1. Introduction
A convective system (CS) is an extreme weather event since it can be associated with intense lightning, heavy rainfall, and severe wind gusts [
1,
2]. CS observation (or now-cast) and forecast are still significant issues for meteorologists due to their sudden ignition and fast development. During the last decades, the arrival of many GEOstationary (GEO) satellites (Meteosat, GOES, Himawari, and Gaofen) has helped improve CS observation and monitoring in real time over Europe/Africa, America, and the Asia Pacific. In particular, the new generation of GEO satellites can acquire images every 5 min. However, the CS-associated surface effects observation as heavy rainfall and wind gusts remain significant challenges due to the lack of high-resolution sensors. Previous studies [
3,
4,
5,
6] indicated that sea surface wind patterns associated with CSs could be retrieved from C-band high-resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images such as Sentinel-1 and Radarsat-2. In addition, these references illustrated the matching in location, time observation, and shape between the SAR-observed surface wind patterns and the Meteosat-observed deep convective clouds with a low brightness temperature (200–230 K). Thanks to the advantages of SAR (high spatial resolution and wide swath), one can observe different types of convective wind patterns, including mesoscale (>100 km) and sub-mesoscale (<100 km) ones, in the shape of a (linear) squall line and non-linear convection cells. Surface wind intensity associated with these patterns varies from 10 to 25 m/s. La et al. [
5] illustrated a multi-view of deep convection and its vertical and horizontal dynamics through the collocation of Low-Earth Orbit (LEO), i.e., Sentinel-1, Aeolus, and GEO satellites, i.e., Meteosat. Such a collocation leads to a better illustration of the relationship between deep convective clouds (observed by Meteosat) and their dynamics viewed by Aeolus and Sentinel-1.
As indicated in [
3,
4,
5,
6], the high-intensity radar backscattering on the C-band Sentinel-1 and Radarsat-2 SAR images was induced by convective wind gusts. However, Nie and Long [
7] assumed that it was due to rainfall effects (atmospheric volume and raindrops impinging onto the sea surface), and Alpers et al. [
8] indicated that high-intensity radar backscattering was associated with the hydrometeors in the melting layer. As discussed in [
9,
10], L-band radar backscattering is much less impacted by precipitation than other radar frequency bands. For C-band, the contribution of rainfall to the radar backscattering observed on SAR images significantly depends on surface wind speed [
9,
11], and it is little for winds above 7 m/s. In other words, the high-intensity radar backscattering on C-band SAR images associated with deep convection should be induced by strong surface winds rather than precipitation. Likewise, in [
12,
13], they indicated that rainfall has little impact on surface wind speed estimation from C-band radar backscattering. Recently, Guo et al. [
14] studied the effect of precipitation on SAR hurricane wind field retrieval. They concluded that when the wind speed is less than 30 m/s and the rain rate is less than 20 mm/h, the distribution of the melting layer has no obvious effect on SAR wind speed retrieval. To strengthen our assumption about the observation and estimation of sea surface convective wind gusts from C-band SAR images, we present here new results based on different satellite sensors at the C-band and L-band for three regions, including Lake Victoria, the Gulf of Guinea, and the Gulf of Mexico. These tropical or sub-tropical regions are regularly impacted by severe deep convection. Additionally, to assess the estimated wind gusts from satellite data, they are compared with the in situ measurements of the weather stations installed in the Gulf of Mexico. Concretely, this paper will focus on five main and significant points, as follows.
