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Article

Anomalous Sun Flyby of 1I/2017 U1 (`Oumuamua)

by
Klaus Wilhelm
1,† and
Bhola N. Dwivedi
2,*,†,‡
1
Max-Planck-Institut für Sonnensystemforschung (MPS), Justus-von-Liebig-Weg 3, 37077 Göttingen, Germany
2
Department of Physics, Indian Institute of Technology (Banaras Hindu University), Varanasi 221005, India
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
These authors contributed equally to this work.
Retired Professor.
Galaxies 2020, 8(4), 83; https://doi.org/10.3390/galaxies8040083
Submission received: 12 October 2020 / Revised: 2 December 2020 / Accepted: 3 December 2020 / Published: 7 December 2020

Abstract

:
The findings of Micheli et al. (Nature 2018, 559, 223–226) that 1I/2017 U1 (‘Oumuamua) showed anomalous orbital accelerations have motivated us to apply an impact model of gravity in search for an explanation. A small deviation from the 1 / r potential, where r is the heliocentric distance, is expected for the gravitational interaction of extended bodies as a consequence of this model. This modification of the potential results from an offset of the effective gravitational centre from the geometric centre of a spherically symmetric body. Applied to anomalous Earth flybys, the model accounts for energy gains relative to an exact Kepler orbit and an increased speed of several spacecraft. In addition, the flat rotation profiles of eight disk galaxies could be explained, as well as the anomalous perihelion advances of the inner planets and the asteroid Icarus. The solution in the case of ‘Oumuamua is also based on the proposal that the offset leads to an approach and flyby trajectory different from a Kepler orbit without postulating cometary activity. As a consequence, an adjustment of the potential and centrifugal orbital energies can be envisaged outside the narrow uncertainty ranges of the published post-perihelion data without a need to re-analyse the original data. The observed anomalous acceleration has been modelled with respect to the orbit solutions JPL 16 and “Pseudo-MPEC” for 1I/‘Oumuamua.
PACS:
96.12.Fe; 96.30.Ys; 96.90.+c

1. Introduction

The astronomical body designated as 1I/2017 U1 (‘Oumuamua) is the first object that has been observed during its passage through the Solar System from the interstellar environment. It was detected by Robert Weryk on 19 October 2017 with the Pan-STARRS telescope system in Hawaii [1]. Observations on 30 October 2017 of the lightcurve and its variation indicated a rotation period of ‘Oumuamua of more than five hours [2]. Belton et al. reported in ref. [3] rotation periods near four and nine hours combined with an excited spin state of ‘Oumuamua, cf. also ref. [4,5,6,7]. The findings by Micheli et al. [8] that ‘Oumuamua’s path deviates from a Kepler orbit resulted in a number of publications with different proposals to account for the additional acceleration. Cometary activity and the recoil resulting from outgassing would be a natural explanation, and is, indeed, “the most plausible physical model” [8]. However, even with long equivalent exposure times no cometary coma or tail activity could be detected [2,9]. The inactivity was also confirmed by Spitzer observations on 21 November 2017 [10], and Katz expressed in ref. [11] “... skepticism of the reported non-gravitational acceleration.” Thus important problems remain, because many other observations showed neither cometary activity nor was any meteor activity detected on Earth, cf. [8,12,13,14,15]; in addition, the shape, consistence and origin of ‘Oumuamua are still debated, cf. [16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32].
Solar radiation pressure could produce an excess radial acceleration with a 1 / r 2 dependence, where r is the heliocentric distance, if the object has a large surface and a very low mass according to refs. [23,33]. The authors of the latter reference even suggest as a possibility that a lightsail could be of “artificial origin”. However, McNeil et al. [34] estimated a density of approximately 2 000 kg m 3 for ‘Oumuamua, a typical value for asteroids, cf. [35]. A density of this amount is hardly consistent with a lightsail. Radio SETI observations detected no signal [36].
The observation of an interstellar object in the Solar System raises the question with regard to where it might have come from. Potential sources have been indicated by [37,38,39], although the authors of ref. [37] point out that non-gravitational accelerations on the outbound path pose severe difficulties in determining the approach geometry.
In view of the many open questions concerning the nature of ‘Oumuamua, we discuss in the following sections, whether a modification of the 1 / r gravitational potential and possible consequences could provide an answer to the anomalous Sun flyby of 1I/2017 U1 (‘Oumuamua). Deviations from expected trajectories of artificial spacecraft had previously been deduced from Earth flyby observations, which were also not fully consistent with Newton’s theory of gravity based on a potential exactly proportional to the inverse distance [40,41,42,43,44]. Many studies have been performed to solve this problem, e.g., in refs. [45,46,47,48,49].
We suggested that the interaction between gravitating bodies is affected by mass conglomerations according to an impact model of gravity [50,51]—based on the ideas of Nicolas Fatio de Duillier [52,53,54]. It results in a modification of the 1 / r potential U for extended bodies, such as the Sun and the Earth. This could qualitatively explain the anomalous energy gain during Earth flybys [55]. Another application of the graviton impact model in the context of large masses could demonstrate a physical process to explain the anomalous rotation curves of disk galaxies [56,57]. The model has also successfully been applied to explain the secular perihelion advances of the inner planets and the asteroid Icarus with the result that an offset of ρ = ( 4 400 ± 500 ) m in the instantaneous direction to an orbiting body is required to explain the observed perihelion advances [58].
In this paper, we will consider our impact model for the gravitational interaction of 1I/2017 U1 (‘Oumuamua) with the Sun. Since the Sun is not a gravitational point source, but has a nominal radius of 1 R N = 6.957 × 10 8 m , cf. [59]. The effective gravitational centre is, therefore, not expected to coincide with the geometric centre – even if a spherical symmetry of the Sun is assumed – but is situated on a sphere with radius ρ around the centre, cf. [51]. We had thought that the observed anomalous acceleration of ‘Oumuamua might also be a consequence of this offset. The calculations in the following sections1 show, however, that the effect of the energy gain with reasonable values of ρ is too small to cause directly the unexpected acceleration, because of the large radial distances involved.
An indirect approach can, however, be pursued to adjust the orbit calculations. It still depends on the anomalous energy gain near perihelion, because it allows us to question the narrow ranges of the published observational uncertainties presented in Table 1 and to define adjusted trajectories outside these ranges which yield the required accelerations with respect to the expected motion of ‘Oumuamua. It is to be noted here that we do not attempt to analyse original data, instead we use the reported orbit characteristics.

