Next Article in Journal
Research on the Mechanical Behavior of External Composite Steel Bar Under Cyclic Tension-Compression Loading
Previous Article in Journal
Impact of Underground Space Height and BMI on Children’s Fatigue During Ascending Evacuation: An Experimental Study and Intelligent Assistive Implications
 
 
Font Type:
Arial Georgia Verdana
Font Size:
Aa Aa Aa
Line Spacing:
Column Width:
Background:
Article

Thermal Comfort in Social Housing in Ecuador: Do Free-Running Buildings Work in Current and Future Climates?

by
Evelyn Delgado-Gutierrez
,
Carlos Rubio-Bellido
* and
Jacinto Canivell
Higher Technical School of Building Engineering, University of Seville, Seville 41012, Spain
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Buildings 2025, 15(12), 2018; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15122018
Submission received: 19 May 2025 / Revised: 2 June 2025 / Accepted: 10 June 2025 / Published: 12 June 2025
(This article belongs to the Topic Sustainable Building Development and Promotion)

Abstract

Ecuador faces a significant housing deficit, prompting government policies aimed at improving access to social housing for vulnerable families. Despite its relatively small geographic size, the country exhibits substantial climatic diversity, encompassing ten distinct Köppen–Geiger climate zones. These range from tropical rainforests to high-altitude Andean regions, each requiring specific housing strategies. However, social housing units are typically designed using a standardized model that disregards regional climatic variations, leading to suboptimal thermal performance and energy inefficiencies. This study evaluates the thermal comfort performance of standardized free-running social housing across six distinct cantons, using the ASHRAE 55-2020 adaptive comfort model. Dynamic simulations were conducted for both current climatic conditions and future scenarios for 2050 and 2100, employing tools such as Meteonorm 8.1 (for weather data), EnergyPlus 9.4.0, and DesignBuilder 7.0 (for thermal modeling). The findings reveal significant differences in indoor comfort levels among identical housing units due to localized climate conditions. Notably, high-altitude regions showed improved thermal performance under future scenarios, whereas coastal lowland areas experienced increased discomfort. These results underscore the urgent need for climate-responsive, adaptive housing designs tailored to local climatic realities across all regions of Ecuador.

1. Introduction

In 2020, the global urban population exceeded 4.4 billion, with more than 75% residing in urban centers of less developed regions. An estimated 1 billion people live in informal settlements or inadequate housing conditions [1]. While this issue predominantly affects low-income regions in Asia and Africa [2,3], Latin America also experiences a considerable housing deficit, exacerbated by ongoing migration trends [4]. The region’s urban population is projected to reach 100 million by 2025 [5], increasing the demand for housing and exacerbating the number of households living in inadequate conditions.
This housing deficit is not only quantitative but also qualitative. Many dwellings fail to meet minimum standards of safety and habitability, contributing significantly to housing inadequacy [6,7]. In Ecuador, housing adequacy is assessed based on factors such as access to basic services, construction materials, and overcrowding [8,9]. Although public housing initiatives aim to reduce the quantitative shortfall, they often overlook qualitative dimensions like thermal comfort and energy efficiency [10].
Social housing plays a crucial role in mitigating the housing deficit. However, standardized designs often neglect local climatic conditions, resulting in thermally inefficient buildings. Thermal comfort—a key determinant of indoor environmental quality and occupant well-being—is influenced by variables such as metabolic rate and clothing insulation [11,12,13,14,15]. The ASHRAE Standard 55 [16] defines the following acceptable indoor temperature ranges: 23–26 °C in summer and 20–24 °C in winter, with recommended humidity levels to ensure comfort and health. Consequently, indoor thermal comfort has become a widely studied topic [17,18,19,20,21].
Thermal comfort assessment commonly employs two approaches: the Predicted Mean Vote (PMV) and adaptive models [14]. PMV estimates thermal neutrality based on a controlled set of environmental and personal factors [22], while adaptive models account for occupants’ capacity to adjust to temperature variations over time. These adaptive models are particularly relevant in regions with low seasonal temperature variability, such as Ecuador.
Thermally comfortable indoor environments are essential for preventing health risks such as heat stress and cardiovascular conditions [15,23]. In Ecuador, the housing deficit in 2020 was 13.92%, according to the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INEC) [24,25]. In response, the government launched initiatives like the “Casa para Todos” program [26], aiming to construct 220,900 housing units between 2019 and 2021 [27].
Ecuador’s diverse geography and climate pose distinct challenges for social housing design. The country comprises four major regions—the Coast, Highlands, Amazon, and Galápagos—and spans eight Köppen–Geiger climate zones [28]. Despite this variability, Ecuador experiences only two primary seasons—dry and rainy—with relatively stable temperatures throughout the year [29,30]. These characteristics make adaptive comfort models particularly suitable for the national context. Administratively, Ecuador is divided into 24 provinces, which are further subdivided into cantons and parishes [31].
Previous studies support the application of adaptive models in Ecuador due to the country’s unique climatic and geographic conditions and the population’s demonstrated capacity for acclimatization [32]. However, their use remains limited, as most research on adaptive comfort has focused on the Mediterranean, Southern European, and selected Asian and American regions. [33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41].
In recent years, adaptive thermal comfort models have become valuable tools for improving indoor environmental quality and energy performance. Their implementation has expanded across tropical climates like those in Malaysia and Mexico [42,43], temperate zones in Europe and India [44], and has informed the development of national comfort standards. Recent refinements include adjustments for temporal dynamics and occupant behavior, highlighting the models’ versatility in supporting sustainable building practices [45,46,47,48].
Given Ecuador’s minimal seasonal temperature variation, it presents an optimal context for applying adaptive thermal comfort models. Simulation tools are essential for evaluating climatic responses and thermal behavior in different housing typologies [49,50,51,52].
This study evaluates and compares the thermal comfort performance of two identical free-running social housing units—part of an existing government prototype—across six Ecuadorian climate zones under both current and projected climate scenarios. It seeks to answer the following questions (RQs):
  • RQ1: How do two identical homes perform thermally across Ecuador’s diverse climate zones?
  • RQ2: Can consistent behavioral patterns be identified across different climates?
  • RQ3: How do performances vary under three climate change scenarios?
Simulations were conducted for six representative locations to analyze both present and future indoor thermal performance. The methodology and data sources are presented in the following section.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 outlines the methodology and climate scenarios used. Section 3 presents the simulation results and discusses their implications. Section 4 concludes the study by summarizing key findings and proposing recommendations for future housing design in similar climatic contexts.

