2. Theoretical Context for the Role of Wind Velocity, Wind Shear, and Electric Field Effects in the Formation of Sporadic E (Es)
The main parameters for estimating the vertical motion of ions/electrons, their convergence into a thin layer, and the corresponding formation of sporadic E (Es) are the height profiles of ion drift velocity and its vertical changes [
22,
29,
37,
38], which are determined by the effects of neutral wind velocity and shear and electric and geomagnetic fields. We assume that the horizontal changes in ion vertical drift velocity are smaller than its vertical changes; thus, in this study, ion drift velocity divergence is determined by the ion vertical drift velocity. In this case, the main condition for ion vertical convergence and the formation of an Es layer for a given region of the lower thermosphere (with arbitrary geomagnetic inclination
I) is a minimal negative value of ion drift velocity
divergence [
29]:
In this case, for an ion density
with a Gaussian-type initial layer
, peak density
at height
(initial peak height), and characteristic ionic scale height
,
under condition (1), ions can accumulate into a thin layer and form an Es layer. Like in Didebulidze et al. [
26,
27,
28], this layer can be described by an approximate analytical solution of the ion/electron density continuity equation (assuming quasi-neutrality
and taking into account the rates of formation
and loss
):
Here, small variations in the ion drift velocity
, its divergence
, and the vertical changes in production (
Q) and loss (
L) rates
during time
are assumed.
is the ion vertical diffusion coefficient, which is taken into account in the ion total vertical drift velocity
in addition to its drift velocity
in the absence of diffusion, and has the following form:
Here, separating the diffusion displacement of ions (
) from the total vertical drift velocity
in a given altitude range makes it possible to determine the conditions for the vertical convergence of ions, taking into account their production (
Q) and loss (
L) rates. In this case, according to Equation (3), describing the evolution of the initial ion/electron Gaussian-type layer that moved vertically at ion drift velocity
, a more generalized condition for ion vertical convergence is
However, this mostly applies to the height region with because the impact of diffusion and production Q and loss L rates in the MLT for an ion initial layer with is negligibly small.
In this study, the ion vertical drift velocity
in equatorial and mid-latitude regions is determined by the horizontal neutral wind velocity
and electric field
and has the following form [
25,
29]:
where
In this case, the coefficient of ion vertical diffusion
in the ion total vertical drift velocity
, Equation (4), is
and are the ionic and electronic temperatures, respectively. , where and are the ion-neutral collision frequency and ion gyrofrequency, respectively. is the Earth’s magnetic field vector.
According to the roles of neutral wind, wind shear, and electric field in ion/electron vertical convergence (
), determined in Equations (1) and (5), and, correspondingly, in the formation of the Es layers, we estimate the ion vertical drift velocity
, like in Didebulidze et al. [
26], which has the following form:
where
,
, and
are the parts/fractions of the vertical shear (
,
) of the meridional
and zonal
components of the horizontal wind velocity
, the wind velocity magnitude and direction, and the external electric field
, respectively, with effects of the zonal
and vertical
components on the total ion vertical convergence
/divergence
rate. Hereafter, the value of
, which describes the rate of increase/convergence in ion/electron density
, Equation (3), will be referred to more definitely as the total ion vertical convergence rate (TotIVCR).
The value of
, which describes the rate of ion/electron density decrease
, Equation (3), will be referred as the ion/electron divergence rate. Below we use the peak height
of the maximal value of TotIVCR (MTotIVCR)
, where
Using Equations (6)–(8) in Equation (10), we obtain equations for the contributions of wind shear, wind speed, and electric field to the total ion convergence/divergence rates:
Note that in equatorial region (I = 0), the fraction of the ion convergence rate caused by windshear in the TotIVCR, Equation (10), is significantly dependent on the vertical shear of the zonal component of wind velocity , while in mid-latitude regions, the windshear convergence rate is determined by the combined effect () of the vertical shear of the meridional () and zonal () winds, Equation (12).