2. Results

2.1. Modification of the Gravitational Potential

The reduced mass m of the two-body system Sun–‘Oumuamua can be approximated by the mass m Ou of ‘Oumuamua according to
[ 13.4 ] m = M m Ou M + m Ou m Ou .
All calculations are, however, performed for a normalized reduced mass of m = 1 kg leading to specific quantities, such as, the specific angular momentum M and the specific approach energy E in the next sections. The use of these specific quantities eliminates the unknown mass of the attracted body and simplifies all equations.
The gravitational potential of the system can then be written as a specific quantity and would read under the assumption of the Sun as a point source:
[ 15.1 ] U ( r ) = ε r ,
where ε = 1.327 124 4 × 10 20 m 3 s 2 is the nominal solar mass parameter [59] and r = | r | is the length of the heliocentric position vector. According to CODATA 2018, the gravitational constant is G N = ( 6.674 30 ± 0.000 15 ) × 10 11 m 3 kg 1 s 2 and gives a solar mass of M = 1.988 409 × 10 30 kg . The specific effective potential energy equation then becomes
[ 15.2 ] U eff ( r ) = ε r + M 2 2 r 2 ,
where the last term is the specific centrifugal energy.
Equation (2) has to be modified for bodies with large mass values, e.g., for the Sun, according to our gravitational interaction model. If the distance of the orbiting body from the Sun is always much greater than 1 R N , the displacement ρ of the effective gravitational centre mentioned in Section 1 can be assumed to be parallel to the radius vector r in the direction of the orbiting body and, consequently, the specific potential energy will be
U mod = ε r ρ = ε ( r + ρ ) ( r ρ ) ( r + ρ ) = ε ( r + ρ ) r 2 ρ 2
and can be approximated with ρ r by
U mod ε r ε ρ r 2 .
The physical process causing the offset ρ , described in refs. [50,51], is that multiple interactions of the gravitons with the massive body occur before they can escape.

2.2. Observations of ‘Oumuamua

The published orbit characteristics of ‘Oumuamua considered in this study are compiled as data arcs No. 1 to 4 in Table 1 and Table 2 from the corresponding references. This selection of different solutions out of many more evaluations available in the literature is listed to show the history of the observations and the resulting orbital parameters.
We suggest that a modification of the gravitational potential U ( r ) in Equation (2) to U mod is required as given in Equation (4) for an adequate evaluation of the data arcs. A first attempt is made in Section 2.3 by varying the offset ρ without changing E of orbit No. 4 in Table 2. Although it will turn out that the effect with reasonable offset values is very small for ‘Oumuamua, the deviation from an exact 1 / r potential justifies to scrutinize in Section 2.4 the tight uncertainties given for the orbit parameters in Table 1. These uncertainties determined from data arcs starting more than a month after the perihelion passage might not be representative for the modified potential. An indication of this expectation is that the orbit determinations No. 1 to 4 each exceed the uncertainty limits of e and q of the previous solution. For No. 3, the following statement2, related to the anomalous trajectory, supports this prospect: “The behavior of these accelerations outside the observed data arc from 14 October 2017 to 2 January 2018 can only be assumed. Predictions outside this time interval, particularly prior to October 2017, could be much more uncertain than reported here.” Bailer-Jones et al. in [37] also point out that it is challenging to estimate the inbound leg of the trajectory under these conditions.
From the published eccentricity values e and perihelion distances q of the orbits in Table 1 (rounded to significant digits), the other quantities have been calculated under the assumption of hyperbolic Kepler motions:
The “semi-axis” a of the hyperbola, the semi-latus rectum p and the specific approach energy E with
[ 15.9 ] a = q e 1 ( a ) ; p = q ( e + 1 ) ( b ) ; E = ε 2 a ( c ) ,
the specific angular momentum and the eccentricity with
[ 15.4 ] M = ε p ( a ) e = 1 + 2 M 2 E ε 2 ( b )
the approach speed at infinity with
V = 2 E cf . [ 18.3 ( 1 ) ]
and the impact parameter with
h = M V cf . [ 18.3 ( 2 ) ] .