Firstly, we present the observation of convective wind gusts over Lake Victoria on C-band Sentinel-1 SAR images. The method to estimate surface wind speed is the same as proposed in [
3,
4,
5,
6]. Lake Victoria, the largest lake in Africa, was selected as one of the regions of interest (ROIs) since one can observe the frequent occurrence of deep convection and the associated dangerous effects on fishing activities, including wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and lightning, especially at night-time [
2,
15,
16]. In [
2,
16], they indicated that the strong surface winds associated with convective storms are one of the significant hazards for fishing activities over the lake. Waniha et al. [
2] estimated horizontal wind gusts based on the radar radial velocity at around 08:00–09:00 UTC (peak in convection), while Chamberlain et al. [
16] used the Met Office 4 km numerical model to forecast wind gusts associated with the convective storms. These studies offered similar convective wind gust estimates of 15–20 m/s. Likewise, Van de Walle et al. [
17] used a regional climate model run at convection-permitting resolution to simulate both precipitation and wind gusts over Lake Victoria for a historical 10-year period. It showed many cases of wind gusts over 15 m/s, and a threshold of 20 m/s was used to classify moderate and severe wind gusts.
Secondly, we present convective wind patterns observed on L-band ALOS-1 SAR images over the Gulf of Guinea, one of the tropical or subtropical regions where CSs play a principal role in local and regional weather variability. According to the West Africa Monsoon (WAM), intense CSs are often formed over Central and West Africa and then move westwards through the Gulf of Guinea. These CSs, regularly in the form of squall lines, can generate heavy rainfall in this region and strong surface winds over the sea [
18]. As discussed above, since the L-band radar signal is little impacted by precipitation, the high-intensity radar backscattering observed on ALOS-1 images corresponding to deep convection should be induced from convective wind gusts.
Thirdly, we illustrate convective wind patterns observed on C-band Sentinel-1 SAR and L-band SMAP images. The collocation of the two satellite sensors with a reasonable time lag enables the observation of the surface displacement of convective wind gusts corresponding to the motion of deep convective clouds observed by Meteosat.
Fourthly, this paper illustrates the multi-view of a mesoscale CS spreading from the Gulf of Guinea to offshore Gabon through the combination of Meteosat, Aeolus, and Sentinel-1. Indeed, the Aeolus Lidar instrument offers precious vertical wind profiles that may enable the identification of strong winds within lower atmospheric layers, associated with deep convection. On the one hand, this approach upholds the schematic understanding of a CS and its vertical and horizontal dynamics. On the other hand, it strengthens the relationship between deep convective clouds detected by Meteosat and surface wind patterns on C-band Sentinel-1 SAR images.
Fifthly and finally, we evaluate the observed convective wind gusts by comparison with in situ measurements.
The last point is the most significant work of this paper since it provides another way to strengthen the assumption about the relationship between strong surface winds and deep convective clouds, as well as to better understand the gap, if existing, between the estimation and measurement of convective wind gusts at the sea surface. Indeed, measuring sea surface convective wind gusts is complicated due to their local scale (or sub-mesoscale) and rapid time variability. For instance, to reach the wind gust measurements using in situ sensors, it is necessary to perform measurements for at least one hour. Also, these gust events can not necessarily occur when LEO satellites like Sentinel-1A/B pass over a region. Therefore, we must process a mass of in situ data to find corresponding cases between in situ measurements and Sentinel-1-estimated convective wind gusts. Among the subtropical and tropical regions, the Gulf of Mexico presents numerous in situ stations (buoys and weather stations). These devices are installed by the NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) and its industrial partners. Thanks to the short revisit time of Sentinel-1A/B over the Gulf of Mexico, we can obtain enough images relevant to assess the accuracy of ocean surface wind speed estimated from Sentinel-1 data compared to wind speed measured by the in situ devices. Among them, we present a case study to illustrate an agreement between the estimated wind intensity of a mesoscale convective squall line and the wind speed measured by the weather stations installed along the west coast of Florida.
Section 2 presents the methodology of this paper, including data preparation and surface wind speed estimation using Sentinel-1, ALOS-1, and SMAP data.
Section 3 illustrates the new results of sea surface convective winds observation, as mentioned above.
Section 4 compares the estimated surface wind gusts and the in situ measurements.
Section 5 discusses how the results illustrated in this paper strengthen our assumption about the high-intensity radar backscattering associated with surface convective wind gusts. Finally,
Section 6 presents our conclusions and perspectives.