The wind velocity convergence rate , Equation (13), in the TotIVCR, Equation (10), in an equatorial region (I = 0) caused by zonal wind velocity and at mid-latitudes () caused by both meridional and zonal wind velocities () is determined by vertical changes in ion-neutral collisional frequency (or ), resulting in and , Equations (15) and (16).
The fraction of the electric field , Equation (14), in the TotIVCR, Equation (10), also depends on the height profiles of the factors of , , , and , Equations (7), (8), (15) and (16), respectively. If there are small changes in the electric field , these factors have a significant effect on the height profiles of and, correspondingly, the maximal TotIVCR, Equation (11), in the formation of Es layers.
In the next section, unlike the previous consideration [
26], we numerically show the important fraction (role) of each of the parameters
,
, and
, determined by Equations (12)–(14), in the MTotIVCR
, Equation (11), and, correspondingly, in the formation of Es layers, which are predicted using the analytical approach
, Equation (3), for the evolution of a Gaussian-type initial layer.
On the basis of the numerical estimation, we also develop the TotIVCR condition, obtained from Equation (3), for an initial layer descending into the region in which
and
. This condition occurs at equatorial and mid-latitude regions and can be caused by an electric field or/and neutral wind velocity in case of an absence of (or decreased) windshear. In this case, Es layers with higher density (
) can form at the bottom of the MLT (around 95–105 km), where they are observed more frequently [
12,
22,
31]. For simplicity, we assume the presence of only metallic ions, Fe
+ and
.
3. Results and Discussion
We demonstrate the time-varying parameters of the windshear (described by ), wind velocity (described by ), and electric field (described by ) in the MTotIVCR , Equations (10)–(16), during the formation of Es layers at equatorial (I = 0) and mid-latitude regions with I = 30 and I = 60. In this case, estimating the ion drift velocity height profile, Equations (6)–(8), allows us to identify the height region with or/and , where Es layer localization is expected. By the height profile the height profile of , Equations (10)–(14), and the corresponding height and MTotIVCR values are estimated, showing the possibility of Es layer formation (Equation (3)). The formation and localization of the Es layers predicted by Equation (3) are demonstrated for an initial ion/electron layer maximum at . In this case, at the height , the values of the windshear , wind velocity , and electric field factors, resulting in MTotVICR , are estimated.
This estimation uses an electric field
with four different polarizations (e.g.,
,
) and possible values of its zonal
and vertical
components in the equatorial region [
32,
33,
34,
39]. The presence of an electric field
with the same zonal
and vertical
components in regions between equatorial and mid-latitudes
I = 30° (16° N; 195° E) and at mid-latitudes
I = 60° (45° N, 195° E) is also considered. These electric field
component values (
and
) are chosen in accordance with the model data [
32,
33] and taking into account that near these values, their influence on the vertical drift velocity of ions
, Equation (6), is comparable to the effect caused by the meridional
and zonal
components of the horizontal neutral wind velocity
. Here, we assume that the meridional and horizontal wind velocities are about 10–60 m/s, according to HWM14 data for the height region (about 90–150 km) of the lower thermosphere in equatorial and mid-latitudes [
35]. We also note that different electric field directions may be characteristic for different heliogeophysical conditions, and considering opposing electric field directions may reveal a possible role of the known daily reversal of the E-region electric field in the formation or disruption of Es layers [
17,
19,
34].
For the meridional
and zonal wind
velocities, we use a realistic altitude profile, according to HWM14 data [
33], for a day around the September equinox (e.g., day 264). The neutral densities for the MLT region are chosen in accordance with the NRLMSISE00 model [
40].
Figure 1 shows the HWM14 data of the horizontal neutral wind velocity’s
meridional
(left columns) and zonal
(right columns) components at equatorial
I = 0 (0.5° N; 195° E), between equatorial and mid-latitudes (BEML)
I = 30° (16° N; 195° E) and mid-latitudes
I = 60° (45° N, 195° E), for day 264.
