GAN Predictability for Urban Environmental Performance: Learnability Mechanisms, Structural Consistency, and Efficiency Bounds
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. GAN-Based Prediction of Urban Environmental Performance
2.2. Accuracy and Interpretability Evaluation of Deep Learning in AEC/Urban Applications
2.3. Research Gap
2.4. Contributions
- (1)
- A unified comparison framework that, for the first time, evaluates the four targets (UTCI, Rad, SolarH, and Wind) under a strictly combined-input and combined-protocol setting. A single shared urban-form raster, a common EPW-driven simulation pipeline, and a unified evaluation suite are used so that non-comparability caused by heterogeneous inputs, simulation tools, or evaluation metrics is eliminated.
- (2)
- A closed-loop evaluation suite that spans pixel, structural/regional, and cross-task synergy levels (RMSE/MAE/PSNR/SSIM; EOR and HIR/IoU_hot/IoU_cold; pairwise IoU, synergy/conflict and consensus count) to jointly verify numerical correctness and spatial semantic fidelity.
- (3)
- A mechanistic interpretation of learnability, whereby statistical links from texture variance, edge density, and structural entropy to error reveal the sources of learning difficulty across targets.
- (4)
- Efficiency and reproducibility through the standardised reporting of total runtime, average per-epoch time, best/plateau epochs, and convergence trajectories, providing verifiable evidence on both accuracy and computational cost for engineering deployment.
3. Methodology
3.1. Research Framework and Overall Workflow
3.2. Study Area and Data Preparation
3.2.1. Study Area
3.2.2. Physical Simulation of the Four Environmental Performance Targets
3.3. Model Architecture and Training Pipeline
3.3.1. Model Architecture and Modelling Strategy (pix2pix)
3.3.2. Data Preprocessing and Sample Construction
3.3.3. Training Parameters and Hyperparameter Settings
3.3.4. Hyperparameter Standardisation Across Targets
3.4. Comparison and Evaluation of Predictive Performance
- (1)
- Pixel-level metrics
- (2)
- Structural consistency metrics
- (3)
- Training efficiency and stability
- (4)
- Cross-task synergy and semantic learnability
- (5)
- Visualisation and reproducibility
4. Results and Analysis
4.1. Training Process and Efficiency Analysis
4.1.1. Training Time and Resource Consumption
4.1.2. Convergence Speed and Training Stability
4.2. Multi-Target Prediction Results and Overall Performance
4.2.1. Prediction–Ground Truth Comparison and Structural Reconstruction
4.2.2. Visual Perceptual Quality Assessment
4.2.3. Quantitative Comparison of Accuracy Metrics
4.3. Mechanistic Explanation of Learnability Differences
4.3.1. Definition of Semantic Complexity Metrics
4.3.2. Analysis of the Complexity–Error Relationship
4.4. Spatial Structural Consistency and Semantic Recognition
4.5. Cross-Target Synergy and Semantic Conflict Identification
4.5.1. Synergistic Structure Identification: Analysis of Spatial Overlap Maps
4.5.2. Construction of Synergy Metrics and Quantitative Evaluation
5. Discussion
5.1. Comparison with Alternative Predictive Models
5.2. Predictability Hierarchy and Practical Implications
5.3. Limitations and Future Work
5.4. Technical Roadmap for Improving Wind Target Surrogates
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| CFD | Computational Fluid Dynamics |
| EOR | Edge Overlap Ratio |
| EPW | EnergyPlus Weather File |
| GAN | Generative Adversarial Networks |
| GHI | Global Horizontal Irradiance |
| IoU | Intersection Over Union |
| LIME | Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations |
| LPIPS | Learned Perceptual Image Patch Similarity |
| MAE | Mean Absolute Error |
| PDP | Partial Dependence Plot |
| PINN | Physics-Informed Neural Networks |
| PSNR | Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio |
| Rad | Annual Global Solar Radiation |
| RMSE | Root Mean Square Error |
| SHAP | Shapley Additive Explanations |
| SolarH | Sunshine Duration |
| SSIM | Structural Similarity Index |
| UTCI | Universal Thermal Climate Index |
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| Aspect | Setting (Common to UTCI, Rad, SolarH, Wind) |
|---|---|
| Generator architecture | U-Net encoder–decoder with eight levels and skip connections |
| Discriminator architecture | 70 × 70 PatchGAN |
| Input size | 256 × 256 single-channel morphology raster |
| Output size | 256 × 256 single-channel environmental field |
| Optimiser | Adam (β1 = 0.5, β2 = 0.999) |
| Initial learning rate | 2 × 10−4, linearly decayed in later epochs |
| Batch size | 1 |
| L1 loss weight λ | High value, identical for all targets (emphasising numerical accuracy) |
| Loss function | Adversarial loss + λ·L1 |
| Data split | 70%/15%/15% (train/validation/test) |
| Normalisation scheme | Per-target min–max scaling to [0, 1] |
| Data augmentation | Translation and random cropping |
| Early stopping/model selection | Best validation SSIM/lowest RMSE checkpoint retained |
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Wang, C.; Wang, S.; Ren, S.; Luo, W.; Yi, W.; Qing, M. GAN Predictability for Urban Environmental Performance: Learnability Mechanisms, Structural Consistency, and Efficiency Bounds. Atmosphere 2025, 16, 1403. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16121403
Wang C, Wang S, Ren S, Luo W, Yi W, Qing M. GAN Predictability for Urban Environmental Performance: Learnability Mechanisms, Structural Consistency, and Efficiency Bounds. Atmosphere. 2025; 16(12):1403. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16121403
Chicago/Turabian StyleWang, Chenglin, Shiliang Wang, Sixuan Ren, Wenjing Luo, Wenxin Yi, and Mei Qing. 2025. "GAN Predictability for Urban Environmental Performance: Learnability Mechanisms, Structural Consistency, and Efficiency Bounds" Atmosphere 16, no. 12: 1403. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16121403
APA StyleWang, C., Wang, S., Ren, S., Luo, W., Yi, W., & Qing, M. (2025). GAN Predictability for Urban Environmental Performance: Learnability Mechanisms, Structural Consistency, and Efficiency Bounds. Atmosphere, 16(12), 1403. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16121403

