the board of directors must meet basic requirements in terms of professional qualifications and experience to exercise their positions (
Stewart & Yermo, 2008).
It so happens that, in the Brazilian case, there is no specific continuing education for the governing body, only the renewal of the license according to §3 of art. 9 of PREVIC Instruction no. 06, of 29 May 2017: “The qualified officers who remain or are reappointed to the same position will have the validity of the certificate of qualification automatically extended for thirty days, during which period they must request renewal of the qualification.” And in this case, the search for formal qualifications is the responsibility of each manager (
PREVIC, 2017).
In addition to the variable of interest, the control variables
ASSISTPART, AUDIT, and
ROA also showed statistical significance. The
ASSITPARTIC control variable is statistically significant. However, it is negatively related to the
ND variable. The results indicate that the greater the number of pension fund beneficiaries (retirees) compared to active participants, the lower the fund’s disclosure level. For example, for every one percentage point increase in the number of people assisted over participants, there is a 0.013% reduction in the fund’s disclosure level. This means that those administered are already enjoying their benefits. Therefore, there is no more significant concern with disclosure or monitoring the actions of managers or greater demands regarding goals, for example (
Klumpes, 2011).
Statistical significance was also in the AUDIT control variable, represented by the Big Four auditing companies’ funds. There is a positive relationship between the Big Four audits and the level of disclosure of pension funds. The results show that the pension fund audited by one of the Big Four auditing companies increases its disclosure level by 0.038%.
The complexity and characteristics of social security accounting make it more susceptible to the disclosure of preliminary reports and require the involvement of specialists capable of evaluating the operations of the funds (
Anantharaman, 2017). In this sense, the audit is a method for monitoring the actions of managers by owners (
Jensen & Meckling, 1976;
Watts & Zimmerman, 1983). Watching these actions is essential, if not crucial, for the formation and maintenance of organizations. In addition, external auditors may be the professionals with the highest level of technical knowledge, time, and resources needed to analyze the decisions made by management (
Clark, 2004).
The studies by
Bauman and Shaw (
2014) and
Chang et al. (
2014) pointed out the audit as a determinant for disclosing pension funds. For
Bauman and Shaw (
2014), the fact that the organization is audited by one of the Big Four is positively related to the fund’s disclosure decisions. Therefore, it is possible for a global auditing firm, especially the Big Four, to impose higher standards of control, governance, and compliance on the pension fund, leading to greater disclosure.
The control variable
ROA has statistical significance at the level of 5% and is positively related to the dependent variable
ND. For each point of increase in
ROA, there is an increase of 0.11% in the pension fund’s disclosure level. In
Dye’s (
2001) view, the fact that the organization does not adequately disclose its performance can imply that its results are not good; “bad news” is being omitted.
The literature on disclosure by companies participating in the market indicates that, in general, when there is a negative result, they need to disclose more information to explain this result to interested parties and maintain transparent management (
Skinner, 1994;
Graham et al., 2005;
Hebb, 2006). In addition, disclosure of poor performance reduces the risk of litigation (
Healy & Palepu, 2001).
The results of this study contradict this logic, demonstrating that the higher the return on assets, the greater the level of disclosure of pension funds. One of the reasons is that disclosing information on performance, including liquidity and profitability indicators, contributes to reducing information asymmetry between managers and other stakeholders (
Camfferman & Cooke, 2002). In the case of pension funds, it minimizes the asymmetry between managers and participants, generating a relationship of trust between them and the fund, and creating a scenario for more employees to participate in pension funds. Furthermore, in the view of
M. Tan and Cam (
2011), the disclosure of positive results increases disclosure because such a result increases the size of the fund. And more significant funds have more structure and can minimize information production costs, thus generating more disclosure.
The control variables LOGINVESTINDIV (average individual investment), representative of size and TEMPO of the fund, and PATROCPUBL (funds with public sponsorship) did not show statistical significance.
4.3. Logistic Regression
The results of the logistic regression are presented in
Table 10 and
Table 11, as shown below.
Table 11 shows that the R
2 calculated by the Cox & Snell method presents a result of 10.8%. This means that the model tested can explain 10.8% of the variations recorded in the dependent variable, level of disclosure (
ND). On the other hand, in the Nagelkerke method, the explanatory power of the variations recorded in the
ND variable is 14.4%.
Table 12 presents a satisfactory classification result (64.8%) regarding using independent variables as estimators of the disclosure level. In other words, it shows the predictive power of the results.
Table 13 demonstrates the likelihood ratio (
LR) test to assess the effect of factors on the level of disclosure variable. Statistical significance shows the relevant impact of the elements for predicting the results.
Table 14 reveals the importance of the variables included in the equation.
The variables GESTORMESTRDOUT stand out, with statistical significance at the level of 10% and a higher beta (4.91), and the variable AUDIT, with high relevance and a beta of 0.89. The other variables did not show statistical significance. In this sense, we can say that the variables GESTORMESTRDOUT and AUDIT contribute significantly to the prediction of the disclosure level. Furthermore, such responses confirm the results of the multiple linear regression. In the next section, we present the conclusion of this study.
Considering that conventional incentives for disclosure are weak (
Spence, 1973) and different when compared to traditional approaches for companies, this study raises the possibility that pension fund managers recognize that information is power. In Foucault’s view, power is understood here as a network of forces present in all relationships and in the place it occupies in society (
Foucault, 1995;
Dass et al., 2014;
Feder, 2018;
Lynch, 2018;
Rietz, 2018;
Taylor, 2018). Power would always be in relationships and the place it occupies in the organization, which would enable decisions about disclosing or withholding information.
These results corroborate what is pointed out by (
Clark, 2004;
Stewart & Yermo, 2008), in the sense that high levels of formal education are essential for pension fund managers, which points to the fact that incentives for the disclosure of these institutions are influenced by the educational level of managers and not by the reasons addressed in the literature, in the case of publicly traded companies.
These findings may be useful for both pension funds around the world and regulators to strengthen requirements and enforcement on manager qualifications. Although we have analyzed the context and regulation in Brazil, the organizational and regulatory structures of pension funds in many countries are not significantly different.
The disclosure and transparency of pension funds still need to be studied, just as their governance structures need to be strengthened, including greater enforcement by regulatory bodies. In this study, we do not claim that the level of qualification of managers is the only or the main explanation for the difference in disclosure between funds, but it is one of these factors. On the other hand, the approach to disclosure in companies in the market cannot explain the phenomenon of these funds.