Figure 1 shows that the wind profiles in the equatorial
I = 0 region, as well as at BEML
I = 30° and mid-latitudes
I = 60° for the time interval
, always have a region with polarization changes in the meridional and zonal winds at the height where
(panels a, b, c) and
(panels d, e, f), with important positive vertical shear values of
and
, respectively. The height of meridional and zonal changes in wind polarization differs between equatorial (see
Figure 1a,d) and mid-latitudes (see
Figure 1b,c,e,f). Accordingly, this meridional difference in the wind height profile reflects the difference in the altitude profile of the vertical drift velocity of ions and vertical changes in this vertical drift velocity; see Equation (6).
In these cases, in the equatorial region (
I = 0), assuming the absence of an electric field
E = 0, the node of the vertical drift velocity of ions (the height region with
and an increase in vertical ion flux into this region) will be determined by the zonal wind and its shear, per Equation (12). In the same case (
E = 0), in mid-latitudes, it will be determined by the combined action of the meridional
and zonal wind
velocities and their vertical shear (
and
) [
41,
42].
In accordance with the above consideration, a meridional effect on the formation and localization of Es layers under the influence of only horizontal wind is expected. Taking into account the presence of an electric field, which influences the ion vertical drift velocity , Equation (6), and vertical changes in ion vertical drift velocity (), Equation (10), differences in its influence on Es layer formation and localization at equatorial and mid-latitude regions are also expected.
Figure 2 shows that the ion vertical drift velocity
(panels a, b, and c), determined by the horizontal wind meridional
and zonal
components, Equation (6), always has a region in which
or
. Around these regions, the total convergence/divergence rate
(panels d, e, and f) has an MTotIVCR
(see panels k, l, and j), and high-density Es layers form (panel g:
; panel h:
; panel i:
). These Es layers (see
Figure 2g–i) localize at ion vertical drift velocity nodes
and/or in regions in which
. In these cases, in the absence of an electric field, the impacts of the vertical shear of the neutral wind velocity and the velocity magnitude and direction (see panels k, l, j) always occur for the considered time
in equatorial (panel j), BEML (panel k), and mid-latitude (panels l) regions. In the case considered, using the HWM14 data (day 264) for equatorial (
I = 0—upper panels), BEML (
I = 30°—middle panels), and mid-latitude (
I = 60°—bottom panels) regions, the height profile of the ion vertical drift velocity and its vertical changes determine the ion/electron density behavior. Here, the MTotIVCR
(about
), the presence of which determines Es layer formation, is mostly determined by the windshear fraction
, but the wind magnitude and direction fraction
are also important in equatorial (
Figure 2j), BEML (
Figure 2k), and mid-latitude (
Figure 2l) regions. For example, in the case of high-density Es layers formed at BEML and mid-latitudes for a time of
(
Figure 2k,l), the MTotIVCR
(about
) is primarily determined by the wind velocity factor of
(
. Correspondingly, these layers are formed without the windshear effect.
Here, in the equatorial region, the values of
and, correspondingly, the MTotIVCR
are determined by the zonal wind; however, at mid-latitudes, the values depend on the combined effect of the meridional and zonal winds. This combined effect results in different behavior of the Es layers at BEML and mid-latitude compared to in the equatorial region. In these cases, the wind velocity value (see
Figure 1) at the equator and the height regions of its polarization changes (with
) differ from those at BENL and mid-latitudes (with
or/and
). Thus, their combined effect influences ion vertical drift velocity and its vertical changes differently, resulting in different localization regions and behaviors.
Cases in which the formed Es layers descend to their more frequently observed height in the lower thermosphere (around 95–105 km) are noticeable for equatorial (see
Figure 2h: Es layer formed at
h < 110 km), BEML (See
Figure 2g: Es layer formed at
h < 110 km), and mid-latitudes (
Figure 2i).
The electric field significantly affects the vertical drift velocity of ions , Equation (6). Accordingly, it is expected to influence the formation and behavior of the Es layers, in addition to the neutral wind velocity and its shear effect. We will demonstrate the case in which an external electric field with four different polarizations (e.g., , ; , ; , ; , ) is present.