4. Comparison of Convective Wind Gust Estimation and Measurement
Figure 6 presents a surface wind pattern extended at the mesoscale in the shape of a squall line observed on the merged Sentinel-1 images, 14 April 2019, 23:36:14–23:37:29 UTC. This squall line spreads zonally over more than 3° from 26°N to 29°N with a wind intensity of 10–25 m/s. The squall wind front (as marked by the arrow) moves southeastwards. Over the region imaged by Sentinel-1 in
Figure 6 (west coast of Florida), five weather stations are selected: #ARPF1, #CWBF1, #OPTF1, #CLBF1, and #MTBF1. Note that the NOAA moored buoy #42098 in this region does not deliver wind measurements.
Figure 7 presents the wind speed measured by the five weather stations and the corresponding wind intensity retrieved from the Sentinel-1 data. We can observe the peaks in wind speed measured at 23:42 (#ARPF1), 00:12 (#CWBF1), 00:36 (#OPTF1), 00:42 (#CLBF1), and 00:54 UTC (#MTBF1). Before and after these peaks, the measured wind intensity increases and decreases very quickly, respectively. This wind speed time-series variability corresponds to convective wind gusts [
33]. Indeed, the measured peaks in wind intensity match the mesoscale squall line observed on the Sentinel-1 image, 23:36:14–23:37:29 UTC (
Figure 6). This squall line tends to move southeastwards. It reaches the first station #ARPF1, then #CWBF1, #OPTF1, #CLBF1, and finally #MTBF1. This observation explains the delayed occurrence between the peaks observed by the five stations. The peaks in
Figure 7 have a wind intensity of 12.5–20 m/s, corresponding to a mesoscale squall line (10–25 m/s).
Several assumptions can be made to account for the difference between wind speeds derived from Sentinel-1 imagery and those collected by weather stations (approximately 2–3 m/s). Firstly, the accuracy of the surface wind speeds obtained from Sentinel-1 images using CMOD5.N may be compromised near coastal regions, as CMOD5.N was developed and validated primarily using in situ measurements from buoys deployed in open seas. Secondly, discrepancies may arise due to the methods employed to convert wind speeds from the z-m height to the 10 m reference height, as atmospheric conditions differ between land and sea surfaces. Lastly, the presence of obstacles on land surfaces may result in lower wind speeds compared to the open sea, where friction is reduced. Therefore, to facilitate a more accurate comparison between the two sources of wind data, future efforts will involve assessing surface wind speeds estimated from Sentinel-1 data against in situ measurements collected by buoys deployed in open seas, such as the Gulf of Mexico.
Figure 8 presents deep convective clouds (210–220 K) observed on the GOES-16 images collocated with Sentinel-1 images and five weather stations. The observation time of these GOES-16 images nearly corresponds to the occurrence of the peaks in wind speed. The deep convective cloud observed at 23:40 UTC (
Figure 8a) corresponds to the surface wind pattern observed on the Sentinel-1 image (
Figure 6). In particular, the peak in wind intensity measured by station #ARPF1 (23:42) corresponds to the deep convective cloud (210–220 K) observed at 23:40 UTC (
Figure 8a). Likewise, the peaks measured by stations #CWBF1, #OPTF1, #CLBF1, and #MTBF1 at 00:12, 00:36, 00:42, and 00:54 UTC match the deep convective clouds observed on the GOES-16 images (
Figure 8b–e), respectively. This result strengthens the relationship between deep convective clouds (low brightness temperature) and surface wind gusts, as indicated in [
3,
4,
5,
6].