2. Methodology

This study comprises four main phases: (i) defining the building model, (ii) setting simulation parameters, (iii) selecting the adaptive comfort model, and (iv) acquiring and processing climatic data. Each phase is described below.

2.1. Case Study

The selected case is a standardized multi-family block from Ecuador’s “Casa para Todos” housing program, which aimed to build 220,900 units between 2018 and 2021 [26,27]. The “4D block” typology includes four 52 m2 apartments—two per floor (Figure 1). Each unit contains two bedrooms, one bathroom, a kitchen, and a living–dining area, with a 2.55 m floor-to-ceiling height. Ground-floor units are adapted for individuals with reduced mobility.
Construction specifications are as follows:
  • Walls: 10 cm reinforced concrete with plaster and paint; U-value: 2.695 W/m2·K;
  • Floor: 10 cm concrete with ceramic finish; U-value: 3.15 W/m2·K;
  • Intermediate slab: 15 cm concrete with ceramic finish;
  • Roof: Metal frame with 5 mm polyurethane panel; U-value: 3.13 W/m2·K;
  • Windows: 4 mm single-glazed glass in aluminum frames; U-value: 5.70 W/m2·K;
  • Doors: Interior wood, exterior metal.
Two units were selected for simulation: Living A (ground floor) and Living B (upper floor), based on high daytime occupancy patterns (Figure 1). The block’s south-facing orientation was preserved. Due to Ecuador’s equatorial location, orientation was not expected to significantly influence thermal performance [30].

2.2. Parametric Thermal Simulations

Thermal simulations were conducted using DesignBuilder v7 [53], a validated dynamic simulation interface for EnergyPlus, to assess indoor thermal behavior based on the described envelope and occupancy conditions. Inputs were derived from national household profiles [54], assuming a four-member family per unit (Figure 2).
All simulations modeled naturally ventilated conditions—windows opened from 09:30 to 17:30 daily. No mechanical heating or cooling systems were included, reflecting the original design specifications.
A total of 42 annual simulations were performed: seven per location, representing present-day conditions and future climate scenarios under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 for the years 2050 and 2100. The models were exported in IDF format for EnergyPlus processing. The results included hourly operative temperatures, later compared against comfort thresholds from the adaptive model.

2.3. Adaptive Thermal Comfort Model from ASHRAE 55-2020

To evaluate thermal comfort, this study adopted the adaptive model outlined in ASHRAE Standard 55-2020 [55], which is appropriate for free-running buildings and climates with low thermal amplitude—such as those found in Ecuador. The standard defines two levels of acceptability: 80% and 90%. The 80% acceptability range was selected to reflect a broader range of occupant comfort.
The model relates indoor comfort limits to the prevailing mean outdoor temperature ( t p m a ( o u t ) ) (Equation (1)), which accounts for short-term outdoor temperature trends. For equatorial climates, ASHRAE recommends an exponential running mean calculated as follows:
t p m a ( o u t ) ¯ = 1 α · d = 1 n α i 1 · T e x t , d [ ° C ]
where α = 0.9 and ( T e x t , d ) represents the daily mean external temperature on day d. This formulation emphasizes recent weather conditions while smoothing day-to-day fluctuations.
Using this value, the operative temperature comfort limits are calculated as follows:
U p p e r   l i m i t   ( 80 %   a c c e p t a b i l i t y ) = 0.31 · t p m a o u t ¯ + 21.3 [ ° C ]
L o w e r   l i m i t   80 %   a c c e p t a b i l i t y = 0.31 · t p m a o u t ¯ + 14.3 [ ° C ]
These limits apply when ( t p m a o u t ) lies between 10 °C and 33.5 °C. Values outside this range fall outside the scope of the model (Figure 3). The operative temperature output from simulations was evaluated against these dynamic thresholds.

2.4. Thermal Comfort Assessment

Thermal performance was assessed by comparing simulated hourly operative temperatures with the calculated adaptive comfort range for each location and climate scenario. This comparison produced the Percentage of Time Within the Adaptive Acceptability Model (PDAAM), defined as Equation (4):
P D A A M = i = 1 8760 d i 8760 d i = 1 i f   33.5 t p m a ( o u t ) ¯ 10
where d i = 1 if the hourly operative temperature is within the comfort range and 0 otherwise. This metric indicates the fraction of the year during which indoor conditions meet adaptive comfort criteria.
The analysis was conducted separately for both apartments (Living A and Living B), across all six locations and seven climate datasets (current and projected scenarios for 2050 and 2100 under RCPs 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5). The results were aggregated to identify patterns in comfort performance and vulnerability to future climatic changes.