This electric field can cause (1) additional upward or downward drift of ions, leading to a change in the region of the height of drift velocity node with
(or regions in which
); (2) changes in the magnitude and height of the peak of the total ion/electron vertical convergence rate
; and (3) an effect on the formation of the Es layer and its localization and density, which differ from in the case in which only horizontal wind is present (see
Figure 1). Thus, using Equations (10)–(14), it is possible to estimate the magnitude of
and its fraction in the total vertical convergence rate of ions
and, accordingly, its role in the formation of Es layers in combination with the wind velocity
and shear
fractions in equatorial (
I = 0), BEML (
I = 30°) and mid-latitudes (
I = 60°), similar to that shown in
Figure 2.
Figure 3, similar to
Figure 2, shows the presence of an electric field
with westward
and upward
components.
Figure 3 shows that the additional combined effect of downward (
) and upward (
) ion drifts caused by the westward
and upward
electric field
components leads to changes in the height profiles of the vertical ion drift velocity
, Equation (6); its nodes
(panels a, b, c); and their total convergence (
)/divergence (
) rates (panels d, e, f), Equation (10), compared to the case of horizontal wind only (
Figure 2a–f).
In the case with an electric field
, the behavior of the ion/electron density
(panels g, h, i), as well as the formation and localization of the Es layers (panels g and h), align with the nodes of the ion vertical drift velocity
and the MTotIVCR
, which, in addition to the wind velocity
and its shear
fraction, also includes the contribution of the electric field (
Figure 3j–l).
In this case, this contribution of the electric field
to the ion drift velocity
, the total convergence rate,
and its peak value
during the formation of Es-type layers is different at equatorial
I = 0 (
Figure 3a,d,g,j), BEML
I = 30° (
Figure 3b,e,h,k) and mid-latitudes
I = 60° (
Figure 3c,f,i,l).
In the equatorial region (
I = 0), the electric field
and zonal wind (
Figure 1d) result in the formation of an ion drift velocity node
at about 140 km and
at an altitude of about 135 km, and the Es layers form (see
Figure 3g:
) at an altitude near the drift velocity node (140 km). In this case, the magnitude of the fraction of the electric field
(about
) exceeds the fractions of the wind velocity and its shear,
>
and
.
Thus, in the equatorial region, the electric field may play a dominant role in the formation and localization of the Es layer.
The presence of an electric field (with westward
and upward
components) in the region
I = 30°, in combination with the meridional and zonal winds, causes an ion drift velocity node
(at about 137 km in altitude, see
Figure 3b) and
(at about 127 km in altitude, see
Figure 3e), leading to the formation of an Es layer (see
Figure 3g:
) with a lower density than in the case in which only neutral wind is present (see
Figure 2g).
In this case, the electric field
causes a negative
(see
Figure 3l) value and a corresponding decrease in
compared to the value in the absence of the electric field (see
Figure 2l).
Figure 3c,f,i,l show that at mid-latitudes (
I = 60), the electric field under consideration (with
and
) causes a dominant upward drift of ions
(
Figure 3c) and a mostly negative value of
. This causes ions/electrons to diverge from the initial layer, and a high-density Es-type layer does not form. In this case, for time
, the presence of
cannot cause a significant increase in the ion/electron density
in the rarefied region (Equation (3)). Thus, the electric field (
and
) can result in the disappearance of the Es layer that formed in the presence of horizontal wind.
The above consideration shows that the electric field’s influence on the behavior of the ion/electron density and the formation of Es layers can differ according to its polarization.
In
Figure 4, similar to
Figure 2, the outcomes in the presence of an electric field
with westward
and downward
components are shown.
Figure 4 shows that the ion drift caused by the electric field, with the considered westward
and
downward components, is predominantly downward
(see
Figure 4a–c), Equation (6), and the total convergence/divergence rates
(see
Figure 4d–f), Equation (10), also contain values
(see
Figure 4j–l). In these cases, the Es layers (see
Figure 4g–i) descend to the height in which
(
Figure 4g,h) or
(
Figure 4i).
Figure 4a,d,g,j show that in the equatorial region (
I = 0), the electric field
results in an increase in the vertical convergence of ions,
>
and
, and causes a corresponding increase in the total convergence rate
(see
Figure 4j) at the altitude of the main convergence peak (about 115 km, see
Figure 2d and
Figure 4d). In this case, the Es layer’s descent to the height region within which
, where
, results in the formation of a higher-density Es layer (about
) than the layer that formed when zonal wind alone was present (see
Figure 2g:
). Based on Equation (17), the latter outcome is expected.
