Changes in Extreme Precipitation: A Case Study in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River in China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Study Area and Data Preprocessing
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data and Preprocessing
3. Methods
3.1. Peaks-Over-Threshold Approach with Poisson Arrival Rate to Examine the Occurrence of Extreme Daily Precipitation Events
3.1.1. Peaks-Over-Threshold Approach
3.1.2. Poisson Distribution Validation
3.2. The to Analyze Extreme Precipitation Frequency and Its Trends
3.3. The to Analyze Extreme Precipitation Intensity and Trend Analysis
3.4. Attribution of Changes in Extreme Daily Precipitation Events
4. Results
4.1. Long-Time Average Annual Precipitation in the MLR-YR from 1961 to 2012
4.2. Threshold Selection of Extreme Daily Precipitation in the MLR-YR
4.3. Average Intensity of Extreme Daily Precipitation
4.4. Trends in Extreme Daily Precipitation in the MLR-YR from 1961–2012
4.4.1. Frequency of Extreme Daily Precipitation Events
4.4.2. Intensity of Extreme Daily Precipitation
5. Discussions
5.1. Impacts of East Asian Summer Monsoon on Extreme Daily Precipitation Events
5.2. Relationships between Extreme Daily Precipitation and Several Local Factors
6. Conclusions
Acknowledgments
Author Contributions
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Precipitation Features | 90th | 95th | 99th |
---|---|---|---|
Threshold (mm/day) | 23.97 4.41 | 36.43 6.10 | 72.14 12.22 |
Occurrence rate (days) | 11.05 1.76 | 5.96 1.01 | 1.31 0.22 |
Dispersion coefficients | 0.78 0.18 | 0.91 0.19 | 0.96 0.18 |
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Pei, F.; Wu, C.; Qu, A.; Xia, Y.; Wang, K.; Zhou, Y. Changes in Extreme Precipitation: A Case Study in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River in China. Water 2017, 9, 943. https://doi.org/10.3390/w9120943
Pei F, Wu C, Qu A, Xia Y, Wang K, Zhou Y. Changes in Extreme Precipitation: A Case Study in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River in China. Water. 2017; 9(12):943. https://doi.org/10.3390/w9120943
Chicago/Turabian StylePei, Fengsong, Changjiang Wu, Aixue Qu, Yan Xia, Kun Wang, and Yi Zhou. 2017. "Changes in Extreme Precipitation: A Case Study in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River in China" Water 9, no. 12: 943. https://doi.org/10.3390/w9120943