Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Determinants of Rural Construction Land in China’s Developed Areas: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Study Area and Methodology
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data
2.3. Methodology
2.3.1. Annual Growth Rate of Construction Land
2.3.2. Gini Coefficient
2.3.3. Exploratory Spatiotemporal Data Analysis (ESTDA)
- (1)
- Moran’s I
- (2)
- LISA (Local Indicators of Spatial Association) time path
- (3)
- LISA space–time transition
- (4)
- Correlation network
2.3.4. Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR)
3. Results
3.1. Spatiotemporal Dynamics of RCL in the YRD Region
3.1.1. Spatial and Temporal Patterns of RCL in the YRD Region
- (1)
- Global features
- (2)
- Spatial and temporal patterns of changes in RCL
3.1.2. Dynamics of the Local Spatial Dependence of RCL
3.1.3. Local Clustering of Changes in RCL
3.1.4. Inter-City Competition for RCL
3.2. Determinants of RCL
3.2.1. Baseline Results
3.2.2. Spatial and Temporal Variations in the Effects of the Determinants
- (1)
- GDP of primary industry
- (2)
- Area of arable land
- (3)
- Elevation and slope
- (4)
- Rural population
4. Discussion
4.1. Mechanisms of the Effects of Determinants on RCL
4.2. Other Factors Influencing RCL
4.3. Policy Implications
4.4. Contributions and Limitations
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
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Category | Variable | Reference |
---|---|---|
Socioeconomic factors | GDP of primary industry | [31] |
rural population | [28] | |
area of arable land | [40,41] | |
accessibility | [42] | |
GDP | [43] | |
Physical factors | elevation | [31,44] |
slope | [31,44] |
Type of Transition | Description | Transitions |
---|---|---|
I | Self-transition with neighborhood stabilization | HHt→LHt+1, LHt+1→HHt+1, HLt→LLt+1, LLt→HLt+1 |
II | Self-stabilization with neighborhood transition | HHt→HLt+1, LHt→LLt+1, HLt→HHt+1, LLt→LHt+1 |
III | Self-transition with neighborhood transition | HHt→LLt+1, LHt→HLt+1, HLt→LHt+1, LLt→HHt+1 |
IV | Self-stabilization with neighborhood stabilization | HHt→HHt+1, LHt→LHt+1, HLt→HLt+1, LLt→LLt+1 |
ID | Correlation Coefficient | Coevolution Strength |
---|---|---|
1 | −1 to −0.5 | Strong decoupling |
2 | −0.5–0 | Weak decoupling |
3 | 0–0.5 | Weak coevolution |
4 | 0.5–0.9 | Moderate coevolution |
5 | 0.9–1.0 | Strong decoupling |
Time Period | t/t + 1 | HH | HL | LH | LL | Type | SHTI | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1990–2000 | HH | 0.238 | 0 | 0 | 0 | I | 0.023 | 0.023 |
HL | 0.023 | 0.071 | 0 | 0 | II | 0.023 | ||
LH | 0.023 | 0 | 0.095 | 0 | III | 0 | ||
LL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.523 | IV | 0.954 | ||
2000–2010 | HH | 0.285 | 0 | 0 | 0 | I | 0.023 | 0.012 |
HL | 0.023 | 0.047 | 0 | 0 | II | 0.046 | ||
LH | 0.023 | 0 | 0.071 | 0 | III | 0 | ||
LL | 0 | 0 | 0.023 | 0.5 | IV | 0.931 | ||
2010–2017 | HH | 0.357 | 0 | 0 | 0 | I | 0.07 | −0.001 |
HL | 0 | 0.023 | 0 | 0 | II | 0.023 | ||
LH | 0.023 | 0 | 0.047 | 0.023 | III | 0 | ||
LL | 0 | 0.047 | 0 | 0.452 | IV | 0.907 |
Adj-R2 | X1 | X2 | X3 | X4 | X5 | X6 | X7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.697 | 0.219 ** (2.26) | −0.167 (−1.06) | 0.728 *** (6.43) | 0.011 (0.26) | −0.256 (−1.27) | 0.418 ** (3.25) | −0.819 *** (−4.87) |
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Niu, F.; Wang, L.; Sun, W. Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Determinants of Rural Construction Land in China’s Developed Areas: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta. Land 2023, 12, 1902. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12101902
Niu F, Wang L, Sun W. Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Determinants of Rural Construction Land in China’s Developed Areas: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta. Land. 2023; 12(10):1902. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12101902
Chicago/Turabian StyleNiu, Fangqu, Lan Wang, and Wei Sun. 2023. "Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Determinants of Rural Construction Land in China’s Developed Areas: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta" Land 12, no. 10: 1902. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12101902
APA StyleNiu, F., Wang, L., & Sun, W. (2023). Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Determinants of Rural Construction Land in China’s Developed Areas: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta. Land, 12(10), 1902. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12101902