1. Introduction
The concept of asset management, in a formalized sense, has been present in the minds of civil engineers for nearly half a century, with the earliest implementation of Transportation Asset Management (TAM) programs dating back to the 1980s and 1990s [
1]. One definition of asset management by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) is a “strategic and systematic process of operating, maintaining, upgrading, and expanding physical assets effectively throughout their life cycle [
2] (p. 4)”. Although the definition may differ depending on the types of assets present, the goal of an asset management program is to build, operate, and maintain assets in a cost-effective manner in the hopes to inevitably improve asset performance [
1].
Geotechnical Asset Management (GAM) has emerged from TAM due to the impact and interrelated performance of geotechnical assets on transportation infrastructure. Geotechnical assets may range from inclusive to completely exclusive of transportation assets. Examples of inclusive assets are culverts, drainage ditches, bridge foundations, and pavement subgrade. Exclusively or partially exclusive geotechnical assets comprise both natural and constructed assets, including rock and soil slopes, embankments, retaining structures, and tunnels [
3]. These lists are not exhaustive and often vary depending on the GAM owner requirements.
GAM includes an undeniable degree of increased uncertainty when compared to TAM. This uncertainty may be attributed to natural variability and/or knowledge uncertainty. Natural variability can be both spatial and temporal, e.g., changes in soil and rock stratigraphy, material strengths, and presence of groundwater. Knowledge uncertainty is associated with a lack of data regarding past events or lack of understanding of the physical laws or processes taking place within a particular geotechnical asset [
4]. For GAM, this means similar assets with varying geological conditions may require different measures to quantify and evaluate asset performance.
Alberta Transportation and Economic Corridors (TEC) is currently working toward the development of a formalized GAM program to enhance the province’s ability to monitor the condition and deterioration of geotechnical assets and to effectively prioritize candidate mitigation projects based on the risk an asset poses to highway safety and efficiency. This requires the assessment of available tools to effectively collect and manage data for evidence-based decision making when prioritizing investments and advocating for future funding needs [
5]. TEC has documented approximately 500 geohazard sites, 250 of which are actively monitored through the department’s Geohazard Risk Management Program (GRMP) [
5]. The GRMP inventory includes soil and rock slopes, highway embankments, retaining walls, and highway subgrades [
6]. These sites are assessed using TEC’s GRMP risk level rating methodology, presented in
Section 2.1, which allows the direct comparison of relative risk level for earthflow and debris flow, rockfall, and erosion geohazards. Geotechnical asset management programs include several asset classes, as described above, and may encounter difficulty when cross-asset comparisons are undertaken to establish capital funding distributions. The concept of risk can be useful to determine which sites are in more urgent need of remediation. In the interests of furthering a risk-based GAM program, TEC can benefit from research that progresses the development of a framework to provide a morphological inspection and monitoring basis for rockfall geohazards.
This study focuses on the tools available to assess and monitor rockfall geohazards, which are some of the more frequent geohazards encountered along highways in Alberta and around the world [
7,
8,
9,
10,
11]. Rockfalls are a geomorphic process in which a rock block or mass travels downslope after it detaches from a slope [
12]. The initiation of a rockfall event may be the result of several factors. Higgins et al. [
12] describe two main influence categories: internal and external. Internal influences include lithology, discontinuities, and groundwater. External influences include climatic conditions [
13,
14,
15], weathering, anthropogenic causes, earthquakes, and stress relief. Regardless of the influences, rockfalls from slopes comprising competent rock generally result from the characteristics of its discontinuities [
16].
