Current Market Landscape and Industry Voices in Key Timber Construction Markets
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Objectives of This Study
1.2. Research Approach and Methodology
2. Market Perspective and Industry Voices Towards Timber Construction
2.1. Global Market Overview
2.1.1. Timber Buildings with 1–8 Stories Segment to Keep Leadership from 2022 to 2031
2.1.2. Residential Building Segment to Maintain Leadership from 2022 to 2031
2.1.3. Europe to Maintain Market Dominance Through 2031
2.2. National and Regional Perspectives
2.2.1. Australia
2.2.2. The United States of America
2.2.3. Austria
2.2.4. Switzerland
2.2.5. Sweden
2.2.6. Finland
2.2.7. SUDOE Region (Southwest France, Portugal and Spain)
2.2.8. Germany
- Knippershelbig GmbH, an internationally respected engineering design firm and structural designer of the proposed Burj Zanzibar (96 m), anticipated to become the world’s tallest timber building.
- Kaden + Lager GmbH, regarded as Germany’s trailblazer in multi-story timber architecture, with landmark projects such as Skaio (34 m, Heilbronn), Famju (20 m, Heilbronn), and WA 16 West in Munich’s Prinz-Eugen-Park.
- C4 Engineers GmbH, the structural engineering office behind The Cradle (22 m, Düsseldorf), Germany’s first circular-economy timber-hybrid office building.
2.2.9. China
2.2.10. Japan
2.2.11. New Zealand
2.2.12. Norway
2.2.13. Canada
2.3. Cross-Regional Insights and Discussion on Different Industrial Voices
3. Results, Discussions and Conclusions
3.1. Results and Discussions
- Europe maintains global leadership, underpinned by strong climate policy, advanced CLT/GLT production, and growing mid- and high-rise timber adoption. Europe accounts for more than half of global revenue and remains the most advanced market. Austria and Switzerland have strong export-oriented timber industries; Germany integrates timber into national climate strategies; and the Nordic countries continue to rely heavily on wood-frame traditions while moving toward high-rise timber. Policies such as France’s RE2020 and the German Holzbauinitiative provide regulatory pull, while digitalization and prefabrication improve competitiveness. Challenges persist in fire protection and labor shortages. Some countries in Europe, such as Switzerland, Norway, Finland, Austria and Germany, emphasize sustainability, digitalization, and regulatory innovation but echo recurring constraints of cost, permitting, and skills gaps.
- North America shows rapid project growth (particularly the U.S.) but still faces cost, code, and insurance barriers; Canada benefits from a more integrated strategy and significant production capacity.
- Australia and New Zealand advance through targeted financial programs (e.g., CEFC Timber Building Program, Mid-Rise Wood Programme), though domestic uptake remains uneven.
- Japan and China represent large-scale opportunities, supported by strong forest resources and government policies. Both countries, however, face technical and market challenges such as fire design, insurer acceptance, and supply chain maturity.
- Harmonized building codes (especially performance-based fire safety);
- Expanded financial incentives and procurement frameworks that internalize carbon benefits;
- Supply chain integration and scaling of prefabrication;
- Workforce upskilling to address gaps in timber engineering, digital construction, and sustainability competences.
3.2. Conclusions
- Market growth trajectory: The global market is expected to nearly double from 2021 to 2031, with Europe leading and the Asia-Pacific region showing the fastest growth potential.
- Opportunities: Carbon reduction, speed of construction, prefabrication, and biophilic benefits make timber an attractive alternative to steel and concrete.
- Barriers: Common hurdles include high upfront costs, regulatory and fire safety challenges, insurance constraints, and limited technical skills.
- Regional contrasts: Europe and Canada illustrate the benefits of integrated policy and industrial ecosystems; the U.S. demonstrates rapid project expansion but fragmented frameworks; Australia and New Zealand rely on targeted financing to overcome supply chain gaps; and China and Japan highlight how large markets can be mobilized by strong policy but still face cultural and technical barriers.
- Cross-cutting needs: Harmonized codes, financial and procurement incentives, integrated supply chains, and workforce training are the most frequently cited levers for scaling up adoption.