2.3. Orbit Modification by Offset ρ Ou

The laws of conservation of energy and angular momentum determine the motion of a body in a central gravitational configuration:
[ 14.4 ] 1 2 d r d t 2 = E U ( r ) M 2 2 r 2 = 1 2 r ˙ 2 = E + ε r M 2 2 r 2 ,
where d r / d t = r ˙ is the radial velocity. This equation describes a Kepler orbit with an unmodified Equation (2). There is no radial velocity r ˙ peri at perihelion, but the highest tangential speed V peri . For a perihelion distance q it is:
1 2 r ˙ peri 2 = E + ε q M 2 2 q 2 = 0 ( a ) ; 1 2 V peri 2 = E + ε q = M 2 2 q 2 ( b ) ; V peri = M q ( c ) .
With the modified potential U mod of Equation (4) the Equation (10) reads:
1 2 r ˙ mod 2 = E + ε r ρ Ou M mod 2 2 r 2 .
It should be noted that the denominator of the potential energy term depends on ρ Ou for the modified orbit, whereas the one of the centrifugal energy term does not, because the angular momentum is defined about the centre of the solar mass.
A comparison with the Kepler orbit in Equation (10) can best be made at perihelion q, where r ˙ peri = 0 . From
E + ε q M 2 2 q 2 = E + ε q ρ Ou M mod 2 2 q 2 = 0
then follows an exact solution for M mod using a constant E :
M mod = q 2 E + ε q ρ Ou ,
which is a constant of the motion. Since at the start of the data arcs at a radial distance r 1 ρ Ou (cf. Equation (17) and Table 3) and beyond the modified orbit can be approximated by a Kepler orbit, we use Equation (7)b with M mod to estimate the modified eccentricity e OU for the orbit calculations in Section 2.4. The quality of the approximation can be checked after an estimate of ρ Ou has been obtained (as listed in Table 1 and Table 3). The initial conditions at r 1 can be defined by requiring r 1 = r 1 Ou and r ˙ 1 r ˙ 1 Ou , where the radial velocity can only be approximated, because a constant E leads to a constant r ˙ mod with Equation (12). This equation will be evaluated in Section 2.43 using the specific angular momentum M mod obtained in Equation (14) with varying assumptions for ρ Ou until a reasonable anomalous acceleration fit has been achieved in Figure 1.
As can be seen from Table 3, an offset of 4 900 m had only a minor effect on the anomalous accelerations and thus the effect is not sufficient to explain directly the anomalous acceleration found in ref. [8] for ‘Oumuamua: “... which corresponds to a formal detection of non-gravitational acceleration with a significance of about 30 σ .” This detection allows a range of accelerations between A 1 / ( r / au ) 2 and A 1 / ( r / au ) , “where A 1 is a free fit parameter” with a value of “ A 1 = ( 4.92 ± 0.16 ) × 10 6 m s 2 ”.
Since we see no reason as to why the solar flyby of ‘Oumuamua the offset valid for the perihelion advances of the inner planets should be outside the range ρ = ( 4 400 ± 500 ) m , we will use its maximum in the next section. The specific potential energy gain at perihelion in Equation (14) would be ε ρ / q 2 = 444 m 2 s 2 and the specific centrifugal energy is also increased by that amount4.