In this paper, rock slope and rock mass rating systems, including TEC’s GRMP risk rating system, are compared to evaluate their consistency and provide insight into the suitability of these methods as the basis for a future GAM program. The study involved application of the various rating systems to several rockfall-prone slopes along the Alberta highway network to test their practicability while considering future integration and consistency with monitored slope performance (e.g., deformation monitoring, rock fall frequencies). The paper presents the results of five rock mass and rock slope rating systems applied to eight rockfall geohazard sites in Alberta, which are compared against the documented GRMP risk rating values for each site. Although some of the selected rating systems are not intended to quantify risk, they were included regardless as widely accepted industry tools for characterizing rock slopes or rock masses that can provide a measure of the slope condition within a GAM framework. The selection of rating systems also considered the scope and limitations of TEC’s standard slope inspection tour. Due to the large number of slopes inspected, a relatively short period of time is available to assess each site. There is an understanding that sites identified as critical, indicated by their GRMP risk rating, would then be subject to a more comprehensive site investigation and laboratory analyses of the slope-forming materials as part of detailed site-specific hazard assessments. The sites were selected with the intention of capturing a wide range of risk levels. Three of the included sites with relatively high GRMP risk ratings have existing remote sensing data that will be incorporated with the results of this study for the future evaluation of slope rating tools. A brief description of each geohazard site including the geologic context, available history of geohazard occurrences, and difficulties encountered during the application of each of the rating systems are also presented herein.
3. Study Sites
Rock slopes were selected for inclusion in this study primarily based on their GRMP RL to provide a broad range of values for comparison. Three sites included in this research were previously recommended for additional monitoring and have several years of remote sensing data. Some selected sites with corresponding low RL are categorized by TEC as ‘expired’, meaning they have not been recently active and are no longer being regularly inspected. The historical records are limited for some of these sites with more than a decade since their last official inspection. This issue is compounded over time as institutional memory of these sites fades. The sites with higher RL ratings, which remain unmitigated due to funding limitations and hence are subject to continued rockfall activity, are inspected annually as part of TEC’s GRMP.
The slope inspections and application of rating systems were completed on 12 November 2021 for site C018 in Central Alberta and between 24 and 25 September 2022 for sites S018, S020, S042, S057, S070, and S074 in Southern Alberta. Limited tools were required for the application of the selected rating systems, which included the following: a range finder with a built-in clinometer, a 2 m long measuring stick, and two measuring tapes with lengths of 6 m and 30 m. Preliminary ratings developed for C018 were published by Wollenberg-Barron et al. [
47] and have been updated for inclusion in this study. The locations of the study sites and representative photographs are shown in
Figure 1.
3.1. C018—Red Deer River Valley Slope Instability
Site C018, the Red Deer River Valley Slope Instability, is located along Highway 837:02 approximately 14 km northwest of Drumheller, Alberta. The AADT at this location is 294 vehicles per day (vpd). The slope bedrock is part of the Horseshoe Canyon formation comprising feldspathic sandstone interbedded with siltstone, bentonitic mudstone, carbonaceous mudstone, concretionary sideritic layers, and laterally continuous coal seams [
49]. The highly disaggregated nature of the sedimentary deposits at C018 lead to a variety of complex failure mechanisms on the backslope above the highway. The active portion of C018 is approximately 60 m high and extends approximately 500 m along the highway adjacent to the Red Deer River.
From TEC’s records, Highway 837 was constructed in the 1980s and was identified early on as a geohazard site that may require reinforcement or protective measures. A nominal ditch was constructed along the highway, at the toe of the backslope, but no other improvement work was undertaken at that time [
50]. C018 has been included in TEC’s annual Central Region geohazards inspection tour since 2001. Up until 2017, riverbank erosion and instability on the downslope side of the highway embankment was the primary concern at C018; this was mitigated by reconstructing the slope with geogrid reinforcement and armoring the toe of the slope with riprap. An annual to biannual remote sensing program utilizing drone photogrammetry was implemented at C018 in 2017 following a rockfall of blocky frozen material from the backslope above the highway. Other major events occurred through 2017 and 2018 including an earthflow, translational slide, and additional rockfalls. These hazards resulted in the installation of jersey barriers to contain the fallen debris, reducing Highway 837 to one-lane-alternating traffic. Change detection analysis for C018 between 2017 and 2019 was previously published by Rodriguez et al. [
51] and Roustaei et al. [
49]. Additional details regarding the initial slope ratings from the 12 November 2021 inspection and difficulties encountered during the inspection of C018 are presented in Wollenberg-Barron et al. [
47].
3.2. S018—Galatea Creek Rock Cut
Site S018, the Galatea Creek Rock Cut, is located along Highway 40, approximately 32 km south of the junction between Highway 40 and Highway 1, in southwest Alberta. This portion of Highway 40 has an AADT of 2530 vpd. The slope consists of dark gray shale to siltstone with some white quartz inclusions [
52]. The S018 backslope is approximately 18 m high and 310 m long along the highway.
