The Role of Immunosuppression for Recurrent Cholangiocellular Carcinoma after Liver Transplantation

Round 1

Reviewer 1 Report

Comments and Suggestions for Authors

I read with great interest the paper by Guel-Klein et al. regarding the risk of CCA recurrence after liver transplantation. The authors present the results of a cohort of 67 patients with CCA (mixed: intrahepatic, HCC/CCA and Klatskin), where 44 (66%) patients developed CCA recurrence after LT. Median survival was 38 months. Surgical resection and immunosuppression with mTORI improved survival, whereas early recurrence (<2 yrs) and age at recurrence (<65 yrs) were associated with a higher mortality rate.

PRO: The authors present a relatively large cohort on a topic where very scarce data are available in current literature. Their results might be helpful in the management of immunosuppression of these patients after LT.

Major limits:

- the authors show very high recurrence rate (66%) and a median survival rate of 38 months, suggesting that the graft survival rate at 5 years is way lower than 50% (futility limit). These brings to the attention how patient selection is crucial in this setting. The authors should meticulously state the indications for LT in patients with CCA (as patients in UICC stage III-IV and with N+ status were transplanted) and the eventual downstaging protocol. The main aim in this setting should be the identification of pre-LT criteria that identify patients who would most benefit from LT (and show 5-years survival rate >50%). In this view, the management of recurrence and immunosuppression after LT, and predictors of survival after recurrence are only secondary.

- inclusion of patients in a single center and from a very large period (from 1988 to 2022), when there have been made many advances in the understanding and management of CCA that may influence survival. Moreover, the number of patients in each type of CCA (extra vs intrahepatic vs HCC/CCA) is very limited to draw any conclusions in these very different categories.

- I think that statistical analysis should be revised, and that the clarity of the results should be improved. For instance:

i) I don’t understand why Pearson correlation was used to test for the association between UICC stage/Grading/IS score and recurrence. 

ii) A clear multivariate analysis for the predictors of 1) overall survival (role of UICC stage? N+ status?) and 2) CCA recurrence after LT should be investigated and clearly reported. It is very difficult to understand the predictors of such outcomes throughout the text, and this is more important than the information reported in Table 2. Models investigating only pre-LT variables and pre-LT and post-LT (recurrence, surgery, immunosuppression) variables in a time-dependent analysis could be investigated. 

iii) surgery supposedly improves survival, yet HR is >1 and it is non-significant in Table 2. The statement regarding age is confusing, the authors should state which group is the reference. How can recurrence <2 years and age <65 at recurrence both be risk factors for worse survival, but the hazard ratio in the first case is 0.38 and the second is 4.26?

Author Response

We want to thank the reviewer for the precise and thougtful review with many valid aspects and present our answers below in a point-by-point manner.

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Reviewer Point 1.

The authors show very high recurrence rate (66%) and a median survival rate of 38 months, suggesting that the graft survival rate at 5 years is way lower than 50% (futility limit). These brings to the attention how patient selection is crucial in this setting. The authors should meticulously state the indications for LT in patients with CCA (as patients in UICC stage III-IV and with N+ status were transplanted) and the eventual downstaging protocol. The main aim in this setting should be the identification of pre-LT criteria that identify patients who would most benefit from LT (and show 5-years survival rate >50%). In this view, the management of recurrence and immunosuppression after LT, and predictors of survival after recurrence are only secondary.

 

Answer:

This is a very important aspect and many studies describe poor outcome after LT for CCA and thus, transplantation for this entitiy is not standard. This problem is of high importance, however in this study we focused the course post-LT as well as recurrence and investigated the impact of immunosuppression in this patient cohort. We acknowledged this fact in the Discussion and further highlighted the crucial need for proper patient selection in this setting.

“We found a recurrence rate of 66% in our collective, which is much higher than in patients transplanted for HCC (around 20%) but is consistent with previous studies [25-27]. Current global guidelines do not see CCC as a standard indication for LT [28].