2.4. Orbital Parameter Adjustments

As outlined in Section 2.2, the uncertainties in the orbital parameters might be much larger than given in Table 1. In particular, we suspect that the relation between the specific approach energy in Equation (6)c and the specific angular momentum in Equation (7)a is not adequately constrained and, therefore, adjusted quantities outside the narrow limits can later be used in Equation (16). In Table 2, the energy and angular momentum quantities are given in detail together with other supplementary data.
The maxima of E and M have been obtained from the extreme values of e and q of the orbit solutions No. 3 and 4. Taking the above considerations into account, we argue that we are justified to increase the specific approach and centrifugal energies of the adjusted orbits beyond the maximum 1 σ values in Table 2 and compare them with orbits No. 3 and 4 in an attempt to model the anomalous accelerations on the data arcs. The details of the adjustment can only be estimated by a trial and error method to be explained below, after the specific approach energy had been increased by a certain amount Δ E to
E adj = E + Δ E .
Although the variation of the specific angular momentum in the adjusted orbit equation
1 2 r ˙ adj 2 = E adj + ε r adj ρ ( M + Δ M ) 2 2 r adj 2 E + Δ E + ε r adj + ε ρ r adj 2 ( M + Δ M ) 2 2 r adj 2 = E + ε r adj ( M + Δ M ) 2 2 ε ρ 2 r adj 2 Δ E 2 r adj 2 = E adj + ε r adj ( M + Δ M ) 2 2 ε ρ 2 r adj 2 = E adj + ε r adj M adj 2 2 r adj 2 ,
is, in principle, not dependent on that of the specific energy, we feel that the observations reflected in the orbit parameters No. 3 and 4 might provide some constraints:
(1) Assuming that the heliocentric distance r of ‘Oumuamua and its radial velocity r ˙ could best be established at the beginning of the observations, we require that the initial conditions agree for orbit No. 4 and the corresponding adjusted trajectory. By equating Equations (10) and (16) at r 1 = r 1 adj
E + ε r 1 M 2 2 r 1 2 = E + ε r 1 ( M + Δ M ) 2 2 ε ρ 2 r 1 2 Δ E 2 r 1 2 ,
the same radial velocity r ˙ 1 = r ˙ 1 adj is valid for both trajectories at this distance. It can be seen that
( M + Δ M ) 2 = M 2 + 2 ε ρ + 2 r 1 2 Δ E
and that the adjusted specific angular momentum as function of the fit parameter Δ E is
M adj = ( M + Δ M ) 2 2 ε ρ = M 2 + 2 r 1 2 Δ E ,
cf. Equation (16). It is important to note that the perihelion distance has to change accordingly. As there are no observations available for q, this cannot be checked and lead to a potential conflict.
(2) For the adjustment of orbit solution No. 3, we refer to a statement by Micheli et al. in the appendix of [8]: METHODS, Section Non-gravitational models. We interpret it to mean that “the non-gravitational acceleration on ‘Oumuamua on October 25 at” r = 1.4 au was 2.7 × 10 6 m s 2 . Assuming that the radial velocity was well defined there by solution No. 3, we use a heliocentric distance r = 1.4 au = 2.094 370 2 × 10 11 m instead of r 1 in Equation (19).
With corresponding values for E adj and M adj , the adjusted (or modified) orbit characteristics in Table 1 would be defined by
e adj 1 + 2 E adj M adj 2 ε 2 ( a ) ; a adj = ε 2 E adj ( b ) ; q adj a adj ( e adj 1 ) ( c ) ,
cf. Equations (7)b and (6)a,c. In Section 3 the quality of the approximations will be considered.
In the next step, we have to establish the time dependence of the hyperbolical motions on the trajectories with parametric equations for the time t, the heliocentric distance r and the heliocentric x and y coordinates given in ref. [60] (§15, p. 38)5:
[ 15.12 ] t = a 3 ε ( e sinh χ χ ) ( a ) ; r = a ( e cosh χ 1 ) ( b ) ; x = a ( e cosh χ ) ( c ) ; y = a e 2 1 sinh χ ( d ) ,
where the parameter χ varies from to + for a complete flyby. The equations have to be applied for orbit characteristics e and a in Table 1, as well as for e adj and a adj , cf. Equations (20)a,b, both for orbits No. 3 and 4 under consideration. The same procedure will be used to obtain an estimate of e Ou as a function of ρ or ρ Ou .
As listed in Table 3, the time t 1 —the start time of the observations in seconds after the perihelion passage—should correspond to χ { 0 } and t 2 , the end of the observations to χ { 100 } for orbits No. 3 and 4. The formalism allows us to calculate the radial velocities r ˙ in Equation (10) for both data arcs between t 1 and t 2 at times t { i } and positions r { i } for equidistant values of the parameters χ { i } ( i = 0 to 100 ). This procedure yields 101 data points and 100 intervals in Equations (22) and (23) (A test with more intervals did not substantially improve the calculations). The same calculations have to be done for the modified and adjusted configurations of Equations (16) and (12) before hundred variations each of the velocity components
Δ r ˙ ( χ { i } ) = r ˙ ( χ { i + 1 } ) r ˙ ( χ { i } ) and Δ r ˙ adj ( χ adj { i } ) = r ˙ adj ( χ adj { i + 1 } ) r ˙ adj ( χ adj { i } ) ,
can be determined for i = 0 to 99 . The corresponding time intervals are
Δ t ( χ { i } ) = t ( χ { i + 1 } ) t ( χ { i } ) and Δ t adj ( χ adj { i } ) = t adj ( χ adj { i + 1 } ) t adj ( χ adj { i } ) .
The expected accelerations along the trajectories of No. 3 and 4 then are
A 3 , 4 exp { i } = Δ r ˙ ( χ { i } ) / Δ t ( χ { i } ) .
The adjusted accelerations are
A 3 , 4 adj { i } = Δ r ˙ adj ( χ adj { i } ) / Δ t adj ( χ adj { i } )
and A 4 Ou , respectively. All accelerations are negative, i.e., decelerations, on the outbound path. Subtraction of the expected greater decelerations from the adjusted values yields the positive accelerations
Δ A 3 , 4 adj { i } = A 3 , 4 adj { i } A 3 , 4 exp { i }
for i = 0 to 99 . By design, it is t 2 adj t 1 adj = t 2 t 1 for both trajectories and r 1 adj = r 1 for No. 4. Even for No. 3 r 1 adj r 1 is a good approximation. In addition, we have, with a regression coefficient β r = 1.000 201 , the relation r adj { i } r 1 adj = β r ( r { i } r 1 ) . Both the Δ A 3 , 4 { i } and Δ A 3 , 4 adj { i } can, therefore, be plotted in Figure 1 over the heliocentric distance r for a comparison with the A 1 / ( r / au ) and A 1 / ( r / au ) 2 fits.
The task at hand now is to find specific energy increments Δ E 3 and Δ E 4 or offset values ρ Ou that lead to additional radial accelerations relative to orbits No. 3 and 4 in reasonable agreement with the range of “non-gravitational acceleration” found by Micheli et al. in ref. [8]. The results with different assumptions for Δ E have been compared by many iterations with this range until acceptable fits with Δ E 3 = + 2.9 × 10 5 m 2 s 2 (for No. 3) and Δ E 4 = + 4.5 × 10 5 m 2 s 2 (for No. 4) were achieved as shown by the functions Δ A 3 , 4 adj . The relative increase required in Equation (15) thus is 0.1 % .