The highway through-cut at S018 was originally constructed in the 1970s. According to TEC’s records, the S018 backslope rock cut was initially inspected in 2004 and has been included in TEC’s annual Southern Region geohazards inspection tour since 2007. Rock bolts were installed at the site—possibly during the original highway construction. In 2016, additional rockfall mitigation comprising a high tensile strength mesh drape was installed, covering most of the eastern slope. This analysis focuses on the eastern portion of the cut due to its historically higher RL recorded via the GRMP.
During the time of the inspection, numerous fallen rocks were present in the eastern ditch along the highway. Most of the observed debris had accumulated at three locations along the toe of the backslope but had not reached the highway due to the effectiveness of the wire mesh rockfall drape. The unfavorable orientation of the sedimentary bedding plane daylighting out of the slope at S018 leads to planar sliding, while wedge failures were observed where a perpendicular joint set, sub-parallel to the slope face, intersects the bedding plane. Rockfall blocks noted at the site ranged from gravel to boulder sizes. Due to the high volume of traffic at the time of the inspection, some slope and highway measurements could not be collected due to safety considerations. It was necessary to estimate the highway width using a range finder with a built-in clinometer.
3.3. S020—Highwood House Rockfall Hazard
Site S020, the Highwood House Rockfall Hazard, is located along Highway 541:02, approximately 800 m east of the junction between Highways 40, 541, and 940. This portion of Highway 541 has an AADT of 647 vpd. The backslope above the highway comprises interbedded coal, shale, mudstone, and sandstone with a sub-vertical bedding plane. The mudstone and sandstone are notably less weathered than the coal and shale [
53]. Geological maps corroborate this assessment, indicating the slope is composed of Mesozoic sandstone, shale, and coal [
54]. S020 measures approximately 150 m long and 35 m high with an erosion gully at the west end of the site extending beyond the crest of the backslope (approximately 50 m in length).
Highway 541 and the rock cut at S020 were originally constructed in the 1970s. TEC records indicate S020 was initially inspected in 2004 and has been included in TEC’s annual Southern Region geohazards inspection tour since 2007. Remote sensing data, via drone photogrammetry, have been collected at S020 between 2020 and 2022, which provides a database for calculating the slope surface change that can be used to correlate visual inspections and slope performance.
At the time of the inspection, rockfall debris had collected at the toe of the cut slope across nearly the entire length of the slope. The largest quantity of rockfalls had accumulated below the western portion of the slope underneath an erosion gully which extends above the rock slope. This is likely attributed to both erosion of the surficial soils and the higher degree of differential weathering leading to undercutting of the rock mass within the gully. The gully has formed above the slope, leaving loose blocks and boulders within the soil at the brow of the slope that will eventually fall. Other failure mechanisms present include the raveling of coal layers, which acts to reduce the confinement of the surrounding rock and leads to further rockfalls. Block toppling is also marginally possible along the slope face with joints nearly parallel to the slope face. Rockfall block sizes noted during the inspection ranged from sand to boulder sizes. Due to the high degree of activity at S020, with small rockfalls of sand to gravel sizes occurring during the inspection, approaching the slope for RQD measurements was deemed unsafe. Estimates of the rock masses RQD had to be taken at less active portions of the slope and later corroborated with slope imagery.
3.4. S042—Spray Lakes Rockfall
Site S042, the Spray Lakes Rockfall, is located on Highway 742 (Spray Lakes Road) approximately 5 km southwest of Canmore, Alberta. This portion of Highway 742 is gravel surfaced and has an AADT of 1468 vpd. S042 is located in the Mount Rundle range which comprises Paleozoic limestones, dolomitic limestones, dolostones, and shales which have been thrust onto the sedimentary rocks present in the Bow Valley [
55]. The north portion of S042 (S042-North), with an eastern slope aspect, extends approximately 200 m while the south portion (S042-South), with a southern slope aspect, extends approximately 110 m. The slope has a maximum height of approximately 165 m. A broad talus slope has developed along the base of the slope which narrows significantly at the transition between the two opposing slope aspects.