2.5. Climate Data

Six locations representing distinct Köppen–Geiger zones were selected, each with over 50,000 inhabitants [56]. The location of the localities is shown in the Figure 4. The climate zones analyzed are the following:
  • Cfb: Quito. Oceanic climate, characterized by cool summers and cold or mild winters;
  • Af: Nueva Loja. Humid tropical or jungle climate, with high temperatures and rain throughout the year;
  • Aw: Esmeraldas. Tropical savanna, with warm temperatures year-round and a defined dry season;
  • Am: Santo Domingo. Tropical monsoon climate, featuring warm temperatures with alternating dry and wet seasons;
  • BWh: Santa Elena. Hot desert climate, with mild winters and significant diurnal temperature variation;
  • BSh: Portoviejo. Semi-arid hot climate, with mild winters and warm summers;
  • Climate files were generated via METEONORM using stochastic extrapolation [57,58].
Seven datasets per location covered current and future RCP scenarios (2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) for 2050 and 2100 [59]. Temperature ranges of each locality are shown in Figure 5.

3. Results and Discussion

The thermal behavior of the analyzed units reveals significant differences in performance between ground-floor (Living A) and upper-floor (Living B) spaces under various climate scenarios and locations. For clarity, the operative temperature profiles were converted into degree-hours outside the adaptive comfort range, following Equation (4), and represented in point diagrams (see Appendix A). This representation accounts for all 8760 h of the year for each scenario and dwelling.
These results are consistent with prior research evaluating adaptive comfort in Ecuador [60], highlighting how the relative thermal stability of many Ecuadorian climate zones throughout the year supports the application of broader adaptive setpoints. This approach contrasts with fixed temperature thresholds, offering potential energy savings by reducing reliance on mechanical heating and cooling systems, as supported by previous studies in diverse climate contexts [11,18,36,37,38,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73].
Figure 6 shows the degree-hours outside adaptive limits for each dwelling and scenario. Overall, Living A demonstrates better performance than Living B across most locations and time horizons, particularly in warmer regions. A recurring pattern is the presence of degree-hours below the lower comfort limit in all locations, while upper-limit exceedances are generally more prominent in Living B. Notably, only Quito recorded cooling demand in Living A, while Living B presented upper-limit exceedances in all scenarios and cities.
Quito (Cfb climate):
Temperature variability between floors is relatively small. Both rooms register significant hours below the adaptive lower limit: 55.79% in Living A and 41.30% in Living B under current conditions (Table 1).
Overheating is rare in Living A but increases notably in Living B under extreme scenarios, reaching 89.85% in 2050 (RCP 8.5) and 85.25% in 2100 (RCP 2.6).
Portoviejo (Aw climate):
Living B exceeds upper comfort limits under RCPs 4.5 and 8.5 by 2050 and 2100. While Living A remains mostly within acceptable ranges, it registers 206 degree-hours below the lower threshold under RCP 8.5 (2050). Living B experiences no hours below the lower limit in any scenario.
Santo Domingo (Am climate):
Degree-hours below lower limits are more frequent in Living A, with peaks of 818 °C (current), 470 °C (2050, RCP 8.5), and 531 °C (2100, RCP 2.6).
Overheating is concentrated in Living B, surpassing 4000 degree-hours in 2050 under RCPs 2.6 and 4.5.
Santa Elena (BWh climate):
Living A records negligible hours below lower limits, with a minor exception in 2050 (RCP 2.6). However, it shows increasing upper-limit exceedances across scenarios. In contrast, Living B remains relatively stable, staying mostly within comfort bounds.
Esmeraldas (Af climate):
While both dwellings register degree-hours below the lower limit, these increase substantially under the current and 2100 (RCP 2.6) scenarios, reaching 919 °C and 2597 °C, respectively. Overheating is a major concern for Living B, with nearly 6000 h above comfort limits in 2100 under RCP 8.5.
Nueva Loja (BSh climate):
Degree-hours below lower limits appear only in 2050 (RCP 8.5), with 99 °C for Living A and 6473 °C for Living B.
Overheating occurs exclusively in Living B under 2100 (RCP 8.5), whereas Living A remains within the adaptive limits throughout all scenarios.
Table 1. Values within the adaptive comfort limits obtained by both dwellings in each climate scenario. Lighter shades indicate higher percentages of comfort (better performance), while darker shades reflect lower comfort levels.
Table 1. Values within the adaptive comfort limits obtained by both dwellings in each climate scenario. Lighter shades indicate higher percentages of comfort (better performance), while darker shades reflect lower comfort levels.
Living A
ScenarioPortoviejoQuitoSanta ElenaEsmeraldasNueva LojaSanto Domingo
202098.85%44.21%99.33%89.51%95.96%90.66%
2050 RCP 2.699.12%52.69%95.43%99.34%99.59%100.00%
2050 RCP 4.599.82%54.04%99.70%99.82%98.20%100.00%
2050 RCP 8.597.65%94.11%99.91%99.62%98.87%94.63%
2100 RCP 2.698.95%93.53%99.97%70.35%97.16%93.94%
2100 RCP 4.599.74%62.81%99.95%99.25%99.52%97.05%
2100 RCP 8.5100.00%75.98%100.00%99.97%100.00%99.34%
Living B
ScenarioPortoviejoQuitoSanta ElenaEsmeraldasNueva LojaSanto Domingo
202069.78%58.44%60.96%83.04%78.90%88.24%
2050 RCP 2.666.23%67.57%71.56%60.53%60.84%44.58%
2050 RCP 4.549.94%70.58%52.72%49.54%66.83%49.45%
2050 RCP 8.569.98%10.15%49.32%56.70%26.11%82.42%
2100 RCP 2.664.55%14.75%45.40%89.03%71.42%83.86%
2100 RCP 4.557.10%78.73%44.03%57.31%54.36%79.50%
2100 RCP 8.536.05%88.26%25.72%31.51%29.94%63.16%
Table 1 synthesizes the PDAAM values for both units across scenarios, now visualized using a grayscale gradient for clearer interpretation. Lighter shades indicate higher percentages of comfort (better performance), while darker shades reflect lower comfort levels. This approach responds to reviewer feedback aiming to improve visual accessibility and consistency.
A consistent pattern emerges: ground-floor dwellings (Living A) maintain PDAAM values above 90% in most cases, except in colder climates like Quito. Conversely, upper-floor units (Living B) show reduced comfort performance in all cities, although Santo Domingo exhibits comparatively moderate results.
The differences between Quito (average 14.16 °C) and Esmeraldas (average 24.77 °C) underscore the climatic contrasts driving these outcomes. As illustrated in Figure 7, Esmeraldas exhibits consistent differences between units, with Living A generally staying within comfort limits. Meanwhile, in Quito, both units frequently fall outside acceptable ranges—above and below—demonstrating the limitations of passive design in cooler highland conditions.
These findings underscore the critical role of localized adaptive strategies in social housing. To maintain thermal comfort under future climate conditions, especially in warmer and more vulnerable regions, robust passive solutions (e.g., shading, natural ventilation, thermal insulation) must be prioritized. The results provide a basis for informing climate-sensitive housing policies and support the use of adaptive comfort models as predictive tools in diverse contexts.
It is important to acknowledge certain limitations inherent to this study. The analysis relies on projected climate scenarios and standardized adaptive comfort models, which, while robust for comparative purposes, may not fully capture the nuances of occupant behavior, construction variability, or microclimatic influences. Additionally, simulations were based on a single social housing prototype, limiting the direct generalization of findings to other building typologies or informal settlements. The assumption of typical occupancy schedules and uniform indoor activities may also diverge from actual usage patterns across Ecuadorian regions. Nevertheless, these constraints do not undermine the value of the study; rather, they highlight areas for future research, particularly the need for empirical validations, behavioral studies, and broader typological sampling. Despite these limitations, the findings offer critical insights into the role of adaptive comfort strategies in guiding resilient and context-sensitive housing design under evolving climatic conditions.

