1. Introduction
Choosing a future career is a complex developmental task that can be overwhelming for adolescents and young adults. In contemporary societies, this process is further complicated by multiple large-scale environmental challenges, such as pandemics, wars, and the climate crisis, that increase uncertainty about the future and may hinder career planning. Understanding how these challenges are perceived and cognitively appraised is essential for designing effective career guidance interventions in increasingly uncertain contexts.
The SCCT (
Lent et al., 1994) offers a conceptual framework to explain how individuals develop their careers through the interaction of personal and environmental factors. Grounded in Bandura’s general Social Cognitive Theory (
Bandura, 1986), SCCT underscores the interplay between cognitive-personal variables (such as self-efficacy, outcome expectations, and personal goals) and environmental factors, including personal attributes, environmental characteristics, and learning experiences, in shaping career construction (
Lent et al., 2000). Opportunities, resources, barriers and affordances are subject to individual interpretation, and their impact depends on how they are perceived and managed (
Vondracek et al., 2019). According to
Lent (
2013), individuals should proactively address potential barriers by anticipating future obstacles and identifying the type and amount of resources required to achieve their goals, as well as the strategies needed to attain them.
Interventions based on the SCCT and the Life Design (
Savickas et al., 2009) emphasize individuals’ ability to actively manage career challenges. The holistic approach proposed by Life Design (
Savickas et al., 2009) suggests that individuals approach career construction by considering the whole life plan, emphasizing the construction of meaningful career narratives and the development of adaptive skills to navigate the complexities of career paths. Adaptability, a key capacity highlighted by LD models, is the individual’s ability to prepare for and adapt to unexpected events (
Savickas & Porfeli, 2012). This skill is becoming increasingly crucial in the ever-evolving job market. The contextual nature of LD allows for a focus on the historical and cultural situation, with its attendant barriers and affordances, within which the individual needs to adapt and flourish (
Savickas, 1997). Reflection is also central, as it enables individuals to make sense of barriers within their life stories (
Duarte, 2018). The counsellor’s work is to support the client in exploring and understanding contextual factors, barriers, outcome expectations, and career readiness (
Stebleton, 2010).
For career practitioners drawing on SCCT and LD frameworks, it is increasingly important to consider perceived environmental barriers and to examine how these shape the future planning of adolescents and young adults. According to the SCCT, career interests are more likely to develop into goals, and goals are more likely to be realized when individuals perceive fewer barriers. Specific measurement tools assessing the perceived impact of these barriers on career concerns would allow researchers and practitioners to better identify intervention targets and examine their antecedents and consequences. Hence, building on the integration of SCCT and Life Design perspectives, this study aims to develop and validate a scale assessing the extent to which young adults perceive environmental challenges as barriers to their future career planning.
1.1. The Contemporary Environmental Challenges
Career planning occurs in an environment increasingly characterized by multiple and overlapping global challenges that may act as barriers to future career choices. Traditionally, three major challenges were defined: technological evolution and digitization, economic recession and labour market issues, and environmental factors (
Ciobanu et al., 2022;
Di Maggio et al., 2020). In recent years, however, additional global threats have emerged, increasing concerns among adolescents and young people facing career decisions. Among the most relevant challenges faced in recent years are the COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and the climate crisis.
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a major crisis in the global economy and labour market, with an enormous impact on people, especially young adults. The COVID-19 crisis has created additional obstacles in the transition from school to work, such as reduced hiring opportunities and increased job instability (
ILO, 2020). Several studies conducted prior to COVID-19 pandemic had already identified labour market uncertainty as a significant source of anxiety among young people, often leading to disengagement and avoidance of future planning (
Iovu et al., 2018;
Lewchuk, 2017). The outbreak of COVID-19 further intensified the pre-existing difficulties inherent in school-to-work transitions, making the present more precarious and the future appear increasingly uncertain (
Parola, 2020).
Shepherd (
2023) highlighted how young people at the start of their careers experienced skills mismatch, underemployment, job loss, and reduced wages. Consistently, several studies have shown an increase in fears and concerns about the future among young people and during the pandemic. For example,
Andresen et al. (
2021) found that in Germany almost half of young people agreed with the statement “I am afraid of my future.” Similarly, studies conducted in different countries have documented increased anxiety, fear, and perceived economic insecurity among young adults (
Parola, 2020;
Margolius et al., 2020;
Mahmud et al., 2021).