3. Discussion

Since the expectation outlined in the introduction that an offset of the gravitational centre of the order of several kilometers would provide a direct explanation of ‘Oumuamua’s anomalous radial acceleration could not be substantiated, we pursued an indirect approach and proposed that the deviations from a Kepler orbit permitted us to assume wider uncertainty margins than listed in Table 1 for the orbit solutions No. 3 and 4 until reasonable fits could be produced. As shown in Figure 1, it was possible to obtain appropriate additional acceleration values covering the uncertainty range of ref. [8], but with a steeper decrease as a function of radial distance.
The offset values required to achieve such a fit with constant E and perihelion q are far outside the range in line with the anomalous perihelion data mentioned in the introduction. The corresponding calculations were, nevertheless, helpful in showing that – even for large offset values – the deviations of the modified orbits from Kepler orbits on the data arcs is so small that the approximation in Equation (20) is very good. In Equation (12), for instance, the correction factors for the potential energy term would be r 1 / ( r 1 ρ ) = 0.999 999 97 and ( r 1 ρ Ou ) / r 1 = 0.999 392 82 at the start of the observations.
The orbits No. 1 and 4 together with the adjusted trajectories during the observation times have been plotted in Figure 2 with the help of Equations (21)c and (21)d. In addition, the trajectories have been traced back to their perihelia by decreasing χ in equidistant steps to zero. It can be seen that orbit No. 4 can barely be distinguished from the adjusted path on this scale. The main difference is indeed the additional acceleration and, consequently, a higher radial velocity at the end of the data arc combined with a greater radial distance. We find from Table 3 for orbit solution No. 3 a velocity r ˙ 2 adj higher by 5.9 m s 1 relative to r ˙ 2 and 10.1 m s 1 for solution No. 4. This corresponds to an increase in the radial distance of r 2 adj r 2 = 49 043 km for solution No. 4 and 21 270 km for No. 3. The reason for the different results is that alternate initial conditions have been adopted for the adjustments No. 3 and 4. A boost of 40 000 km has been deduced at the end of the observations on 2 January 2018 with NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope (cf. https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.php?feature=7173, last accessed on 11 February 2019).
The adjusted specific energy E adj and the angular momentum M adj in Table 2 correspond to an increase in V of 10.98 m s 1 for No. 3 and 17.04 m s 1 for No. 4 (relative variations 0.0416% and 0.0645%, respectively). The impact parameters h experienced relative increases of 0.072 1 % (No. 3) and 0.038 1 % (No. 4). The adjusted energy and angular momentum quantities are greater than the maximal values E max and M max allowed within the 1 σ -limits listed in Table 1. However, this should not necessarily be seen as a conflict, because of the modified solar gravitational potential in Equation (4). As a consequence of the offset ρ , the trajectory of ‘Oumuamua is not an exact Kepler orbit and wider uncertainty ranges can be expected. The arguments presented in Section 2.2 also support this conjecture.

4. Conclusions

The observed anomalous acceleration has been modelled with respect to the orbit solutions JPL 16 and “Pseudo-MPEC” for 1I/‘Oumuamua. with the assumption that the trajectory of ‘Oumuamua is not an exact Kepler orbit allowing us to assume angular momentum and approach energy values M adj and E adj outside the published uncertainty ranges.
In conclusion, it appears that the observed anomalous acceleration of the interstellar asteroid 1I/2017 U1 (‘Oumuamua) can be modelled without the assumption of any cometary activity.

Author Contributions

Both the authors participated equally in developing the physical concept and formulation of the problem. Computation was done at the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research in Göttingen by K.W. Both authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Acknowledgments