5. Discussion
Previous studies [
13,
14,
15] indicated the existence of surface wind gusts associated with deep convection over Lake Victoria through numerical model simulations and observations by coastal radars. Inspired by these results and [
3,
4,
5,
6], we presented the convective wind gusts estimated from Sentinel-1 images over Lake Victoria, especially from the images acquired with descending direction mode (around 03:00 UTC corresponding to the peak in convection). The surface wind speed (12–20 m/s) associated with deep convection retrieved from the Sentinel-1 image (
Figure 2) is very close to the one estimated by the Met Office 4 km numerical model [
16] and through the radar radial velocity [
2]. This result leads to a perspective that one can integrate Sentinel-1 (or SAR) data into numerical weather prediction (NWP) models (like the Met Office 4 km model) to improve the forecast of convective wind gusts at the sea surface. Additionally, the spatial resolution of the predicted wind speed, especially wind hot spots above 20 m/s, may be improved thanks to high-resolution SAR data.
Surface convective wind patterns can also be observed on L-band ALOS-1 images (
Figure 3) since the L-band radar backscattering is little impacted by rainfall [
9,
10]. Meanwhile, the rainfall effects on C-band radar backscattering are small for winds above 7 m/s [
9,
11]. This strengthens the assumption that the high-intensity radar backscattering observed on the L-band and C-band SAR images is due to surface convective wind gusts rather than precipitation. Recently, La and Messager [
6] published a study showing the relationship between surface wind patterns and precipitation under deep convection observed by the Windsat radiometer. It illustrated that surface wind gusts occur 5–30 min earlier than precipitation, depending on the scale of deep convection. Based on the collocation of the Sentinel-1 and Windsat images with the same acquisition time, the paper concluded that the high-intensity radar backscattering observed on the Sentinel-1 image is produced by convective wind gusts.
As indicated in [
29], surface wind speed retrieval from L-band SAR data using LMOD2 may be less accurate than that from C-band SAR data using CMOD5.N, especially for low and moderate winds and large incidence angles. Likewise, LMOD2 was not studied for winds above 20 m/s due to the limited number of matchups. Therefore, C-band SAR data, especially Sentinel-1, should be one of the principal sources to observe and estimate surface convective wind gusts at a high spatial resolution.
Wind direction is one of the input parameters for CMOD5.N and LMOD2 to estimate surface wind speed from Sentinel-1 and ALOS-1 data, respectively. We used the ERA-5 reanalysis data [
30,
31] to obtain surface wind direction. Note that the impact of deep convection on surface wind fields was not considered for the ERA-5 data. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, no current numerical models have considered deep convection effects on surface wind estimation. Indeed, the impact of the convective dynamics on wind direction at the sea surface is very complex since it happens very quickly. In this paper, we assumed that the surface wind gusts associated with deep convection have the same direction as the synoptic winds. More studies about this topic will be carried out in the future.
In addition to Sentinel-1 and ALOS-1 images, we indicated that the L-band SMAP radiometer data can be used to estimate convective wind gusts, especially for large-scale ones (
Figure 4). As well as ALOS-1 SAR, the SMAP-estimated wind speed should not be impacted by rainfall. The high surface wind speed (10–16 m/s) estimated from SMAP data (
Figure 4b) is close to the expected convective winds. We collocated the SMAP and Sentinel-1 images to observe the surface displacement of a mesoscale wind pattern. The difference in wind speed estimates between the two wind sources may be due to the coarse spatial resolution of SMAP data (0.25° lat grid) or the observation time lag between two devices. Based on this collocation, we noted that the mesoscale surface wind pattern moved southwestwards in the same direction (and probably velocity) as the deep convective clouds observed on the Meteosat images.
To clarify the relationship between surface wind patterns and deep convective clouds, we used the Aeolus vertical wind profiles to observe intense dynamics near the sea surface with similar locations and observation time as Sentinel-1 and Meteosat. The collocation of the three sensors illustrated the multi-view of a mesoscale CS and its dynamics. This scene strengthened the schematic description of deep convection [
33,
34]. It also led to a perspective to use Sentinel-1, Aeolus, and Meteosat data to study the various cases of CS formation, development, and decay. For instance, some studied cases illustrated the presence of deep convective clouds observed by Meteosat, but no surface wind gusts are detected on Sentinel-1 images.