Korkmaz and Doğanülkü (
2021) found that fear of COVID-19 negatively affected vision about the future, highlighting the role of future orientation in the relationship between fear of COVID-19 and career distress. Consistently, interventions focusing on future orientation and LD approaches have been shown to mitigate the negative effects of the pandemic on young people’s career planning (
Santilli et al., 2021;
Zammitti et al., 2023a).
The Russo-Ukrainian war is an international conflict and is also expected to have long-term economic, social and health impacts (
Sheather, 2022). The European economy is already experiencing rising energy prices and cost of living (
Orhan, 2022), which may indirectly affect young people’s career opportunities. Research on the direct impact of war on career development remains limited. However, many studies highlight its strong psychological impact on young people (
World Health Organization, 2022), including perceived threat, anxiety, intolerance of uncertainty (
Moshagen & Hilbig, 2022;
Regnoli et al., 2023,
2024a;
Riad et al., 2022;
Skwirczyńska et al., 2022).
Barchielli et al. (
2022) found an association between pandemic- and war-fears among Italian young adults. Recently,
Regnoli et al. (
2024b) further showed that future anxiety and intolerance of uncertainty amplify the impact of war-related distress. In contrast, the link between war and future career uncertainty remains underexplored in empirical studies, although it is theoretically highlighted as a risk factor in contemporary career choices (
Ginevra et al., 2021).
Finally, the ecological crisis represents a major global challenge, which
Rifkin (
2019) describes as part of a broader “sixth mass extinction”. As with the COVID-19 pandemic and war, young adults are among the most vulnerable groups (
Hickman, 2019;
J. Wu et al., 2020). Several studies highlight the impact of climate anxiety (or eco-anxiety) on the psychosocial well-being of adolescents and young people (
Pihkala, 2020;
Skilling et al., 2023). In particular,
Hickman et al. (
2021) show that climate anxiety is associated with pessimistic views of the future and feelings that humanity is under threat. More recent studies confirm the salience of climate-related concerns across different populations and cultural contexts (
Cebeci et al., 2025;
Hickman, 2019,
2020). In some cases, climate-related distress may also affect daily functioning and engagement with future planning.
Innocenti et al. (
2025) documented cases in which eco-anxiety developed into “eco-paralysis,” characterized by emotional overload, helplessness, and reduced occupational functioning. More broadly, psychological literature emphasizes that climate change is increasingly linked to stress, anxiety, and depressive symptoms, underscoring the growing relevance of ecological concerns as a psychosocial challenge with implications for future planning and life trajectories (
Innocenti, 2022). Together, these findings indicate that climate-related concerns represent an ongoing phenomenon that shapes individuals’ perceptions of their future and may influence their life and career planning.
The need for more sustainability, peace, equity and health is central to the United Nation 2030 Agenda, which represents the “future we want” (
Santilli et al., 2023). Accordingly, career guidance aimed at supporting adolescents and young people should consider these emerging global challenges and help individuals navigate an increasingly complex and uncertain future. Taken together, these global challenges share key characteristics such as unpredictability, global impact, and long-term consequences, and may function as perceived barriers shaping young people’s career development and future planning. However, research has largely examined these challenges in isolation, highlighting the need for integrative approaches capable of capturing their combined psychological impact on career development.
1.2. The Present Study
The threats addressed, i.e., the COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine and the climate change, have in common that they undermine the labour market and make it difficult for individuals to imagine a stable and predictable future. In recent years, several psychological instruments, mostly of a clinical nature, have been developed to measure emotional responses associated with these phenomena, such as fear of COVID (
Ahorsu et al., 2020; Italian validation by
Soraci et al., 2020), fear of war (
Kalcza-Janosi et al., 2023; Italian validation by
Regnoli et al., 2023), and eco-anxiety (
Hogg et al., 2021; Italian validation by
Rocchi et al., 2023).
However, these instruments primarily assess domain-specific or clinically oriented emotional responses and do not capture how such global crises are cognitively appraised in relation to individuals’ career development. Thus, beyond general anxiety constructs, there is a need to assess career-specific concerns arising from the perceived impact of these events on employment opportunities and professional trajectories. To date, only the measure used by
Mahmud et al. (
2021) integrates these context-specific stressors within a unified framework focused on career development, but it is limited to COVID-19 and was developed only in English and Bangla, highlighting the need for additional domain-specific instruments, particularly in other cultural contexts such as Italy. Developing such an instrument would contribute to (a) advancing knowledge on how young people perceive these challenges as barriers to their career futures, (b) examining the antecedents and consequences of these perceptions, and (c) informing career guidance interventions.
