Analysis of a Semi-Markov Cold Standby System with Two Heterogeneous Components Considering Multiple Failure Modes
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Model Assumptions
- The system comprises two heterogeneous components. Initially, component 1 is operational, while component 2 remains in a cold standby state. Upon failure of the operating component, the standby component immediately switches to the working state.
- The operating time of component 1, denoted by , follows an exponential distribution with failure rate . Its cumulative distribution function is given by . Similarly, the operating time of component 2, denoted by , is exponentially distributed with failure rate , and its cumulative distribution function is .
- Each component may fail due to any of c mutually independent failure modes. Let denote the probability that a failure of component 1 is of type i, where and , and be the probability that a failure of component 2 is of type j, where and .
- The repair time for a failure of type i, denoted by , follows a general distribution with cumulative distribution function . The mean repair time is . The failed component after repaired is as good as new condition.
- All random variables in the system, namely, , , and for are mutually independent.
3. System Analysis
- (1)
- : The failure mode of component 1, ;
- (2)
- : The failure mode of component 2, .
- (I)
- If the number of failed components in the system is 0, it indicates that both components are normal, with one component in the working state and the other in the cold standby state. Specifically:
- : Component 1 is normal and in the working state, while component 2 is in the cold standby state;
- : Component 1 is in the cold standby state, while component 2 is normal and in the working state.
- (II)
- If the number of failed components in the system is 1, it indicates that one of the two components has failed, while the other is in the working state. This is denoted by:
- : Component 1 has experienced a -type failure mode and is currently under repair, while component 2 is normal and in the working state;
- : Component 1 is normal and in the working state, while component 2 has experienced a -type failure mode and is currently under repair.
- (III)
- If the number of failed components in the system is 2, it indicates that both components have failed, with one currently under repair and the other waiting to be repaired. We set the following:
- , : Component 1 has experienced a -type failure mode and is currently under repair, while component 2 has experienced a -type failure mode and is waiting for repair;
- , : Component 1 has experienced a -type failure mode and is waiting for repair, while component 2 has experienced a -type failure mode and is currently under repair.
4. Reliability Analysis
4.1. The Mean Time to the First System Failure
4.2. The System Availability
4.3. The Rate of Occurrence of System Failures
- When , we haveand
- When , one hasand
- For , we getand
- For , we haveand
5. Special Cases
- (1)
- The mean time to the first system failure:
- (2)
- The system availability:where
- (3)
- The rate of occurrence of system failures:
6. Numerical Examples
- (1) Exponential DistributionThe cumulative distribution function is given byfor . The Laplace–Stieltjes transform is and the expected value is .
- (2) Inverse Gaussian DistributionThe cumulative distribution function is given byThe Laplace–Stieltjes transform is and the expected value is .
- (3) Phase-Type Distributionrepresents a phase-type distribution of four orders with representation , where andThe Laplace–Stieltjes transform is given by and the expected value is .
- (4) Deterministic DistributionThe cumulative distribution function is defined as:The Laplace–Stieltjes transform is and the expected value is .
- (5) Gamma DistributionThe cumulative distribution function isfor , where is the gamma function, and is the incomplete gamma function. Based on the properties of the gamma distribution, the Laplace–Stieltjes transform is and the expected value is .
- (6) Coxian Distributionrepresents a Coxian distribution of four order with representation , where andThe Laplace–Stieltjes transform is given by and the expected value is .