In this study, recurrence was significantly associated with higher UICC stage and N1-status at initial LT. N1-status was also associated with impaired overall survival in multivariate analysis for oncological parameters at LT, highlighting the importance of adequate staging before LT to identify eligible patients in times of organ donor shortage. Previous studies found tumor size, histological parameters and differentiation to be associated with high recurrence rate [29]. We did not analyze size or detailed histological findings as focus of our study was course of patients after recurrence.”

(Excerpt from Discussion)

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Reviewer Point 2

Inclusion of patients in a single center and from a very large period (from 1988 to 2022), when there have been made many advances in the understanding and management of CCA that may influence survival. Moreover, the number of patients in each type of CCA (extra vs intrahepatic vs HCC/CCA) is very limited to draw any conclusions in these very different categories.

Answer:

The reviewer mentions an important limitation, that can only be discussed but not amended in this study. We tried to further precise the presented limitations in the Discussion to meet the expected standard.

“The limitations of our study are the retrospective study design and the historical patient cohort. Especially since these tumors will continue to be misdiagnosed as HCC before LT. There is a sustained need for research on LT for CCA and mHCC-CCA both for retrospective evaluations with larger patient cohorts and with regard to a prospective study design. Further, the historical patient cohort of 30 years did not allow for differentiated analysis of systemic antineoplastic regimens or subgroups. Also, individual indication for RIM was not evaluated and not standardized. Indication for LT in patients with CCA might have been inhomogenous and accidental findings of CCA were included in this study as well.”

(Excerpt from Discussion)

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Reviewer Point 3

I don’t understand why Pearson correlation was used to test for the association between UICC stage/Grading/IS score and recurrence.

 

Answer:

We apologise for the inconvenience and are very grateful for this valuable advice. A methological error was made and was revised with the analysis accordingly using biserial correlation with dichotomized variables. The new findings are presented in Results as follows:

Correlation analysis did reveal significant impact of initial UICC stage (I/II vs III/IV) and grading (G1 vs G2/G3) on recurrence (p=0.04 and p=0.03, respectively).

(Excerpt from Results)

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Reviewer Point 4

A clear multivariate analysis for the predictors of 1) overall survival (role of UICC stage? N+ status?)

 

Answer:

We conducted an additional multivariable analysis on overall outcome using pre-LT parameters/variables and presented them in Results and a new Table.

“In multivariable regression analysis, N0-status revealed statistical significant positive impact on overall survival of CCA after LT (HR 3.8 (CI: 1.2–12.0; p=0.02). Also, late recurrence (>2years after LT) was associated with improved overall survival HR 0.12 (CI: 0.05–0.33; p<0.01) but tumor entity (p=0.96), underlying liver disease (p=0.07), UICC stage (p= 0.56) or Grading (p= 0.41) did not, see Table 2”

Parameters	p	Hazard Ratio	95% CI
			lower	upper
Time of recurrence (<2 vs >2 years) reference <2 years	<0.01	0.12	0.05	0.33
Underlying disease	0.71	1.06	0.80	1.40
N-status at LT (N0 vs N1) reference: N0-status	0.02	3.78	1.2	11.96
Tumor entity reference: Klatskin  iCCC  mHCC/CCA	0.96 0.83 0.98	- 0.87 0.98	- 0.26 0.32	- 3.0 3.05
Grading (G1 vs G2/G3) reference: G1	0.41	0.67	0.26	1.72
UICC stage (I/II vs II/IV) reference: I/II	0.56	0.79	0.36	1.74

 

(Excerpt from Results)

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Reviewer Point 5

2) CCA recurrence after LT should be investigated and clearly reported. It is very difficult to understand the predictors of such outcomes throughout the text, and this is more important than the information reported in Table 2.