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Country/Region | Current Status and Perspectives |
---|---|
Global market | USD 850M in 2021; USD 1.54 billion by 2031 (CAGR 6%). Growth driven by demand for low-carbon materials; barriers include high costs and durability concerns. CLT leads; NLT has the fastest growth. Residential dominates; commercial is the fastest-growing. Europe leads; LAMEA has the fastest growth. |
Australia | The CEFC AUD 300M program supports timber uptake. Domestic production is limited; imports are high. Barriers: outdated codes, cost perception, insurer/financier hesitance. Initiatives: new codes, carbon reporting, training, and financing schemes. |
The United States | More than 2000 projects completed/planned. Growth potential huge (0.4% of softwood industry). Barriers: cost, code limits, few suppliers. The 2021 IBC permits taller timber; incentives and collaboration needed to scale. |
Switzerland | New EU-aligned timber regulation (2022). Growing multi-story timber sector. Drivers: prefabrication, hardwood use, and robotics/digitization. Still reliant on imports; potential in public and residential sectors. |
Finland | The National Forest Strategy 2035 promotes sustainable forestry. Construction slowdown since 2022; recovery expected in 2025. Architects value wood’s ecology but note cost/fire safety issues. Barriers: cost, sound/fire concerns, and knowledge gaps. |
SUDOE region (Southwest France, Portugal and Spain) | Since 2013, 39 multi-story timber buildings. CLT production boosted growth. Spruce dominant, local pine/Douglas rising. Portugal: strong exports; France: RE2020 regulation and NRRP investments drive timber use. Challenges: market dynamics. |
Austria | Forests cover 48% of the land. Harvest 19.4M m3 in 2022. Strong exports (laminated timber, parquet). Incentives: “CO2 Bonus” subsidy. Iconic projects (HoHo Wien) illustrate advanced timber adoption. |
Germany | Climate Action Plan 2050 and Forest Strategy 2050 drive wood use. Wood is ~20% of multi-story residential permits. Industry: ~75k employees, EUR 9 billion turnover. Barriers: fire safety, permits, cost. Government initiatives: “Holzbauinitiative” and “building-turbo”. |
China | Timber construction is <0.05% of the residential market but is growing in low-rise and public buildings. Strong policy push (NFPP, “30·60” climate targets, prefab 30% by 2025). Domestic CLT standards (LY/T 3039-2018) and mid-rise allowances up to 18 stories. Emerging supply (≥4 CLT plants), but barriers remain: cost, fire/code complexity, and limited stakeholder familiarity. |
Japan | Timber construction revenue is USD ~729M in 2024; projected CAGR is ~10%. Forest-rich, rising wood self-sufficiency (~41%). Strong policy alignment (ZEH/ZEB, wood promotion acts, Clean Wood Act). Prefab wood housing dominates (80% of low-rise homes); policy focuses on scaling mid-/high-rise. Barriers: cost, insurer/code acceptance; enablers: R&D in seismic/fire safety and CLT growth. |
New Zealand | The 1.79M ha plantation forest is radiata pine dominant. Forestry exports USD ~5.9 billion (2024). Mass timber is still limited, mainly residential CLT. The government BfCC program targets “near-zero” buildings by 2050. The Mid-Rise Wood Programme drives uptake; notable projects include Clearwater Quays and Tauranga Council HQ. Constraints: cost, fire consenting, uneven supply chain. Growing momentum in non-residential. |
Canada | The world’s second largest mass timber market after Europe. Approximately 700 completed projects; 140+ underway. Market USD ~379M in 2024, forecast USD ~1.2 billion by 2030, USD ~2.4 billion by 2035. Strong provincial policies (e.g., BC, Ontario) allow 12–18 story EMTC. ~20 production facilities, ~0.5M m3 CLT/GLT capacity. Barriers: insurance, logistics, and supply chain integration. Opportunities: scaling prefab, code modernization, and procurement incentives. |
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Yan, L.; Klingner, R.; Al-Qudsi, A.; Chen, H.; Dand, J.A. Current Market Landscape and Industry Voices in Key Timber Construction Markets. Buildings 2025, 15, 3381. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15183381
Yan L, Klingner R, Al-Qudsi A, Chen H, Dand JA. Current Market Landscape and Industry Voices in Key Timber Construction Markets. Buildings. 2025; 15(18):3381. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15183381
Chicago/Turabian StyleYan, Libo, Raoul Klingner, Ahmad Al-Qudsi, Haoze Chen, and Junaid Ajaz Dand. 2025. "Current Market Landscape and Industry Voices in Key Timber Construction Markets" Buildings 15, no. 18: 3381. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15183381
APA StyleYan, L., Klingner, R., Al-Qudsi, A., Chen, H., & Dand, J. A. (2025). Current Market Landscape and Industry Voices in Key Timber Construction Markets. Buildings, 15(18), 3381. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15183381