Hence, building on the integration of SCCT and LD perspectives, this study aims to develop and validate an instrument to assess the extent to which young adults perceive global challenges, such as COVID-19, the war in Ukraine and climate change, as barriers to their future career choices. This approach is particularly suited to capture the multidimensional and context-dependent nature of perceived environmental barriers in contemporary career development.
Following established guidelines for scale development and validation (
Beaton et al., 2000), we adopted a rigorous, multi-phase validation strategy. Four sequential studies were designed to ensure a comprehensive evaluation of the instrument. Specifically, Study 1 focused on item development and the examination of the underlying factorial structure through exploratory factor analysis (EFA). Study 2 aimed to confirm the factorial structure using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), compare alternative measurement models, and test measurement invariance across gender. Study 3 examined convergent and discriminant validity by assessing associations with theoretically related but distinct constructs. Finally, Study 4 evaluated temporal stability through test–retest reliability and examined predictive validity with respect to indicators of well-being. This stepwise approach allowed for a systematic assessment of structural validity, measurement equivalence, construct validity, and criterion-related validity, thereby strengthening the overall psychometric robustness of the CC-PEC Scale.
6. Discussion
Global crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical conflicts, and the climate emergency are reshaping labour markets and influencing how young people envision their future careers, often increasing uncertainty and complicating career planning. Prior to this study, no instrument was available to assess how these challenges are perceived as barriers to career development. Hence, this study aimed to develop and validate the Career Concerns related to Perceived Environmental Challenges (CC-PEC) Scale through four studies conducted with independent samples of young adults.
From a conceptual perspective, the CC-PEC construct should be distinguished from related psychological constructs such as future anxiety, career distress, and intolerance of uncertainty. While future anxiety refers to a generalized negative anticipation of personal future events (
Zaleski et al., 2019), and intolerance of uncertainty reflects a desire for predictability and cognitive paralysis in uncertain situations (
Birrell et al., 2011), the CC-PEC scale specifically assesses the interpretation of macro-environmental challenges as career-related barriers. In line with SCCT, the focus is not on emotional reactions per se, but on cognitively mediated perceptions of contextual constraints influencing career planning. Similarly, career-related distress is a common and painful outcome of many negative career experiences (
Creed et al., 2016), whereas CC-PEC captures externally perceived environmental threats integrated into career representations. In this sense, the CC-PEC operationalizes the SCCT concept of perceived contextual barriers at a macro-social level, allowing researchers to examine how global environmental instability becomes cognitively integrated into individuals’ career planning processes.
In addition to conceptual distinctions, it is important to position the CC-PEC scale in relation to existing measurement instruments addressing similar global challenges. Existing instruments mainly assess emotional responses to specific global threats (e.g., fear, anxiety, distress), whereas the CC-PEC scale captures how these events are cognitively interpreted as barriers to career development. This distinction helps explain why correlations with fear-based measures were moderate rather than high, supporting the incremental conceptual contribution of the instrument.
The results of Studies 1 and 2 confirmed the appropriateness of the items created to measure career concerns related to COVID-19 pandemic, war, and climate emergency. Specifically, although the three dimensions were assessed using parallel item structures, factor analysis clearly distinguished them according to their environmental referent. This suggests that participants differentiated between the contextual sources of career concerns rather than responding to a generalized form of career anxiety. The findings of Study 2 provide strong support for a hierarchical conceptualization of the construct and for its measurement equivalence across gender. Consistent with the theoretical framework, results supported a three-factor structure (i.e., career-related COVID-19 pandemic concern, career-related war concern, and career-related climate emergency concern) organized under a higher-order general factor, namely Career-related environmental concerns. This hierarchical solution demonstrated satisfactory model fit and outperformed the single-factor model, indicating that career-related environmental concerns are not unidimensional but rather reflect distinguishable yet interrelated domains. The higher-order factor accounted for substantial variance in the first-order dimensions, suggesting a general tendency to perceive environmental challenges as career barriers. At the same time, the adequate loadings of the first-order factors confirm the importance of maintaining domain specificity.