The deep convective clouds detected by Meteosat and GOES-16 GEO sensors had an agreement in terms of location and shape with the surface wind patterns observed on Sentinel-1, ALOS-1, and SMAP images. Likewise, they had the same displacement direction and probably velocity. When comparing
Figure 2,
Figure 3,
Figure 4 and
Figure 5, we could note that the deep convective clouds moved at different speeds for the same observation time. The fastest case was noticed in
Figure 4, while
Figure 5 showed that the location of deep convective clouds changed very little for 45 min. Two principal factors can be used to model direction and assess the velocity of deep convective clouds [
35]: (1) advection of existing cells by the mean wind and (2) propagation of new convection relative to existing storms. Having good knowledge of deep convection motion is very useful in forecasting the direction and velocity of surface convective wind patterns.
6. Conclusions
This paper presented new results on the observation and estimation of surface wind patterns associated with deep convection, not only from C-band Sentinel-1 SAR images, as reported in the previous references, but also through L-band ALOS-1 SAR and L-band SMAP radiometer data. Note that the L-band radar data are little impacted by rainfall. In other words, the high-intensity radar backscattering from L-band SAR data should be induced by strong surface convective winds. This result was also observed for Sentinel-1 SAR images since the radar backscattering at C-band is little impacted for winds above 7 m/s. The high surface wind speed estimated from Sentinel-1 images over Lake Victoria is very close to the values given by the Met Office 4 km numerical model and through the radar radial velocity (15–20 m/s). Note that the Sentinel-1 observation time for the descending direction mode (around 03:00 UTC) over Lake Victoria corresponds to the peak in convection (00:00–06:00 UTC). A perspective with the integration of Sentinel-1 data into NWP models should be carried out to improve the forecast of convective wind gusts at a high spatial resolution.
The collocation of Sentinel-1 and SMAP data with a 34 min time lag illustrated the displacement direction of a surface wind pattern, and it is the same as that of the deep convective clouds observed by Meteosat. This result leads to a perspective that one can use the Meteosat data to model and forecast the direction and probably the velocity of convective wind gusts.
The application of the Aeolus vertical wind intensity measurements corresponding to Sentinel-1 and Meteosat data strengthened the relationship between surface wind patterns and deep convective clouds. The collocation of LEO (Sentinel-1, Aeolus) and GEO (Meteosat) satellites offered a multi-view of deep convection and the associated dynamics. The collocation of the three different satellite sensors can also be used to study the atypical cases of deep convection.
To assess the convective wind gusts estimated from Sentinel-1 images, particularly to strengthen our assumption about the relationship between the high-intensity radar backscattering observed on Sentinel-1 images and deep convection, this paper presented the comparison between the estimated convective winds and in situ wind speed measured by the weather stations along the west coast of Florida. We also showed the GOES-16 images corresponding to cloud activity above the Sentinel-1 images acquired at the sea surface and weather stations. The combination of the three data sources illustrated that the mesoscale surface wind pattern with a squall line shape (10–25 m/s) observed on Sentinel-1 images agrees with the deep convective clouds (210–220 K brightness temperature) observed on GOES-16 images. In particular, the peaks in wind intensity measured by the weather stations correspond to the deep convective clouds observed on GOES-16 images. Moreover, when the squall line observed on Sentinel-1 images reached the west coast of Florida, the rapid increase and the peak of surface wind speed measured by the weather stations were well noticed. The matching between Sentinel-observed surface wind patterns, the peaks in wind intensity measured by the weather stations, and deep convective clouds observed by GOES-16 strengthened a strong relationship between CSs and surface wind gusts. More comparison cases of the estimated and measured wind speeds over the sea corresponding to different stages of deep convection are under study. In particular, they can be used to improve the prediction of surface convective wind gusts based on the GEO images using deep learning. For those studies, the surface convective wind gusts estimated from Sentinel-1 data and in situ measurements of the buoys and weather stations can be used as the training and validation data.