Progress in Climate–Agricultural Vulnerability Assessment in Nigeria
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- What is the linear variation of climate variables in Nigeria?
- What is the current state of climate impact and vulnerability assessments in Nigerian agricultural sector?
- What are the theoretical foundations, operationalization approaches, and frameworks of vulnerability assessments in Nigeria?
- Which methods are currently used in vulnerability assessments?
- Which lessons are learnt from the vulnerability studies?
2. Vulnerability
2.1. Components of Climate Change Vulnerability
2.2. Conceptual Approaches Used in Vulnerability Studies
3. Methods
3.1. Linear Variations in Climate Variables in Nigeria’s Agro-Ecological Zones
3.2. Systematic Literature Review
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Linear Variation in Climate Variables in Nigeria’s Agro-Ecological Zones
4.1.1. Variation of Annual Temperature
4.1.2. Variation of Annual Precipitation
4.1.3. State of Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment in Nigerian Agriculture
4.1.4. Theoretical Foundations, Operationalization Approaches, and Frameworks of Vulnerability Assessments in Nigeria
4.1.5. Methods Currently used in Vulnerability Assessments
4.1.6. Lessons from the Vulnerability Studies
- Identification of Vulnerability according to various agricultural sub-sectors, agro-ecological zones, and geographical locations:The reviewed vulnerability assessment studies reported mainly on the determinants and vulnerability of agricultural sub-sectors, people, and places, as well as methodological contributions and decisions in the study areas.
- Facilitation of vulnerability and adaptation decision making:The concluding sections of the reviewed assessments provided links to their findings on vulnerability and adaptation foci. This allows identification of the possible outcomes of improving adaptation practices, which is informed by the assessments carried out. The identified beneficiaries of these assessments are policy and decision makers and all relevant stakeholders.
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Serial/Number | Author(s) | Primary Data | Secondary Data | Data Collection Tool | Vulnerability Proxy | Main Analytical Approach |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Abaje et al. [38] | ✓ | Household Survey | Composite Vulnerability Index | Statistical method (principal component analysis, index computation, and fixed effects regression) | |
2 | Adeoti et al. [39] | ✓ | ✓ | Questionnaire, NIMET | Composite Vulnerability Index | Statistical method (descriptive, index computation, and multinomial logit regression) |
3 | Adewuyi et al. [40] | ✓ | ✓ | NIMET Database, Questionnaire | Composite Vulnerability Index | Statistical method (descriptive, trend, principal component analysis, index computation, and linear regression) |
4 | Ajibola [18] | ✓ | ✓ | Fadama-II Database, NIMET | Log of Consumption Loss Per Agricultural Household | Statistical method of vulnerability as exposure to uninsured risk (instrumental variable, logit regressions) |
5 | Atedhor [36] | ✓ | ✓ | Questionnaire, NIMET | Unspecified | Statistical method (descriptive statistics, trend analysis. and ordinary least squares (OLS) regression) |
6 | Awolala and Ajibefun [41] | ✓ | Questionnaire | Composite Vulnerability Index | Statistical method (descriptive and index computation) | |
7 | Awoyemi and Olajide [42] | ✓ | Household Survey | Composite Vulnerability Index | Statistical method (principal component analysis, index computation, and fixed effects regression) | |
8 | Ayanlade and Ojebisi [43] | ✓ | ✓ | Questionnaire | Drought and Fodder Sufficiency | Statistical method (descriptive statistics, trend analysis) |
9 | Aye and Ater [44] | ✓ | NBS, World Weather Records, Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) v.3 (2011) Database | Crop Yield | Statistical (multiple linear regression) | |
10 | Building Nigeria’s Response to Climate Change (BNRCC) [6] | ✓ | ✓ | Focus Group, Interviews, Questionnaire | Various | Indicator method, statistical method |
11 | Cervigni et al. [45] | ✓ | GIS, Expert Review of National Adaptation Strategy and Plan of Action on Climate Change for Nigeria (NASPA-CCN) | Yield (t/ha) (Crop); Temperature Humidity Index (Livestock); Gross Primary Productivity (Livestock) | Spatial mapping (remote sensing and GIS techniques, re-scaling normalization technique) | |
12 | Chikezie et al. [46] | ✓ | Questionnaire | Composite Vulnerability Index | Indicator method (principal component analysis), statistical method (ordinary least squares regression) | |
13 | Chukwuemeka et al. [47] | ✓ | Questionnaire, Focus Group Discussions | Composite Vulnerability Index | Indicator method (index computation) | |
14 | Eze et al. [48] | ✓ | Questionnaire | Composite Vulnerability Index | Indicator method (principal component analysis, correspondence analysis) | |
15 | Madu [37] | ✓ | Nigerian Annual Abstract of Statistics 2009 Database; General Household Survey 2006 Database; Core Welfare indicator Questionnaire Survey (CWIQ) 2006 Database | Composite Vulnerability Index | Indicator/statistical method (descriptive analysis, principal component analysis, cluster analysis) | |
16 | Madu [49] | ✓ | Nigerian Annual Abstract of Statistics 2009 and General Household Survey 2006 | Composite Vulnerability Index | Indicator/statistical method (descriptive analysis, principal component analysis, index computation, Pearson’s product correlation analysis) | |