From the information available, S042 was identified as a rockfall geohazard before 2009 and included multiple locations along a 2.3 km section of Highway 742 which includes the S042—Spray Lakes Rockfall site. A call-out inspection was conducted in 2013 following a relatively large rockfall event that narrowly missed a vehicle and group of people traveling along Highway 742 [
56]. Since then, S042 has been included in TEC’s annual Southern Region geohazards inspection tour. An annual remote sensing program utilizing ground-based LiDAR was initiated in 2018 for the S042 site, which has initiated a database for calculating slope surface change that can be used to correlate visual inspections and slope performance.
Slope ratings were developed for both S042-North and S042-South to accommodate the opposing slope aspects and capture the relative difference in rock mass quality and rockfall potential. At the time of inspection, rockfall debris appeared to have recently been cleared from the roadway by highway maintenance staff and was concentrated across the base of the talus slope forming a small berm. The majority of rockfall was concentrated toward the center of the slope, coinciding with the decrease in the talus slope height and presence of a catch fence installed at that location between 2016 and 2017. It is difficult to determine if the accumulation of rockfalls at the base of the broad talus slope is a result of detachment from the rock slope above the talus or attenuation and sloughing of talus slope itself. A kinematic analysis presented in Macciotta et al. [
55] found that wedge failure is the most probable failure mechanisms at S042, and planar sliding is possible along the northern slope. To estimate the RQD of the rock mass, measurements were made on a rock outcrop adjacent to the highway. The distance from the highway to the rock slope introduces some uncertainty when transposing road-side outcrop rock mass properties to the upper rock slope.
3.5. S057—Highway 1A, Exshaw
Site S057, Hwy 1A, Exshaw, consists of two rock-cut slopes, Site A and Site B. This portion of Highway 1A has an AADT of 3781 vpd. The sites comprise the cut backslopes along Highway 1A:02 between kilometer 12.52 and 11.91, approximately 2 km northwest of the Hamlet of Exshaw, Alberta. Geological maps of the area indicate S057 is part of the Exshaw and Banff formations, comprising Paleozoic silty limestone, calcareous siltstone, shale, and siltstone [
57]. While both sites have similar geology, Site A is in a more advanced state of weathering. Both slopes have a height of approximately 15 m. Site A and Site B extend approximately 210 m and 300 m, respectively, along the eastbound lane of the highway.
TEC records of S057 date back to a rock slope scaling program carried out along Highway 1A in the early 2000s. Although identified as a potential rockfall geohazard, S057 was not included in the annual Southern Region geohazards inspection tour until 2019, when the highway maintenance contractor reported an unusually high amount of rockfall debris had accumulated in the catchment ditch [
58]. Prior to 2019, periodic clearing of rockfalls from the ditches and road surface at S057 was carried out as part of routine road maintenance.
3.5.1. Site A
At the time of the inspection at S057—Site A, the majority of rockfall debris was present at the toe of the backslope, which was concentrated in three primary locations where the bedding plane adversely dips out of the slope and intersects another joint set, creating collection chutes. This intersection leads to rockfalls via planar sliding and wedge failure. Most of the rockfall blocks contained in the catchment ditches were relatively small, gravel to cobbles sizes, while there were larger blocks present with multiple boulders in one of the chutes. No notable difficulties were encountered at S057 Site A when applying the rating systems.
3.5.2. Site B
When inspecting S057—Site B, rockfall blocks present were, on average, larger than those at Site A, including cobble and boulder sizes. Accumulation of rockfall debris along the toe of the backslope was more evenly distributed than Site A apart from two locations where boulder-sized rockfall blocks were concentrated. These locations displayed evidence of structurally controlled wedge failures related to intersecting joint sets and possible planar sliding along a prominent bedding plane. A small berm of rockfall debris was present off the shoulder of the highway, indicating recent highway maintenance efforts to remove rockfall blocks from the highway shoulder. During the inspection, mountain goats were seen traversing the crest of the slope while appearing to bypass Site A, which could be attributed to the higher degree of rockfalls present at this site. Similar to Site A, no notable difficulties were encountered when applying the rating systems.