4. Conclusions and Future Work

This study analyzed the thermal performance of two identical social housing units across Ecuador’s diverse climatic zones under current and future climate scenarios. The findings provide evidence to respond directly to the research questions:
RQ1: How do two identical homes perform thermally across Ecuador’s diverse climate zones?
The analysis revealed clear performance disparities between climate zones. Ground-floor dwellings (Living A) consistently outperformed upper-floor dwellings (Living B), particularly in hot and humid regions such as Esmeraldas and Santo Domingo. In colder zones like Quito, both units recorded considerable discomfort due to low temperatures, with Living A slightly outperforming due to better thermal buffering.
RQ2: Can consistent behavioral patterns be identified across different climates?
Three consistent patterns emerged: (1) Ground-floor units performed better in warm climates due to reduced solar gains; (2) upper-floor units were more vulnerable to overheating, especially under future scenarios; and (3) all locations experienced discomfort primarily due to underheating in the present and overheating in the future. These patterns suggest the need for differentiated design strategies based on altitude and climate type.
RQ3: How do performances vary under three climate change scenarios?
Climate projections showed a reduction in heating demand and an increase in cooling demand across all scenarios. In cities like Quito, warming led to improved comfort for ground-floor units (e.g., 94.11% within comfort limits in RCP 8.5, 2050), while in coastal or lowland areas (e.g., Esmeraldas and Santa Elena), thermal comfort deteriorated under RCP 8.5 by 2100, especially in upper-floor units. Adaptive models captured these shifts more effectively than static thresholds.
Across all climate zones and scenarios, none of the units achieved universal comfort passively. The analyzed buildings operated as free-running dwellings without HVAC systems, revealing that passive design alone will not be sufficient to ensure indoor comfort, particularly under extreme future conditions. This underscores the need for integrated solutions combining passive and low-energy active systems, especially in regions projected to face overheating.
Despite limitations—such as using a single prototype and relying on climate projections—this study offers valuable insights for future housing resilience. The application of adaptive comfort models in equatorial regions, combined with localized analysis, enables better design decisions and policy guidance for thermally resilient social housing.
These findings reinforce the importance of designing housing that responds to both present and projected climatic realities. The strong performance of ground-floor dwellings in warm and humid regions highlights the value of passive thermal mass and shading, while the vulnerability of upper-floor units suggests the need for specific design adaptations—such as reflective roofing, ventilated attics, or shading elements—to mitigate overheating risks. The performance improvement in colder regions like Quito under future scenarios opens opportunities for reducing heating needs but also demands careful monitoring to avoid overheating in the long term. Overall, the use of adaptive comfort models provided a more nuanced understanding of building performance under changing climates, enabling tailored responses that would not be evident under static setpoint assumptions. This study contributes to the growing body of evidence that adaptive, climate-sensitive design strategies must be integral to future housing policy in tropical and equatorial regions.
Future research should focus on the following:
  • Integrating energy-efficient active systems to meet comfort demands in extreme scenarios;
  • Expanding analyses to include diverse housing types, informal settlements, and rural configurations;
  • Exploring the use of local materials and passive cooling strategies tailored to specific climatic and cultural contexts.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, E.D.-G.; Methodology, E.D.-G.; Software, E.D.-G. and J.C.; Formal analysis, E.D.-G. and J.C.; Investigation, C.R.-B.; Resources, C.R.-B.; Writing—original draft, E.D.-G.; Writing—review & editing, E.D.-G., C.R.-B. and J.C.; Visualization, E.D.-G. and J.C.; Supervision, J.C.; Project administration, C.R.-B.; Funding acquisition, C.R.-B. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This work was supported by the RD project ‘Positive Energy Buildings Potential for Climate Change Adaptation and Energy Poverty Mitigation, referenced as PID2021-122437OA-I00. Evelyn Delgado-Gutierrez wishes to thank the support of the Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades of Spain under a FPU20/04348 grant.