Figure 4b,e,h,k show that at BEML (
I = 30°), although the electric field
influences the peak MTotIVCR
value (see
Figure 4e,k), its contribution is relatively smaller than that of the wind and its shear.
In this case, the increase in the speed of descent
(
Figure 4b) of the Es layers to the region around
h = 100 km (
Figure 4h), with
and TotIVCR
(
Figure 4e), caused by the westward
and downward
components of the electric field, Equations (6) and (14), leads to the formation of a higher density Es layer (
) than the layer that formed under the influence of only neutral wind (see
Figure 2h:
).
Note that descent of the ion/electron layer at a drift velocity
in the case of the TotIVCR
causes an additional increase in their densities during the descent (e.g., for time
, see
Figure 4b,e,h) and localization to the region with
(see
Figure 4h). This can be predicted using Equation (3) under the following conditions:
Here, is some lower height at the bottom of the MLT, below which the vertical drift velocity of ions changes insignificantly, and the diffusion displacement and recombination of ions lead to a decrease in their density. According to Equation (3) and condition (17), the increase in the density of the Es layer (convergence instability) during its descent to the bottom of the lower thermosphere (about 100–105 km), where , will be mainly compensated by an increase in the ion recombination rate (the diffusion displacement of ion/electrons is relatively small). Taking into account ion production (), this can result in an additional increase in the Es layer density.
For time
(see
Figure 4k), the electric field fraction (
) exceeds the wind velocity (
) and its shear fraction (
) in the MTotIVCR
. Equation (17) corresponds to the condition under which Es layers can form without windshear.
Figure 4h also shows that for the time interval
, the upper layer (formed mostly due to the windshear effect for time
at about 120 km) descends at a higher velocity and localizes in the region of the lower Es layer (which is formed by dominance of electric field factor about 100 km), which descends at a slower speed. This results in the formation of single-layer sporadic E.
Figure 4c,f,i,l also show an important increase in the downward drift velocity of
(see
Figure 4c) at mid-latitudes (
I = 60°). In this case, the TotIVCR is
(
Figure 4f), where the effect of the electric field
is greater than the wind shear effect for the whole time interval
considered (
Figure 4l). This means that the formation of an Es layer with increased density (
) during its descent into the region with
(see
Figure 4i) occurs without the windshear effect and can be predicted from Equation (3) and condition (17). In this case, the density of the formed Es layer is greater (
) and approximately the same as when it forms due to the wind effect only (see
Figure 2i). The possibility Es layers forming under the influence of horizontal wind without the windshear effect in regions
h < 110 km, where they are observed more frequently, also is noted by Dalakishvili et al. [
29] and Tang et al. [
13].
Thus, for the considered electric field
polarization and the HWM14 data for
(
Figure 1), Es layers form at equatorial, BEML, and mid-latitudes (see
Figure 4g–i) at higher densities than in the presence of horizontal wind only (see
Figure 2g,h). Next, we consider the case of an electric field
with polarization opposite to that in
Figure 4,
.
In
Figure 5, similar to
Figure 2, the outcomes in the presence of an electric field
with eastward
and upward
components are shown.
Figure 5 shows that the upward drift of ions caused by the eastward
and upward
components of the electric field, Equation (6), causes an increase in the upward drift of ions/electrons
(see
Figure 5a–c) and in the total convergence/divergence rates
(see
Figure 5d–f), Equation (10). Values of
(see
Figure 5j–l) also occur for a short time interval of
. In this case, the Es layers formed with relatively low density (about 1.4) (see
Figure 5g,h) flow upward above an altitude of 140 km with an ion/electron drift velocity
(see
Figure 5a,b).