3.6. S070—East of Fir Creek Rock Cut
Site S070, East of Fir Creek Rock Cut, is situated along Highway 541:02 approximately 7 km east of the junction between Highways 40, 541, and 940 at Highwood House. This portion of Highway 541 has an AADT of 647 vpd. Geology maps for the area are dated but indicate the slope is comprised of Mesozoic sandstone, shale, and coal of the Kootenay and Blairmore formations [
54]; additionally, conglomerates were noted within the slope during the field inspection. The varying stratum are interbedded with a sub-vertical bedding plane. The slope has a measured height of approximately 22 m and extends approximately 70 m along the highway.
Slope history for S070 as a geohazard site is limited. The first available inspection report dates back to a 2005 Highway 40/Highway 541 corridor review. The next inspection of S070 was conducted in 2009, and the consultant recommended that S070 presented minimal risk to highway operations and could be discontinued from the annual GRMP inspection tour [
59].
At the time of the inspection, a significant accumulation of rockfalls and sediment was concentrated at the base of an erosion channel near the western extent of the slope. The channel appears to be facilitating the transport of eroded surficial soils from the crest of the slope, accelerating the erosion of the rock slope at this location. Coal dominates the east portion of the slope where raveling leads to the loss of confinement around more competent sedimentary layers, which leads to further weakening and rockfalls along the slope face. This mechanism also presents itself along the western portion of the slope, where differential weathering of weaker layers is evident. Block toppling is also marginally possible along the western slope with joints nearly parallel to the slope face. Gravel- to cobble-sized rockfalls have accumulated at the toe below this portion of S070. Other rockfalls ranging from gravel to boulder sizes were present along the toe of the slope just off the shoulder of the highway. There were boulders noted resting at the brow of the slope that are likely to fall in the future and may impact the road surface.
3.7. S074—Lipsett Ridge Rock Cut
Site S074, the Lipsett Ridge Rock Cut, is located along Highway 40:12, approximately 28 km south and 26 km north of the junction with Highway 742 and Highway 40, respectively. This portion of Highway 30 has an AADT of 560 vpd. The slope comprises Mesozoic sandstone, siltstone, coal, mudstone, and shale [
60]. The slope has an adverse bedding plane orientation, dipping toward the highway. The slope is approximately 10 m high and extends approximately 210 m along the highway.
Limited information regarding S074 is available from TEC records. One inspection was conducted as part of a 2005 Highway 40/Highway 541 corridor review [
61]. At the time of the inspection, significant differential erosion between the interbedded weak coal and other sedimentary deposits has resulted in large overhangs and the accumulation of rockfalls at five locations along the toe of the slope. This appears to be the dominant mechanism leading to rockfalls at this site. Planar sliding and wedge failure are also possible due to the very unfavorable bedding plane orientation and intersecting joint sets. The rockfall blocks range from sand to boulder sizes. Although no rockfalls are known to have reached the road surface, the effectiveness of the ditch has been significantly diminished. At the most prominent overhang, a large rock block has released from the rock face and will eventually release from the slope, possibly impacting the road surface.
4. Rating System Results and Discussion
To quantify the varying risk associated with different slope failure mechanisms and rockfall block volumes, multiple GRMP RLs have been published for C018 and S042. KCB [
62] introduced three separate RLs for C018 following the major events in 2017 discussed in
Section 3.1. RLs were generated to cover the varying failure mechanisms present at the site: for event volumes greater than 0.5 m
3 (C018-L), less than 0.5 m
3 (C018-S), and for earth slide events. To capture the impact of increased failure event volume on the applicable rating systems, a volume of 10 m
3 was selected to represent an event greater than 0.5 m
3. With historical event volumes upwards of 500 m
3 recorded at C018, this is considered conservative for a major event while having a significant impact on the applicable rating systems. For this study, the RL for an earthside event was not included, as the rating systems selected are intended to assess rockfall events. Similar to C018, AMEC [
56] introduced two RLs for S042 following the rockfall event in 2013 which was applied to both the north and south slopes, resulting in four individual S042 ratings. These distinguished the relative difference in RL for small (S042-North-S and S042-South-S), or frequent, and large (S042-North-L and S042-South-L), or infrequent, rockfall block volumes corresponding to isolated rockfalls from block detachment and larger wedge failures, respectively. Large rockfall blocks volumes were defined as greater than 15 m
3 by KCB [
63]. The small rockfall block volume was selected as less than 0.3 m
3 following the observations and analysis presented in Macciotta et al. [
13] and Macciotta et al. [
55] for S042. Subsequently, for the changes in rockfall event volumes, the Rockfall History and Rockfall Frequency categories pertaining to the RHRS and CRHRS, respectively, were adjusted to reflect the likelihood of the varying volumes. Note that small and large rockfall block volumes were applied to both the north and south slope portions of S042. The varying RLs associated with different failure mechanisms were incorporated into this study as additional data points to analyze the effectiveness of each rating system at capturing the change. The inclusion of the additional RL data increased the total number of slopes to 12 for each of the following comparative analyses. The GRMP ratings, estimated slope angles, and results of each rock slope and rock mass rating system for each study area are presented in
Table 3 and may be inspected together with the slope photos presented in
Figure 1.