 

Answer:

This is an important information (see also above) and we conducted multinominal analysis and found no impact of the important clinical variables on recurrence. However, in univariate analysis, nodal status, grading and UICC stage were associated with recurrence showing statistical significance. These findings are all now presented in the Results as follows:

“Correlation analysis did reveal significant impact of initial UICC stage (I/II vs III/IV) and grading (G1 vs G2/G3) on recurrence (p=0.04 and p=0.03, respectively). Grading did not show impact on overall survival after LT (Breslow<0.29, Log rank 0.3), UICC stage did (Breslow<0.04, Log rank 0.02 respectively). However, survival after recurrence was not influenced with statistical significance by either parameter (Breslow<0.97, Log rank 0.84 and Breslow<0.35, Log rank 0.18 respectively). Correlation analysis showed significance for histopathological proven tumor manifestation in lymph nodes (N1-status) at LT and recurrence (p=0.04). Multinominal regression analysis for predictors of recurrence did not show statistical impact of tumor entity (p=0.32), N-status (p=0.14), underlying disease (p=0.29), dichotomized UICC stage (p=0.68) or grading (0.6). However, N1 status was associated with a significant shorter survival of 18.4 (3.9-20.7) months vs 40.3 (3.1-333.3) months (Breslow<0.02, Log rank 0.02).”

(Excerpt from Results)

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Reviewer Point 6

Surgery supposedly improves survival, yet HR is >1 and it is non-significant in Table 2. The statement regarding age is confusing, the authors should state which group is the reference. How can recurrence <2 years and age <65 at recurrence both be risk factors for worse survival, but the hazard ratio in the first case is 0.38 and the second is 4.26?

 

Answer:

The reviewer adressed critical flaws in this Table and we revised the multivariate cox-regression analysis and now present references. Further, we dichotomized the therapeutical regimen (surgery-yes/no) to clarify the results. Of note, in this analysis, age did not show impact for survival and the Results and the Discussion were altered accordingly. See below for the new Table that is also presented in Results.

 

Parameters	p	Hazard Ratio	95% CI
			lower	upper
Age at LT (<65 / >65 years) reference: <65	0.74	1.53	0.12	20.15
Age at recurrence (<65 / >65 years) reference: <65	0.66	1.5	0.25	9.01
ATG for induction of IS reference: no	0.1	3.92	0.77	19.86
Rejection before recurrence reference: yes	0.35	1.58	0.6		4.12
Time of recurrence (<2/>2 years) reference: <2	0.12	0.37	0.11	1.28
Underlying disease reference: PSC viral ethanol others	0.01 0.03 0.6 0.05	- 0.24 1.89 5.06	- 0.07 0.17 1.02	- 0.86 20.83 25.1
Tumor entity reference: Klatskin iCCA mHCC/CCA	0.1 0.22 0.86	- 2.92 0.84	- 0.53 0.12	- 16.0 5.94
Grading (G1 vs G2/G3) reference: G1	<0.01	7.74	1.72	34.74
N-status at LT (N0 vs N1) reference: N0-status	0.05	3.4	1.0	11.65
UICC stage (I/II vs III/IV) reference: I/II	0.17	0.45	0.15	1.42
Surgical therapy reference: yes	0.02	2.46	1.19	5.1
mTORI before recurrence reference: yes	0.98	0.98	0.23	4.2
mTORI after recurrence reference: yes	0.87	0.91	0.28	2.91
RIM after recurrence reference: yes	0.02	4.19	1.29	13.58

 

 

Author Response File: Author Response.docx

Reviewer 2 Report

Comments and Suggestions for Authors

Although this published study was reviewed again, I thought that the drawback points of this study have been recognized as similarly as authors described comments and previous reviewers possible comments.

There were so many critical biases in this retrospective study despite of small number patients of the study although the purpose of this study might be very interesting and so clinically implicative.

The most critical bias in this study was how authors selected the patients for reduction of immunosuppression after occurrence of tumor recurrence. Although multivariate analysis for impact survival after liver transplantation for CCA revealed the restriction of immunosuppression as one of significant favourable factors, it was not clearly described how to select patients indicated to the group of restriction of immunosuppression. I thought that before publication of this study, these issues should be clearly described by authors for an appropriate revision.

Round 2

Reviewer 1 Report

Comments and Suggestions for Authors

I commend the authors for their responses and the revised manuscript.

One minor change: in table 2, the reference should be no recurrence, and then the HR of early vs late recurrence can be confronted; otherwise, the survival analysis in the current form is being performed only in patients with CCA recurrence and not the whole population under study.