The magnitude of the intercorrelations among the three dimensions warrants a more cautious interpretation of their distinctiveness. The relatively high associations suggest that a substantial portion of the variance may reflect a general tendency to experience environmental challenges as barriers to career development, rather than entirely independent domain-specific concerns. Additional indices (e.g., ECV and ωH) supported a hierarchical structure, indicating that, although a strong general component is present, the multidimensional nature of the construct remains meaningful, with domain-specific factors contributing unique variance. While the second-order model captures shared variance effectively, the proximity between factors suggests potential partial redundancy. This issue may be partly attributable to the parallel item structure, which—while ensuring comparability—could have inflated shared method variance. Overall, these findings support a hierarchical interpretation in which domain-specific concerns coexist with a broader general dimension of career-related environmental concern, while also highlighting the need for future research to further examine the incremental distinctiveness of each dimension, for instance, through the use of non-parallel item formulations and external validation criteria. This dual structure aligns with contemporary perspectives on career development in uncertain contexts, where both general vulnerability to environmental instability and domain-specific threat perceptions coexist.
Using a stepwise approach, full scalar invariance was supported. The establishment of scalar invariance allows for meaningful comparisons of latent means across gender.
Study 3 sought to test the concurrent and discriminant validity of the three dimensions of the CC-PEC scale concerning measures of concerns related to the same three aspects, i.e., the COVID-19 pandemic, war and climate emergency. The correlations, consistent with Studies 1 and 2, were strong between the three dimensions of the CC-PEC scale. On the other hand, the correlations between the sub-dimensions of the scales relating to the same events were weak (e.g., between the CC-PEC related to war and the psychological and experiential fear of war scales, respectively) to moderate (e.g., between the CC-PEC related to the COVID-19 pandemic and the Fear of COVID-19 scale). These findings are consistent with theoretical expectations, as the scales, although related to the same events, measure different constructs. Accordingly, correlations were expected but not necessarily high. The only non-significant relationship concerned career-related war concerns and egoistic environmental concerns. This may reflect the distinct focus of these constructs, as environmental concern has been defined as an “affect associated with beliefs about environmental problems” (
Schultz, 2001, p. 31), whereas egoistic concerns are primarily self-oriented and less related to broader contextual threats. Further analyses supported discriminant validity, indicating that the scale captures related but distinct perceptions of these events.
Finally, Study 4 provided preliminary evidence of temporal stability and exploratory indications of predictive validity. The choice of life satisfaction and flourishing as outcome variables was theoretically grounded in the SCCT (
Lent et al., 1994,
2000) and LD (
Savickas et al., 2009) perspectives, which emphasize the broader impact of contextual barriers on individuals’ overall life adaptation and well-being. Perceived environmental challenges may influence individuals’ general outlook on their general life satisfaction and flourishing, as conceptualized by
Diener et al. (
2010) as a state characterized by the realization of one’s potential, the presence of positive relationships, and a deep sense of meaning in life. Findings related to war-, climate-, and COVID-related career concerns are broadly consistent with previous research showing that global threats may negatively affect young people’s well-being and future orientation (
Moshagen & Hilbig, 2022;
Regnoli et al., 2023,
2024a;
Riad et al., 2022;
Skwirczyńska et al., 2022;
Hickman, 2019,
2020;
Hickman et al., 2021;
Pihkala, 2020;
Skilling et al., 2023;
Li et al., 2020;
Zammitti et al., 2021).
In particular, Study 4 showed that career-related climate emergency concerns and career-related COVID-19 pandemic concerns negatively predicted flourishing. However, contrary to hypotheses, no predictive relationship emerged with life satisfaction. This may be due to the timing of data collection, when concerns related to the COVID-19 pandemic were likely waning and social functioning had partially resumed. These findings should therefore be considered exploratory and hypothesis-generating rather than confirmatory.