Data Availability Statement

The original contributions presented in this study are included in the article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Abbreviations

ASHRAEAmerican Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers
CDDsCooling degree days
CDHsCooling degree hours
EPW EnergyPlus weather file
HDDsHeating degree days
HDHsHeating degree hours
RHRelative humidity
HVACHeating, ventilation, and air conditioning
ISOInternational Organization for Standardization
INECNational Institute of Statistics and Census of Ecuador
PDAAMPercentage of Time Within the Adaptive Acceptability Model
RCP Representative Concentration Pathway

Appendix A

Figure A1. Comparison of the performance of dwellings in Portoviejo (a) and Nueva Loja (b) in the current climate situation and in the projections to 2050 and 2100 in RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. Axis X shows the predominant average temperature of the outdoor air (°C), and axis Y shows the indoor operative temperature (°C).
Figure A1. Comparison of the performance of dwellings in Portoviejo (a) and Nueva Loja (b) in the current climate situation and in the projections to 2050 and 2100 in RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. Axis X shows the predominant average temperature of the outdoor air (°C), and axis Y shows the indoor operative temperature (°C).
Buildings 15 02018 g0a1
Figure A2. Comparison of the performance of dwellings in Santa Elena (a) and Santo Domingo (b) in the current climate situation and in the projections to 2050 and 2100 in RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. Axis X shows the predominant average temperature of the outdoor air (°C), and axis Y shows the indoor operative temperature (°C).
Figure A2. Comparison of the performance of dwellings in Santa Elena (a) and Santo Domingo (b) in the current climate situation and in the projections to 2050 and 2100 in RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. Axis X shows the predominant average temperature of the outdoor air (°C), and axis Y shows the indoor operative temperature (°C).
Buildings 15 02018 g0a2