This upward drift of the initial ion/electron density layer leads to its disappearance at greater heights, h > 130 km, and to an increase in the diffusion effect to the mid-latitudes (see
Figure 5h), Equation (9). However, Es layers do not form at the mid-latitudes (
I = 60°) (see
Figure 5i) due to the upward drift
of ions/electrons (see
Figure 5c) and an increase in diffusion displacement at these upper heights. This rarefaction of ions/electrons in the upper heights (
h > 130 km) of the lower thermosphere does not allow for the formation of a high-density Es-type layer in the time interval
, where the conditions
and
(see
Figure 5i,l) necessary for its formation are fulfilled at a height of about
h = 105 km.
Thus,
Figure 5 shows that the electric field
under consideration causes an increase in the vertical convergence of ions
and
only for equatorial regions (see
Figure 5j), while for mid-latitudes, it causes a divergence
(see
Figure 5k,l) and, accordingly, a decrease in
(see
Figure 5e,f). In these cases, a decrease in the Es layer density (
Figure 5h) or its disappearance (
Figure 5i) occurs compared to the cases in which only neutral wind is present at mid-latitudes (see
Figure 2h,i).
We also consider the case of an electric field
with polarization opposite to that in
Figure 3,
.
In
Figure 6, similar to
Figure 2, the outcomes in the presence of an electric field
with eastward
and downward
components are shown.
Figure 6 shows that the additional combined effect of the ions’ upward (caused by eastward
) and downward (caused by downward
) electric field
components results in an increase in the downward drift velocity
, Equation (6), and, correspondingly, a lower location (about 100 km) of nodes
(
Figure 6a,b) compared to the case without an electric field (see
Figure 2a–c). The electric field causes an important increase in the MTotIVCR
at equatorial,
I = 0 (
Figure 6d,j), and mid-latitude,
I = 60°, regions, but its increase at BEML,
I = 30°, is smaller (
Figure 6e,k).
The increased MTotIVCR
in the equatorial region with
I = 0 results in higher-density Es layers (
Figure 6g:
) relative to the case in which only horizontal wind velocity and its shear effect are considered (see
Figure 2g,h).
Note that despite the small contribution of the electric field to the MTotIVCR at BEML with
I = 30 (
Figure 6k), the increase in the downward drift velocity of ions it causes (
Figure 6b) results in the convergence of two relatively high-density Es layers, which formed in upper (about
h = 125 km) and lower (about h = 110 km) height regions, into a single high-density layer (
Figure 6h:
) toward the lower (about
h = 100 km) region. This process, which would not be observed in the presence of wind alone (see
Figure 2h), can be predicted using Equation (17).
The electric field fraction
also has an important effect on the MTotIVCR
(
Figure 6l) at mid-latitude and the increase in the downward drift velocity of ions/electrons
(
Figure 6c) descending to the region with
, resulting in the formation of higher-density Es layers (
Figure 6g,i) without the windshear factor. This is also expected from condition (17).
Thus, to study the role of wind velocity, wind shear, and electric field in the formation and localization of sporadic E (Es), we numerically demonstrate the behavior of the vertical drift velocity of ions
(
Figure 2,
Figure 3,
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6, panels a–c), their total convergence (>0)/divergence (<0) rates
(
Figure 2,
Figure 3,
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6, panels d–f), the ion/electron density
(
Figure 2,
Figure 3,
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6, panels g, h, i), and the fractions of wind velocity (
), wind shear (
), and electric field (
) in the MTotIVCR
(see
Figure 2,
Figure 3,
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6, panels j, k, l).
Figure 2,
Figure 3,
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6 (panels j, k, l) show that the horizontal neutral wind velocity, its shear, and the electric field are important for formation and localization of sporadic E (Es) at equatorial and mid-latitudes. We used HWM14 data to select the height profiles of the meridional and zonal components, and the values of the electric field’s zonal and vertical components are characteristic of the equatorial region [
32,
33,
34]. To study the importance of the electric field in these processes, we also assumed its presence at BEML and mid-latitudes.