17 | Manu et al. [50] | ✓ | ✓ | Questionnaire, NIMET Database | Composite Vulnerability Index | Indicator/statistical method (descriptive analysis, principal component analysis) |
18 | Medugu and Majid [51] | ✓ | Questionnaire, Interviews, Focus Group Discussions | Composite Vulnerability Index | Indicator method (descriptive, weighting, and averaging indicators) | |
19 | Ojo [52] | ✓ | GIS, NIMET; Federal Ministry of Agriculture | Crop Yield | Spatial mapping (GIS techniques and re-scaling normalization technique) | |
20 | Umar et al. [35] | ✓ | NIMET | Crop Yield | Statistical method (descriptive statistics, trend analysis) |
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Search Stages | Inclusion Criteria | Exclusion Criteria |
---|---|---|
Initial search | Studies published in English | Studies published in other languages |
Climate-change-related vulnerability in the agricultural sector | Climate-change-related vulnerability in the non-agricultural sector | |
Studies focused on Nigeria | Other countries | |
Distinct/single studies | Non-distinct/duplicates | |
Title and abstract screening | Strictly focused on agricultural systems (crop, livestock, poultry, and fish production) | Non-agricultural systems (crop, livestock, poultry. and fish production) |
Focus on vulnerability associated with climate risks | Focus on vulnerability associated with non-climate risks | |
Final step for review | Non-systematic review studies | Systematic literature review or discourse analysis |
Livelihoods for rural farmers households | Livelihoods for non-farm households | |
Vulnerability studies focused on agricultural systems/productivity | Vulnerability studies focused on non-agricultural systems/productivity |
Agroecological Zone | Rainfall (mm) | Temperature (°C) |
---|---|---|
Coastal Area/Mangrove | 2945.71 ± 408.29 (13.86%) | 26.46 ± 0.46 (1.74%) |
Rainforest | 2164.96 ± 360.97 (16.67%) | 26.26 ± 0.43 (1.64%) |
Guinea Savanna | 1204.14 ± 211.99 (17.61%) | 26.44 ± 0.33 (1.25%) |
Sudan Savanna | 571.31 ± 144.94 (25.37%) | 26.51 ± 0.41 (1.55%) |
Sahel | 440.46 ± 110.24 (25.03%) | 28.42 ± 0.53 (1.86%) |
Author (Year) | Agro-Eco Zone | Vulnerability Measure | Theory | Subjective | Socioeconomic | Biophysical | Integrated Assessment |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Abaje et al. [38] | GS | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Adeoti et al. [39] | GS | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Adewuyi et al. [40] | TR, GS | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Ajibola [18] | All | LnCLAH | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Atedhor [36] | SdS | U | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Awolala and Ajibefun [41] | TR, GS | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||
Awoyemi and Olajide [42] | All | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Ayanlade and Ojebisi [43] | GS | D, FS | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Aye and Ater [44] | All | CY | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Building Nigeria’s Response to Climate Change (BNRCC) [6] | ShS, GS, TR, MF | V | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
Cervigni et al. [45] | All | CY, LTHI, LGPP | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||
Chikezie et al. [46] | TR | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Chukwuemeka et al. [47] | TR | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Eze et al. [48] | GS | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Madu [37] | All | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Madu [49] | All | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
Manu et al. [50] | GS, SdS | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Medugu and Majid [51] | U | CVI | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Ojo et al. [52] | GS | CY | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Umar et al. [35] | SdS, ShS | CY | ✓ | ✓ |
Agro-Ecological Focus | Frequency | Percentage |
---|---|---|
All | 6 | 22.22 |
Guinea Savanna | 9 | 33.33 |
Sudan Savanna | 3 | 11.11 |
Sahel | 2 | 7.41 |
Tropical Rainforest | 5 | 18.52 |
Unspecified | 1 | 3.70 |
Mangrove Forest | 1 | 3.70 |
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Share and Cite
Onyeneke, R.U.; Emenekwe, C.C.; Munonye, J.O.; Nwajiuba, C.A.; Uwazie, U.I.; Amadi, M.U.; Izuogu, C.U.; Njoku, C.L.; Onyeneke, L.U. Progress in Climate–Agricultural Vulnerability Assessment in Nigeria. Atmosphere 2020, 11, 190. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11020190
Onyeneke RU, Emenekwe CC, Munonye JO, Nwajiuba CA, Uwazie UI, Amadi MU, Izuogu CU, Njoku CL, Onyeneke LU. Progress in Climate–Agricultural Vulnerability Assessment in Nigeria. Atmosphere. 2020; 11(2):190. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11020190
Chicago/Turabian StyleOnyeneke, Robert Ugochukwu, Chukwuemeka Chinonso Emenekwe, Jane Onuabuchi Munonye, Chinyere Augusta Nwajiuba, Uwazie Iyke Uwazie, Mark Umunna Amadi, Chibuzo Uzoma Izuogu, Chukwudi Loveday Njoku, and Louis Uchenna Onyeneke. 2020. "Progress in Climate–Agricultural Vulnerability Assessment in Nigeria" Atmosphere 11, no. 2: 190. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11020190
APA StyleOnyeneke, R. U., Emenekwe, C. C., Munonye, J. O., Nwajiuba, C. A., Uwazie, U. I., Amadi, M. U., Izuogu, C. U., Njoku, C. L., & Onyeneke, L. U. (2020). Progress in Climate–Agricultural Vulnerability Assessment in Nigeria. Atmosphere, 11(2), 190. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11020190