1. Introduction
Gas flaring is the controlled burning of excess and residual gases, usually performed in a flare [
1]. It is a common practice used in oil and gas exploration, production and processing. Gas flaring is, above all, considered a safety solution [
2,
3]. It prevents dramatic accidents due to overpressure caused by over-supplies or emergency shutdowns. It can be used as a routine control process to manage certain emissions that might otherwise be vented into the atmosphere, such as in oil fields where the flared gas is associated with petroleum gas (a form of natural gas dissolved in oil).
Gas flaring is also one of the major regional and global energy and environmental challenges facing the world. Indeed, it has been a multi-billion dollar waste and a local/global energy/environmental problem for decades [
4].
In 2020, the World Bank’s Partnership Global Gas Flaring Reduction (GGFR) reported that the open-pit torches burned approximately 142 Billion Cubic Meters (BCM) of gas [
5]. According to the GGFR, Russia, Iraq, Iran, the United States, Algeria, Venezuela and Nigeria continue to occupy the top of the ranking of countries emitting gas flares for nine consecutive years. These countries produce 40% of the World’s oil each year and hold about two-thirds (65%) of the World’s gas flares [
5].
In recent years, oil and gas companies have become more committed to the environment and are investing more in projects that reduce greenhouse gas emissions [
6]. This would help to achieve the Zero Routine Flaring (ZRF) objective in 2030, which was launched in 2015 by the World Bank and the United Nations Secretary-General. To date, 80 governments and oil and gas companies have made the ZRF commitment, collectively accounting for about 60% of global flaring [
7]. To achieve the ZRF objective, oil-producing countries need to properly obtain better data reliability and accuracy of flares to further improve investments and reduce flaring activities [
8].
Flared gas volumes are regularly quantified around the world by GGRF. Among the methods used are those that exploit remote sensing data, collected by spaceborne infrared sensors, combined with in situ measurements. These methods are now commonly used to detect flares and estimate flared gas volumes through data collected by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NASA/NOAA) Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) sensor on board the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (Suomi NPP) satellite. Inspired by work on thermal anomaly detection to fight forest fires [
9], these methods use VIIRS Nighttime Lights (NTL) data to detect the infrared radiation from heat emitted by flare flames. This allows the estimation of various physical parameters of the flare, including flared gas volumes [
10,
11,
12].
Such a classical method ignores the spectral mixing phenomenon due to the very low spatial resolution of the considered data [
13]. Indeed, such a spatial resolution leads to the presence of mixed pixels that contain more than one ground object. Hence, each observed pixel spectrum becomes a mixture of object spectra present in the considered observed pixel. Moreover, flared gas volumes are usually estimated by employing the global coefficient proposed by the CEDIGAZ organization, which is an international not-for-profit association for natural gas [
14]. The considered coefficient may be unsuitable, not updated, as illustrated in [
11], and may not consider some particular flaring events.
In this paper, a linear spectral unmixing (LSU)-based approach [
13], which addresses the spectral variability phenomenon [
15,
16], is designed to estimate flare physical parameters from VIIRS NTL data. These parameters are then used to derive flared gas volumes by intercepting zero polynomial regression models that employ in situ measurements. Moreover, the proposed approach aims to improve the results provided by the classical literature method. This classical approach, which is based on the modeling of the Planck law curve [
10,
11,
12], uses the observed flare flame spectra that are assumed to be mixed, as they are. However, the proposed unmixing-based approach provides purer spectra that will improve the estimation of flare flame physical parameters.
In this investigation, experiments based on synthetic data are first conducted to validate the designed linear spectral unmixing-based approach. Second, experiments based on real VIIRS NTL data covering the flare, named FIT-M8-101A-1U and located in the Berkine basin (Hassi Messaoud) in Algeria, are carried out. Then, the obtained flared gas volumes are compared with in situ measurements provided by the Algerian national company SONATRACH (in French SOciété NAtionale pour la recherche, la production, le Transport, la Transformation et la Commercialisation des Hydrocarbures), during the two years of 2020 and 2021.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. The considered study area is described in
Section 2. The materials used and the proposed approach are presented in
Section 3. In
Section 4, the obtained experimental results are presented. In
Section 5, the achieved results are discussed. Finally,
Section 6 concludes the investigation.