Using approximately the same order of electric field (including a value of about 0.5–1.2 mV/m) demonstrated its importance in the formation/destruption of Es layers in the equatorial region [
17,
19]. The influence of its daily reversal (mainly on the zonal component) on the development of these processes also is demonstrated when various directions/polarizations of the electric field are considered [
34]. Unlike previous considerations [
17,
19,
34], in this study, the conditions for the formation of Es layers, Equations (5) and (17); the electric field, Equation (14); and the vertical shear of the zonal and meridional components of the horizontal wind velocity, Equation (12) also include the influence of the direction and magnitude of its velocity, Equation (13). The integration of these convergence factors into the total ion convergence/divergence rate
(Equation (11)) allowed us to consider for the first time, to the best of our knowledge, the role of the electric field, horizontal wind velocity, and its vertical shear in the formation of Es layers. It is also possible to distinguish the roles of these parameters in the sublayers (e.g., see
Figure 2,
Figure 3,
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6) of the sporadic E.
This theoretical study demonstrates the possibility of using arbitrary modeled/observed wind velocity and electric field data to estimate the ion vertical drift velocity and its vertical variations and, accordingly, the behavior of the ion/electron density in the MLT region. The theoretical conditions for TotIVCR, Equations (5) and (17), required for the formation of Es layers and their localization in the regions of ion drift velocity nodes or regions with and obtained from the analytical ion/electron density height profile, Equation (3), can be used for various parameters characteristic of the MLT region, including ion production and loss rates. The condition (17) and numerical simulations also show the possibility of the formation of higher density Es layers without the windshear effect in equatorial and mid-latitude regions, which can also be predicted from Equation (3). In this case, the use of near-real-time neutral wind velocity, shear, and electric field data is more convenient for predicting the possibility of Es layer formation and localization for a given region.
The actual wind velocity also includes its vertical component, which can influence the formation and localization of Es layers and has been theoretically demonstrated in the absence of an electric field [
28]. The influence of vertical wind on the formation of Es layers was also observed using a method based on the creation of artificial periodic inhomogeneities in the ionospheric plasma [
43]. Our future research will take into account the role of the electric field and the magnitude of the actual wind velocity, its direction, and vertical changes in all its components in the vertical convergence of ions and the formation of Es layers. Such a study, including an analytical approach to the formation of the Es layer, similar to Equation (3), will be developed by including the effect of the vertical component of the neutral wind velocity (e.g., see [
28]) in the vertical drift velocity of ions, Equations (4) and (6), and its vertical changes to describe the TotIVCR, which, in turn, would include the vertical wind factor.
The initial distribution of charged particles, the neutral wind velocity, and the electric field undergo daily, inter-annual, and solar- and geomagnetic-activity-dependent variations [
1,
36]. We can use the peak height of the initial ion layer, Equation (2), at different altitudes, which can influence the formation of Es layers [
26,
29] and, accordingly, the role of wind velocity, its shear, and the regional electric field. For brevity, a peak height
, which is close to the most frequently observed electron density, was chosen as it is convenient for demonstrating the most important properties of the formation of Es layers (see
Figure 2,
Figure 3,
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6). The use of thermosphere–ionosphere parameters in accordance with model data [
32,
44,
45] is important in studying the formation of sporadic E [
2,
4,
5,
46,
47] and for the development of models to describe the formation and localization of Es layers globally. It is also important to consider the role of the actual neutral wind velocity magnitude, direction, and shear and the role of the electric field in vertical ion convergence/divergence processes [
26,
46,
47]. Using near-real-time data for these parameters increases the possibility of predicting the probability Es layer formation and localization for a given region of the globe. It also benefits the study of the specifications of their formation frequency, which are associated with the features of the regional and global distribution of metal ions in the MLT [
2,
3,
5]. Note that the condition required for the development of ion vertical convergence, which is necessary for the formation of Es layers, Equation (5), was obtained from the ion continuity equation, assuming the dominance of metallic Fe+ ions. Condition (5) can be derived similarly for any ion species in the MLT, including molecular ions (e.g., O
2+, NO
+) and metallic ions (e.g., Mg
+, K
+, Ca
+, Na
+) [
3,
5], using their continuity equations and taking into account the downward drift velocities; ion-neutral collision frequencies; and diffusion, production and loss rates of each ion species. This approach can be the subject of future modeling studies.