4.1. RHRS and CRHRS
With categories to assign values for both probability and consequence, as discussed in
Section 2.2 and
Section 2.3, RHRS and CRHRS were compared directly against the GRMP RL. Traffic data to determine the AVR for both the RHRS and CRHRS were gathered for each of the study areas using the weighed annual average daily traffic (WAADT) published by TEC [
64]. The WAADT is a synthesis of several AADT point volumes into a single value.
The minimum and maximum possible scores for the RHRS are 20 and 905, respectively. The RHRS scores for the sites range from 234 to 512; seven sites scored below 300 indicating low priority, four were between 300 and 500 indicating moderate priority, and one was over 500: C018-L, indicating urgent priority. The slopes scoring well below 300, i.e., S070 and S074, are currently “expired” sites and were last assigned GRMP RLs in 2009 and 2006, respectively. The resulting low RHRS scores gives credence to TEC’s decision to retire these sites. The other four sites scoring below 300 only did so by a small margin, and due to the subjectivity of the RHRS categories, they may fall above 300 if conditions encountered during scoring were interpreted differently. Slopes scoring between 300 and 500 included C018-S, S020, and both S042-North-L and S042-South-L. A linear trendline was applied to
Figure 2a to measure the degree of correlation between the prescribed GRMP RL and RHRS scores. The resulting coefficient of determination (R
2) was quite high with a value of 0.87 for the 12 data points.
The CRHRS scores ranged from 735 to 849 for the sites. The minimum and maximum possible scores for the CRHRS are 63 and 1701, respectively. The CRHRS system is more complex to implement, and there is no provision for determining site priority. It is therefore not a simple matter to determine a rock slope’s priority level on an individual basis. The method developers’ intentions were to have CRHRS results stand out more so that high rockfall hazard sites would be more easily identifiable [
25]. The results of this study seem contradictory to this intention with the total range of CRHRS scores much less than that of the RHRS scores. This is likely an effect of selecting slopes with pre-existing rockfall potential, which inherently score higher. A total of nine Jar Slake tests were conducted, three tests for samples collected from S057-A, S057-B, and S070 as representative geologic samples to estimate the Jar Slake results for S018, S020, and S074. All nine samples were non-reactive after 30 min of submersion. The slaking potential of samples from C018 was previously tested by Roustaei et al. [
49] where two out of three samples began to disaggregate after 24 h of submersion.
The resulting R2 value of 0.20 indicates a poor correlation between GRMP RL and CRHRS. The suspected reasoning for the low R2 value is attributed to the complexity of the CRHRS and relatively low range of scores between the study areas. The summation of 21 category scores provides ample opportunity to deviate from the GRMP RL and potentially diminish or mask features that could have a marked influence on the probability of rockfalls. The most significant CRHRS outliers were S042-South-L, S042-South-S, and S018.
S042-South-S and S042-South-L resulted in the highest CRHRS scores of all the slopes included in this study as well as the greatest deviations from the GRMP RL trend. Between S042-South-L and S042-South-S, the only change in scoring is attributed to Block Size/Volume and Rockfall Frequency. The deviation is largely attributed to the Slope Aspect CRHRS category. The change in slope aspect from the northern to southern slope portions increase the overall S042-South CRHRS scores by 72 points. The rockfall mitigation measures installed at S018, while not captured by the RHRS categories, reduced the CRHRS Ditch Catchment category, which stipulates a scoring of 3 (lowest possible score) if mitigation measures exist. Without the mesh drape, the CRHRS score for S018 would have been 24 points higher.