2. Study Area
In this investigation, experiments using synthetic data are conducted to validate the proposed unmixing-based approach. Additionally, the flare with its in situ measured flared gas volumes, named FIT-M8-101A-1U, located at 31°00′53″N and 08°09′47″E (
Figure 1) in the Berkine basin (Hassi Messaoud) in Algeria, is selected to perform experiments considering the designed unmixing-based method and using real VIIRS NTL remote sensing data.
It should be noted here that Algeria is the largest by area in African and Arab countries and the tenth in the world. Its economy is one of the most important in the region, showing indicators of rapid growth [
17]. Moreover, Algeria, which contains significant natural resources, such as oil and gas, is an active member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and has great potential for economic and social development [
18].
Furthermore, through the SONATRACH company, Algeria has several oil and gas flaring fields; among them, the five most significant are Alrar (Illizi), Hassi R’Mel, Tin Fouye Tabankort (TFT Illizi), Tiguentourine (In Amenas), and the considered Berkine basin in Hassi Messaoud [
17]. This basin, with an area of 102,395 km
2, is one of the oldest and largest oil fields in Algeria and the African continent [
17]. It is located in the northeastern part of the Saharan Platform. It is limited to the West by the structural axes of Rhourde Nouss and to the South by the old mole of Ahara-El Ouar, of East–West orientation [
17].
4. Results
Obtained results, using synthetic data, are those achieved by applying the “classical” approach (i.e., the approach that does not use the spectral unmixing concept and only considers Equations (1)–(7)) and the designed unmixing-based one.
Furthermore, the obtained results, using real VIIRS NTL data combined with the provided in situ measured flared gas volumes, are also given. These ones are related to the flared gas volume estimations of the considered FIT-M8-101A-1U flare, using the established intercepting zero “first-order” (respectively, “third-order”) polynomial regression model when considering provided “daily” (respectively, “hourly”) in situ measurements.
Note here that the used performance evaluation criteria are only applied to the estimated parameter/volume values from the detected pixel of the tested synthetic and real VIIRS NTL remote sensing data, which contains the considered flare.
4.1. Obtained Results on Synthetic Data
Table 2 below shows the mean values of the considered
SAM and
NMSE performance criteria obtained by the tested approaches for the synthetic data, as well as the
RMSE values of the estimated temperature and emissivity parameters.
As an illustration, the following figure (
Figure 7) shows the Planck curves identified after fitting with the spectra obtained with the tested approaches.
Figure 8 then shows the original flare flame spectrum and its estimates, obtained with the tested approaches, from synthetic data generated with a temperature equal to 1550 Kelvin and an emissivity equal to 1.55 × 10
−5.
4.2. Obtained Results on Real VIIRS NTL Data Combined with Provided In Situ Measurements
Figure 9 shows the established intercepting zero “first-order” polynomial regression model, by using all April and May 2020 days, where
are expressed in Mega Watts (MW) and the provided “daily” in situ flared gas volumes are expressed in Billion Cubic Meters (BCM).
The obtained results (regression coefficients, determination coefficient, and
RMSE values) by means of the established intercepting zero “firs-order” polynomial regression model, using all April and May 2020 days, are reported in the following table (
Table 3).
The next table (
Table 4) reports the estimated annual 2020 flared gas volumes (in BCM) for the considered FIT-M8-101A-1U flare, obtained by means of the established intercepting zero “first-order” polynomial regression model using the two months of April and May 2020, and also by using the CEDIGAZ regression coefficient [
14]. This table also reports the estimation errors (the absolute value of differences) between estimated flared gas volumes and measured ones by the SONATRACH.
The following figure (
Figure 10) shows the established intercepting zero “third-order” polynomial regression model, by using all October and November 2021 days, where
are expressed in MW and the provided “hourly” in situ measured flared gas volumes are expressed in BCM.
The results obtained by means of the established intercepting zero “third-order” polynomial regression model, using all October and November 2021 days and considering the proposed unmixing-based approach, are reported in the following table (
Table 5).