References

  1. Satterthwaite, D.; Archer, D.; Colenbrander, S.; Dodman, D.; Hardoy, J.; Mitlin, D.; Patel, S. Building Resilience to Climate Change in Informal Settlements. One Earth 2020, 2, 143–156. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  2. Reina, V.; Aiken, C. Fair housing: Asian and Latino/A experiences, perceptions, and strategies. Rsf 2021, 7, 201–223. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  3. Núñez Collado, J.R.; Wang, H.H. Slum upgrading and climate change adaptation and mitigation: Lessons from Latin America. Cities 2020, 104, 102791. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  4. Migración, P.d.D. Sobre Datos Migratorios en América del Sur|Portal de Datos Sobre Migración. Available online: https://www.migrationdataportal.org/es/regional-data-overview/datos-migratorios-en-america-del-sur (accessed on 3 May 2023).
  5. Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID) Vivienda Y Desarrollo Urbano. Estudio del BID: América Latina y el Caribe Encaran Creciente Déficit de Vivienda. 2012. Available online: https://www.iadb.org/es/noticias/estudio-del-bid-america-latina-y-el-caribe-encaran-creciente-deficit-de-vivienda#getNews(9969,'')%23 (accessed on 3 May 2023).
  6. Programa de Naciones Unidas Para los Asentamientos Humanos. ONU-Habitat-Elementos de una Vivienda Adecuada, ONU-Habitat. El Programa Las Nac. Unidas Para Los Asentam. Humanos. 2019. Available online: https://onuhabitat.org.mx/index.php/elementos-de-una-vivienda-adecuada (accessed on 10 September 2023).
  7. Pan American Health Organization. Directrices de la OMS Sobre Vivienda y Salud; Pan American Health Organization: Washington, DC, USA, 2022; ISBN 9789241550376. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  8. ONU HABITAT, Déficit habitacional en América Latina y el Caribe, UN-Habitat. 2015. Available online: https://unhabitat.org/sites/default/files/download-manager-files/Déficit habitacional.pdf (accessed on 10 September 2023).
  9. Normas de Arquitectura y Urbanismo de Quito, ORDENANZA 3457; Concejo Metropolitano de Quito: Quito, Ecuador, 2003.
  10. Arriagada, C. Pobreza en América Latina: Nuevos Escenarios y Desafíos de Políticas para el Hábitat Urbano; Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe: Santiago de Chile, Chile, 2000. [Google Scholar]
  11. Pereira, P.F.d.C.; Broday, E.E. Determination of Thermal Comfort Zones through Comparative Analysis between Different Characterization Methods of Thermally Dissatisfied People. Buildings 2021, 11, 320. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  12. Schaudienst, F.; Vogdt, F.U. Fanger’s model of thermal comfort: A model suitable just for men? Energy Procedia 2017, 132, 129–134. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  13. Amai, H.; Tanabe, S.; Akimoto, T.; Genma, T. Thermal sensation and comfort with different task conditioning systems. Build. Environ. 2007, 42, 3955–3964. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  14. Arakawa Martins, L.; Soebarto, V.; Williamson, T. A systematic review of personal thermal comfort models. Build. Environ. 2022, 207, 108502. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  15. Zhao, Q.; Lian, Z.; Lai, D. Thermal comfort models and their developments: A review. Energy Built Environ. 2021, 2, 21–33. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  16. ASHRAE Standard 55-2017; Thermal Environmental Conditions for Human Occupancy. ASHRAE Inc.: Atlanta, GA, USA, 2017.
  17. Zhang, J.; Lu, J.; Deng, W.; Beccarelli, P.; Lun, I.Y.F. Investigation of thermal comfort and preferred temperatures among rural elderly in Weihai, China: Considering metabolic rate effects. J. Build. Eng. 2024, 97, 110940. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  18. Murtyas, S.; Qian, R.; Matsuo, T.; Tuck, N.W.; Zaki, S.A.; Hagishima, A. Thermal comfort in a two-storey malaysian terrace house: Are passive cooling methods sufficient in present and future climates? J. Build. Eng. 2024, 96, 110412. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  19. Sun, K.; Specian, M.; Hong, T. Nexus of thermal resilience and energy efficiency in buildings: A case study of a nursing home. Build. Environ. 2020, 177, 106842. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  20. Zune, M.; Rodrigues, L.; Gillott, M. The vulnerability of homes to overheating in Myanmar today and in the future: A heat index analysis of measured and simulated data. Energy Build. 2020, 223, 110201. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  21. Arsad, F.S.; Hod, R.; Ahmad, N.; Baharom, M.; Ja’afar, M.H. Assessment of indoor thermal comfort temperature and related behavioural adaptations: A systematic review. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 2023, 30, 73137–73149. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  22. Shaw, E.W. Thermal Comfort: Analysis and applications in environmental engineering, by P. O. Fanger. 244 pp. DANISH TECHNICAL PRESS. Copenhagen, Denmark, 1970. Danish Kr. 76, 50. R. Soc. Health J. 1972, 92, 164. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  23. Wang, J.; Jiang, C.; Yang, G.; Bai, G.; Yu, S. Study on thermal health and its safety management mode for the working environment. Front. Public Heal. 2023, 11, 1–11. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  24. Consejo Nacional para la Igualdad Intergeneracional, CNII|INDICADORES Ecuador. Sist. Gest. Inf. Intergerneracional. 2020. Available online: http://indicadores.igualdad.gob.ec/DatosIndicadores-45-8-107 (accessed on 4 May 2023).
  25. Consejo Nacional para la Igualdad Intergeneracional, CNII|INDICADORES Ecuador. Sist. Gest. Inf. Intergerneracional. 2020. Available online: http://indicadores.igualdad.gob.ec/DatosIndicadores-47-8-122 (accessed on 9 May 2023).
  26. Vivienda, M.d.D.U. Arquitecturas Insurgentes: Academia, Resistencias y Prácticas Artísticas en Arquitectura y Urbanismo; Pontificia Universidad Javeriana: Bogotá, Colombia, 2018. [Google Scholar]
  27. Ministerio de Desarrollo Urbano y Vivienda de la República de Ecuador. Empresa Pública Casa Para, Todos Informe de Rendición de Cuentas 2020; Ministerio de Desarrollo Urbano y Vivienda de la República de Ecuador: Quito, Ecuador, 2021; Volume 1, pp. 1–50. [Google Scholar]
  28. Peel, M.C.; Finlayson, B.L.; Mcmahon, T.A. Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2007, 11, 1633–1644. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  29. Delgado, D.; Sadaoui, M.; Pacheco, H.; Méndez, W.; Ludwig, W. Interrelations Between Soil Erosion Conditioning Factors in Basins of Ecuador: Contributions to the Spatial Model Construction. In Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Water Energy Food and Sustainability, Leiria, Portugal, 10–12 May 2021; pp. 892–903. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  30. Chimborazo, O.; Vuille, M. Present-day climate and projected future temperature and precipitation changes in Ecuador. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 2021, 143, 1581–1597. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  31. Código Orgánico de Organización Territorial, Autonomía y Descentralización (COOTAD). Asamblea Nacional de la República del Ecuador; COOTAD: Quito, Ecuador, 2019. [Google Scholar]