We thank the Max-Planck-Institut für Sonnensystemforschung, Göttingen, and the Indian Institute of Technology (Banaras Hindu University) for organizational support and Peter Czechowsky for constructive criticism of the manuscript. This research has made extensive use of the Astrophysics Data System (ADS), as well as of data provided by the International Astronomical Union’s Minor Planet Center and the JPL Small-Body Database. We thank the anonymous referees for their constructive comments and suggestions which improved the manuscript.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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1.
Most of the formulae needed are taken from Landau and Lifshitz in ref. [60]. Their original equation numbers are added in square brackets. The equations have only been modified to comply with the specific nomenclature used here. For instance, the effective potential energy Equation (3) originally reads
U eff = α r + M 2 2 m r 2 . [ 15.2 ]
2.
See: https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons.cgi (last accessed: 2 December 2020).
3.
The physical process leading to the unexpected acceleration can be demonstrated by a comparison of Equations (10) and (12) at the heliocentric distance r 1 (the start of a data arc), where both radial velocities are assumed to be equal, and at a greater distance r 2 = r 1 + ρ . This implies:
1 2 ( r ˙ mod , 1 2 r ˙ 1 2 ) = ε r 1 + ε r 1 ρ M mod 2 M 2 2 r 1 2 = 0 and thus M mod 2 M 2 = 2 ε ρ 1 ρ / r 1 .
To find the specific effective potential energy change in a Kepler orbit and a modified one, we compare
1 2 ( r ˙ 2 2 r ˙ 1 2 ) = ε r 2 M 2 2 r 2 2 ε r 1 + M 2 2 r 1 2 and 1 2 ( r ˙ mod , 2 2 r ˙ mod , 1 2 ) = ε r 2 ρ M mod 2 2 r 2 2 ε r 1 + M mod 2 2 r 1 2 .
A lengthy calculation then shows that the decrease in the specific effective potential energy in the modified orbit is smaller than in the Kepler orbit by 2 ε ρ 2 / [ r 1 ( r 1 2 ρ 2 ) ] .
4.
The Parker Solar Probe reached its first perihelion with q PSP 2.48 × 10 10 m on 6 November 2018 at 03:28 UTC (NASA: Parker Solar Probe Reports). This was about 1.35 × 10 10 m closer than ‘Oumuamua. The specific potential energy gain would have been 1 054 m 2 s 2 with ρ = 4 900 m and 2.15 × 10 7 m 2 s 2 with ρ Ou = 1 × 10 8 m .
5.
Starting from Equations [14.4], cf. Equation (10), and [14.5] of ref. [60], Landau and Lifshitz obtained the time t by integrating d t with the substitution r + a = a e cosh χ .
Figure 1. Shaded areas show the uncertainty ranges of the radial “non-gravitational acceleration” terms A 1 / ( r / au ) (dashed-dotted line) and A 1 / ( r / au ) 2 (dashed line), cf. [8]. The residual radial accelerations Δ A 3 adj ( r { i } ) and Δ A 4 adj ( r { i } ) as differences between orbit solutions No. 3 and 4 and the corresponding adjusted trajectories are plotted as triangles and plus symbols, respectively, cf. Equation (26). Increases Δ E 3 and Δ E 4 of the specific energies provided the best overlap of the adjusted graphs with the A 1 -terms and their uncertainty ranges. The diamond symbol indicates the anomalous radial acceleration 2.7 × 10 6 m s 2 at r = 1.4 au (ref. [8]). An offset ρ = 100 000 km would result in a residual radial acceleration Δ A 4 Ou shown as a solid line.
Figure 1. Shaded areas show the uncertainty ranges of the radial “non-gravitational acceleration” terms A 1 / ( r / au ) (dashed-dotted line) and A 1 / ( r / au ) 2 (dashed line), cf. [8]. The residual radial accelerations Δ A 3 adj ( r { i } ) and Δ A 4 adj ( r { i } ) as differences between orbit solutions No. 3 and 4 and the corresponding adjusted trajectories are plotted as triangles and plus symbols, respectively, cf. Equation (26). Increases Δ E 3 and Δ E 4 of the specific energies provided the best overlap of the adjusted graphs with the A 1 -terms and their uncertainty ranges. The diamond symbol indicates the anomalous radial acceleration 2.7 × 10 6 m s 2 at r = 1.4 au (ref. [8]). An offset ρ = 100 000 km would result in a residual radial acceleration Δ A 4 Ou shown as a solid line.
Galaxies 08 00083 g001
Figure 2. Hyperbolic orbit solutions for ‘Oumuamua (post perihelion) (cf. Table 1, Table 2 and Table 3 ). Perihelion distance q; semi-latus rectum p. orbit No. 1: Observations from 18 to 24 October 2017. The time interval with observations is indicated near t 1 . Orbit No. 4: Observations from 14 October 2017, 10:32:41 UTC ( t 1 ) to 2 January 2018, 11:28:29 UTC ( t 2 ). Perihelion on 9 September 2017, 12:10:45 UTC ( t 0 ) (Minor Planet Center). The data arc is shown on the adjusted trajectory from time t 1 to t 2 . The heliocentric distance r = 1.4 au is indicated.
