Dynamic Parameter Calibration of an Analytical Model to Predict Transient Groundwater Inflow into a Tunnel
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Perrochet Model and Dynamic Parameter Calibration Process
- Initial values assignment: The initial values of Kiin and Siin are assigned to the parameters of hydraulic conductivity and specific storage for sector i.
- Water inflow calculation: This step is denoted as “Perrochet’s Equation” in the flow chart in Figure 2. A MATLAB code script for inflow calculation has been written according to Equation (1). After the initial values of Kiin and Siin are assigned, the code runs, then the inflow calculation is obtained for the ith sector, which is referred to as Qical. It is also a time series including mi values, exactly the same dimension as its paired observation Qiobs.
- Parameter calibration: Once the Qiobs and Qical are available, the trust region reflection algorithm will be applied to calibrate and optimize Ki and Si. The number of iterations in the optimization depends on the stopping condition of the solver, namely, Tolerance, referred to as Tol. When the tolerance is lower than the threshold ε (ε = 1 × 10−6), the stop criterion is met, then the iteration of the solver will be terminated. In this step, the proposed optimal algorithm will run repeatedly until the stop criterion is met; at that time, the optimized hydraulic conductivity Kiop and specific storage coefficient Siop are determined as well.
- Results output: The optimized Kiop and Siop will be stored in a database to form parameter sets, while the Coefficient of Determination is calculated as:
- Next calculating sector: As the calibration goes to the (i + 1)th sector, the entire process will be conducted again, as shown in the flowchart in Figure 2. The optimized parameters of the ith sector will be used for water inflow calculation in step (2), and the parameters of the (i + 1)th sector will be calibrated in step (3).
3. Case Studies
3.1. Modane Exploratory Tunnel, France
3.2. Xiema Tunnel in Chongqing, China
4. Conclusions
- The proposed Dynamic Parameter Calibration (DPC) scheme, which can automatically and quickly optimize hydrogeological parameters by computer, has great advantages over the empirical trial-and-error method. The coefficient of determination R2 by DPC is always greater than that by trial-and-error, which means a better fitting between observation and calculation.
- The number of sectors being calibrated in each step can be set arbitrarily in this DPC scheme. This number has a great influence on the fitting effect, specifically, the more sectors being calibrated, the better the fitting. However, more sectors to be calibrated simultaneously means more parameters to be optimized, and this will lead to massive computation and time consumption. Moreover, the scenario with too many sectors to be optimized simultaneously deviates from the reality of dynamic construction and continuous advancement of tunnel engineering.
- Considering the uncertainty of parameters, the proposed calibration scheme can also conduct multiple optimizations in the same sector. The first case study of the Modane exploration tunnel shows that the hydraulic conductivity K of the same sector is relatively stable after multiple optimizations, and the change is insignificant. The optimization results of the specific storage coefficient S are relatively stable in most sectors, except in the sectors where the inflow changes dramatically.
- For the case where the tunnel passes through heterogeneous strata with different lithologies, the proposed DPC scheme is also applicable. The example of Xiema tunnel demonstrates that K and S will change abruptly near the rock boundary and fault influence zone, reflecting the changes of permeability and storability. The parameter sensitivity analysis shows that K is more sensitive to water inflow than S.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
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Zhu, R.; Xia, Q.; Zhang, Q.; Cao, C.; Zhang, X.; Mao, B. Dynamic Parameter Calibration of an Analytical Model to Predict Transient Groundwater Inflow into a Tunnel. Water 2023, 15, 2702. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15152702
Zhu R, Xia Q, Zhang Q, Cao C, Zhang X, Mao B. Dynamic Parameter Calibration of an Analytical Model to Predict Transient Groundwater Inflow into a Tunnel. Water. 2023; 15(15):2702. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15152702
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhu, Rui, Qiang Xia, Qiang Zhang, Cong Cao, Xiaoyu Zhang, and Bangyan Mao. 2023. "Dynamic Parameter Calibration of an Analytical Model to Predict Transient Groundwater Inflow into a Tunnel" Water 15, no. 15: 2702. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15152702