Abstract
To investigate the effects of long-term elevated atmospheric CO2 (eCO2) on the distribution and stability of soil aggregates and microbial characteristics in wetland soils and to reveal the mechanisms by which eCO2 influences soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration, a multi-temporal-scale eCO2 control experiment was conducted in the Sanjiang Plain wetland with treatments at ambient CO2 concentration (AC), 550 ppm, and 700 ppm CO2. Soil aggregate fractionation, phospholipid fatty acid (PLFA) analysis, and redundancy analysis (RDA) were used to analyze changes in aggregate size distribution, stability indices (MWD, GMD), microbial biomass, and community structure. The results showed that eCO2 significantly affected aggregate size distribution. Both short- and long-term exposure to low-concentration eCO2 reduced the proportion of large aggregates. Over time, the proportion of silt and clay particles increased, while microaggregates decreased. Although CO2 concentration did not directly affect MWD and GMD, long-term eCO2 significantly reduced soil aggregate stability. Microbial biomass and diversity were not sensitive to CO2 concentration but decreased significantly with prolonged exposure. In contrast, microbial community structure was significantly affected by both CO2 level and exposure duration. RDA indicated that, under short-term eCO2, aggregate fractions were positively correlated with microbial biomass, whereas, under medium- and long-term treatments, they were positively correlated with soil physicochemical properties. Macroaggregates were positively correlated with aggregate stability, while microaggregates and silt–clay fractions were negatively correlated—a relationship that strengthened with longer eCO2 exposure. Thus, long-term eCO2 altered soil aggregate structure and microbial communities, ultimately influencing SOC stability. These findings provide data and theoretical support for predicting soil carbon stability and ecosystem functioning in wetlands under climate change.