Figure 2. Hyperbolic orbit solutions for ‘Oumuamua (post perihelion) (cf. Table 1, Table 2 and Table 3 ). Perihelion distance q; semi-latus rectum p. orbit No. 1: Observations from 18 to 24 October 2017. The time interval with observations is indicated near t 1 . Orbit No. 4: Observations from 14 October 2017, 10:32:41 UTC ( t 1 ) to 2 January 2018, 11:28:29 UTC ( t 2 ). Perihelion on 9 September 2017, 12:10:45 UTC ( t 0 ) (Minor Planet Center). The data arc is shown on the adjusted trajectory from time t 1 to t 2 . The heliocentric distance r = 1.4 au is indicated.
Galaxies 08 00083 g002
Table 1. Orbit characteristics during the ‘Oumuamua Sun flyby for four data arc evaluations a , modified orbit No. 4 and adjusted orbits No. 3 and 4.
Table 1. Orbit characteristics during the ‘Oumuamua Sun flyby for four data arc evaluations a , modified orbit No. 4 and adjusted orbits No. 3 and 4.
No. of Data Arcs Orbital Parameters b
Observation Times e q / au q / ( 10 10 m ) a / ( 10 11 m )
118 October 2017–24 October 2017 1.182 ± 0.017 0.248 3 ± 0.006 8 3.7152.05
214 October 2017–17 November 2017 1.199 5 ± 0.000 2 0.255 34 ± 0.000 07 3.819 761.914 76
314 October 2017–02 January 2018 1.201 13 ± 0.000 02 0.255 912 ± 0.000 007 3.828 382 81.903 401 0
414 October 2017–02 January 2018 1.201 17 ± 0.000 01 0.255 923 ± 0.000 003 3.828 555 01.903 158 3
Modified orbit c ρ Ou / m e Ou q / ( 10 10 m ) a / ( 10 11 m )
4 4 900 1.201 17 3.828 555 01.903 158 3
4 1 × 10 8 1.201 607 0 3.828 555 01.903 158 3
Adjusted orbits d ρ / m e adj q adj / ( 10 10 m ) a adj / ( 10 11 m )
3 4 900 1.201 706 6 3.836 093 71.901 819 0
4 4 900 1.201 809 0 3.835 794 51.900 705 2
a Data (shortened to significant values) selected from the following references: No. 1: JPL Small-Body Database; JPL 1; producer Otto Matic; solution date 24 October 2017 (last accessed: 20 February 2019). No. 2: JPL 14; producer Davide Farnocchia; solution date 21 November 2017, cf. https://web.archive.org/web/20171122233227/ https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2017U1;cad=1 (last accessed: 25 October 2020). No. 3: JPL 16; producer Davide Farnocchia; solution date 26 June 2018; cf. https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=1I (last accessed: 20 October 2020). No. 4: “Pseudo-MPEC” for 1I/‘Oumuamua; created 7 November 2018; IAU Minor Planet Center (MPC), cf. https://www.projectpluto.com/temp/2017u1.htm (last accessed: 10 November 2020). b Eccentricities: e, e Ou and e adj ; perihelion distances: q and q adj ; 1 σ uncertainties of e and q; “semi axes” a and a adj calculated with Equations (6)a and (20)b; the astronomical unit 1 au = 149 597 870 700 m [61]. c Assuming a realistic offset ρ and an unrealistic large one. Since E and the flyby distance are assumed to be constant, the “semi axis” a and the perihelion q have not changed either; violating Equation (6)a in the non-Keplerian orbits. d By adjusting E adj and M adj ; see Equations (20)a–c.
Table 2. Additional orbit characteristics derived from the eccentricities and perihelion distances of the data arcs No. 1 to 4 as well as for modified orbit No. 4 and adjusted orbits No. 3 and 4 in Table 1.
Table 2. Additional orbit characteristics derived from the eccentricities and perihelion distances of the data arcs No. 1 to 4 as well as for modified orbit No. 4 and adjusted orbits No. 3 and 4 in Table 1.
Specific ApproachSpecific AngularSemi-LatusSpeedImpactMaximum
EnergyMomentumRectumat InfinityParameterSpeed
No. of Data Arcs E / ( 10 8 m 2 s 2 ) M / ( 10 15 m 2 s 1 ) p / ( 10 10 m ) V / ( m s 1 ) h / ( 10 11 m ) V peri / ( m s 1 )
13.2423.2798.10425 4651.28888 281
23.465 513.339 148.401 5326 3271.268 3487 418
33.486 187 13.344 155 08.426 782 726 405.2541.266 473 387 351.636
43.486 631 83.344 256 58.427 294 726 406.9381.266 511 887 350.359
SeeEquation (6)cEquation (7)aEquation (6)bEquation (8)Equation (9)Equation (11)c
Maximum 1 σ values a
33.486 643 03.344 214 5
43.486 858 73.344 285 3
Modifiedquantities b
43.486 631 83.348 232 98.428 973 526 406.9381.267 936 987 454.221
Adjustedquantities c
33.489 087 13.347 956 68.445 952 826 416.2341.267 386 087 275.151
43.491 131 83.347 903 98.445 687 026 423.9731.266 994 987 280.586