The RHRS and CRHRS scores were compared directly (
Figure 2c) to review the impact of the additional parameters at each of the rock slopes. The significant deviation from the trend of S042-South-L, S042-South-S, and S018 resulted in an overall poor correlation between the two rating systems with an R
2 value of 0.20. Excluding S042-South-S and S042-South-L from
Figure 2b,c increases the R
2 to 0.72 and 0.69, respectively. While having less than half of the total summed parameters, the relative risk of a slope is well predicted through the RHRS categories alone when taking the GRMP RL as a good proxy for the documented risks at these sites. A similar conclusion was reached via the statistical analysis conducted for the CRHRS [
24,
25], indicating that the total scores could be reasonably estimated measuring only four to six key parameters.
4.2. Q-Slope
The calculated Q-Slope values were directly plotted against the GRMP PF in
Figure 3a with a corresponding R
2 value of 0.40. Equation (3) was applied to each Q-slope value, and the difference from the actual slope angle and calculated β angle was plotted against the GRMP PF (
Figure 3b) where the resulting R
2 value was 0.48. Finally, each Q-Slope value was plotted on the Q-Slope stability chart (
Figure 3c) to see where they lay within the published ranges of stable slopes, unstable slopes, or uncertain stability as a preliminary indicator for slope stability [
31]. Although Q-Slope was developed to allow engineers to assess the changing stability of a slope in the field during construction, parameter selection is generally supplemented with borehole data [
31]. Q-Slope values in this study were determined successfully via basic measurements and visual inspection with some engineering judgement and deployment of the field RQD measuring technique proposed by Hutchinson and Diederichs [
65] for exposed rock walls. Due to the limited accuracy in measuring the actual slope angle at each site using a range finder with a digital clinometer, a general error range was applied to the values shown in
Figure 3b,c of ± 5 degrees. For the sites with remote sensing data (C018, S020, and S042), the range was determined through the direct measurement of slopes with virtual surface models generated from available remote sensing data.
S042-North-S and S042-South-S were identified as outliers in the Q-Slope analysis, while S042-North-L and S042-South-L fit reasonably well. This is likely attributed to Q-Slope not accounting for rockfall event sizes; only the mechanism through which the r event occurs is accounted for by the application of appropriate O-factors. The increased GRMP PF between the two failure mechanisms results in a large deviation from the trend in
Figure 3a,b. Additionally, it is worth noting that the Q-Slope Equation (4) was developed only for slope heights less than 30 m [
33]. Considering S042 extends over 125 m high, a deviation from the trend of
Figure 3b is not unexpected. The Q-Slope results of C018-S and C018-L plot well below the trend in
Figure 3a,b. This is a product of highly disaggregated sedimentary rock present at the site. Furthermore, C018 is approximately 65 m high and, like S042, is beyond the intended slope height to apply Equation (4). The resulting Q-Slope value yields uncertain slope stability plotting outside the range of
Figure 3c. S018 is an interesting case for Q-Slope, since multiple rockfall mitigation measures exist at the site (mesh drape and rock bolts). The Q-Slope adjustment factor for slope reinforcement measures utilized for this case does not appear to fully capture the reinforcement impact. No factor exists for mesh drapes, which theoretically diminishes the consequence of a rockfall event but is not captured by Q-Slope. While the S018 Q-Slope value shows good correlation with the trend in
Figure 2a, it deviates significantly from the trend of
Figure 2b. This is attributed to the definition of the β angle as the steepest slope angle not requiring reinforcement [
33]. The fact that the β angle calculated more closely resembles the approximate dip angle of the bedding plane at S018 rather than the vertical slope cut gives credit to this reasoning. The same reasoning can be applied to explain why S018 plots well into the unstable slope range in
Figure 3c. It is interesting to note that while S070 and S074 consistently correlate well with a relatively low RL and PF, they plot within the unstable slope portion of
Figure 3c. The inclusion of these slopes in this study and their existence within TEC’s rockfall geohazard database serves as an indicator that they are, or have previously been, unstable. This logic applies to each of the nine slopes in this study, since none plot well inside the stable slope portion of
Figure 3c.