In addition, as an illustration in the next figure (
Figure 11), values of “daily” (October and November 2021) flared gas volumes, provided by SONATRACH and those estimated by the proposed unmixing approach combined with the used “third-order” intercepting zero polynomial regression model applied on the provided “hourly” (at 02:00 UTC for October and November 2021) in situ measurements, are reported.
The following table (
Table 6) shows the estimated annual 2021 flared gas volumes (in BCM), for the considered FIT-M8-101A-1U flare, obtained by means of the established intercepting zero “third-order” polynomial regression model using the two months of October and November 2021, and also by using the CEDIGAZ regression coefficient [
14]. Moreover, this table also reports the estimation errors (the absolute value of differences) between estimated flared gas volumes and measured ones by SONATRACH.
5. Discussion
When considering the tested realistic synthetic VIIRS NTL data,
Table 2 shows that the proposed unmixing-based approach achieves better performance in terms of the estimation of flare parameters (temperature and emissivity) than the tested classical approach. This table shows that the designed unmixing-based approach provides the best
SAM and
NMSE values: the mean value of the
SAM criterion obtained with the proposed unmixing-based approach is equal to 4.7263°, whereas the classical approach reaches a mean value equal to 6.9487°. In addition, for the
NMSE criterion, the proposed unmixing-based approach achieves a mean value equal to 26.1295%, while the classical method reaches a mean value equal to 41.3251%.
Furthermore, from
Figure 7, it can be seen that a spectrum resulting from the considered synthetic VIIRS NTL data for a pixel containing a flare flame, with the higher value in the spectral band M10, has lower amplitudes than the pure flare flame spectrum extracted by the considered unmixing-based approach in the same pixel. Indeed, given that the considered NTL data are characterized by a very low spatial resolution, the observed pixel spectrum is therefore a mixture of background and flare flame objects. Consequently, and since the mixture is assumed to be linear in the designed unmixing-based technique, the observed flare flame pixel spectrum (which also contains a larger area of background than the area occupied by the flare flame), used as in the classical approach, has lower amplitudes. As a result, when considering the proposed unmixing-based approach (with the pure flare flame spectrum), the Planck curve identified after fitting will have relatively higher amplitudes than those identified with the classical approach (with the mixed pixel spectrum).
Moreover,
Figure 8 shows that the designed unmixing-based approach, unlike the tested classical approach, better extracts the flare flame spectrum, particularly in the spectral bands M7, M8 and M10.
The above results, obtained by means of synthetic data, motivated the adoption of the designed unmixing-based approach for its use on real VIIRS NTL data to estimate flared gas volumes by the considered FIT-M8-101A-1U flare.
When considering real VIIRS NTL data combined with those provided by SONATRACH, in situ flared gas volumes,
Figure 9 and
Figure 10, and
Table 3,
Table 4,
Table 5 and
Table 6 show the overall superiority in terms of flared gas volumes estimation of the proposed approach in comparison with the use of the CEDIGAZ regression coefficient.
In fact,
Figure 9 and
Table 3 report an acceptable determination coefficient, of the established, by using “daily” in situ measurements of the two months of April and May 2020, intercepting zero “first-order” polynomial regression model, with satisfactory
RMSE results. Besides, a dispersion of points, in
Figure 9, can be observed, and this is probably due to the fact that here the in situ volume measurements are “daily”, while the remote sensing estimations are almost instantaneous at about 02:00 UTC. Therefore, it is possible that particular flaring events (triggering procedures) occur at a time of day and are unobservable by the considered remote sensing data. Furthermore,
Table 4 shows, for the considered FIT-M8-101A-1U flare, an annual 2020 flared gas volume estimation of 49.9559 × 10
−3 BCM by means of the proposed approach, while this estimation is of 178.4253 × 10
−3 BCM by using the CEDIGAZ regression coefficient. When considering the annual in situ measured flared gas volume provided by SONATRACH, which is of 66.6170 × 10
−3 BCM, the absolute value estimation error of the proposed approach is equal to 16.6611 × 10
−3 BCM, whereas this error is equal to 111.8083 × 10
−3 BCM when using the CEDIGAZ regression coefficient. These results confirm the overall superiority of the designed approach.