a Calculated with the help of the uncertainty values in Table 1. b See Equations (10)–(14). c See Equations (15)–(19). Relative increases of E max of 0.070% and 0.123% for orbits No. 3 and 4, respectively, are required to model the anomalous accelerations and 0.111% and 0.108% for M max .
Table 3. Boundaries of the trajectory calculations and anomalous acceleration results.
Table 3. Boundaries of the trajectory calculations and anomalous acceleration results.
Start of Observation a Heliocentric Distance r b End of Observation c
Data arc No. 3 d , e with ρ = 4.9 km
t 1 = 3 018 127.7 s t = 4 071 215.1 s t 2 = 9 933 475.7 s
χ { 0 } = 1.008 286 8 χ ( 23 ) = 1.157 538 2 χ { 100 } = 1.657 205 9
t 1 adj = 3 018 523.2 s t adj = 4 071 591.1 s t 2 adj = 9 933 871.2 s
χ adj { 0 } = 1.008 167 9 χ adj { 23 } = 1.157 479 9 χ adj { 100 } = 1.657 350 3
r 1 = 1.646 836 9 × 10 11   m r = 2.093 344 1 × 10 11 m r 2 = 4.309 805 3 × 10 11 m
r 1 adj = 1.646 886 9 × 10 11 m r adj = 2.093 317 3 × 10 11 m r 2 adj = 4.310 018 0 × 10 11 m
r ˙ 1 = 43.550 029 km/s r ˙ = 41.351 855 km/s r ˙ 2 = 35.396 199 km/s
r ˙ 1 adj = 43.545 919 km/s r ˙ adj = 41.351 965 km/s r ˙ 2 adj = 35.402 111 km/s
Δ A 1 adj = 5.604 0 × 10 6 m s 2 Δ A adj = 2.700 8 × 10 6 m s 2 Δ A 2 adj = 0.371 4 × 10 6 m s 2
Data arc No. 4 e , f with ρ = 4.9 km
t 1 = 3 018 115.6 s t = 4 071 197.8 s t 2 = 9 933 463.6 s
χ { 0 } = 1.008 329 8 χ ( 23 ) = 1.157 589 0 χ { 100 } = 1.657 283 8
t 1 adj = 3 018 289.0 s t adj = 4 071 320.9 s t 2 adj = 9 933 636.9 s
χ adj { 0 } = 1.008 415 3 χ adj { 23 } = 1.157 763 9 χ adj { 100 } = 1.657 756 8
r 1 = 1.646 846 2 × 10 11 m r = 2.093 359 1 × 10 11 m r 2 = 4.309 879 8 × 10 11 m
r 1 adj = 1.646 846 2 × 10 11 m r adj = 2.093 362 1 × 10 11 m r 2 adj = 4.310 370 2 × 10 11 m
r ˙ 1 = 43.550 712 km/s r ˙ = 41.352 677 km/s r ˙ 2 = 35.397 282 km/s
r ˙ 1 adj = 43.550 712 km/s r ˙ adj = 41.356 811 km/s r ˙ 2 adj = 35.407 342 km/s
Δ A 1 adj = 5.377 5 × 10 6 m s 2 Δ A adj = 2.624 6 × 10 6 m s 2 Δ A 2 adj = 0.423 4 × 10 6 m s 2
Data arc No. 4 g with ρ Ou = 4.9 km
Δ A 1 Ou = 2.328 × 10 10 m s 2 Δ A Ou = 0.000 × 10 10 m s 2 Δ A 2 Ou = 0.000 × 10 10 m s 2
Data arc No. 4 e , h with ρ Ou = 100 000 km
t 1 Ou = 3 018 893.4 s t Ou = 4 072 010.7 s t 2 Ou = 9 934 241.4 s
r 1 = 1.646 846 2 × 10 11 m r = 2.093 359 1 × 10 11 m r 2 = 4.309 879 8 × 10 11 m
r 1 Ou = 1.646 846 2 × 10 11 m r Ou = 2.093 280 6 × 10 11 m r 2 Ou = 4.309 596 4 × 10 11 m
r ˙ 1 = 43.550 712 km/s r ˙ = 41.352 677 km/s r ˙ 2 = 35.397 282 km/s
r ˙ 1 Ou = 43.539 445 km/s r ˙ Ou = 41.345 909 km/s r ˙ 2 Ou = 35.395 830 km/s
Δ A 1 Ou = 6.353 9 × 10 6 m s 2 Δ A Ou = 2.820 7 × 10 6 m s 2 Δ A 2 Ou = 0.251 7 × 10 6 m s 2
a Julian date 2458040.93936 (14 October 2017; 10:32:40.7 UTC, start of observations) and perihelion times of both orbits (see Notes d and e) define times t 1 by adjusting χ ( 0 ) in Equation (21)a. b For orbit No. 3, we assumed r ˙ adj r ˙ at r adj r according to Constraint (2). The approximations could have been improved by smaller steps of the parameter χ . c JD 2458120.97811 (2 January 2018; 11:28:28.7 UTC, end of observations) defines times t 2 by adjusting χ ( 100 ) . d Perihelion on 9 September 2017 12:10:32.5 UTC (JD 2458006.007321) defines time t 0 = 0 s for No. 3 (JPL 16 for 1I/‘Oumuamua). Adjustment of χ adj { 0 } by applying Constraint (2) above. e By an appropriate selection of the parameter limit χ adj { 100 } , the durations of all data arcs become t 2 t 1 = t 2 adj t 1 adj = t 2 Ou t 1 Ou = 6 915 348 s . f Perihelion on 9 September 2017 12:10:45.0 UTC (JD 2458006.007466) defines time t 0 = 0 s for No. 4 (“Pseudo-MPEC” for 1I/‘Oumuamua). Heliocentric distance r 1 adj = r 1 equated by adjusting χ adj { 0 } , cf. Equation (21)b. At r 1 it is assumed that r ˙ 1 adj = r ˙ 1 , cf. Constraint (1). g Anomalous accelerations relevant for orbit No. 4 with ρ = 4.9 km . h The unmodified quantities relevant for orbit No. 4 are not repeated here.
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Wilhelm, K.; Dwivedi, B.N. Anomalous Sun Flyby of 1I/2017 U1 (`Oumuamua). Galaxies 2020, 8, 83. https://doi.org/10.3390/galaxies8040083

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Wilhelm K, Dwivedi BN. Anomalous Sun Flyby of 1I/2017 U1 (`Oumuamua). Galaxies. 2020; 8(4):83. https://doi.org/10.3390/galaxies8040083

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Wilhelm, Klaus, and Bhola N. Dwivedi. 2020. "Anomalous Sun Flyby of 1I/2017 U1 (`Oumuamua)" Galaxies 8, no. 4: 83. https://doi.org/10.3390/galaxies8040083

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