4.3. GSI and RMR
A representative GSI range was assigned to each of the study sites based on visual inspection and detailed review. Due to the subjectivity of GSI’s categories and reliance on the geological expertise of the scorer for the selection of values, the GSI values were selected in the field and later reviewed by experienced practitioners in a workshop setting. Visual records are presented as material supplementary to this manuscript (
Figures S1–S9). Another challenge was encountered when applying GSI to slopes comprising varying rock mass characteristics, i.e., S070 where coal dominates the eastern portion of the slope. In such a case, a GSI range must be determined for each rock mass and reported separately, or a weighted average could be used to provide a single range. For the purpose of this study, since only one site displayed such changes in rock mass characteristics, the GSI for each was weighted based on the estimated percent composition of the slope to determine an overall average GSI range. The same methodology was applied to adjust the RMR value for S070. Through visual inspection alone, it is not possible to determine the appropriate values for each of the RMR parameters. Some measurements of the rock face were required but were duplicate measurements from the determination of CRHRS and Q-Slope.
An appropriate RMR score was determined for each slope and adjusted to fit the RMR89′ requirements for direct comparison to GSI using Equation (5).
Figure 4 presents the correlation between GSI, RMR89′, and GRMP PF for each of the slopes included in this study. Vertical error bars correspond to the representative bounds of the GSI range selected for each of the slopes. The computed GSI value using RMR89′ and Equation (5) proved very effective and fell within the representative GSI range for each of the slopes included in this study. The average percent difference of RMR89′ to the median GSI value was 9% which is not significant from a practical geotechnical engineering perspective.
The only significant deviation from the trend presented in
Figure 3 was S042-North-S and S042-South-S. This is attributed to the same reasoning as in
Figure 3a,b for Q-Slope, where the rating system has no capacity to capture the increase in rockfall event volume. While Q-Slope can account for different failure mechanisms, GSI and RMR lack this capacity as well. Overall, with the exception of S042, a reasonable correlation between GSI and the GRMP PF resulted from this analysis with an R
2 value of 0.54.
4.4. Summary of Results
The comparison between the GRMP rating system and other industry-accepted rock mass and rock slope rating systems is intended to gauge the effectiveness of each at quantifying risk from rockfall geohazards along linear infrastructure. From the results of this study, a range of correlation strengths was obtained. Major outliers for each correlation were largely justifiable after a detailed review of key categories for each rating system that led to a deviation from the generated trend. A strong correlation was derived between the GRMP RL and RHRS, which gives credit to TEC’s GRMP and consultants taking part in the program. For the poor correlation derived between the GRMP RL and the CRHRS values, it is unclear which rating system is better suited for Alberta rock slopes. While the simplicity of the GRMP RL may be a limitation of TEC’s current system, the complexity of the CRHRS does not lend itself to easy implementation. Additionally, the narrow range of CRHRS scores determined for the study sites may make it more difficult for agencies to prioritize sites. It is also possible that the poor correlation between CRHRS and the GRMP RL is a result of the GRMP’s simplicity. When considering S042, the slope must be viewed from a distance, and little data regarding past rockfall events are available. This may lead the GRMP scorers to select more conservative PF or CF values, resulting in a higher RL. From an asset management perspective, a slope with a high RL would trigger additional monitoring of the slope’s performance and ultimately determine if adjustment to the rating is required. Since the CRHRS is actively in use as a GAM assessment tool in Colorado, a clear conclusion cannot be drawn of the CRHRS applicability to GAM from the twelve Alberta rock slopes assessed in this study. However, the results from this limited study indicate that the CRHRS ranking does not provide adequate differentiation for rockfall hazards for highway-related sites in Alberta. The correlation resulting between Q-Slope and the GRMP PF was marginal when looking at both the Q-Slope score and difference between the actual slope angle and calculated β angle (
Figure 3a and
Figure 3b, respectively). It is unclear if Q-Slope would hold up as an effective preliminary assessment tool in a comprehensive GAM program. A reasonable correlation between the GRMP PF and GSI was achieved considering GSI and RMR do not consider the failure mechanisms at work within a rock slope, giving credit to GSI’s strength as a rock mass characterization tool. Although, like Q-Slope, its applicability as a condition assessment tool for GAM remains in question. A range of values for each asset adds unnecessary complexity for an agency to assign priority for resource allocation.