  32. Diz-Mellado, E.; López-Cabeza, V.P.; Rivera-Gómez, C.; Galán-Marín, C.; Rojas-Fernández, J.; Nikolopoulou, M. Extending the adaptive thermal comfort models for courtyards. Build. Environ. 2021, 203, 108094. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  33. Ozarisoy, B.; Altan, H. Bridging the energy performance gap of social housing stock in south-eastern Mediterranean Europe: Climate change and mitigation. Energy Build. 2022, 258, 111687. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  34. Escandón, R.; Suárez, R.; Alonso, A.; Mauro, G.M. Is indoor overheating an upcoming risk in southern Spain social housing stocks? Predictive assessment under a climate change scenario. Build. Environ. 2022, 207, 108482. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  35. Escandón, R.; Suárez, R.; Sendra, J.J. Field assessment of thermal comfort conditions and energy performance of social housing: The case of hot summers in the Mediterranean climate. Energy Policy 2019, 128, 377–392. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  36. Calama-González, C.M.; Symonds, P.; León-Rodríguez, Á.L.; Suárez, R. Optimal retrofit solutions considering thermal comfort and intervention costs for the Mediterranean social housing stock. Energy Build. 2022, 259, 111915. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  37. Sánchez-García, D.; Bienvenido-Huertas, D.; Pulido-Arcas, J.A.; Rubio-Bellido, C. Extending the use of adaptive thermal comfort to air-conditioning: The case study of a local Japanese comfort model in present and future scenarios. Energy Build. 2023, 285, 112901. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  38. Vázquez-Torres, C.E.; Gómez-Amador, A. Impact of indoor air volume on thermal performance in social housing with mixed mode ventilation in three different climates. Energy Built Environ. 2022, 3, 433–443. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  39. Porras-Salazar, J.A.; Contreras-Espinoza, S.; Cartes, I.; Piggot-Navarrete, J.; Pérez-Fargallo, A. Energy poverty analyzed considering the adaptive comfort of people living in social housing in the central-south of Chile. Energy Build. 2020, 223, 110081. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  40. Malik, J.; Bardhan, R. A localized adaptive comfort model for free-running low-income housing in Mumbai, India. Energy Build. 2023, 281, 112756. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  41. Tsoulou, I.; Andrews, C.J.; He, R.; Mainelis, G.; Senick, J. Summertime thermal conditions and senior resident behaviors in public housing: A case study in Elizabeth, NJ, USA. Build. Environ. 2020, 168, 106411. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  42. Firman, N.S.; Zaki, S.A.; Tuck, N.W.; Singh, M.K.; Rijal, H.B. A study on adaptive thermal comfort and ventilation in Malaysia secondary school classrooms of tropical climate. Build. Environ. 2025, 273, 112701. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  43. Sánchez-Montes, J.G.; Flores-Prieto, J.J.; López-Pérez, L.A.; Ríos-Rojas, C. Adaptive thermal comfort models comparison in dry and rainy seasons: A tropical climate case. Energy Build. 2025, 331, 115382. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  44. Onyeizu-Rasheed, E.; Vishnu, P.; Mohsin Shahzad, W.; Attia, S.; Thapa, S.; Pernigotto, G. Adaptive Thermal Comfort in the Different Buildings of Temperate Climates—Comparison Between High-Latitude Europe and Mountainous Himalayas in India. Sustain. 2025, 17, 404. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  45. Sánchez-García, D.; Bienvenido-Huertas, D.; Martínez-Crespo, J.; de Dear, R. Using setpoint temperatures based on adaptive thermal comfort models: The case of an Australian model considering climate change. Build. Environ. 2024, 258, 111647. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  46. Bienvenido-Huertas, D.; Sánchez-García, D.; Tejedor, B.; Rubio-Bellido, C. Energy savings in buildings applying ASHRAE 55 and regional adaptive thermal comfort models. Urban Clim. 2024, 55, 101892. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  47. Miao, Y.; Chau, K.W.; Lau, S.S.Y.; Ye, T. A novel thermal comfort model modified by time scale and habitual trajectory. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 2025, 207, 114903. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  48. Aqilah, N.; Rijal, H.B.; Yoshida, K.; Nicol, F. Developing new comfort band for adaptive model in Japanese residential building. Energy Build. 2025, 335, 115469. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  49. Gallego Sánchez-Torija, J.; Fernández Nieto, M.A.; Gálvez Huerta, M.Á. Thermal, lighting, and energy performances of buildings constructed with polycarbonate panels. Case study of a classroom in Madrid. Energy Effic. 2023, 16, 1–14. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  50. Herreras Martínez, S.; Uyttewaal, M.; Liu, W.; Harmsen, R. Exploring sustainable heating solutions for buildings at the neighbourhood level. Energy Effic. 2021, 14, 1–25. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  51. Jaffal, I. Physics-informed machine learning for metamodeling thermal comfort in non-air-conditioned buildings. Build. Simul. 2023, 16, 299–316. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  52. Wang, D.; Liu, H.; Wang, Y.; Liu, K.; Liu, Y.; Gao, M.; Fan, J. Thermal performance and evaluation of a novel stratified and mixed flexible transformation solar heat storage unit. Build. Simul. 2022, 16, 1881–1895. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  53. Design Builder. Available online: https://designbuilder.co.uk/ (accessed on 3 March 2023).
  54. Matute-Piedra, M.; Jarrin-Pinos, G. Familia en Cifras, 2nd ed.; EDILOJA Cía. Ltda.: Loja, Ecuador, 2016. [Google Scholar]
  55. American Society of Heating Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers—ASHRAE Thermal Environmental Conditions for Human Occupancy. ANSI/ASHRAE Stand-55 2017, 7, 6.
  56. Kottek, M.; Grieser, J.; Beck, C.; Rudolf, B.; Rubel, F. World map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification updated. Meteorol. Zeitschrift 2006, 15, 259–263. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  57. Remund, J.; Müller, S.; Schmutz, M.; Graf, P. Meteonorm Version 8.0. 2020. Available online: www.meteonorm.com (accessed on 3 March 2023).
  58. Yassaghi, H.; Mostafavi, N.; Hoque, S. Evaluation of current and future hourly weather data intended for building designs: A Philadelphia case study. Energy Build. 2019, 199, 491–511. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  59. IPCC. AR6 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2022—IPCC. AR6 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2022—IPCC. 2022. Available online: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/sixth-assessment-report-cycle/ (accessed on 18 May 2025).