In line with SCCT, both objective environmental factors and individuals’ perceptions of them influence career development (
Lent et al., 2000). In particular, it is individuals’ perceptions that influence career development by shaping how they interpret and respond to contextual conditions (
Vondracek et al., 2019). Identifying and proactively addressing perceived barriers is a key aspect of both SCCT- and LD-based career interventions (
Lent, 2013;
Lent et al., 2000;
Savickas et al., 2009;
Savickas & Porfeli, 2012). In this paper, with four studies, the findings indicate that the CC-PEC Scale provides a reliable and valid assessment of career-related concerns associated with major contemporary environmental challenges. It therefore represents a valuable tool for career counselling practice. The CC-PEC scale complements rather than replaces existing fear- or anxiety-based measures, extending assessment toward the career-development domain. From a theoretical perspective, the CC-PEC construct can be further understood within the core mechanisms of SCCT and the LD paradigm. Within SCCT, the perception of environmental challenges as career-related barriers may influence individuals’ self-efficacy beliefs and outcome expectations, thereby shaping goal setting and career-related actions. In particular, perceiving global instability as a constraint may reduce confidence in one’s ability to achieve desired career outcomes or alter expectations regarding future opportunities. Similarly, within the LD framework, these perceived barriers may affect individuals’ capacity for career adaptability, particularly in terms of concern and control, and may influence the way individuals construct and narrate their future career trajectories. Environmental uncertainty may challenge the development of coherent and future-oriented narratives, requiring individuals to engage in more complex meaning-making processes.
The CC-PEC scale therefore represents a valuable tool for both research and practice, complementing existing emotion-based measures by extending assessment to the career-development domain.
Overall, the CC-PEC scale provides a theoretically grounded and empirically validated instrument to assess how macro-contextual uncertainty is cognitively integrated into career development processes, offering important implications for research and career guidance in increasingly uncertain socio-economic contexts.
Limitations of the Studies and Future Research Directions
A primary limitation concerns the composition of the samples. All four studies relied exclusively on Italian university students, with a marked predominance of female participants. This limits the generalizability of the findings beyond this specific population and raises concerns about their applicability to other age groups, occupational statuses, and cultural contexts. Moreover, the gender imbalance may have influenced the observed levels of environmental career concerns, given known gender differences in risk perception and future-oriented anxieties. Future research should therefore validate the CC-PEC scale in more heterogeneous, gender-balanced samples and across diverse cultural contexts to establish its cross-cultural robustness and broader applicability.
A second limitation concerns the magnitude of the intercorrelations among the three dimensions of the CC-PEC scale. The relatively high associations (ranging from 0.65 to 0.76) suggest that a substantial portion of the variance may reflect a general tendency to experience environmental challenges as barriers to career development, rather than entirely independent domain-specific concerns. Although additional indices (e.g., ECV and ωH) supported a hierarchical structure, indicating the coexistence of general and domain-specific components, these results raise questions about the empirical distinctiveness of the subdimensions. This issue may be partly attributable to the use of parallel item wording across the three domains, which, while ensuring comparability, may have inflated shared method variance and contributed to the observed overlap among dimensions. Future research should therefore develop non-parallel, domain-specific items that capture more distinct aspects of career concerns, in order to more rigorously test the unique contribution of each dimension.
With respect to Study 3, some caution is warranted in interpreting discriminant validity. The Average Variance Extracted (AVE) of the Fear of War Scale (FOWARS) did not reach the recommended threshold, which may limit the strict application of the Fornell–Larcker criterion. As a result, shared variance estimates involving this construct may be inflated. Nevertheless, this limitation concerns the external measure rather than the CC-PEC scale itself. Importantly, the overall pattern of correlations remains theoretically coherent, supporting the distinction between career-related concerns and affective fear-based responses. Future studies should include external variables that are more clearly differentiated to provide a more stringent test of discriminant validity.
More broadly, further research is needed to examine the predictive role of CC-PEC within the SCCT framework. In line with SCCT, perceived barriers influence both career goals and actions and may moderate the relationships between interests, choices, and outcomes. Future studies should therefore investigate whether the constructs measured by the CC-PEC scale operate within these mechanisms, extending the examination of predictive validity beyond well-being indicators such as flourishing and life satisfaction.
A further limitation pertains to Study 4, which was based on a small and gender-okimbalanced sample (n = 34). Although consistent with minimum requirements derived from a priori power analysis, this sample size does not allow robust inferences regarding predictive validity. Estimates derived from small samples are inherently unstable and associated with reduced precision, limiting confidence in the observed effects. Accordingly, these findings should be regarded as preliminary and require replication in larger samples to establish the stability and reliability of the reported relationships.
In conclusion, it is important to stress the limitation of the use of parallel item wording across the three environmental challenges. Although this approach ensured strict comparability across contexts, it may have contributed to the relatively high intercorrelations among the dimensions. Future research could address this issue by developing event-specific items that capture qualitatively distinct aspects of career concerns beyond shared economic and employment-related worries.