On the other hand,
Figure 10 and
Table 5 show a good and improved determination coefficient of the established by means of “hourly” in situ measurements of the two months of October and November 2021, intercepting zero “third-order” polynomial regression model, with satisfactory and improved
RMSE results. In particular, when considering the 156 dates of 2020, the
RMSE value changes from 5.6935 × 10
−5 BCM (
Table 3), with the use of the intercepting zero “first-order” polynomial regression model and with provided “daily” in situ measurements of the two months of April and May 2020, to 5.2423 × 10
−5 BCM (
Table 5) with the use of the intercepting zero “third-order” polynomial regression model and with provided “hourly” in situ measurements of the two months of October and November 2021.
Additionally,
Figure 11 shows a satisfactory consistency between “daily” (October and November 2021) values of measured and estimated flared gas volumes, by means of the proposed unmixing-based approach combined with the intercepting zero “third-order” polynomial regression model applied to the “hourly” (at 02:00 UTC) in situ measurements. More specifically, as shown in this figure (more precisely, as shown on 10–14 November 2021), the used “third-order” regression can, more or less, model certain particular flaring events that have occurred between 01:00 and 02:00 UTC, which are not always observable by considered remote sensing data if they occur at a time outside the acquisition time of these data. Hence, the interest in using “hourly” in situ measurements in accordance with the remote sensing data acquisition time (i.e., at 02:00 UTC for the considered VIIRS NTL data).
In this second configuration (i.e., the use of the intercepting zero “third-order” polynomial regression model and with provided “hourly” in situ measurements of the two months of October and November 2021),
Table 6 reports, for the considered FIT-M8-101A-1U flare, an annual 2021 flared gas volume estimation of 33.0743 × 10
−3 BCM by means of the proposed approach, while this estimation is 255.3538 × 10
−3 BCM by using the CEDIGAZ regression coefficient. In comparison with the in situ measured volume provided by SONATRACH for the same year (i.e., 2021), which is of 67.6293 × 10
−3 BCM, the absolute value estimation error of the proposed approach is equal to 34.5550 × 10
−3 BCM, whereas this error is equal to 187.7245 × 10
−3 BCM when utilizing the CEDIGAZ regression coefficient. These results again confirm the overall superiority of the designed approach.
Furthermore, estimation errors are always observed between calculated, using the proposed linear unmixing-based approach, and measured flared gas volumes. Such estimation errors may be reduced by considering in future works, more complex mixing models, such as nonlinear ones, and/or by using other non-polynomial regression models. Additionally, in the case of new estimates from new flares, the designed estimation models are to be updated by adding new flared gas volume estimations and measurements to old ones.
6. Conclusions
In this paper, an unmixing-based approach based on the linear spectral mixing model, which addresses the spectral variability phenomenon and uses a vector-based matrix factorization technique with nonnegativity constraints, is proposed for estimating flared gas volumes from VIIRS NTL remote sensing data. This designed approach consists of deriving pure flare flame spectra and its abundance fraction from considered remote sensing data that are then employed by physical law equations to estimate flare physical parameters.
Experiments based on synthetic data and real VIIRS NTL remote sensing images, as well as in situ flared gas volumes provided by SONATRACH, are conducted. First, synthetic data are considered to evaluate the performance, in terms of flare physical parameter estimation, of the designed unmixing-based approach. Consequently, the designed unmixing-based approach is applied to real VIIRS NTL data, which cover the FIT-M8-101A-1U flare (located at the Berkine basin, Hassi Messaoud, Algeria), by also considering the provided daily and hourly in situ flared gas volumes to estimate flared gas volumes during 2020 and 2021.
The obtained results show the overall superiority of the designed unmixing-based approach combined with intercepting zero polynomial regression models in terms of flared gas volume estimations compared with estimations achieved by using the CEDIGAZ regression coefficient.
An attractive extension of this investigation may consist of employing the designed unmixing-based approach on the whole Algerian territory to estimate global Algerian flared gas volumes.