  60. Delgado-Gutierrez, E.; Canivell, J.; Bienvenido-Huertas, D.; Hidalgo-Sánchez, F.M. Adaptive Comfort Potential in Different Climate Zones of Ecuador Considering Global Warming. Energies 2024, 17, 2017. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  61. Tewari, P.; Mathur, S.; Mathur, J. Thermal performance prediction of office buildings using direct evaporative cooling systems in the composite climate of India. Build. Environ. 2019, 157, 64–78. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  62. Nguyen, A.T.; Singh, M.K.; Reiter, S. An adaptive thermal comfort model for hot humid South-East Asia. Build. Environ. 2012, 56, 291–300. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  63. Rijal, H.B.; Humphreys, M.A.; Nicol, J.F. Adaptive model and the adaptive mechanisms for thermal comfort in Japanese dwellings. Energy Build. 2019, 202, 109371. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  64. Alonso, A.; Calama-González, C.M.; Suárez, R.; León-Rodríguez, Á.L.; Hernández-Valencia, M. Improving comfort conditions as an energy upgrade tool for housing stock: Analysis of a house prototype. Energy Sustain. Dev. 2022, 66, 209–221. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  65. Rupp, R.F.; Parkinson, T.; Kim, J.; Toftum, J.; de Dear, R. The impact of occupant’s thermal sensitivity on adaptive thermal comfort model. Build. Environ. 2022, 207, 1–7. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  66. Bienvenido-Huertas, D.; Rubio-Bellido, C.; Pérez-Fargallo, A.; Pulido-Arcas, J.A. Energy saving potential in current and future world built environments based on the adaptive comfort approach. J. Clean. Prod. 2020, 249, 119306. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  67. Aqilah, N.; Rijal, H.B.; Zaki, S.A. A Review of Thermal Comfort in Residential Buildings: Comfort Threads and Energy Saving Potential. Energies 2022, 15, 9012. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  68. De la Hoz-Torres, M.L.; Aguilar, A.J.; Martínez-Aires, M.D.; Ruiz, D.P. Seasonal field study on thermal comfort in university classrooms in Mediterranean climate. Indoor Built Environ. 2024, 33, 1380–1396. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  69. Aragon, V.; Teli, D.; James, P. Evaluation of Retrofit Approaches for Two Social Housing Tower Blocks in Portsmouth, UK. Futur. Cities Environ. 2018, 4, 4. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  70. Luisa, M.; Hoz-torres, D.; Aguilar, A.J.; Ruiz, D.P.; Martínez-aires, D. An investigation of indoor thermal environments and thermal comfort in naturally ventilated educational buildings. J. Build. Eng. 2024, 84, 108677. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  71. García-Alvarado, R.; Campos, P.G. A tool for the assessment of energy-efficiency retrofit packages based on simulations, for single-family housing in Concepcion, Chile. Energy Effic. 2019, 12, 619–636. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  72. García Ochoa, R.; Graizbord Ed, B. Privation of energy services in Mexican households: An alternative measure of energy poverty. Energy Res. Soc. Sci. 2016, 18, 36–49. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  73. Osman, M.M.; Sevinc, H. Adaptation of climate-responsive building design strategies and resilience to climate change in the hot/arid region of Khartoum, Sudan. Sustain. Cities Soc. 2019, 47, 101429. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
Figure 1. (a) Ground floor distribution. (b) Upper floor distribution. Information obtained from the Ministry of Housing and Urban Development and edited by the authors.
Figure 1. (a) Ground floor distribution. (b) Upper floor distribution. Information obtained from the Ministry of Housing and Urban Development and edited by the authors.
Buildings 15 02018 g001
Figure 2. Occupancy parameters used.
Figure 2. Occupancy parameters used.
Buildings 15 02018 g002
Figure 3. Upper and lower limits considered in the adaptive comfort model with 80% acceptability.
Figure 3. Upper and lower limits considered in the adaptive comfort model with 80% acceptability.
Buildings 15 02018 g003
Figure 4. The regions of Ecuador and the location of the 6 localities used in this study.
Figure 4. The regions of Ecuador and the location of the 6 localities used in this study.
Buildings 15 02018 g004
Figure 5. Maximum and minimum monthly temperatures (°C). Single lines correspond to maximum temperatures and dotted lines to minimum temperatures of each location.
Figure 5. Maximum and minimum monthly temperatures (°C). Single lines correspond to maximum temperatures and dotted lines to minimum temperatures of each location.
Buildings 15 02018 g005
Figure 6. Degree hours (°C) outside the upper (a) and lower limits (b) for each dwelling under current climate conditions and projections to 2050 and 2100 (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5).
Figure 6. Degree hours (°C) outside the upper (a) and lower limits (b) for each dwelling under current climate conditions and projections to 2050 and 2100 (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5).
Buildings 15 02018 g006aBuildings 15 02018 g006b
Figure 7. Comparison of the performance of dwellings in Quito and Esmeraldas in the current climate situation and in the projections to 2050 and 2100 in RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. Axis X shows the predominant average temperature of the outdoor air (°C), and axis Y shows the indoor operative temperature (°C).
Figure 7. Comparison of the performance of dwellings in Quito and Esmeraldas in the current climate situation and in the projections to 2050 and 2100 in RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. Axis X shows the predominant average temperature of the outdoor air (°C), and axis Y shows the indoor operative temperature (°C).
Buildings 15 02018 g007
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content.

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Delgado-Gutierrez, E.; Rubio-Bellido, C.; Canivell, J. Thermal Comfort in Social Housing in Ecuador: Do Free-Running Buildings Work in Current and Future Climates? Buildings 2025, 15, 2018. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15122018

AMA Style

Delgado-Gutierrez E, Rubio-Bellido C, Canivell J. Thermal Comfort in Social Housing in Ecuador: Do Free-Running Buildings Work in Current and Future Climates? Buildings. 2025; 15(12):2018. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15122018

Chicago/Turabian Style

Delgado-Gutierrez, Evelyn, Carlos Rubio-Bellido, and Jacinto Canivell. 2025. "Thermal Comfort in Social Housing in Ecuador: Do Free-Running Buildings Work in Current and Future Climates?" Buildings 15, no. 12: 2018. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15122018

APA Style

Delgado-Gutierrez, E., Rubio-Bellido, C., & Canivell, J. (2025). Thermal Comfort in Social Housing in Ecuador: Do Free-Running Buildings Work in Current and Future Climates? Buildings, 15(12), 2018. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15122018

Note that from the first issue of 2016, this journal uses article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Article Metrics

Back to TopTop