- Case 1: Exponential distribution (EXP)
- Case 2: Erlangian distribution (ERL)
- Case 3: Coxian distribution (COX)
- Case 4: Hyper-exponential distribution (HEX)
7. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Symbol | Description |
|---|---|
| The Laplace–Stieltjes transform of an arbitrary function , defined as . | |
| The Laplace transform of , given by . | |
| The convolution of functions and , expressed as . | |
| The cumulative distribution function of the time to the first system failure under initial condition . | |
| The mean time to the first system failure under initial condition . | |
| The system availability at time t under initial condition . | |
| The limiting average system availability under initial condition . | |
| The expected number of failures of type by time t under initial condition . | |
| The steady-state rate of occurrence of failures of type under initial condition . |
| 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.343 | 6.793 | 5.512 | 4.741 | 4.225 | 3.854 | 3.575 | 3.357 | 3.182 | 3.038 | 2.918 | |
| 3.822 | 3.103 | 2.739 | 2.518 | 2.369 | 2.261 | 2.179 | 2.115 | 2.063 | 2.019 | 1.983 | |
| 5.442 | 4.212 | 3.590 | 3.212 | 2.958 | 2.774 | 2.634 | 2.524 | 2.434 | 2.360 | 2.298 | |
| 7.927 | 5.914 | 4.896 | 4.278 | 3.861 | 3.560 | 3.331 | 3.151 | 3.005 | 2.884 | 2.782 | |
| 1.857 | 1.757 | 1.706 | 1.675 | 1.654 | 1.639 | 1.628 | 1.619 | 1.612 | 1.606 | 1.601 | |
| 9.760 | 7.169 | 5.859 | 5.064 | 4.528 | 4.140 | 3.846 | 3.614 | 3.426 | 3.270 | 3.138 | |
| 6.598 | 4.105 | 2.908 | 2.225 | 1.794 | 1.502 | 1.293 | 1.136 | 1.015 | 0.918 | 0.838 | |
| 7.935 | 5.378 | 4.093 | 3.318 | 2.798 | 2.425 | 2.143 | 1.923 | 1.746 | 1.601 | 1.479 | |
| 8.735 | 6.107 | 4.759 | 3.929 | 3.360 | 2.943 | 2.622 | 2.367 | 2.158 | 1.984 | 1.836 |
| 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 0.709 | 0.630 | 0.575 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.478 | 0.458 | 0.442 | 0.429 | 0.417 | 0.407 |
| m | 0.099 | 0.1287 | 0.150 | 0.1663 | 0.179 | 0.1893 | 0.198 | 0.2052 | 0.211 | 0.2169 | 0.222 |
| 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.007 | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.009 | 0.009 | 0.010 | 0.010 | |
| 0.005 | 0.008 | 0.010 | 0.012 | 0.014 | 0.015 | 0.016 | 0.017 | 0.018 | 0.019 | 0.020 | |
| 0.008 | 0.012 | 0.015 | 0.018 | 0.021 | 0.023 | 0.024 | 0.026 | 0.027 | 0.029 | 0.030 | |
| 0.013 | 0.020 | 0.026 | 0.030 | 0.034 | 0.038 | 0.041 | 0.043 | 0.046 | 0.048 | 0.049 | |
| 0.011 | 0.013 | 0.014 | 0.015 | 0.016 | 0.016 | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.017 | |
| 0.016 | 0.020 | 0.022 | 0.023 | 0.024 | 0.024 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.026 | 0.026 | 0.026 | |
| 0.044 | 0.052 | 0.058 | 0.061 | 0.064 | 0.065 | 0.067 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.069 | 0.070 |
| 9.677 | 9.662 | 9.693 | 9.699 | 5.676 | 5.669 | 5.684 | 5.687 | |
| 3.891 | 3.888 | 3.894 | 3.896 | 2.766 | 2.765 | 2.768 | 2.768 | |
| 5.559 | 5.554 | 5.565 | 5.567 | 3.637 | 3.635 | 3.639 | 3.640 | |
| 9.033 | 8.986 | 9.089 | 9.107 | 5.450 | 5.426 | 5.477 | 5.486 | |
| 1.867 | 1.866 | 1.867 | 1.867 | 1.710 | 1.710 | 1.710 | 1.710 | |
| 10.008 | 9.997 | 10.020 | 10.024 | 5.958 | 5.954 | 5.963 | 5.965 | |
| 6.720 | 6.715 | 6.727 | 6.729 | 2.930 | 2.929 | 2.931 | 2.931 | |
| 8.160 | 8.151 | 8.172 | 8.176 | 4.180 | 4.176 | 4.184 | 4.186 | |
| 9.022 | 9.010 | 9.036 | 9.041 | 4.882 | 4.877 | 4.888 | 4.890 | |
| A | 0.710 | 0.710 | 0.710 | 0.710 | 0.576 | 0.576 | 0.576 | 0.576 |
| m | 0.096 | 0.097 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.146 | 0.146 | 0.146 | 0.146 |
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Zhang, P.; Hu, J.; Wu, W. Analysis of a Semi-Markov Cold Standby System with Two Heterogeneous Components Considering Multiple Failure Modes. Axioms 2026, 15, 251. https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms15040251
Zhang P, Hu J, Wu W. Analysis of a Semi-Markov Cold Standby System with Two Heterogeneous Components Considering Multiple Failure Modes. Axioms. 2026; 15(4):251. https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms15040251
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhang, Ping, Jinsong Hu, and Wenqing Wu. 2026. "Analysis of a Semi-Markov Cold Standby System with Two Heterogeneous Components Considering Multiple Failure Modes" Axioms 15, no. 4: 251. https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms15040251
APA StyleZhang, P., Hu, J., & Wu, W. (2026). Analysis of a Semi-Markov Cold Standby System with Two Heterogeneous Components Considering Multiple Failure Modes. Axioms, 15(4), 251. https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms15040251

